Tag Archives: Election 2010

2020 Primary Runoff Early Voting, Second Tuesday: A history of Democratic primary runoffs

Posted on July 8, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Yesterday I said that the turnout so far in the 2020 Democratic primary runoff was already historic. Today I’m going to show my work on that. Herewith is the 21st century history of Democratic primary runoff turnout for Harris County: … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged absentee ballots, coronavirus, early voting, Election 2002, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, face masks, Governor, Greg Abbott, Harris County, lawsuit, primaries, Railroad Commission, runoff, Senate, Texas, turnout | 3 Comments

Interview with Rep. Chris Turner

Posted on July 6, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

I’ve done two interviews about redistricting so far, with both of them focused on the litigation aspect of it, which in turn had a focus on Congress. Today I want to pay more attention to the Legislature, which is not … Continue reading →

Posted in That's our Lege | Tagged Chris Turner, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2020, HD101, redistricting, SBOE, Senate, Tarrant County, Texas, The Lege | Comments Off

Hotze versus contact tracing

Posted on June 18, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

We should have expected this. Conservative firebrand Steven Hotze has launched another lawsuit challenging Gov. Greg Abbott’s coronavirus response, joined by current and former lawmakers and several hundred business owners who argue the state’s contact tracing program infringes on their … Continue reading →

Posted in Legal matters | Tagged Bill Zedler, Carole Keeton Strayhorn, Cathie Adams, contact tracing, coronavirus, Election 2006, Election 2010, Election 2022, Gary Elkins, Governor, Greg Abbott, Kay Bailey Hutchison, lawsuit, Molly White, primaries, Rick Green, Steven Hotze, Texas | 1 Comment

Does getting to 40% make you likely to win the runoff?

Posted on March 15, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

I was talking with some fellow political nerds last week, and one of the topics was the forthcoming runoffs. As is usually the case, this year we have some runoffs between candidates who finished fairly close together in round one, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Akilah Bacy, Al Edwards, Alexandra Smoots-Hogan, Anna Eastman, Borris Miles, Candace Valenzuela, CD03, CD10, CD13, CD15, CD17, CD23, CD24, CD27, CD31, CD32, CD34, Cheryl Elliott Thornton, Congress, David Jaramillo, Democratic primary, Eddie Lucio, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Gabby Garcia, Governor, Greg Sagan, Gus Trujillo, Harold Dutton, HD105, HD109, HD119, HD133, HD137, HD138, HD142, HD146, HD148, HD27, HD37, HD42, HD45, HD47, HD64, HD76, HD95, Helen Delgadillo, Jenifer Pool, Jennifer Ramos, Jerry Davis, judicial races, Kim Olson, Kimberly McLeod, Lite Gov, Liz Campos, Lulu Seikaly, Michelle Palmer, Mike Siegel, Penny Shaw, Pritash Gandhi, Railroad Commission, Rick Kennedy, Roland Gutierrez, Sara Stapleton-Barrera, SBOE, SD17, SD19, SD27, Sean McCaffity, Senate, Texas, The Lege, Xochil Peña Rodriguez | 1 Comment

Let’s talk turnout

Posted on March 11, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Just a few random bits and pieces about turnout from the primaries. On the one hand, I think it’s great that Dems got the turnout that we did, in Harris County and around the state. On the other hand, I … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged absentee ballots, Amy Klobuchar, Bernie Sanders, Bexar County, Brazoria County, Collin County, Dallas County, Democratic primary, Denton County, early voting, El Paso, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Elizabeth Warren, Fort Bend County, Harris County, Hidalgo County, Joe Biden, Michael Bloomberg, Montgomery County, Pete Buttigieg, President, primaries, Tarrant County, Texas, Travis County, turnout, Williamson County | Comments Off

Trautman apologizes for the long lines

Posted on March 7, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

A very good start. Harris County Clerk Diane Trautman is taking “full responsibility” for the long lines and wait times that bogged down election night voting and forced some voters to wait more than six hours to cast their ballots. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Democratic primary, Diane Trautman, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, Harris County Clerk, Texas, turnout | 6 Comments

2020 Primary Early Voting, Day Six: On to Week Two

Posted on February 24, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

We’re back from the weekend, where the only votes tallied are in-person. We have five more days of early voting to go. Here’s the Day Six report for 2020, and here are the totals from 2012, 2016, and 2018. The … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged absentee ballots, Democratic primary, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, primaries, Texas, turnout | 2 Comments

