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Polling Texas 2020
UT/Trib, Apr 25: Trump 49, Biden 44
DT/PPP, Apr 29: Biden 47, Trump 46
UT-Tyler/DMN, May 3: Trump 43, Biden 43
Emerson, May 13: Trump 47, Biden 41
Quinnipiac, June 3: Trump 44, Biden 43
PPP, June 5: Trump 48, Biden 48
PPP/PT, June 23: Trump 48, Biden 46
Fox, June 25: Biden 45, Trump 44
UT/Trib, July 2: Trump 48, Biden 44
PPP/Emily’s List, July 2: Biden 48, Trump 46
UT-Tyler/DMN, July 12: Biden 48, Trump 43
CBSNews, July 12: Trump 46, Biden 45
Quinnipiac, July 22: Biden 45, Trump 44
Morning Consult, July 28: Biden 47, Trump 45
Morning Consult, August 3: Biden 47, Trump 46
Polling Texas 2018
WPA, Jan 5: Cruz 52, O'Rourke 34
PPP, Jan 27: Cruz 45, O'Rourke 37
Quinnipiac, April 19: Cruz 47, O'Rourke 44
Quinnipiac, May 31: Cruz 50, O'Rourke 39
PPP, June 8: Cruz 48, O'Rourke 42
GQR, June 16: Cruz 49, O'Rourke 43
CBS/YouGov, June 24: Cruz 44, O'Rourke 36
UT/Trib, June 25: Cruz 41, O'Rourke 36
Gravis, July 10: Cruz 51, O'Rourke 42
Lyceum, July 31: Cruz 41, O'Rourke 39
Quinnipiac, July 31: Cruz 49, O'Rourke 43
PPP, August 2: Cruz 46, O'Rourke 42
NBC News, August 23: Cruz 49, O'Rourke 45
ECPS, August 27: Cruz 38, O'Rourke 37
Crosswinds, September 12: Cruz 47, O'Rourke 44
Quinnipiac, September 18 (LV): Cruz 54, O'Rourke 45
Ipsos, September 19 (LV): O'Rourke 47, Cruz 45Polling Texas 2016
Beatty, Jun 22: Trump 37, Clinton 30
UT/TTP, Jun 27: Trump 41, Clinton 33
KTVT/Dixie, Aug 11: Trump 46, Clinton 35
PPP, Aug 16: Trump 44, Clinton 38
WaPo-SurveyMonkey, Sep 6: Clinton 46, Trump 45
ECPS, Sep 14: Trump 42, Clinton 36
Texas Lyceum, Sep 15: Trump 39, Clinton 32
YouGov, Oct 3: Trump 50,1, Clinton 41.5
KTVT/Dixie, Oct 5: Trump 45, Clinton 38
WFAA/SurveyUSA, Oct 14: Trump 47, Clinton 43
UH Hobby Center, Oct 17: Trump 41, Clinton 38
WaPo/SurveyMonkey, Oct 17: Trump 48, Clinton 46
CBS/YouGov, Oct 23: Trump 46, Clinton 43
Crosswind/Statesman, Oct 27: Trump 45, Clinton 38
UT/TT, Oct 27: Trump 45, Clinton 42
KTVT/Dixie Strategies, Nov 2: Trump 52, Clinton 39
NBC/WSJ/Marist, Nov 3: Trump 49, Clinton 40
ECPS, Nov 3: Trump 49, Clinton 34
YouGov, Nov 5: Trump 50.3, Clinton 42.4Polling Texas 2014
UT/TT, Nov 2013: Abbott 40, Davis 35, Glass 5
PPP, Nov 2013: Abbott 50, Davis 35
UT/TT, Feb 2014: Abbott 47, Davis 36
ECPS, Mar 2014: Abbott 49, Davis 42
Rasmussen, Mar 2014: Abbott 53, Davis 41
PPP, Apr 2014: Abbott 51, Davis 37
UT/TT, June 2014:Abbott 44, Davis 32
YouGov, July 2014: Abbott 50, Davis 34
Rasmussen, Aug 2014: Abbott 48, Davis 40
YouGov, Sep 2014: Abbott 56, Davis 38
Lyceum, Oct 2014: Abbott 49, Davis 40
Rasmussen, Oct 2014: Abbott 51, Davis 40
KHOU, Oct 2014: Abbott 47, Davis 32
UT/TT, Oct 2014: Abbott 54, Davis 38
YouGov, Oct 2014: Abbott 57, Davis 37Polling Texas 2012
PPP April 26: Romney 50, Obama 43
UT/TT May 22: Romney 46, Obama 38 (RV) - Romney 55, Obama 35 (LV)
WPAOR Sep 13: Romney 55, Obama 40
