Tag Archives: Jasmine Crockett

More on the Crockett slate

Posted on September 28, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

Can confirm Letitia Plummer is on it. U.S. Rep. Jasmine Crockett has pledged for months to help Democrats this November by getting involved in lesser-publicized downballot races. The former U.S. Senate hopeful appears to now be making good on that … Continue reading →

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The Crockett slate

Posted on September 6, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

I wish them all well. U.S. Rep. Jasmine Crockett, D-Dallas, said she’s soon planning to endorse several Democratic candidates running for county judge and the Texas House, marking the first glimpse of her avowed plans to campaign for down-ballot nominees … Continue reading →

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TSU poll: Talarico 47, Paxton 45

Posted on August 5, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

That’s the headline, but this is the bulk of the story. Fewer than one in 10 Black voters in Texas say they are less likely to vote in November’s midterm elections due to U.S. Rep. Jasmine Crockett’s defeat in the … Continue reading →

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Talarico’s path to victory

Posted on May 29, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

Here’s the pitch. In the end, James Talarico and Democrats got the matchup they had been salivating over for months. Within two hours of Ken Paxton’s GOP primary win on Tuesday, Talarico had hauled in $600,000 — the strongest two … Continue reading →

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April 2026 campaign finance reports: Senate and Congress

Posted on April 19, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

We are now past the primary, so we have whittled down the field a bit and gotten a better idea about how some of the candidates that we hope will be strong challengers are doing with fundraising. The January 2026 … Continue reading →

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Talarico reports $27 million raised in Q1

Posted on April 17, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

Wow. State Rep. James Talarico raised $27 million in the first three months of 2026 in his bid to flip Texas, according to his campaign. The Austin Democrat’s haul is the largest-ever sum for a Senate candidate — in any … Continue reading →

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First post-primary poll

Posted on March 10, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

A good start. A PPP poll commissioned by Senate Majority PAC found “no meaningful difference in electability” between Sen. John Cornyn (R-Texas) and Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton in a general election matchup against Democratic state Rep. James Talarico. It’s notable to us that Senate Democrats are pushing … Continue reading →

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A followup on turnout and early voting preference

Posted on March 9, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

Just a couple of followup items for things we discussed during early voting, now that we have more complete data. The first was about how much of the vote would be cast early, and whether Republicans were waiting until Election … Continue reading →

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Trib analysis of how Talarico beat Crockett

Posted on March 7, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

Interesting stuff. When U.S. Rep. Jasmine Crockett jumped into the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate in Texas, she was the immediate frontrunner. Widely known and beloved by Democratic voters, Crockett had a record of strong fundraising in the U.S. House … Continue reading →

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Initial thoughts on the 2026 primaries

Posted on March 5, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

We don’t have full turnout numbers yet, but as of Wednesday some 363,826 votes were cast in the Democratic primary for Senate in Harris County, while there were 197,389 votes cast on the Republican side. About 140K votes were cast … Continue reading →

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A few followup items from Tuesday

Posted on March 5, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

This is officially my favorite story from the primaries. Texas congressional candidate Vince Shlomi, known as the “ShamWow guy,” is suing the Republican Party of Texas, accusing it of “rigging” the primary after he says the party removed his nickname from the … Continue reading →

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2026 primary results: Statewide

Posted on March 4, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

We have to start with this: The Texas Supreme Court suspended a district court’s decision Tuesday to extend voting by two hours in Dallas County and ordered that any votes cast by people who got in line after 7 p.m. … Continue reading →

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On Republican meddling in the Democratic Senate primary

Posted on March 3, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

I have three things to say about this. The Democratic primary for U.S. Senate is closing with a fierce debate that has animated it from the start: Who would Republicans rather face in November? The leading candidates, U.S. Rep. Jasmine Crockett … Continue reading →

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A statewide comparison

Posted on March 2, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

I mentioned this yesterday, so here it is. I decided to look at the most recent early voting turnout numbers I could find for the counties, and then compare them to the final turnout numbers from the 2022 election. I’ll … Continue reading →

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A history of early voting turnout in the primaries

Posted on March 1, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

Early voting is over. We’ve already discussed the final EV totals, but there was something of note that I didn’t mention yesterday that I want to comment on today: Year Mail Early Total ===================================== 2018 Dem 22,695 70,152 92,847 2018 … Continue reading →

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Final 2026 early voting report: That was something

Posted on February 28, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

Yesterday, the last day for early voting, was huge: Over 77K votes cast, with 51K of them being on the Democratic side. I didn’t get the report until almost midnight last night, and so didn’t finish this post until this … Continue reading →

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Two polls favorable to Talarico

Posted on February 28, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

After I published Thursday’s post about the February UT/Texas Politics Project poll that showed Rep. Jasmine Crockett leading Rep. James Talarico by a 56-44 margin in the Democratic primary for US Senate, I got a comment on Facebook saying a … Continue reading →

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UT/Texas Politics Project: Crockett 56, Talarico 44

