Tag Archives: Katy Padilla Stout

Multiple polls and other indicators

Posted on October 16, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

We’ll start here: A new poll from the University of Texas at Austin found Democrats with narrow leads in nearly every statewide race after trailing their Republican challengers in the same poll just two months ago — a sign of … Continue reading →

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There will not be a special election in CD23

Posted on August 26, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

This event of omission happened without any news story that I could find, so I’m going to start with a tweet. The election code dictates that if you must order a special election to be placed on the general election … Continue reading →

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How many Congressional seats in Texas do Republicans really think they can flip now?

Posted on August 24, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

Two recent articles on that topic. Number one, from the Chron: Texas Republicans’ controversial move last summer to redraw the state’s congressional maps with the aim of flipping five Democratic seats this fall may be complicated by President Donald Trump’s low approval … Continue reading →

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SD22 special election set

Posted on August 20, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

Not the one we’ve been waiting for. Gov. Greg Abbott on Tuesday set a special election to replace former Texas Sen. Brian Birdwell for Election Day after the five-term Granbury Republican resigned in May to serve as a U.S. assistant … Continue reading →

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DCCC moves into CD23

Posted on August 8, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

Good. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is adding Texas’ 23rd Congressional District to its target list, the third red-leaning, Hispanic-majority U.S. House seat to make it onto national Democrats’ radar ahead of November. In adding the seat to its “Districts … Continue reading →

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July 2026 campaign finance reports: Senate and Congress

Posted on July 31, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

We have our finalized field for Congress, managing to avoid a catastrophic outcome in what is now one of the better-funded races, and we’re seeing a decent amount of activity across the board. The April 2026 reports are here, the … Continue reading →

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Screwworm and CD23

Posted on June 13, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

Funny how these things can intersect. When the U.S. Department of Agriculture announced last week that the nation’s first case of New World screwworm had been detected in Zavala County, it was a code red development for the thousands of … Continue reading →

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Some poll news and other tidbits

Posted on April 26, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

From Somos Votantes: Today, Somos Votantes released new polling data showing Latino voters in key states and districts are rejecting President Trump and Republicans ahead of the 2026 midterms, driven by mounting economic pain, widespread disapproval of Republican’s tariff and healthcare policies, and … Continue reading →

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Everyone’s talking about the CD23 special election

Posted on April 24, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

Except for Greg Abbott, of course. It’s been about a week since now-former Rep. Tony Gonzales resigned from Congress after the Texas Republican admitted to having an unethical sexual relationship with at least one former aide, who later died by suicide. Yet … Continue reading →

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April 2026 campaign finance reports: Senate and Congress

Posted on April 19, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

We are now past the primary, so we have whittled down the field a bit and gotten a better idea about how some of the candidates that we hope will be strong challengers are doing with fundraising. The January 2026 … Continue reading →

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So when would a CD23 election be?

Posted on April 16, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

Your move, Greg. The sprawling 23rd Congressional District of Texas is now without a voting representative in Washington D.C. after U.S. Rep. Tony Gonzales resigned Tuesday. The resignation ends a sex scandal that had put the San Antonio Republican on … Continue reading →

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Reps. Gonzales and Swalwell to resign from Congress

Posted on April 14, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

That escalated quickly. U.S. Rep. Tony Gonzales announced on Monday he would resign from Congress, avoiding an expected vote on his expulsion after he admitted to having an affair with a staffer. Gonzales, a Republican from San Antonio, has faced intensifying scrutiny … Continue reading →

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Maureen Galindo

Posted on April 4, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

She’s an interesting candidate. I’m not sure I want her to be the nominee, but I’m also not sure about the other guy, so. When a new owner started making improvements to Maureen Galindo‘s downtown apartment complex in 2017, she saw an … Continue reading →

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More on CD23 and Katy Padilla Stout

Posted on March 15, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

This time with polling data. When Katy Padilla Stout first announced a bid for Texas’ 23rd Congressional District, neither the former teacher — nor the Republican-held seat — were on many Democrats’ radar. But now that the Republican incumbent has … Continue reading →

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Katy Padilla Stout

Posted on March 14, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

The Democratic candidate for CD23 is Katy Padilla Stout, who is now running against an unhinged gun-humping wacko and not the scandal-plagued moderate-ish incumbent. The massive 23rd Congressional District hasn’t been competitive for Democrats since it was redrawn after the … Continue reading →

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A followup on turnout and early voting preference

Posted on March 9, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

Just a couple of followup items for things we discussed during early voting, now that we have more complete data. The first was about how much of the vote would be cast early, and whether Republicans were waiting until Election … Continue reading →

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House ethics panel investigating Rep. Gonzales (who ended up dropping his re-election bid)

Posted on March 6, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

Yes, they waited till after the primary. The House Ethics Committee opened an investigation into U.S. Rep. Tony Gonzales to investigate affair allegations with his former aide. The committee announced a panel Wednesday, a day after Gonzales advanced to a … Continue reading →

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2026 primary results: Statewide

Posted on March 4, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

We have to start with this: The Texas Supreme Court suspended a district court’s decision Tuesday to extend voting by two hours in Dallas County and ordered that any votes cast by people who got in line after 7 p.m. … Continue reading →

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2026 primary early voting Day Three: With additional miscellany

Posted on February 20, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

We’ll start with the numbers and then go on to the items of interest. Here are the final daily EV reports for the 2022 and 2018 primaries. Here’s the Day Three EV report, and here are the numbers: Year Mail … Continue reading →

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January 2026 campaign finance reports: Senate and Congress

Posted on February 8, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

PREVIOUSLY: Harris County Houston We’re heading into the primary with some wind at our backs. We’ve still got a large field of candidates to follow, but that will get whittled down for April and again for July. The October 2025 … Continue reading →

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