August 10, 2006
Waiting on the experts

I know these guys have to be concerned with more than just one race, but I'm curious about something. When will folks like CQ Politics (current rating on CD22: No Clear Favorite), Chuck Todd (who currently ranks CD22 as the 14th most competitive race), and Larry Sabato (current rating on CD22: Leans Republican) update their rankings to reflect the 22nd District as a sure Democratic pickup? I mean, we all agree that's going to happen, right? Nobody is actually harboring the illusion that the Libertarian or one of the write-ins is going to come close to Nick Lampson, right?

Well, here's one quarter heard from: As of August 9, Charlie Cook has TX-22 as "Toss Up". Way to go out on a limb there, dude. Maybe his dial just doesn't go to 11, or maybe he still thinks there's a scenario where a replacement can appear on the ballot, I don't know. I just find it a little hard to believe that anyone might think it's really 50-50 between Lampson and Your Name Here.

Anyway. I look forward to the next round of updates with great interest.

Posted by Charles Kuffner on August 10, 2006 to Election 2006 | TrackBack

Asleep at the wheel.

Those sorts of sites will quickly become obsolete. They simply don't have the staff to keep up-to-date info on all the races. For the last four months, the only people who've had a clue about this race write from inside the district.

Posted by: Mark on August 11, 2006 1:08 PM