Swing State Project has compiled a list of Presidential results by Congressional district, for all 435 DCs around the country. I've pulled out the Texas numbers and put them in a Google spreadsheet for ease of viewing. Here are a few notable ones:
CD Incumbent Obama Kerry Gore
03 Johnson 42 33 30
07 Culberson 41 36 31
10 McCaul 44 38 34
21 Smith 41 34 31
22 Olson 41 36 33
24 Marchant 44 35 32
26 Burgess 42 35 38
31 Carter 42 33 32
32 Sessions 46 40 36
(By the way, my assumption is that the 2000 results are derived from taking the data from the existing precincts for that year, regardless of which actual CD they were in at that time. That must be the case, because CDs 31 and 32 didn't exist in 2000.)
You can also now see similar figures from the Cook Political Report, which just released its updated PVIs to reflect the 2008 Presidential cycle. What does this mean?
The Cook Political Report Partisan Voter Index (PVI) Explained
In August of 1997, The Cook Political Report introduced the Partisan Voting Index (PVI) as a means of providing a more accurate picture of the competitiveness of each of the 435 congressional districts. Using the 1992 and 1996 major-party Presidential voting results, the PVI measured how each congressional district performed compared to the nation as a whole.
Using the results of the 2004 and 2008 elections, we have updated these PVI ratings and have even more information to draw upon to understand the congressional level trends and tilts that will help to define upcoming elections.
Developed for The Cook Political Report by Polidata, the index is an attempt to find an objective measurement of each congressional district that allows comparisons between states and districts, thereby making it relevant in both mid-term and presidential election years.
While other data such as the results of senatorial, gubernatorial, congressional and other local races can help fine tune the exact partisan tilt of a particular district, those kinds of results don't allow a comparison of districts across state lines. Only Presidential results allow for total comparability.
A Partisan Voting Index score of D+2, for example, means that in the 2004 and 2008 presidential elections, that district performed an average of two points more Democratic than the nation did as a whole, while an R+4 means the district performed four points more Republican than the national average. If a district performed within half a point of the national average in either direction, we assign it a score of EVEN.
To determine the national average for these latest ratings, we have taken the average Democratic share of the two-party presidential vote for 2004 and 2008, which is roughly 51.3 percent, and that of Republicans, which is roughly 48.7 percent. So, if John Kerry captured 55 percent of the vote in a district and Barack Obama carried 57 percent in the district four years later, the district would have a PVI score of roughly D+5.
Last week, I presented data on the 2008 election results by City Council district and by city of Houston/not City of Houston. I said at the time that the measurement was a bit rough because precinct boundaries do not conform to City of Houston boundaries. After the post was published, I heard from Eric Ingenthron, who has been crunching some numbers for the Karen Derr campaign, and he was able to provide me some more granular data about individual precincts and the number of registrants in each that have the "city of Houston" designation on them. I then used his data to refine my results, and this is what I came up with.
District Obama Noriega Garcia Judicials
Houston 61.0 61.8 65.9 60.9
Harris 39.5 40.5 45.7 39.8
A 45.4 46.6 52.9 45.2
B 91.0 91.6 92.9 91.7
C 60.6 59.9 64.5 58.5
D 88.9 87.1 88.7 86.9
E 40.8 42.4 47.4 40.9
F 63.7 65.2 68.8 65.0
G 42.2 40.6 45.6 39.2
H 68.8 72.5 77.7 70.9
I 72.6 79.0 81.6 76.5
The biggest differences in the individual Council districts were in A, which shifted about six points in the Dems' favor, and B, which moved about four points in that direction. District D also became a bit bluer, by about a point. That made District A much closer to parity, with Adrian Garcia carrying the district, and confirmed my initial suspicion, which I'd thought had been rebutted, that it is winnable this year by a Democrat. District E became about a point less Democratic, District G a tenth of a point less so; they were the only districts to move away from the Dems in this recalculation. All other districts remained about the same.
Anyway, that's the revised data. Greg, who was correct to suspect that such a refinement would move the needle about two points overall inside Houston towards the Dems, has more.
I'd been wondering for a long time how the 2008 vote broke down by City Council districts, as well as for the city of Houston versus non-Houston Harris County. I finally did something about it awhile ago and made a call to Hector de Leon at the Harris County Clerk's office to ask him if precinct data was available from the 2007 election that could help me answer these questions. He very kindly provided me with a spreadsheet that gave all the 2007 results by precinct, and I was off to the races. Here's what I found out.
There's one key point that needs to be understood before I get into this: Precinct boundaries do not conform to City of Houston boundaries. In other words, a given precinct may have voters who live inside the City of Houston, and voters who do not. The effect of this on my analysis, since my data is only granular to the precinct level, is that about half again as many votes were counted as "City of Houston" than they were as "Harris County". That's because if a precinct had votes in it for the 2007 election in a city race, it was counted in its entirity towards the City of Houston total in 2008. Had this not been the case, I would have expected a roughly equal amount of votes inside and out of Houston in Harris County. I just don't have any way to make a distinction within a precinct, so we have to live with that.
