Zogby fills in the blanks

Following up on my post about the Zogby Interactive poll from last month, we now have a full report of all the matchups they surveyed, which fills in a couple of blanks from the report they made available to the Wall Street Journal Online. Two items in particular of note, starting with this one:

Governor


Perry*    (R) 40%

Bell      (D) 27%

Friedman  (I) 18%

Perry*    (R) 41%

Sharp     (D) 26%

Friedman  (I) 19%

Strayhorn (R) 35%

Bell      (D) 26%

Friedman  (I) 17%

Strayhorn (R) 32%

Sharp     (D) 26%

Friedman  (I) 18%

I believe this ought to put the final nail in the idea that only John Sharp could take out Rick Perry. Not that it matters, since Sharp now has other things on his plate, but as of last month at least, he was polling slightly worse than Chris Bell in this matchup. He does do a little better than Bell against Comptroller Strayhorn, but only because Strayhorn's numbers dip slightly.

What this says to me is either that Sharp's name ID isn't appreciably better than Bell's, or that being known to more people isn't the asset for Sharp that one might have thought it would be. Whatever the case may be, I say it's time to stop wasting time on what isn't going to happen - and that includes the current wishcasting of Bill White announcing for Governor five minutes into his inaugural address as a second-term Mayor - and start focusing on what is. Rick Perry is polling at 40% of the vote, which is less than his combined opposition. This is a winnable race if Democrats can pull themselves together. It's time to get going on that.

Item two is from the Senate race, where the published reports were all about various fantasy football matchups. Here's how the real race compares to them:

Senator

Hutchison* (R) 52%

Radnofsky  (D) 34%


Hutchison* (R) 50%

Kirk       (D) 37%

Hutchison* (R) 51%

Sharp      (D) 36%

Hutchison* (R) 52%

Watson     (D) 36%

Barbara Radnofsky fares a little worse than the others against KBH, but not by much. All things considered, it's about what I'd expect. She's obviously got a lot of ground to make up, and she'll have to chip away some of KBH's current support, something which may be made easier by Hutchison herself and her recent penchant for stupid statements. That said, given KBH's status as the Great Exalted Popular Moderate, I'm not displeased with her topping out at 52%. It's still a mountain to climb, but at least it's not K2.

Posted by Charles Kuffner on October 30, 2005 to Election 2006 | TrackBack