September 17, 2008
CD07: Poll shows tighter race

Swing State Project reports.

Greenberg Quinlan Rosner Research for Michael Skelly (9/7-9, likely voters, 12/5-12/2007 in parens):

Michael Skelly (D): 37 (33)
John Culberson (R-inc): 44 (52)
Other: 6 (-)
Undecided: 13 (16)

This was done before Hurricane Ike. It looks like Skelly's ad blitz has helped narrow the gap. Interestingly, as his ads have all been positive, it's more movement away from Culberson than towards him. Maybe that's Culberson's softer supporters, maybe it's just noise. There is a Libertarian Party candidate in CD07, the perennial Drew Parks, who got 2.35% in 2006, 1.23% in 2004 (independent candidate Paul Staton got 1.35%), and 10.75% in 2002 in the old district with no Democrat running. Skelly still needs to get his own numbers up, but this is a pretty good result for this point in the campaign. And remember, Culberson is the Republican firewall for Harris County, with dire results (for them) if he's not over 60%. If they're worried, that would be a big part of the reason why.

Posted by Charles Kuffner on September 17, 2008 to Election 2008
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