That raises the interesting question of whether or not this skews the numbers I generated, and if so by how much? Precincts are geographically small, so these Houston/not Houston voters in the same precinct are basically neighbors for the most part. What's the bigger factor in determining their voting behavior: proximity or city limits? There's probably a master's thesis in that. In any event, my rough guess is that the results I've generated probably underestimate the Democratic-ness of the city of Houston and overstate it for its complement, but not by very much.
I note here I'm still using draft canvass numbers from 2008, which is basically all of the non-provisional votes. I don't think this makes much difference, either, but I wanted to mention it just to be clear. And so, without further ado...
District Obama Noriega Garcia Judicials
Houston 58.5 59.3 63.5 58.4
Harris 39.0 40.1 45.3 39.3
A 39.5 40.2 46.3 39.0
B 86.8 87.7 89.4 87.8
C 60.6 59.9 64.5 58.5
D 87.7 87.1 88.7 87.0
E 41.3 43.2 48.1 41.8
F 63.6 65.1 68.7 65.0
G 42.3 40.7 45.6 39.2
H 68.8 72.4 77.6 70.9
I 72.7 79.0 81.6 76.5
- I had previously thought that District A would be amenable to electing a Democrat this year to replace the term-limited Toni Lawrence. That doesn't appear to be the case here. I was surprised to see that A was the most GOP of the districts - I'd have guessed it would have been E or G. It may be that the precincts that encompass District A also happen to include some strongly Republican non-Houston turf, more so than E or G, I can't say. But it does put a bit of a damper on my hopes for Jeff Downing and Lane Lewis.
- I expected Districts C and F to skew Democratic, but I was surprised by how much they did. Given that C's precincts likely include some pieces of West U and Bellaire, that's even more impressive. Democrats - and as that stands right now, that means Mike Laster - ought to win F this year, and I'd give good odds on winning C in 2011 when Anne Clutterbuck terms out.
- In the meantime, despite their inability to compete citywide, Republicans have overperformed a bit in winning district Council races, as they have five seats but are only a majority in three. As noted, I think that's a temporary situation, and given Adrian Garcia's showing in those three red districts, they shouldn't be taken for granted by anyone, either.
- Of course, the electorate for a historic Presidential race and the electorate for city races, even one with a wide-open Mayoral campaign, are two very different things. All things considered, that probably gives a more Republican tilt overall, one which is more pronounced in the years that don't have a Mayoral melee at the top of the ticket. How big an effect that is, and how much it's being counteracted by demographic trends, I couldn't say.
- Finally, I thought I'd add one more table, showing how many votes were cast in each Council district in the Presidential race, again bearing in mind all the caveats from above:
Jim Sharp, who was elected to the First Court of Appeals in November, has asked me to pass along an invitation to his investiture, which will be held this Thursday, February 12, at 4 PM in the Gerald Treece Courthouse at the South Texas College of Law downtown. Details can be found here (PDF). Enjoy!
Really nice story in (somewhat oddly) the lifestyle section of the paper about freshman Rep. Armado Walle, who won the Democratic primary against long-term incumbent and former Craddick D Kevin Bailey last year. Walle has a great from-the-bootstraps story to tell and a track record of hard work and dedication that will make him a fine representative for HD140. I supported his candidacy, and I'm happy as heck to see him in Austin. Check it out.
The U.S. Supreme Court refused Monday to revive the Texas Democratic Party's lawsuit complaining that eSlate voting machines widely used in the state don't properly record straight-party votes.
The court declined without comment to hear the case. Democrats had sued Texas and lost in lower-level federal courts.
Attorneys for the party argued that the voting machines, which are used in about 100 of the state's 254 counties, are prone to undercounting votes in general elections if someone casts a straight-ticket ballot but then marks an individual candidate's name, as if for emphasis. They said because the equipment doesn't record votes the same as other machines, use of them is a violation of the U.S. Constitution.
The Texas Secretary of State's Office has said that if a voter chooses a straight-ticket option first, but then goes through and pushes buttons for individual candidates on eSlate, those candidates are deselected and a vote for them won't be cast. If a voter chooses individual candidates first, then decides to pick the straight-ticket box, all of that party's candidates are selected.
Here's an update on Democratic judicial candidate J. Goodwille Pierre, who filed a lawsuit in December claiming that votes were improperly rejected in his race, which he lost by 230 tallies to incumbent Judge Joseph "Tad" Halbach.
The Harris County Clerk's Office sent [Shilonda R.] Williams a letter after the November election saying her ballot had been disqualified because there was no record of her voter registration.
But the bipartisan Early Ballot Board, formed to make final decisions on whether thousands of questioned ballots should have been counted, never got to deliver a verdict on whether Williams was missing from the registration list. The clerk's office withheld Williams' ballot from the referees because election workers apparently lost track of the electronic record of the choices she had marked on a voting machine.
Because there was no way to retrieve a record of her votes, it was uncertain Thursday whether her votes were rejected prematurely -- or counted when they should not have been.
The ballot board, chaired by Republican retired business executive Jim Harding, rejected more than 5,000 ballots cast by people who were allowed to vote on the condition that questions about their registration status would have to be resolved weeks later. Each of those voters had to fill out a "provisional ballot affidavit," swearing he or she was qualified to vote, before getting to touch a voting machine.
But more than 200 affidavits never made it through the system because there was no record of cast votes to go with them.