YouGov Sep 24: Romney 52, Obama 41
Lyceum Oct 2: Romney 58, Obama 39
YouGov Oct 17: Romney 55, Obama 41
UT/TT Oct 29: Romney 55, Obama 39
Baselice Oct 30: Romney 54, Obama 38
YouGov Nov 3: Romney 57, Obama 38-
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Polling Texas 2016
Beatty, Jun 22: Trump 37, Clinton 30
UT/TTP, Jun 27: Trump 41, Clinton 33
KTVT/Dixie, Aug 11: Trump 46, Clinton 35
PPP, Aug 16: Trump 44, Clinton 38
WaPo-SurveyMonkey, Sep 6: Clinton 46, Trump 45
ECPS, Sep 14: Trump 42, Clinton 36
Texas Lyceum, Sep 15: Trump 39, Clinton 32
YouGov, Oct 3: Trump 50,1, Clinton 41.5
KTVT/Dixie, Oct 5: Trump 45, Clinton 38
WFAA/SurveyUSA, Oct 14: Trump 47, Clinton 43
UH Hobby Center, Oct 17: Trump 41, Clinton 38
WaPo/SurveyMonkey, Oct 17: Trump 48, Clinton 46
CBS/YouGov, Oct 23: Trump 46, Clinton 43
Crosswind/Statesman, Oct 27: Trump 45, Clinton 38
UT/TT, Oct 27: Trump 45, Clinton 42
KTVT/Dixie Strategies, Nov 2: Trump 52, Clinton 39
NBC/WSJ/Marist, Nov 3: Trump 49, Clinton 40
ECPS, Nov 3: Trump 49, Clinton 34
YouGov, Nov 5: Trump 50,3, Clinton 42.4
Polling Texas 2014
UT/TT, Nov 2013: Abbott 40, Davis 35, Glass 5
PPP, Nov 2013: Abbott 50, Davis 35
UT/TT, Feb 2014: Abbott 47, Davis 36
ECPS, Mar 2014: Abbott 49, Davis 42
Rasmussen, Mar 2014: Abbott 53, Davis 41
PPP, Apr 2014: Abbott 51, Davis 37
UT/TT, June 2014:Abbott 44, Davis 32
YouGov, July 2014: Abbott 50, Davis 34
Rasmussen, Aug 2014: Abbott 48, Davis 40
YouGov, Sep 2014: Abbott 56, Davis 38
Lyceum, Oct 2014: Abbott 49, Davis 40
Rasmussen, Oct 2014: Abbott 51, Davis 40
KHOU, Oct 2014: Abbott 47, Davis 32
UT/TT, Oct 2014: Abbott 54, Davis 38
YouGov, Oct 2014: Abbott 57, Davis 37
Polling Texas 2012
PPP April 26: Romney 50, Obama 43
UT/TT May 22: Romney 46, Obama 38 (RV) - Romney 55, Obama 35 (LV)
WPAOR Sep 13: Romney 55, Obama 40
YouGov Sep 24: Romney 52, Obama 41
Lyceum Oct 2: Romney 58, Obama 39
YouGov Oct 17: Romney 55, Obama 41
UT/TT Oct 29: Romney 55, Obama 39
Baselice Oct 30: Romney 54, Obama 38
YouGov Nov 3: Romney 57, Obama 38
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Utilities
Tag Archives: Election 2022
Some insight into Ken Paxton’s finances
Fascinating. In 2019, hostile attorneys questioned Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton about his conduct as a lawyer: Had he turned over a former client’s communications to an attorney suing that client? Paxton acknowledged that he had, one of the nuggets … Continue reading
Posted in Show Business for Ugly People
Tagged Angela Paxton, Byron Cook, Charles Loper, Collin County, Election 2022, Election 2026, Joel Hochberg, Ken Paxton, lawsuit, primaries, runoff, SEC, Senate, Servergy, Texas, William Mapp
Comments Off on Some insight into Ken Paxton’s finances
Some poll news and other tidbits
