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Early voting, Day 8: On to Week 2

Here are the totals for Monday, and here are the daily totals from 2010, from 2014, and from 2016, as well as a spreadsheet with totals from 2004, 2008, 2012, and 2016. The running tallies:

Year    Mail    Early    Total
2010  42,795  214,778  257,573
2014  57,929  163,275  221,204
2018  78,590  494,712  573,302

2008  46,085  376,761  422,846
2012  57,031  429,186  486,217
2016  85,120  555,383  640,503

The in person total yesterday was roughly what it was on Friday, which is to say on the high end for Week 1 but not a step up. My guess is that today and Wednesday will be similar, Thursday will be about the same or a bit higher, and Friday as per usual will be the busiest day, maybe fifty percent or so higher than the totals we’ve seen so far. Again, roughly speaking, that puts us in range for 850K to 900K for the early voting period, perhaps a bit more than the “45% in the first five days” scenario I outlined here. Could still be more, likely won’t be less. We’ll all then guess what next Tuesday’s turnout will be. Have you voted yet? If not, when do you plan to hit the polls?

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  1. Manny Barrera says:

    This has nothing to do with the post.

    In a Republican blog one could find the following;

    “Trump is even being accused of anti-Semitism because he calls out George Soreass by name on the campaign trail.”

    A poster to the blog then responds,

    “Thnaks for setting the record straight, for bringing facts to the rhetoric, and for doing it with civility!”

    That is civility the Republican way, Soreass instead of Soros.


  2. BillK says:

    From this morning’s Chronicle article on Early Voting, “People whose voting records provide no clue of their party affiliation cast 27.8 percent of the ballots in the 15 most populous counties in Texas, according to the analysis by Republican consultant Derek Ryan.” Is this an unusual large number of unaffiliated voters? If it is, I wonder if the polling LV models are not representative of this election

  3. mollusk says:

    There was actually a line at Moody Park. There’s never a line at Moody Park.

  4. Mainstream says:

    At a luncheon today, panelists reported that most (68%) early voters also voted in the midterms of 2010 and 2014, that about 20% of past general election voters have shifted to early voting, and that voters under 40 are at higher levels than typical for a midterm. Unknown is how many young voters will cast a ballot for the US Senate contest, and skip the judges and other positions.

  5. Manny Barrera says:

    What kinda of person has luncheon with panelist, Mainstream? Is your Republican position at risk?

    Let me tell you what those panelist don’t know either, how many people voted for the same party as in 2010 and 2014. The fact that the numbers are almost like a presidential election indicates that Democrats will carry Harris County. There not that many racists or bigots in Harris county to keep electing racists and bigots, using the word that Kuff likes to use, HATERS.

    Like all rules not all Republicans are racists or bigots, there are exceptions. They are exceptions not the rule.