In some cases, people completed the affidavit without subsequently voting, according to ballot records. In others, election judges mistakenly gave provisional voters a code that allowed their votes to be recorded permanently, with no way for county workers or the ballot board to decide whether the votes should have been counted.
"My mistake -- went through as a regular vote," an election judge in northwest Houston wrote on a woman's ballot.
But in Williams' case and others, there was no ready explanation for why the clerk's office said it never received a ballot along with the affidavit.
State Rep. Chuck Hopson says he's home free. Hopson, D-Jacksonville, says he was notified by Speaker Tom Craddick's office [Monday] afternoon that his November opponent, Republican Brian Walker, has withdrawn his election contest.
"We are pleased that this election has come to a conclusion," said Hopson, first elected to the Texas House in 2000.
Brian Walker, the losing Republican challenger to State Rep. Chuck Hopson in the second closest election of the year in HD11, has filed paperwork for an election contest in the House. From the Quorum Report:
After the recount, Hopson beat Walker by more than 200 votes.
In his statement, Walker said, "The petition contains allegations of improper election procedures in Cherokee County that may have compromised the integrity of the election process. According to the Walker Campaign, an election contest is the only opportunity left for East Texas voters to get honest answers to some very troubling questions that were not answered before or during the recount process as well as a few that have arisen since. The allegations in the Petition for Election Contest are based on information provided by third parties to the Walker Campaign, first-hand observations by Walker campaign volunteers on Election Day, and first-hand observations by individuals overseeing the recount process in Cherokee County. The campaign is in the process of investigating each of the allegations individually to determine their level of merit."
At first blush, this would appear to be Speaker politics games. However, law and precedent would have Hopson sworn in on the first day along with his colleagues. The only vote he would not be able to participate in would be on the Walker election contest challenge if it actually made it to the House floor many weeks down the road..
Attorney Buck Wood said, "With Walker down more than 200 votes they have absolutely no chance on this. I think it was purely defensive because they thought we might seek to contest the Linda Harper-Brown election and I would have if we had pulled ahead after re-considering the de-selected votes. But we didn't."
"I doubt they will even pursue this," Wood said. "It would require proving systematic fraud."
Vince notes that this is the first election challenge in the House since Talmadge Heflin tried to overturn Rep. Hubert Vo's victory in 2005. I'd add that there were at one point a total of three election challenges in that cycle; the others were by Eric Opiela against Rep. Yvonne Gonzales Toreilles in HD35 and by former Rep. Jack Stick against Rep. Mark Strama in HD50. Stick dropped his challenge shortly thereafter, and Opiela followed suit before it got underway. My suspicion is that Walker's challenge will dissolve before it begins, but you never know. Trail Blazers has more.
Alas. The Democrats had the votes in November, but thanks to the Republican ringer, that wasn't good enough. My sincere thanks to Chris Bell for all he did. He deserved better. Congratulations for Sen.-elect Joan Huffman on her victory. May she be unlike so many of her fellow Republicans and respect the people who voted for her by serving her full term in office.
UPDATE: Here's Bell's statement:
"I entered this race because I truly believe it is vital for us to change the overall direction of our state. Though we came up short tonight, I am very proud of the campaign we have run - a campaign that focused on the issues that matter to the people of Texas and Senate District 17.
I traveled across this district and visited with so many of its residents about the concerns they face. It only reinforced my belief that in order to create a brighter future for our kids, we must act now to implement real education and health care reform.
I want to thank all of my supporters and campaign volunteers who worked tirelessly to bring real reform to the Texas Senate. We could not have made it without your time, energy and commitment to this campaign and to the future of Texas."
Today is Runoff Day
Some dirty tricks in the SD17 runoff
Gallegos and Van de Putte criticize DSCC
Dems drop legal challenge to Harper-Brown
One hundred feet
Lawsuit filed over rejected voter registrations
Followup on the Libertarian effect in the House
Get on the bus for Bell
Precinct analysis: North by northwest
Precinct analysis: The appeals courts
Early voting is going on now in SD17
Endorsement watch: Bell again
HD105 recount concluded
Still more on Bettencourt
A little more on Bettencourt
Bell on the air
A message from the Bell campaign
Precinct analysis: Go west, young candidate
That other recount
HD105 recount lawsuit moves to federal court
Precinct analysis: Even in his own back yard
Early voting locations for the SD17 runoff
Precinct analysis: It's Gene Green's world
Be careful what you're thankful for
The state of the Speaker's race in a nutshell
The twelfth Senator
There's a new Sheriff in town
HD105 litigation update
Precinct analysis: Some other views
HD105 recount litigation
Precinct analysis: The microcosm
More swearing-in ceremonies
Precinct analysis: What we've learned so far
Precinct analysis: The Richmond Rail Effect 2008
Precinct analysis: CD07
Precinct analysis: The declining Republican brand
Meet the new District Clerk
Election date set for SD17
Precinct analysis: The Obama effect
Time to gear up for Chris Bell
A word on voter registration numbers
From the "Predictions that didn't quite pan out" department
The counting is over
Precinct data: Coming attractions
Where - and when - the vote was
Democrats sue Bettencourt over provisional ballots
Recount in HD105
Republicans hold HD105
So was there an HGLBT endorsement backlash?
That horse is dead. Please stop beating it.
