Day 7 EV totals for 2016 primaries

Day One of Week Two is in the can:


Year       Dem      GOP
=======================
2008    81,843   28,773
2012    20,058   41,447
2016    38,547   55,228

EarlyVoting

For your reference, the 2016 totals are here, and the 2012 totals are here. I don’t have daily EVPA totals from the Harris County Clerk for 2008, so my reference for those numbers is the SOS archive for 2008, with the Day One Dem totals here and the Day One GOP totals here. EV totals for the 15 biggest counties statewide for the first six days (i.e., through Sunday) are here. I think I had under-calculated the values I reported yesterday – honestly, sometimes this gets a little confusing – but I double-checked the numbers for today, so all should be fine now.

So with the first week in – and the caveat that the first week was six days this year and 2008 but seven days in 2012 – I thought I’d take a look outside Harris County as well. Here are the first week totals – i.e., through Sunday – for the ten most populous counties, as per the Secretary of State’s early voting archives:


Democratic

County        2008      2012      2016
======================================
Harris      66,756    17,635    32,211
Dallas      49,485    11,577    25,293
Tarrant     35,144     6,825    17,033
Bexar       42,198    11,622    21,744
Travis      36,890     6,988    20,369
Collin      15,155     1,330     6,185
El Paso     23,794    14,563
Denton      11,180       763     5,145
Fort Bend   13,581     1,820     5,243
Hidalgo     25,564    23,579    21,662


Republican

County        2008      2012      2016
======================================
Harris      23,851    36,612    44,844
Dallas      13,770    13,813    26,135
Tarrant     14,416    18,477    30,918
Bexar       14,033    15,971    18,505
Travis       7,396     7,768     9,207
Collin       9,756    11,247    17,017
El Paso      4,406     3,108
Denton       6,348     8,892    16,234
Fort Bend    7,344    10,804     8,520
Hidalgo      1,494     2,063     2,899

The El Paso numbers for 2016 are weird – for each primary, all of two votes were recorded for Sunday, and even if assume a more normal total, things look decidedly under where you’d expect them to be. As such, I skipped them for 2016. Some of the variations are interesting, but without knowing the early voting tendencies and trends in these counties, I’m hesitant to draw any conclusions. Even for Harris County, remember that most of the vote came on Election Day for the primaries. At this point I’m mostly interested in seeing how much the daily totals tick up. Have you voted yet?

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