Chron overview of HD134

Posted on January 28, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Is this the year Sarah Davis loses? That’s the question. The March primaries are weeks away, but the first question at a recent forum for the three Democrats running to unseat state Rep. Sarah Davis centered on November: “How do … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Ann Johnson, CD17, Chet Edwards, Christi Craddick, Democratic primary, Ed Emmett, Election 2010, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Ellen Cohen, Glenn Hegar, Greg Abbott, HD134, Joi Chevalier, Lanny Bose, Lina Hidalgo, precinct analysis, Roman McAllen, Ruby Powers, Sarah Davis, Texas, The Lege | 3 Comments

DMN profile of Chris Bell

Posted on January 6, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

The Dallas Morning News did a series of profiles of Democratic Senate candidates during the Christmas break. They’re worth reading, especially since polls show many of us don’t know these candidates all that well. I’m going to post about each … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Al Green, CD09, CD25, Chris Bell, Congress, Democratic primary, Election 2002, Election 2006, Election 2010, Election 2020, Governor, redistricting, Senate, Texas, Tom DeLay | 8 Comments

Another “resign to run” question

Posted on December 9, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Reply hazy, ask again. A state law that deems certain officeholders ineligible for the Legislature is raising questions about whether Texas House candidate Josh Flynn is allowed to run for the seat while keeping his current position as a Harris … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Congress, Constitution, Election 2010, Election 2018, Election 2020, Eric Dick, Harris County, HCDE, HD138, Josh Flynn, Kay Smith, primaries, Republican Party, resign to run, Roy Morales, Texas, The Lege | 2 Comments

Filing period preview: Congress

Posted on November 11, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

So even though we still have the 2019 runoffs to settle, the 2020 election is officially upon us. I say this because the filing period for 2020 candidates began on Saturday the 9th, closing on December 9. I expect there … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Al Green, Bimal Patel, campaign finance reports, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD08, CD09, CD10, CD17, CD18, CD22, CD25, CD29, Congress, Dan Crenshaw, Democratic primary, Derrick Reed, Election 2010, Election 2018, Election 2020, Elisa Cardnell, filing deadline, Jacob Osborne, Jerry Ford, Kevin Brady, Laura Jones, Lizzie FLetcher, Marc Flores, Melissa Wilson-Williams, Mike Siegel, Nile Irsan, Nyanza Moore, Pritash Gandhi, Shannon Hutcheson, Sri Kulkarni, Steven David, Stevens Orozco, Sylvia Garcia, Texas, Travis Olsen | 2 Comments

Another ReBuild Houston lawsuit

Posted on October 26, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Gotta say, this puzzles me. A pair of Houston residents filed a lawsuit against Mayor Sylvester Turner and city council Monday, accusing them of failing to follow the will of voters who approved a charter amendment last year for funding … Continue reading →

Posted in Legal matters | Tagged Allen Watson, Annise Parker, Bob Jones, budget, drainage, Election 2010, Election 2018, flooding, Houston, lawsuit, property taxes, Renew Houston, revenue cap, Sylvester Turner | 7 Comments

How many contested judicial primaries should we expect?

Posted on June 30, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

We already know that we’re going to get primary challenges to at least one Democratic countywide officeholder, as County Attorney Vince Ryan has two challengers lining up against him, and DA Kim Ogg has at least one person who has … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Democratic primary, Election 2002, Election 2004, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2014, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, judicial races, primaries | 3 Comments

Holder talks gerrymandering

Posted on March 28, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

The former AG was in town as part of his national activism on the topic. Texas is “ground zero” in a national effort launching Saturday to ensure that every American’s vote counts in upcoming elections, former U.S. Attorney General Eric … Continue reading →

Posted in Show Business for Ugly People | Tagged Congress, Election 2010, Election 2018, Election 2020, Eric Holder, National Democratic Redistricting Committee, redistricting, Texas, The Lege | 3 Comments