Only provisional ballots left to go
Time for Bell v. Huffman
Vince and Brad
The Speaker's race is officially underway
The big urbans and the big suburbans revisited
So what happened to the turnout?
My court will go on
Some more early thoughts on what happened
Some early thoughts on what happened
At the end of the day
Early results around the state
Early Harris County results are in!
Where to get started
A vote for voting today
A complete list of interviews for this election
All my judicial Q&As
The big urbans and the big suburbans
Report voting conditions and problems using Twitter
SOS estimates nine million voters
Only fools make predictions
Interview with Mark Thompson
Coattails and turnout in Harris County
Look out for the last minute attacks
"Mommy! He's hitting back!"
Are you ready for the Speaker's race?
Endorsement watch: "The Wire" meets The Financial Times
Early voting: Right on target
Endorsement watch: That's a wrap
A cornucopia of late night electoral tidbits
Early voting: Did I mention today is the last day?
Endorsement watch: The "We just realized there's only one day of early voting left" edition
Prognosticating with the stars
The argument for campaign finance reform in Texas, in a nutshell
One way to deal with sign stealers
One last UT poll
Early voting: Over a half-million served
Endorsement watch: Have you always been concerned about that?
Chron overview of the RRC race
Early voting: Still following the pattern
Interview with Larry Joe Doherty
Endorsement watch: Skelly and Hinojosa
Chron overview of the Commissioners Court race
Eight days out
"Love Boat", Harris County GOP style
Early voting: A little slower, but still strong
Candidate Q&A: Robert Schaffer
Endorsement watch: Opie Cunningham
Chron overview of the CCA races
Campaigns respond to Chron polling
Early voting: Weekend edition
Chron polling in Congressional races
A list of interviews to date
Endorsement watch: Still to go
Chron overview of SD17
Endorsement watch: The line in the sand
More Chron polling: Most Dems lead in the county races
Early voting: Making history
The Chron does some polling
Chron overview of Skelly v. Culberson
Early voting Day Four: Same as it ever was
"Banned from the ballot box"
Endorsement watch: County Judge
Chron overview of the District Clerk race
One last Texas poll
Chron overview of CD22
Early voting Day Three: Strong and consistent
If you're going to say it, stand behind it
Candidate Q&A: Mike Engelhart
Endorsement watch: Appeals courts
Early voting, Day Two: Still going strong
Interview with Richard Morrison
Endorsement watch: Garcia and Noriega
Endorsement watch: Three for Larry Joe
Two weeks out, time for the sleazy attack mailers
More on Day One of early voting
Endorsement watch: Um, nobody?
Will someone please poll Harris County?
Early voting, Day One: Very busy
I'm sorry, so sorry...
Early voting starts today
Interview with Rep. Nick Lampson
Endorsement watch: District Attorney
The Supreme Court money race
A little late night viewing
Endorsement watch: Once in a lifetime
The continuing Republican pie fight in SD17
The term limit battle in San Antonio
Some late night reminders
Vote early, if you can
Endorsement watch: Montemayor and Cohen
R2K TX-SEN poll: Noriega within 6
Vote early but pick your spot
Interview with Joe Montemayor
Campaign finances for the Congressional races
If you're going to vote straight ticket, just vote straight ticket
Early Vote rally preview
Candidate Q&A: Larry Weiman
Endorsement watch: Two out of three ain't bad
Endorsement watch: More for Strawn and more
And the Democratic perspective
Kennedy and Edwards for the HDCC
It wasn't me, it was my evil twin!
Endorsement watch: Nick Lampson
Interview with Kristi Thibaut
If you have neither the facts nor the law, pound on the judge
Endorsement watch: Planned Parenthood
The GOP aims downballot
Candidate Q&A: Peter Rene
Endorsement watch: Jaworski and Vo
Mark your calendars
Endorsement watch: More court action
Endorsement watch: State Board of Education
Interview with Rick Noriega
Another poll shows a competitive race in CD07
Chron overview of the DA race
Endorsement watch: County Attorney
Endorsement watch: The Chron still loves John
And in those other Senate debates
Endorsement watch: Texas' worst court
Noriega v. Cornyn, round 1
Interview with Jim Henley
Harris County countywide candidates' 30 day finance reports
Endorsement watch: More Supreme Court
Candidate Q&A: Bert Moser
HCDP08 video: "This is our time"
Harris County campaign finance reports, 30 days out
Endorsement watch: The Chron gets in the game
Interview with Joe Jaworski
The Obama effect in Park Cities
The Big Dog for Bell
Candidate Q&A: Hazel Jones
It's debatin' season
Appeals court tosses Brimer's suit
Endorsement watch: ParentPAC for Sherrie Matula
Where the voters are being registered
No super precincts in Galveston
Interview with Sherrie Matula
The current overview of the County Judge race
New CD10 poll has Doherty within five
Endorsement watch: The DMN on the CCA
The Sheriff debate does go on
Endorsement watch: TLCV and Parent PAC
Olson gets his vote around
Michelle Obama wants you to register to vote
Endorsement watch: Mayorbob for Bradford
Brimer versus Davis in court today
Candidate Q&A: Kyle Carter
Election Procedures and Information Following Hurricane Ike (repost)
Nine million voters?
Rasmussen September Texas polls
Will the Sheriff candidates debate?