From Somos Votantes: Today, Somos Votantes released new polling data showing Latino voters in key states and districts are rejecting President Trump and Republicans ahead of the 2026 midterms, driven by mounting economic pain, widespread disapproval of Republican’s tariff and healthcare policies, and … Continue reading
Posted in Election 2026
Tagged Bobby Pulido, Brandon Herrera, CD15, CD23, CD28, CD34, CD35, Congress, Democratic primary, Donald Trump, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2024, Election 2026, fundraising, Gina Hinojosa, Governor, Greg Abbott, Henry Cuellar, James Talarico, John Cornyn, Johnny Garcia, Katy Padilla Stout, Ken Paxton, Latino voting, Maureen Galindo, Monica de la Cruz-Hernandez, polls, redistricting, runoff, Senate, Somos Votantes, Ted Cruz, Texas, Tony Gonzales, Vicente Gonzalez
1 Comment
A brief history of May regular elections in Harris County
As we know, there is a special election on May 2 in SD04, which happens to be the uniform election date in May for 2026. We are not accustomed to voting in May in Harris County, especially not in even-numbered … Continue reading
Posted in Election 2026
Tagged Clear Creek ISD, District K, Election 2014, Election 2015, Election 2017, Election 2018, Election 2019, Election 2020, Election 2021, Election 2022, Election 2023, Election 2024, Election 2025, Election 2026, Friendswood, Goose Creek ISD, Harris County, HCAD, HCC, HD139, HD147, HJISD, Houston, Houston City Council, Huffman ISD, Humble, Humble ISD, Jersey Village, Klein ISD, La Porte, Lee College, Missouri City, Nassau Bay, Pasadena, Pasadena ISD, recapture, Ron Angeletti, San Jacinto College, SD04, SD15, Senate, Sheldon ISD, South Houston, Southside Place, special election, The Lege, Waller ISD, Webster, West University Place
1 Comment
Not-quite-final Derek Ryan report
From the inbox: Turnout The numbers posted on the Secretary of State show that 2,165,744 people voted in the Republican Primary and 2,311,826 people voted in the Democratic Primary. Yes, more people voted in the Democratic Primary, 146,082 more to … Continue reading
Posted in Election 2026
Tagged Democratic primary, Election 2018, Election 2022, Election 2024, Election 2026, primaries, Texas, turnout
Comments Off on Not-quite-final Derek Ryan report
What kind of turnout should we expect in District C?
You know there’s a special election going on for Houston City Council District C, right? It’s in the middle of our stretch of many months with voting of some kind going on. What is a reasonable expectation for how many … Continue reading
Posted in Election 2026
Tagged Abbie Kamin, Angelica Luna Kaufman, At Large #1, At Large #3, Audrey Nath, District C, District G, District H, District K, Election 2007, Election 2009, Election 2018, Election 2022, Election 2025, Election 2026, Houston, Houston City Council, Joseph Panzarella, Laura Gallier, Nick Hellyar, Patrick Oathout, runoff, Sophia Campos, special election, turnout
Comments Off on What kind of turnout should we expect in District C?
