Let me start by saying that I began this post before Amanda Edwards became a candidate for Senate. I’m going to keep the AL4 race in here, in part to include Edwards’ June report totals, and in part because I’m just stubborn that way. I did add in the candidates who have jumped into AL4, so this is as up to date as I am. Feel free to tell me who I’ve missed.
As before, my look at the January 2019 finance reports for Houston candidates is here, and all of the finance reports that I have downloaded and reviewed are in this Google folder. Except for the reports that were filed non-electronically, which you can find here. Erik Manning’s invaluable spreadsheet remains my source for who’s in what race.
Dave Martin – District E
Sam Cleveland – District E
Ryan Lee – District E
Greg Travis – District G
Karla Cisneros – District H
Isabel Longoria – District H
Cynthia Reyes-Revilla – District H
Robert Gallegos – District I
Rick Gonzales – District I
Martha Castex-Tatum – District K
Mike Knox – At Large #1
Michelle Bonton – At Large #1
Georgia Provost – At Large #1
Raj Salhotra – At Large #1
David Robinson – At Large #2
Willie Davis – At Large #2
Emily Detoto – At Large #2
Michael Kubosh – At Large #3
Janaeya Carmouche – At Large #3
Marcel McClinton – At Large #3
Goku Sankar – At Large #3
Amanda Edwards – At Large #4
Christel Bastida – At Large #4
Tiko Reynolds-Hausman – At Large #4
Ericka McCrutcheon – At Large #4
Jason Rowe – At Large #4
Nick Hellyar – At Large #4
Letitia Plummer – At Large #4
Chris Brown – Controller
Amparo Gasca – Controller
Candidate Raised Spent Loan On Hand ==================================================== Martin 49,450 18,939 0 151,184 Cleveland Lee Travis 68,234 15,749 21,000 131,691 Cisneros 54,325 8,959 0 109,471 Longoria R-Revilla 19,408 1,859 0 17,130 Gallegos 65,100 25,016 0 145,090 Gonzales 400 3,627 3,510 400 C-Tatum 37,200 13,664 0 40,128 Knox 40,295 45,555 0 41,171 Bonton Provost Salhotra 220,377 30,340 0 178,539 Robinson 88,616 27,043 0 262,221 Davis 10,250 3,051 3,000 807 Detoto 2,600 2,660 500 439 Kubosh 43,875 20,319 276,000 122,870 Carmouche 8,950 5,397 1,000 3,706 McClinton 25,823 21,739 0 8,675 Sankar Edwards 73,807 42,179 0 192,791 Bastida 1,103 51 200 750 R-Hausman McCrutcheon 5,100 7,225 5,000 Rowe 0 0 0 0 Hellyar 37,017 34,446 0 20,501 Plummer 64,519 36,356 0 43,795 Brown 66,611 36,522 75,000 234,350 Gasca
I know Tiko Reynolds-Hausman and Isabel Longoria entered their races in July, so they have no reports yet. That may be true for some others as well, but if so I’m not aware of them.
Let’s get the easy ones out of the way first. Greg Travis and Martha Castex-Tatum don’t have opponents. Chris Brown, Dave Martin, and Robert Gallegos may as well not have them, either. I know, there’s still a few months to go before the election, but none of the purported challengers appear to be doing much. Heck, only Sam Cleveland even has a website, though Ryan Lee and Rick Gonzales do at least have Facebook pages. So yeah, nothing to see here.
David Robinson and Michael Kubosh have opponents who have been a bit more active – Willie Davis is a repeat candidate, having run in 2015 against Robinson – but so far don’t appear to pose too much of a threat.
The threat to Karla Cisneros is greater, and potentially severe. I’ve already seen a couple of signs for her opponents in my neighborhood, and while Isabel Longoria hasn’t had a chance to post a finance report yet, Cynthia Reyes-Revilla’s totals are OK. Not terrifying if you’re the incumbent, but not nothing. Keep this one in your back pocket, and we’ll revisit when the 30 day reports are posted.
Had Amanda Edwards decided to stay in Houston and run for re-election, I’d have grouped her with the not-really-challenged incumbents. With AL4 now an open seat, and the field likely to expand further (*checks the Manning spreadsheet one last time to make sure no one else has entered the race*), it’s also open in the sense that there’s no clear frontrunner. Nick Hellyar and Letitia Plummer, who had started out in other races, have the early fundraising lead, but not enough to present a significant obstacle. Hellyar has picked up multiple endorsements from current and former elected officials, which ought to boost his coffers, but we’ll see what that means in practice. We really don’t know anything about this race right now.
And then there’s At Large #1. If you knew nothing about this election and I told you that Raj Salhotra was the incumbent and Mike Know was a challenger, you’d believe me based on their numbers. I can’t recall the last time an incumbent was so thoroughly outclassed in this regard. That’s great for Salhotra, whose biggest challenge isn’t Knox as much as it is Georgia Provost, who nudged past four better-funded candidates as well as ultra-perennial candidate Griff Griffin to make it into the runoff in 2015. She’s going to get her share of votes, especially if the voters don’t know the other candidates on the ballot. Salhotra is well on his way to having the resources to run a sufficient citywide campaign and introduce himself to the electorate. In what should be a prelude to another runoff, he just needs to finish in the top two. So far, so good.
I’ll break up the open seat races into two or three more posts. Did I mention there were a crap-ton of candidates this year? Let me know what you think.