Precinct analysis: 2018 State House

Posted on March 26, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Beto O’Rourke won 76 State House districts. Out of 150. Which is a majority. Let me say that again so it can fully sink in. BETO O’ROURKE WON 76 STATE HOUSE DISTRICTS. Remember that after the 2016 election, Democrats held … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Ann Johnson, Beto O'Rourke, Bill Zedler, Brad Buckley, Craig Eiland, Donald Trump, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, GD31, Greg Abbott, HD102, HD105, HD106, HD108, HD112, HD113, HD114, HD115, HD117, HD121, HD122, HD126, HD129, HD132, HD133, HD134, HD135, HD136, HD138, HD14, HD23, HD26, HD28, HD29, HD32, HD34, HD43, HD45, HD47, HD52, HD54, HD64, HD65, HD66, HD67, HD74, HD84, HD85, HD89, HD92, HD93, HD94, HD96, HD97, Hillary Clinton, Jimmie Don Aycock, JM Lozano, Joe Straus, Jonathan Stickland, Matt Krause, precinct analysis, redistricting, Texas, The Lege, Todd Hunter | 11 Comments

Cornyn still thinks he may face Beto

Posted on March 8, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

He could be right, but I would not expect it. Beto O’Rourke has ruled out another run for the Senate, and as he edges closer to a bid for president, Texas Democrats are still searching for someone to challenge Sen. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Bill White, CD23, CD24, CD31, Congress, DCCC, Democratic primary, Election 2010, Election 2018, Election 2020, Gina Ortiz Jones, Governor, Joaquin Castro, John Cornyn, Julian Castro, MJ Hegar, President, Senate, Texas, Wendy Davis | 2 Comments

The Harris County GOP has not hit bottom yet

Posted on December 27, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

I have four thing to say about this. Drubbed. Shellacked. Whooped. Walloped. Routed. However you want to describe November’s midterm election, it was disastrous for Harris County Republicans. They were swept from the remaining countywide posts they held — the other shoe … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Adrian Garcia, CD02, CD07, CD10, CD22, Commissioners Court, Congress, Constable, Dan Crenshaw, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2024, Harris County, HCDE, HD126, HD129, HD132, HD133, HD134, HD135, HD138, HD150, Jack Morman, Justice of the Peace, Lizzie FLetcher, Paul Simpson, redistricting, Republican Party, Steve Radack, straight ticket voting, Texas, The Lege, turnout, voter registration | 21 Comments

Precinct analysis: Undervotes in the city

Posted on December 3, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

We’ve previously discussed non-partisan initiatives at the end of the ballot and how often people have undervoted in them in the past. Now let’s take a closer look at the two ballot items from this year. Dist A Yes A … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Election 2010, Election 2018, Harris County, HD139, HD147, HD148, HFD, Houston, HPFFA, red light cameras, Renew Houston, straight ticket voting, turnout | 6 Comments

Still more about straight ticket voting

Posted on November 28, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

And I’m still complaining about how the subject is being approached and discussed. Fewer than half of Texans voted straight ticket in 1998, according to research by Austin Community College political scientist Stefan Haag, but that has jumped to close … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2018, Harris County, HCC, HISD, Houston, straight ticket voting, Texas, turnout | 2 Comments

On straight tickets and undervotes

Posted on November 25, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

As we know, straight ticket voting in Texas is now officially a thing of the past. It will not be an option in 2020, the next time there will be partisan elections. Thanks to the success of Democratic candidates in … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Election 2002, Election 2004, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, straight ticket voting, Texas, turnout | 3 Comments

Their whining is like music to my ears

Posted on November 10, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

From the inbox, possibly the most unintentionally hilarious press release I’ve ever had the privilege to receive, from the Harris County Republican Party: “I am mad. Mad at the avoidable losses wreaked across Texas by the Beto Wave of straight-ticket … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Election 2010, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, Republican Party, straight ticket voting, Texas, turnout | 4 Comments

Initial reactions: Harris County

Posted on November 9, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Let’s start with the obvious. Harris County Democrats rode a surge in voter turnout to a decisive victory on Tuesday, unseating several countywide Republican officials, including longtime County Judge Ed Emmett, and sweeping all 59 judicial races. Emmett, who courted … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Adrian Garcia, Andrea Duhon, bail, Commissioners Court, Diane Trautman, Ed Emmett, Election 2010, Election 2018, Harris County, Harris County Clerk, Harris County Judge, HCDE, Jack Morman, lawsuit, Lina Hidalgo, redistricting, Stan Stanart, Steve Radack, straight ticket voting, Texas | 21 Comments

The trend in mail ballots

Posted on November 5, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Wanted to take a closer look at the not-in-person aspect of early voting: Year Mailed Returned Return% Dem % ========================================= 2008 76,187 68,612 90.06% 36.60% 2010 69,991 55,560 79.38% 30.82% 2012 92,290 76,085 82.44% 41.79% 2014 89,073 71,994 80.83% 48.94% … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged absentee ballots, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Harris County, turnout | 23 Comments