More on CD23 and Katy Padilla Stout
This time with polling data. When Katy Padilla Stout first announced a bid for Texas’ 23rd Congressional District, neither the former teacher — nor the Republican-held seat — were on many Democrats’ radar. But now that the Republican incumbent has … Continue reading
A followup on turnout and early voting preference
Just a couple of followup items for things we discussed during early voting, now that we have more complete data. The first was about how much of the vote would be cast early, and whether Republicans were waiting until Election … Continue reading
Posted in Election 2026
Tagged Bexar County, Brazoria County, Caldwell County, CD21, CD23, CD35, Chambers County, Collin County, Comal County, Congress, Dallas County, Democratic primary, Denton County, Donald Trump, early voting, El Paso, Election 2018, Election 2022, Election 2026, Fort Bend County, Galveston, Guadalupe County, Harris County, Hays County, Hidalgo County, James Talarico, Jasmine Crockett, John Cornyn, Johnson County, Katy Padilla Stout, Kaufman County, Ken Paxton, Liberty County, Lubbock, Maureen Galindo, McLennan County, Medina County, Midland County, Montgomery County, primaries, Rockwall County, Senate, Tarrant County, Texas, Travis County, turnout, Waller County, Williamson County
Comments Off on A followup on turnout and early voting preference
A statewide comparison
I mentioned this yesterday, so here it is. I decided to look at the most recent early voting turnout numbers I could find for the counties, and then compare them to the final turnout numbers from the 2022 election. I’ll … Continue reading
Posted in Election 2026
Tagged Bexar County, Brazoria County, Caldwell County, Chambers County, Collin County, Comal County, Dallas County, Democratic primary, Denton County, Donald Trump, early voting, El Paso, Election 2012, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2024, Election 2026, Fort Bend County, Galveston, Guadalupe County, Harris County, Hays County, Hidalgo County, James Talarico, Jasmine Crockett, John Cornyn, Johnson County, Kaufman County, Ken Paxton, Liberty County, Lubbock, McLennan County, Medina County, Midland County, Montgomery County, primaries, Rockwall County, Senate, Tarrant County, Texas, Travis County, turnout, Waller County, Williamson County
1 Comment
A history of early voting turnout in the primaries
Early voting is over. We’ve already discussed the final EV totals, but there was something of note that I didn’t mention yesterday that I want to comment on today: Year Mail Early Total ===================================== 2018 Dem 22,695 70,152 92,847 2018 … Continue reading
Posted in Election 2026
Tagged absentee ballots, Democratic primary, Donald Trump, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2024, Election 2026, endorsements, Harris County, Harris County Clerk, James Talarico, Jasmine Crockett, John Cornyn, Kamala Harris, Ken Paxton, polls, primaries, runoff, Senate, Teneshia Hudspeth, Texas, turnout
2 Comments
Final 2026 early voting report: That was something
Yesterday, the last day for early voting, was huge: Over 77K votes cast, with 51K of them being on the Democratic side. I didn’t get the report until almost midnight last night, and so didn’t finish this post until this … Continue reading
Posted in Election 2026
Tagged absentee ballots, Democratic primary, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2024, Election 2026, endorsements, Harris County, James Talarico, Jasmine Crockett, John Cornyn, Kamala Harris, Ken Paxton, polls, primaries, runoff, Senate, Texas, turnout
Comments Off on Final 2026 early voting report: That was something
2026 primary early voting Day Ten: One more day to go
One more time from Derek Ryan. Turnout Comparison Based on the data I have, here is where things stand through Wednesday: -856,191 people have voted in the Republican Primary (4.6% of all registered voters). The Secretary of State is reporting … Continue reading
Posted in Election 2026
Tagged absentee ballots, Democratic primary, early voting, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2024, Election 2026, Harris County, John Cornyn, Ken Paxton, polls, primaries, runoff, Senate, Texas, turnout
Comments Off on 2026 primary early voting Day Ten: One more day to go
2026 primary early voting Day Nine: Keep on keeping on
Here’s another Derek Ryan update. Turnout Comparison Based on the data I have, here is where things stand: -747,153 people have voted in the Republican Primary (4.0% of all registered voters). -865,385 people have voted in the Democratic Primary (4.6% … Continue reading
Posted in Election 2026
Tagged absentee ballots, Bexar County, Democratic primary, early voting, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2024, Election 2026, Harris County, primaries, Texas, turnout