Posted on February 26, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

Adding it to the poll pile. Dallas U.S. Rep. Jasmine Crockett has a double-digit lead over Austin state Rep. James Talarico in the final days of Texas’ Senate Democratic primary, according to a new poll released Wednesday. In the survey, … Continue reading →

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UH/Hobby poll: Parker 46, Plummer 25

Posted on February 19, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

I’m going to take the easy way out on this one and just point you to the source. In the Democratic primary for the position of County Judge of Harris County, Annise Parker leads Letitia Plummer among likely voters by … Continue reading →

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A few primary resources for you

Posted on February 18, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

Early voting is underway, and there are a lot of races to think about. If you’re still pondering some of them, here are a few guides to help you along the way. You can find all of the Houston Chronicle’s … Continue reading →

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UH/Hobby primary poll: Crockett and Paxton lead

Posted on February 11, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

Make of it what you will. Republican Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton and Democratic U.S. Rep. Jasmine Crockett are leading their respective Senate primary races, according to new public polling released Monday, just over a week before the start of … Continue reading →

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January 2026 campaign finance reports: Senate and Congress

Posted on February 8, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

PREVIOUSLY: Harris County Houston We’re heading into the primary with some wind at our backs. We’ve still got a large field of candidates to follow, but that will get whittled down for April and again for July. The October 2025 … Continue reading →

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Endorsement watch: Chron goes full stathead for Talarico

Posted on February 4, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

Someone on the Chron editorial board is a big baseball fan, because they go right to stats analogies to endorse James Talarico in the Democratic primary for US Senate. If you want to understand why we recommend state Rep. James … Continue reading →

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TPOR primary poll: Crockett 38, Talarico 37

Posted on January 31, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

Add it to the pile. Texas Public Opinion Research (TPOR), a nonpartisan public opinion initiative that examines what Texans believe and the policies they support, today released a new poll focused on the 2026 Democratic Senate primary race between U.S. … Continue reading →

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Of course Republicans have a big financial edge in the statewide races

Posted on January 20, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

What did you expect? Republicans running for state-level offices in Texas vastly outraised their Democratic counterparts in the second half of 2025, raising questions about whether the minority party’s statewide nominees will have enough resources to seize on what is … Continue reading →

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Emerson primary poll: Talarico 47, Crockett 38

Posted on January 17, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

Noted for the record. A new poll of Texas’ Senate primaries shows state Rep. James Talarico leading U.S. Rep. Jasmine Crockett by 9 percentage points among likely Democratic voters, marking a significant shift from a December survey that found Crockett … Continue reading →

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Did the NRSC astroturf Crockett?

Posted on December 13, 2025 by Charles Kuffner

From The Downballot: The National Republican Senatorial Committee waged what one unnamed operative called an “AstroTurf recruitment process” to convince Democratic Rep. Jasmine Crockett to run for the Senate, NOTUS’ Reese Gorman reports. This effort began this summer when the … Continue reading →

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Deadline Day roundup, part 2

Posted on December 10, 2025 by Charles Kuffner

Part 1 is here. So far I haven’t found much that wasn’t known at deadline time. It’s an odd year for there to be so few true last-minute surprises, but here we are. A few items to note: – There’s … Continue reading →

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Deadline Day roundup, part 1

Posted on December 9, 2025 by Charles Kuffner

I’m putting Part 1 in the headline because there’s always some delays between filings at county headquarters and what you can see on the SOS candidate filings page. I was waiting on the Jasmine Crockett announcement as I began this, … Continue reading →

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Rep. Jasmine Crockett to run for Senate

Posted on December 9, 2025 by Charles Kuffner

As expected by this point. U.S. Rep. Jasmine Crockett, D-Dallas, on Monday filed to run for U.S. Senate, scrambling the Democratic field after teasing her potential entry for months. Crockett, a second-term congresswoman, has skyrocketed to fame through viral spats … Continue reading →

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Is Jasmine Crockett running for Senate?

Posted on December 3, 2025 by Charles Kuffner

Maybe. Possibly even probably. She’ll let us know on Monday. U.S. Rep. Jasmine Crockett, D-Dallas, appears to be inching closer to a U.S. Senate bid, scheduling a “special announcement” for Monday. Crockett, a second-term representative with a large national social … Continue reading →

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So who might be running for what now?

Posted on November 20, 2025 by Charles Kuffner

There’s a scramble going on, that’s for sure. In August, when the Texas Legislature passed a new congressional map intended to yield five additional seats for the GOP, a mass of Republicans stepped forward to run in the newly gerrymandered … Continue reading →

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Federal court blocks Texas mid-decade gerrymander

Posted on November 19, 2025 by Charles Kuffner

Wow. Texas cannot use its new congressional map for the 2026 election and will instead need to stick with the lines passed in 2021, a three-judge panel ruled Tuesday. The decision is a major blow for Republicans, in Texas and … Continue reading →

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October 2025 campaign finance reports – Senate and Congress (Not CD18)

Posted on October 20, 2025 by Charles Kuffner

I’m doing this one a little differently, for two reasons. One is that I want to include non-Democratic candidates in the CD18 special election, just so we’re all on the same page. And two, as of this past weekend when … Continue reading →

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