September 12, 2007
Hello, Humberto

Boy, this sure developed in a hurry.

Tropical Storm Humberto is expected to reach shore late tonight just south of Galveston, dumping heavy rain from Victoria to eastern Louisiana.

Some spots along the upper coast could receive 10 inches or more of rain by tomorrow, forecasters said. They hope the storm moves quickly to minimize rain totals in isolated areas.

"It's a slow moving storm," said Gene Hafele, meteorologist with the National Weather Service. "But we don't think it'll stall out. It should move steadily inland."


The storm is expected to creep ashore between Freeport and Galveston near midnight, Hafele said. He said rain, high winds and rough seas are already lashing coastal areas. Hafele said rain would stretch as far south as Victoria, but be concentrated between Sargent and the Sabine River.

The storm has sustained winds of 50 mph with high winds extending 60 miles from the center, according to the National Weather Service. The slow-moving storm is 50 miles south of Galveston and moving north at about 7 mph. It is expected to turn slightly north-northeast during the next 24 hours. A tropical storm warning is in effect from Port O'Connor to Cameron, La.

SciGuy, as always, has the most thorough and concise information. The main piece of good news is that despite all the rain we've had this year, the last week or so has been dry enough that an Allison-like event is very unlikely. Of course, that still leaves a lot of room for bad stuff to happen. Read SciGuy and see for yourself what we can probably expect.

Posted by Charles Kuffner on September 12, 2007 to Hurricane Katrina