Comments Off on 2026 primary early voting Day Nine: Keep on keeping on
2026 primary early voting Day Eight: Beyond the point of comparison
We are eight days into early voting, past both of the Mondays that made daily comparisons to past elections a challenge, and you know what? It doesn’t matter anymore, because the early vote total in Harris County so far is … Continue reading
More deep dives on primary data
From Levi Asher: Everyone is talking about the massive early voting numbers in the Texas Democratic primary. Through Day 5, Harris County has already seen 76,555 Democratic ballots cast, more than double where we were at this point in 2024. … Continue reading
A closer look at the EV data so far
Derek Ryan is back with his analysis of the three-day EV numbers. Through the first three days of early voting (Tues – Thurs), I have been able to identify 303,095 people who have voted in the Republican Primary (1.6% turnout) … Continue reading
Posted in Election 2026
Tagged absentee ballots, Bexar County, Democratic primary, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2024, Election 2026, Harris County, primaries, Tarrant County, Texas, turnout
Comments Off on A closer look at the EV data so far
2026 primary early voting Day Three: With additional miscellany
We’ll start with the numbers and then go on to the items of interest. Here are the final daily EV reports for the 2022 and 2018 primaries. Here’s the Day Three EV report, and here are the numbers: Year Mail … Continue reading
Posted in Election 2026
Tagged absentee ballots, CD21, CD23, CD35, Congress, Democratic primary, early voting, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2026, hand counting, Harris County, John Lira, Johnny Garcia, Katy Padilla Stout, Kristin Hook, primaries, redistricting, Regina Vanburg, Santos Limon, SD09, Secretary of State, special election, Tarrant County, Taylor Rehmet, Texas, turnout
2 Comments
An erratic look at Day One turnout in a few counties
I’d love to give you a full-ish look at Day One primary turnout around the state, but that data is harder to find than you might think. The current SOS interface for this is clunky and incomplete. You can be … Continue reading
Posted in Election 2026
Tagged Bexar County, Collin County, Democratic primary, Denton County, early voting, Election 2018, Election 2022, Election 2026, Harris County, Montgomery County, primaries, Tarrant County, Texas, Travis County, turnout
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2026 primary early voting Day One: And we’re off
At long last, we are voting for the 2026 primaries. I will do my thing with the numbers as we go. Let’s recap where we are and what we’re doing. Here are the final daily EV reports for the 2022 … Continue reading
Posted in Election 2026
Tagged absentee ballots, Democratic primary, early voting, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2026, Harris County, primaries, Texas, turnout
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The contested judicial primaries
There’s actually fewer than you might think this year. At least three dozen lawyers are vying for 17 contested judicial races on the Democratic ballot, crowding down-ballot races for Harris County courts that handle the most serious crimes to probate … Continue reading
Posted in Election 2026
Tagged Democratic primary, Election 2018, Election 2022, Election 2026, Harris County, HCDP, judicial races, Texas
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How aggressive will Dems be in legislative races?
This is a good start, but I hope they ratchet it up from there. The Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee, the party’s national arm that targets legislative races, announced Wednesday that it plans to put resources into Texas next year for … Continue reading
Posted in Election 2026
Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Christina Morales, Collin County, Congress, Dallas County, Denton County, DLCC, Donald Trump, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2024, Election 2026, Harris County, HD108, HD112, HD118, HD121, HD133, HD138, HD34, HD37, HDCC, SBOE, Senate, Tarrant County, TDP, Texas, The Lege
3 Comments
Mike Collier to run for Lite Guv as an independent
What are you doing, Mike? Mike Collier, a two-time Democratic nominee for lieutenant governor, announced on Thursday that he is again running to be the state’s second-in-command — but this time as an independent. Collier, an accountant and auditor, lost … Continue reading
Posted in Election 2026
Tagged Dan Patrick, Election 2018, Election 2022, Election 2026, Lite Gov, Mike Collier, petitions, primaries, Texas, Vikki Goodwin
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The Loving County Election 2022 rerun