Texas and Tarrant

Posted on November 5, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

The Trib looks at Beto O’Rourke’s campaign focus on Tarrant County. Fort Worth and its outlying ranches and suburbs are mostly a backwater in Texas politics. Gerrymandered to the hilt, the national parties have mostly ignored this county. But since … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Election 2006, Election 2010, Election 2014, Election 2018, Lite Gov, President, Senate, Tarrant County, Ted Cruz, Texas | 2 Comments

Projecting Tuesday turnout

Posted on November 4, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Here’s the statewide view. By the time the polls closed Thursday, 33.7 percent of registered voters in Bexar County had voted, well past the 17.3 percent turnout at the same point in 2014, the last midterm, and close to the … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged absentee ballots, Bexar County, Collin County, Denton County, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Harris County, judicial races, Texas, Travis County, turnout, Williamson County | 1 Comment

The Courts of Appeals

Posted on November 4, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

The other judicial races where Dems have a chance to gain ground. Republicans dominate Texas politics — but their stranglehold is especially noticeable in the courts. Republicans hold all 18 seats on the state’s two high courts. Of the state’s … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged 13th Court of Appeals, 14th Court of Appeals, 4th Court of Appeals, 5th Court of Appeals, Brazoria County, Dallas County, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, First Court of Appeals, Fort Bend County, Galveston, Harris County, judicial races, Texas, Third Court of Appeals, Travis County, turnout | 1 Comment

Early voting, Day 12: Final curtain

Posted on November 3, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

It was apparently a late night with long lines, and the report didn’t arrive by 10 PM, so you’ll have to settle for this. When the polls closed in Harris County Friday, more voters had cast ballots than in any … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged absentee ballots, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Harris County, Texas, turnout | 5 Comments

Early voting, Day 11: Almost done

Posted on November 2, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Before we get to the numbers, here’s my new favorite quote of the cycle: “If Ted Cruz had Beto’s campaign manager he’d be leading by 20 points,” said Dan Rogers, the Republican chairman in Potter County, where Cruz drew about … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged absentee ballots, Beto O'Rourke, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Harris County, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, turnout | Comments Off

Early voting, Day 10: Happy Halloween

Posted on November 1, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Here are the totals for Wednesday, and here are the daily totals from 2010, from 2014, and from 2016, as well as a spreadsheet with totals from 2004, 2008, 2012, and 2016. The running tallies: Year Mail Early Total ============================== … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged absentee ballots, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Harris County, turnout | 1 Comment

Early voting, Day 9: Who are these people?

Posted on October 31, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

The question keeps getting asked, who is it that has been voting so far? An unprecedented number of Texans cast their ballots during the first week of early voting, but it is impossible to predict whether that surge will benefit … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged absentee ballots, Dallas County, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Harris County, Texas, turnout | 9 Comments

Early voting, Day 8: On to Week 2

Posted on October 30, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Here are the totals for Monday, and here are the daily totals from 2010, from 2014, and from 2016, as well as a spreadsheet with totals from 2004, 2008, 2012, and 2016. The running tallies: Year Mail Early Total ============================== … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged absentee ballots, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Harris County, turnout | 5 Comments

Day 7 early voting: Let the hot takes begin

Posted on October 29, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

I’m just going to quote this bit from this story about how the Senate campaigns are interpreting the early vote turnout so far. Derek Ryan, a GOP data consultant who previously worked for the state party, said there are a … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged absentee ballots, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Harris County, turnout | 4 Comments

Day 6 early voting: A very early stab at projecting turnout

Posted on October 28, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

This is the point in the early voting process where early voting hours expand, and as a result daily EV reports come in later. That may affect my ability to present the latest data each day, so I’m going to … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged absentee ballots, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Harris County, turnout | 1 Comment

Early voting Day 5: It’s been a long week (in a good way)

Posted on October 27, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Did I mention it’s been busy? Voters across the state have come out in massive numbers during the first five days of early voting, and soon, more Texans will have voted early in 2018 than in all of 2014’s early … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged absentee ballots, Beto O'Rourke, Cameron County, Dallas County, early voting, El Paso, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Harris County, Senate, Tarrant County, Texas, Travis County, turnout, Williamson County | 3 Comments

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