Via Rawhide at PinkDome, it’s 169,000 signatures for Kinky Friedman. That should be more than enough to ensure his place on the ballot, and more than enough to nullify any crackpot theories about what kind of signature verification helps or hurts whom.
Karl-T projects a final vote tally based on primary turnout, extended to include petitions as primary proxies. Like him, I think that’s an unreliable measure, but what the heck. I’m still not convinced that turnout this year will be unusual for a non-Presidential year – for sure, it ain’t gonna be fifty-eight percent – but I will not be surprised if it’s a bit elevated. It’ll be interesting to sift through all the data afterwards, that’s for sure, and I don’t envy any pollster the task of determining a likely voter model. My hope is that we get enough polls from different sources to give us as full a picture of what’s happening as possible. The rest will be guesswork and wishful thinking.