Interview with Dexter Handy
Voter registration deadline is Monday
Candidate Q&A: Leslie Taylor
Interview with Trey Fleming
Chron overview of the Sheriff race
Extend the voter registration deadline
Brimer and the banks
The DA candidates - and those other guys - debate
Brazoria Dems HQ reopening
Harris County sample ballot
State House race roundup
TexBlog PAC endorses Robert Miklos
Texas Monthly talks to Rick Noriega
Last Davis-Brimer hearing to be held next week
Endorsement watch: Don't change a thing!
Interview with Adrian Garcia
Dinner fundraiser for Rick Noriega
Cook on the Palin Effect downballot
It's "Guess the endorsement" time again
Blue America Senate contest
Election Procedures and Information Following Hurricane Ike
Ike changes local campaigns
Interview with Rep. Ellen Cohen
Get to know your State Board of Education
Candidate Q&A: Randy Roll
Voter registration at an all-time high
Brimer lawsuit moved to different court
Interview with Virginia McDavid
CD07: Poll shows tighter race
Candidate Q&A: Martin Siegel
Interview with Laura Ewing
Endorsement watch: DMN for Sam Houston
Assessing the Dems' chances in the Lege
Candidate Q&A: Steven Kirkland
Timing is everything
Interview with Joel Redmond
Candidate Q&A: Andres Pereira
Court rules against Bell
Interview with Debra Kerner
Thirteen million voters
TexBlog PAC endorses Joe Moody
More on Bell's lawsuit
Bell files suit to remove Simmons from ballot
Interview with David Mincberg
The Palin effect
Candidate Q&A: Mike Miller
Interview with Michael Skelly
When Jack attacks
Lineup set for SD17
Vote again for LJD
Candidate Q&A: Judge Jim Jordan
No write-in opponent for Sheila Jackson Lee
Candidates speak on mental health and criminal justice issues
Interview with Diane Trautman
Kim's last dance
Here comes Hillary
Another favorable poll for Bell in SD17
Candidate Q&A: Al Bennett
Interview with Brad Bradford
There's spending, and then there's spending
Candidate Q&A: Shawna Reagin
Interview with Loren Jackson
Where the line gets drawn
Brimer denied again
Candidate Q&A: Dion Ramos
ACORN in the field
Big John welcomes Bad Karl
Interview with Chris Bell
Favorable poll for Juan Garcia
Brimer takes it to the Supremes
Vote for LJD
Let he who is without sin fling the first mud
And the Democratic nominee for Probate Court #1 is...
Strange new poll
Matula calls on Davis to return Rove money
The Libertarian effect on the House
Big Bland John
Interview with Vince Ryan
The local excitement
Will there be a conservative backlash for seeking the HGLBTPC endorsement?
HGLBT Political Caucus makes its endorsements
Noriega's immigration plan
Murray on Bell
The Libertarians and the Speaker
McCain's plateau in Texas
A little love for Skelly
Who wants the HGLBT Political Caucus' endorsement?
Pete's strip club buddies
It's not stripping, it's burlesque
Interview with Diana Maldonado
The judges and the HGLBT Political Caucus
More on McCaul, and more
Bell, Skelly, and McCaul
"Turd Blossom" coming to town
Bob's your uncle
Deputies to back Garcia
Brimer will appeal
The Harris County money race
One more race on the ballot
Judge rules for Davis in ballot access case
State of Play
Bell's campaign kickoff
The county money report
Skelly on TV
Some fundraising numbers
The Chron on Bradford
What about Pete?
Get to know the HDCC
Docs abandoning the GOP
Three Dallas race overviews
The Texas Blue interviews Diane Trautman
One small step for Bell
The Nation on the state of the state
Noriega v Cornyn on veterans' issues
Brimer sues to boot Davis off the ballot
Observer on Yanez
The sock puppet in the news
Court rules Dingus can be on the ballot
TexBlog PAC Endorses Sherrie Matula
The end of the quarter is upon us
Big Bad John
More on the Lyceum poll
TMA unendorses Cornyn
Deputies for Garcia
TexBlog PAC event a big success
Reminder: Houston Votes Zydeco event
Good news for Noriega
Interview with Eric Roberson
Final reminder: TexBlog PAC fundraiser tonight
TexBlog PAC endorses Chris Turner
Still time to help Noriega in the Boxer challenge
The sheriff speaks
Culberson versus wind
Term limits on the ballot in San Antonio
"Grumpy Republicans" watch
Reminder: TexBlog PAC fundraiser
You have issues
Noriega and Skelly
Interview with State Rep. Juan Garcia
The state of the Noriega campaign
Houston Votes! kickoff fundraiser
Interview with Ernie Casbeer
Good poll news in CD10
Save the date: TexBlog PAC fundraiser
Interview with Joe Moody
Republican Rap Sheet
Huffman in SD17
Interview with Chris Turner
Meet the man who's taking on Tom Craddick
Interview with Robert Miklos
Annie's List matching contributions to Diane Trautman
Rasmussen shows Cornyn with a big lead
Interview with Wendy Davis
Bell not quite ready to jump in to SD17 just yet
Interview with State Rep. Dan Barrett
My (short) convention experience
Big Time comes to town
Fill Rick's boots
SD17 special election date set
For Bell for Senate
Once again, a matter of priorities
A little perspective, please
The Texas Observer polls the new primary voters
Early overview of the HCDE Trustee races
Baselice's Texas poll
Happy Memorial Day
Figuring out Bobby Jindal
Early overview of the District Clerk race
Bell for SD17?
