This sounds about right.
House Speaker Tom Craddick's critics say they've got enough signed pledges against him to make his re-election all but impossible.
But Craddick's opponents have yet to coalesce around a challenger seeking to replace him, ensuring that behind-the-scenes jockeying for one of the most coveted political offices in Texas could continue right up until the Legislature convenes Jan. 13.
[Rep. Burt Solomons, R-Carrollton, a former Craddick ally who recently announced his own candidacy for speaker,] said he has about 15 members who are ready to emerge publicly as his "second wave" once it becomes evident he can be elected speaker.
"They just want to feel comfortable that there can be life after Tom. That's all there is to it," Solomons said. "It's not as if they dislike Tom. It's not as if they want to hang him on a tree. But they also understand where we are, here. A lot of that is sinking in now because of the reality of the numbers."
Solomons won't say how many of his GOP colleagues make up his first wave of support.
"I have enough to make it clear that Tom can't win, but when they stand up, it makes it more clear," he said. "I think we are two or three weeks away from getting this thing decided."