Loving County wraps up one of its ongoing story lines. It might have been the longest election campaign for the shortest office term in recent Texas history. Loving County Justice of the Peace Angela Medlin, County/District Clerk Mozelle Carr and Commissioner … Continue reading
Posted in Election 2022, Election 2025, Legal matters
Tagged 8th Court of Appeals, Amber King, Angela Medlin, County Judge, Election 2022, Election 2025, election contest, Holly Jones, James Alan Sparks, lawsuit, Loving County, Mozelle Carr, Skeet Jones, Supreme Court, Susan Hays, Texas, The Lege, voter registration, Ysidro Renteria
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The “who’s running for Governor” question again
It’ll be there until there’s a final answer. Even as some Texas Democrats are optimistic about their chances in next year’s midterm elections, the party’s most recognizable names are so far avoiding the chance to take on Gov. Greg Abbott, … Continue reading
Judge Hidalgo will not run for re-election
We have our answer. Harris County Judge Lina Hidalgo announced late Monday that she will not be seeking re-election in 2026. The decision, announced exclusively during ABC 13’s evening broadcast, marks an end to the progressive Democrats tenure as Harris … Continue reading
Comparing the districts
As I write this on Sunday, there’s a lot we don’t know about how this saga ends. I feel confident saying that at some point there will be a quorum and a new map will be passed. Beyond that is … Continue reading
Posted in Election 2026, That's our Lege
Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD07, CD08, CD09, CD10, CD11, CD12, CD15, CD16, CD17, CD23, CD25, CD28, CD32, CD34, CD35, Congress, Donald Trump, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2024, Election 2026, Kamala Harris, Latino voting, precinct analysis, redistricting, special session, Ted Cruz, Texas, The Lege
9 Comments
Bobby Pulido
We learn some more about a Democratic Congressional recruit. Tejano superstar Bobby Pulido is forming an exploratory committee for a congressional bid in South Texas as he considers challenging Rep. Monica De La Cruz, R-Edinburg. Pulido, a Democrat and Edinburg … Continue reading
Joe Jaworski to run for AG again
Another contested primary on our side. Joe Jaworski, an attorney and former Galveston mayor, is running for Texas attorney general again, three years after making an unsuccessful bid for the Democratic nomination to become the state’s top civil lawyer. Jaworski … Continue reading
Posted in Election 2026
Tagged Aaron Reitz, Attorney General, Democratic primary, Donald Trump, Election 2022, Election 2026, Joan Huffman, Joe Jaworski, Ken Paxton, Mayes Middleton, Nathan Johnson, Texas
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Tarrant County plaintiffs amend their complaint
From the Lone Star Project: Attorneys acting on behalf of an expanded list of citizen plaintiffs have amended claims against MAGA County Judge Tim O’Hare and Tarrant County Texas for the adoption of a mid-decade County Commissioners Precinct map that … Continue reading
Posted in Election 2026, Legal matters
Tagged Alisa Simmons, Commissioners Court, County Judge, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2024, Election 2026, Election 2028, Harris County, lawsuit, Matt Krause, redistricting, SCOTUS, Tarrant County, Texas, Tim O'Hare, Voting Rights Act
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Annise Parker will run for Harris County Judge
A long-expected announcement. A familiar face is planning a comeback to Houston’s political scene. Former Houston Mayor Annise Parker announced Wednesday that she will run for Harris County judge in 2026. Parker, who led Houston from 2010 to 2016 and … Continue reading
Tarrant county does mid-decade redistricting and gets sued over it
First there was this. The Tarrant County Commissioners Court could get a bigger conservative majority next year under a new map passed Tuesday. Republican Commissioners Manny Ramirez, Matt Krause and County Judge Tim O’Hare voted to adopt the map. Democratic … Continue reading
Posted in Legal matters, Show Business for Ugly People
Tagged Alisa Simmons, Beto O'Rourke, Colin Allred, Commissioners Court, County Judge, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2024, Election 2026, Joe Biden, lawsuit, Matt Krause, redistricting, SCOTUS, Tarrant County, Texas, Tim O'Hare, Voting Rights Act
1 Comment
Yes, the omnibus voter suppression law suppressed voting by mail
Cause, meet effect. Some county election officials across Texas say the number of people voting by mail has dropped since 2020, but they’re not sure why. New research suggests that the recent overhaul of state election laws could explain some … Continue reading
Posted in Show Business for Ugly People
Tagged absentee ballots, Brennan Center, Election 2022, Election 2024, primaries, Texas, The Lege, turnout, voter suppression
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