Interviews with Bradford and Lykos
Macias gives it up
Mincberg calls out Emmett's ethics task force
Early overview of the County Attorney race
Another Republican for SD17
Another good poll for Noriega
Early overview of the Tax Assessor race
Rosenthal's effect on the DA race
Hispanic candidates in Farmers Branch and Irving
Please support Diana Maldonado and TexBlog PAC
Some good poll news from Rasmussen
Next up for Lloyd Kelley
Mincberg goes after Emmett on ethics
Early overview of the Sheriff race
The appeals courts
The small county effect in the RRC runoff
A message from Diana Maldonado to TexBlog PAC
Rev. Lawson responds to the Chron
Early overview of the County Judge race
Skelly, Doherty among leaders in cash-on-hand ratio
TexBlog PAC endorses Diana Maldonado
Macias' date in court
A Noriega update
Early overview of the DA race
An early overview of the county races
800K for Skelly
The race to replace Janek
The Libertarian lineup
Interview with Michael Skelly
Bradford identifies the issues
Open results thread
Last chance to vote
The two DA runoffs
Blockwalking With Richard Morrison
Overview of Railroad Commissioner runoff
TexBlog PAC: We did it!
Early voting totals
TexBlog PAC: One down, one to go
Last day of early runoff voting today
Runoff early voting so far
A Republican runoff to watch
Fifty for TexBlog PAC
Skelly in Politico
Macias to sue over HD73 primary result
Furse is in for SD17
Identity theft alleged in HD144 runoff
Early voting for runoffs begins today
A new Republican name to replace Janek
The Senate conventions
KTRK on Skelly versus Culberson
Endorsement watch: The Chron and the AusChron
"Am not!" "Are too!"
Macias still loses after HD73 recount
Vote early in the runoff
Vote early, and vote often
Noriega wins Progressive Patriots poll
On the road to victory with Rick Noriega
Senate convention information
Recount in HD73
The Observer on the RRC runoff
Last chance to vote for Noriega in the Progressive Patriots poll
Primary turnout by State Rep district
GOP files complaint against Rep. Vo over fundraiser
Craddick's lawyer changes story regarding PAC donations
A look at the GOP County Judge race
Endorsement watch: Reed backs Montford
Meet Michael Skelly tonight
Help the Progressive Patriots PAC spend its money wisely
Canvass report: Results by State Rep district
Endorsement watch: Tejano Dems and the HGLBT Caucus for the runoffs
Lykos v. Siegler
Canvass report - Voting downballot
Endorsement watch: Cobb goes with Lehmberg
Time to start reviewing the canvass data
A look at the Democratic runoffs
Baselice disputes Masset's crossover theory
Republican aide quits over impersonating Democratic lawmaker
Olivo and Craddick
The not-so-hot button
A taste of Republican pessimism
Welcome, new voters! You're gonna get mail!
The Richmond Rail effect in the County Judge primary
The last word about Republican voters in the Democratic primary
There may have been some of them, but there was lots more of us
Once again with Republicans in the Democratic primary
LULAC may sue TDP
The bluing of Harris County
Checking my predictions
Republican primary results
Democratic primary results
Early results: Good, bad, and weird
Your Super Texas Tuesday last chance to vote
Super Texas Tuesday is here at last
Still on track for a record-breaking primary
Watch parties everywhere
Time for predictions
Dem turnout from a GOP perspective
Endorsement watch: The DMN repeats itself
Endorsement watch: Better to be right slow than wrong fast
Zogby polls Harris County
Endorsement watch: Still not quite done
Turnout watch: Early voting ends
Endorsement watch: Obama and Grant
Turnout watch: Republicans say "Hey! Remember us?!?"
Last day of early voting
Turnout watch: The SOS speaks
Endorsement watch: We endorse ourselves!
Campaign overview: CD10
Turnout watch: Two numbers to ponder
Judge bars enforcent of Speaker's law during suit
Endorsement watch: Standing up for Borris
Revisiting Republicans in the Dem primary
Yard sign primary update: The presidentials
Today's turnout examination
Endorsement watch: That's all they wrote
Truitt to drop out in CD07
Candidate overview: Supreme Court primaries
Early voting: Guessing the downballot effects
Endorsement watch: Scattershooting
So what does all this turnout mean?
Endorsement watch: Still silence from the Chron
HD119 special election set for May
Endorsement watch: Stuff from Austin
Where are the Republicans?
Noriega's first TV ad
Candidate Q&A: Larry Weiman
Vote early when you vote early
Early voting and the fate of a Craddick D
Early voting Day Two
V.O.T.E.R. candidate forum this Saturday
Early voting totals way high already
An incomplete list of candidates whom I support
Skelly off to the races
Let there be ads!
