Quinnipiac: Cruz 50, O’Rourke 39

Quinnipiac giveth, Quinnipiac taketh away.

Rep. Beto O’Rourke

U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz has some breathing space from U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke, according to a new poll released by Quinnipiac University on Wednesday.

In the banner statewide race in the state, the new survey showed Cruz had an 11 point lead over O’Rourke. Fifty percent of Texans backed Cruz while 39 percent supported O’Rourke in the coming U.S. Senate race in the fall.

An April poll from the same outfit showed the race “too close to call.” But now, at the dawn of the general election, Cruz in a stronger position than what Quinnipiac’s April survey conveyed.

In this new poll, Cruz is nearly universally known within the state. Forty-nine of Texans polled viewed him positively while 38 percent had an unfavorable opinion of him.


Quinnipiac also looked at the gubernatorial race. The survey showed the newly-minted Democratic nominee, former Dallas County Sheriff Lupe Valdez trailing Republican Gov. Greg Abbott with 34 percent to 53 percent.

See here for the previous result. As I said then, we don’t have enough data yet to know if one or the other of these is an outlier. I don’t buy that there was a significant shift in opinion in the last month or so – what would even have caused that? – but it does seem like the sample from one poll was friendlier to O’Rourke in one and to Cruz in the other. For witness to that, compare the Trump approval rating from April (43% approve, 52% disapprove) to May (47% approve, 47% disapprove). I’ll say again, that’s the main story of each of these polls. As Trump’s national numbers have been fairly stable over the past months, there’s no reason to think this is indicative of anything. If Quinnipiac is going to continue to produce a new poll every six weeks or so, great! That will help tell the story a bit better; if other pollsters join in, even better. For now, take this poll like you should have taken the previous one, as another data point. The picture isn’t clear enough yet to tell us more than that.

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8 Responses to Quinnipiac: Cruz 50, O’Rourke 39

  1. Manny Barrera says:

    Beto will win, no survey will ask those voters that have never voted before and almost without exception they will vote to oust the Russian loving traitors, that would almost be all Republicans.

  2. C.L. says:

    Sounds like the insurmountable lead Clinton had over the Cheeto.

  3. Bill Daniels says:


    You wanna put your money where your mouth is? $100 to your favorite charity if Beto wins, and I’ll be glad to have you donate $ 100 to the Special Pals animal shelter on Greenhouse Rd. when Cruz is re-elected.

    I’m thinking the loser should also buy a couple of drinks for the winner and any OTK’ers who want to bear witness to the bet being settled? Deal?

  4. Manny Barrera says:

    I prefer to give money to Beto and I don’t gamble. For all I know the election will be stolen and hundreds of thousands of racists will be bused in from Kansas and Oklahoma to vote Republican.

  5. C.L. says:

    I’d postulate all money given to politicians is gambling at this point.

  6. Manny Barrera says:

    No C.L. I am not asking nor seeking anything other than people that care about this country and the average working men and women. So it is not a gamble, if it is then so is voting.

    When you gamble you expect to get more than what you gambled. Besides if I were to gamble I would expect to be given odds.

    But there are too many variables, but their is one big orangutan that is in the equation, the Russian cheeto. The Russian puppet today may have started a trade war that could sink the economy including Texas. In July there is an election in Mexico right now it looks that a Mexican type Trump will win. Cruz thus far has been kissing the cheeto’s behind so we will see. It is early in the campaign season. The fact that Cruz may go one on one with Kimmel tells me that his polls may show the race closer than Cruz would like. Gasoline could be $4 by November it was $2.14 when Obama left.


  7. Manny Barrera says:

    there is

  8. Pingback: PPP: Cruz 48, O’Rourke 42 – Off the Kuff

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