Here’s the video from a story Miya Shay did on Thursday:
I’d argue that Jim Henley was a serious challenger to Culberson in 2006, but obviously Henley didn’t have Skelly’s fundraising capacity. Believe me, that makes a difference.
You can pretty much see Culberson’s entire campaign in this story. It’s going to be one part “I widened I-10 for you!” and one part “Vote for me or the Democrats will take over Harris County and maybe the world!” Miya commented on this on her blog:
One interesting note about Culberson, he is telling supporters that this is one of the toughest races he’ll face. In addition to an interesting letter to supporters online, he told me yesterday that he sees the District 7 race as a “Firewall” for county wide Republicans. “I believe that if we don’t get my re-election numbers into the 60s percentage, then every Republican in Harris County could lose.” Culberson says that’s why the Democratic party is running such a rich guy, basically to beat him down.. and bring the Repub party along. In essence, he says he can still win his seat, while Harris County Repubs lose all of theirs. He also says that if his winning percentage isn’t high enough, John Cornyn could lose his Senate seat. So basically, in his view, the survival of the Republican ticket depends on re-electing him… and thus, donating money to make him competitive against Skelly.
That is a pretty neat trick, setting himself up as The Most Important Candidate In The County, which naturally means all good Republicans should give him money and work for his re-election. Note too that Culberson is setting the bar a lot higher for himself than what Jared Woodfill thinks he’s going to clear. I’m thinking a little message coordination might be in order here.
One more thing from Miya:
Skelly is expected to report at least $750,000 cash on hand, and Culberson is targeting at least $260,000.
As we know from the February reports, Skelly had a 5-1 cash-on-hand advantage, showing $400K to Culberson’s $80K. If both make the numbers Miya mentions – and note that Skelly “expects” $750K while Culberson is “targeting” – hoping for – $260K – that still means Skelly doubled him up ($350,000 to $180,000) for this period, again in COH. I’m liking the trends so far.