Candidate Q&A: Ruben Guerrero
Candidate Q&A: Jim Leitner
Endorsement watch: Repeating ourselves
Endorsement watch: One for Criss
Endorsement watch: The outlier
Candidate interview: Dexter Handy
Endorsement watch: Some catching up
Endorsement watch: Presidentials
Endorsement watch: Noriega time
Endorsement watch: DMN endorses Noriega
Candidate interview: State Rep. Dora Olivo
More Speaker's race maneuvers
Candidate Q&A: Harold Landreneau
Endorsement watch: Tick tock, tick tock...
Candidate interview: Larry Joe Doherty
Don't let them know what we think!
Wednesday campaign notes
If you want an expert opinion, ask an expert
Candidate Q&A: Judge Linda Yanez
The yard sign primary
TPJ files criminal complaint against Tom Craddick
Candidate interview: Rick Noriega
Democratic County Judge primary overview
Endorsement watch: GOP DA
Endorsement watch: Harris County Judge
Refighting Richmond rail in the County Judge race
Endorsement watch: Supreme Court
Endorsement watch: HGLBTPC and HCD
Candidate Q&A: Bruce Mosier
Will Brimer challenge Davis' ballot eligibility?
Teachers for Noriega
Candidate interview: Dan Grant
A short roundup of legislative primary posts
Endorsement watch: The DMN on the Supreme Court
Endorsement watch: Justice of the Peace
Candidate Q&A: Kyle Carter
More on Siegler's call for Rosenthal to resign
Another Super Tuesday watch party
More on Borris Miles
Siegler to Rosenthal: Please quit
Candidate interview: David Mincberg
Last day to register is today
Super Tuesday watch party
Endorsement watch: Constables
Chron overview of GOP County Judge candidates
Registration deadline Monday
Noriega talks border issues at FDL
Candidate Q&A: Steve Kirkland
Alvarado scores endorsements
Noriega's South Texas tour
Candidate interview: Adrian Garcia
A closer look at SD17
Two for CD10
Candidate Q&A: Fred Cook
The Supreme slacker Court
Republicans in Democratic primaries
Candidate interview: State Rep. Jessica Farrar
Noriega in South Texas
LaRhonda Torry reinstated to primary ballot
Los candidatos latinos
The GOP's woes, or lack thereof
Dukes and Craddick
Candidate Q&A: Sam Houston
Court hearing on Wendy Davis' ballot eligibility
Candidate interview: Ron Reynolds
Another Supreme Court judge facing campaign finance questions
Candidate Q&A: Andres Pereira
Candidate interview: Carol Alvarado
Replacing Ronnie Earle
Gas lines and the Railroad Commission
Now that's what I call a quick weight-loss plan!
GOP DA candidates say "We're not Chuck!"
Another City Council candidate conundrum
Candidate interview: Armando Walle
The other mandamus
Mincberg raises money
Candidate interview: State Rep. Garnet Coleman
When the Eighties attack, and other stories
No ballot challenge over Chuck's withdrawal
TPA endorsements for Democratic primaries
Candidate Q&A: Baltasar D. Cruz
Candidate interview: Joe Jaworski
Henley and CD07
Where the potties are
Burka on the House races
The fallout from Rosenthal
Candidate Q&A: Susan Criss
A new spin on the "Hillary will save us/kill us!" meme
Fletcher's poll against Van Arsdale
Candidate interview: Diane Trautman
Why Ewing and not Garcia
Earle endorses Lehmberg to replace him
Candidate Q&A: Jim Wrotenbery
The accidentally-resigned Council member?
And in the end, Chuck flops out
Possibly complete list of candidate filings
What now, Chuck?
Is Rosenthal about to flipflop?
Kelly Siegler jumps into DA race
Initial accounting of who's running
What happened with Chuck?
Filing news: So what happened?
Filing news: As the deadline approaches
Filing news: Deadline day
Are Yanez's petition signature problems unfixable?
Chron story on Garcia's announcement
Rosenthal versus the Republicans
Filing news: Adrian Garcia for Sheriff
The defiant Chuck R
Filing news: Rhettmania!
Harris County GOP ponders its Rosenthal options
Filing news: Richard Morrison for Fort Bend County Commissioner
Filing news: Lots of action
Filing news: The other side of the aisle
Filing news: Gene, Gene, the Do-Nothing Machine
"Toxic Mike Jackson"
"Toxic Mike Jackson"
The RPT versus Texas Monthly
Filing news: Jaworski, Jordan, and Tison
Filing news: A small flurry of activity
Noriega makes ActBlue's Blue Majority page
Filing news: Alvarado, Criss, Thompson
Filing news: Michael Skelly in CD07
Filing news: Mincberg for County Judge
Filing news: Ronnie Earle retires
Dawnna Dukes' Vegas vacation
Some action in the Senate
Why I'll be voting for Jessica Farrar in HD148
Filing news: Who is Joel Redmond?
Filing news: Sherrie Matula
Phil King wants to raise your taxes
"You're a mean one, Senator Grinch"
Trautman for Tax Assessor
Filing news: Contested primaries coming
The filings I'm waiting for
Rene versus Ridgway for Justice of the Peace
BOR interviews Judge Criss
Twelve out of thirteen members of Congress recommend Rick Noriega
It's official: Criss versus Yanez for Supreme Court Place 8
Amber Moon in HD144
Filing news: Murphey and McDavid
Noriega kicks it off
Will Phil King be this year's Kent Gruesendorf?
More on HDs 52 and 46
Walle will file for HD140 on Monday
Dukes draws a primary opponent
Help send Rick Noriega off to Austin to file for Senate
Truitt to run as an independent in CD07
Krusee to not run for re-election
A contender in CD07
"A battle of ideas"
Dan Patrick versus the world
Noriega's primary opponent
Richard Morrison for Fort Bend County Commissioner
Loren Jackson campaign kickoff
Victor Morales announces for HD04
"Toxic" Bill Keffer
Delisi and Krusee
The parallel election
State Rep. Robby Cook will not run in '08
Trautman announces for 2008
Clark and Kerry for Noriega
DFA officially endorses Noriega
I don't just blog the news, I live it
First came Cheney, now comes Bush
Patrick v Van Arsdale, Round 2
Help DFA support Rick Noriega
Mincberg makes his entry
Expand the map
Houston TexBlog PAC fundraiser a success
Art Hall for Railroad Commissioner
Weekend Noriega update
Walle and Gutierrez
Reminder: TexBlog PAC fundraiser on Monday
Now what for Noriega?
Watts dropping out of Senate race
Texas Congressional fundraising numbers
State Rep. Robert Puente to retire
Emmett, Bacarisse spar over trivia
Two for Supreme Court Place 7
Watts' quarterly report
Sam Houston for Supreme Court
BOR interview with Watts and Noriega
Mincberg for County Judge kickoff event
It's property tax cut season
Primary in JP Precinct 1
Alvarado looks to HD145
It's never enough, is it?
A Republican identifies their top targets
Noriega reports $570K raised
Manlove to run for Congress
More endorsements for Noriega
Last time I'll nag you (this quarter) for a donation
Baseline poll for TX-SEN
One thousand and one hundred thousand
Getting crowded in CD22
Noriega wins DFT endorsement
Last chance to vote in DFT Senate Endorsement poll
Rep. Delisi to retire
Don't forget to vote in the DFT Senate Endorsement poll
Democracy For Texas announces Senate endorsement poll
Bradford makes his announcement
Patrick v Van Arsdale
Noriega racks up endorsements in Cameron County
Noriega on Cornyn and the surge
Meet The Candidates In Clear Lake Tonight
More on Bradford v Rosenthal, the Sequel
Ron Reynolds update
Rick on FDL
What Rick said about blogs
Bradford v Rosenthal, round 2
A challenger for Vo - anybody else?
Four for Bacarisse's job
Voter education forum this Saturday
Yanez announces for Supreme Court
Olivo gets primaried again
A candidate for HD144
Bacarisse makes it official
O'Day won't seek re-election
Texas Democratic icons endorse Noriega
Bacarisse to step down tomorrow?
Diana Maldonado for HD52
Some endorsements for Noriega
Cornyn to Bush: Stay away! (But send money!)
Talton says he's in for CD22
Noriega: One month in
Everyone wants to welcome Karl Rove back to Texas
Who will run for the CCA?
How to welcome Karl Rove home
Davis is in for SD10
Chat with Rick Noriega on Firedoglake
Reminder: Rick on Firedoglake today
Tougher times ahead for the GOP, says Abbott
Top Hispanic Republican backs Noriega for Senate
Announcing the Texas Blog PAC
More on SD10
Money, it's a hit
Noriega now part of BlueAmerica
At Yearly Kos with Rick Noriega
Primaries everywhere you look
Noriega liveblogging on Daily Kos
Noriega for Texas video
JudgeCriss dot com
Noriega visits the Valley, slams Cornyn
Capitol Annex interviews Joe Jaworski
Rove sneaks in to give Cornyn a hand
Rick Noriega In Houston On Saturday
Why should CD22 get all the fun?
Mike Engelhart fundraiser
How the GOP is gearing up for 2008
Noriega for Senate kicks off today
Fundraising: Lampson and Cornyn
Fundraising numbers - Grant and Jaworski
Cornyn attacks Watts
Noriega to announce tomorrow
The Hill on Noriega and Watts
Watts raises $1.1 million
Four for Senate?
The Chron's Noriega story
If it's so great, why don't you run for it?
Noriega in the Star-Telegram
Who Wants To Run Against Nick Lampson?
Rick Noriega On the Fourth Of July: Announces His Intent To Form A Senate Exploratory Committee
Rep. Pete Gallego: Texas Needs Rick Noriega As Our Senator
Rick Noriega To Announce Senate Exploratory Committee Soon
"Draft Rick" in the Observer
Where the votes are: HD136
CQ on CD10
Rick Noriega's record of accomplishment
Where the votes are these days
Money will be raised, primaries will be fought. Film at 11.
Draft Rick Noriega
Ed versus Charles
Mikal Watts talks
Susan Criss for Supreme Court
Sklar will not run again in 2008
Watts goes all in
Wallace will not run in CD22
Eight for '08
Lampson not running for Senate
Targeting 2008: CD10
Two for CD10
Dan Grant announces for CD10
Targeting 2008: State Senate
Targeting 2008: Pete Sessions
Ben Barnes for Senate?
What does Kos know about TX-Sen?
Bradford for Sheriff?
The time to start supporting John Cornyn's opponent is now
From the "Things I Wish Were True But Aren't" Department
How can we miss you if you won't go away?
Sklar on Paul's presidential run