Tag Archives: Democratic primary

Not-quite-final Derek Ryan report

Posted on March 23, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

From the inbox: Turnout The numbers posted on the Secretary of State show that 2,165,744 people voted in the Republican Primary and 2,311,826 people voted in the Democratic Primary. Yes, more people voted in the Democratic Primary, 146,082 more to … Continue reading →

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From the “Don’t run if you don’t intend to try” department

Posted on March 23, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

This is all so dumb. Kelly Hall and his co-worker were playing the video game “Call of Duty” in the office of their Austin towing company, waiting for customers, when his friend turned his attention to another television. The election … Continue reading →

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Dallas County will get voting centers for Runoff Day

Posted on March 20, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

Hooray for small victories. But don’t expect more than that. Dallas County Republicans will agree to allow voters to cast ballots at countywide voting sites for the May 26 runoff election after a switch to precinct-based voting sites caused chaos, … Continue reading →

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Dallas Dems withdraw lawsuit over uncounted primary ballots

Posted on March 14, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

Let’s deal with the headline and then get into what it means. Primary ballots cast by Democratic voters in Dallas who got in line to vote after 7 p.m. won’t be tallied, after the county Democratic party Thursday withdrew a … Continue reading →

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Katy Padilla Stout

Posted on March 14, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

The Democratic candidate for CD23 is Katy Padilla Stout, who is now running against an unhinged gun-humping wacko and not the scandal-plagued moderate-ish incumbent. The massive 23rd Congressional District hasn’t been competitive for Democrats since it was redrawn after the … Continue reading →

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The “number of primary votes by Congressional district” metric

Posted on March 11, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

Noting this for the record. With the possible exception of U.S. Senate nominee James Talarico, the most relieved Democrats after Tuesday’s primary might be U.S. Reps. Henry Cuellar and Vicente Gonzalez of South Texas. Their relief has less to do … Continue reading →

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A followup on turnout and early voting preference

Posted on March 9, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

Just a couple of followup items for things we discussed during early voting, now that we have more complete data. The first was about how much of the vote would be cast early, and whether Republicans were waiting until Election … Continue reading →

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Trib analysis of how Talarico beat Crockett

Posted on March 7, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

Interesting stuff. When U.S. Rep. Jasmine Crockett jumped into the Democratic primary for U.S. Senate in Texas, she was the immediate frontrunner. Widely known and beloved by Democratic voters, Crockett had a record of strong fundraising in the U.S. House … Continue reading →

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Initial thoughts on the 2026 primaries

Posted on March 5, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

We don’t have full turnout numbers yet, but as of Wednesday some 363,826 votes were cast in the Democratic primary for Senate in Harris County, while there were 197,389 votes cast on the Republican side. About 140K votes were cast … Continue reading →

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A few followup items from Tuesday

Posted on March 5, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

This is officially my favorite story from the primaries. Texas congressional candidate Vince Shlomi, known as the “ShamWow guy,” is suing the Republican Party of Texas, accusing it of “rigging” the primary after he says the party removed his nickname from the … Continue reading →

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2026 primary results: Statewide

Posted on March 4, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

We have to start with this: The Texas Supreme Court suspended a district court’s decision Tuesday to extend voting by two hours in Dallas County and ordered that any votes cast by people who got in line after 7 p.m. … Continue reading →

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2026 primary results: Harris County

Posted on March 4, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

Going to bullet point this one, with updates to come later, as most Election Day votes are still out as I write this: – Christian Menefee and Al Green appear headed to a runoff in CD18. Menefee had a sizeable … Continue reading →

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On Republican meddling in the Democratic Senate primary

Posted on March 3, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

I have three things to say about this. The Democratic primary for U.S. Senate is closing with a fierce debate that has animated it from the start: Who would Republicans rather face in November? The leading candidates, U.S. Rep. Jasmine Crockett … Continue reading →

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Today is Primary Day

Posted on March 3, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

From the inbox: Today is Election Day for the March 3, 2026, Primary Elections, when Texas voters will decide which Republican and Democratic candidates advance to the November general election.  Texas is an open primary state, so voters do not … Continue reading →

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A statewide comparison

Posted on March 2, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

I mentioned this yesterday, so here it is. I decided to look at the most recent early voting turnout numbers I could find for the counties, and then compare them to the final turnout numbers from the 2022 election. I’ll … Continue reading →

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A history of early voting turnout in the primaries

Posted on March 1, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

Early voting is over. We’ve already discussed the final EV totals, but there was something of note that I didn’t mention yesterday that I want to comment on today: Year Mail Early Total ===================================== 2018 Dem 22,695 70,152 92,847 2018 … Continue reading →

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The Eastland County hand-counting situation

Posted on March 1, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

The other one to keep an eye on. Eastland County Republicans voted last fall to ditch electronic voting equipment and instead hand count all of their primary ballots. They’ll be using paper poll books to check in voters, and expect … Continue reading →

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Final 2026 early voting report: That was something

Posted on February 28, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

Yesterday, the last day for early voting, was huge: Over 77K votes cast, with 51K of them being on the Democratic side. I didn’t get the report until almost midnight last night, and so didn’t finish this post until this … Continue reading →

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Two polls favorable to Talarico

Posted on February 28, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

After I published Thursday’s post about the February UT/Texas Politics Project poll that showed Rep. Jasmine Crockett leading Rep. James Talarico by a 56-44 margin in the Democratic primary for US Senate, I got a comment on Facebook saying a … Continue reading →

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2026 primary early voting Day Ten: One more day to go

Posted on February 27, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

One more time from Derek Ryan. Turnout Comparison Based on the data I have, here is where things stand through Wednesday: -856,191 people have voted in the Republican Primary (4.6% of all registered voters). The Secretary of State is reporting … Continue reading →

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UT/Texas Politics Project: Crockett 56, Talarico 44

Posted on February 26, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

Adding it to the poll pile. Dallas U.S. Rep. Jasmine Crockett has a double-digit lead over Austin state Rep. James Talarico in the final days of Texas’ Senate Democratic primary, according to a new poll released Wednesday. In the survey, … Continue reading →

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2026 primary early voting Day Nine: Keep on keeping on

Posted on February 26, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

Here’s another Derek Ryan update. Turnout Comparison Based on the data I have, here is where things stand: -747,153 people have voted in the Republican Primary (4.0% of all registered voters). -865,385 people have voted in the Democratic Primary (4.6% … Continue reading →

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2026 primary early voting Day Eight: Beyond the point of comparison

Posted on February 25, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

We are eight days into early voting, past both of the Mondays that made daily comparisons to past elections a challenge, and you know what? It doesn’t matter anymore, because the early vote total in Harris County so far is … Continue reading →

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More deep dives on primary data

Posted on February 24, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

From Levi Asher: Everyone is talking about the massive early voting numbers in the Texas Democratic primary. Through Day 5, Harris County has already seen 76,555 Democratic ballots cast, more than double where we were at this point in 2024. … Continue reading →

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A closer look at the EV data so far

Posted on February 22, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

Derek Ryan is back with his analysis of the three-day EV numbers. Through the first three days of early voting (Tues – Thurs), I have been able to identify 303,095 people who have voted in the Republican Primary (1.6% turnout) … Continue reading →

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2026 primary early voting Day Three: With additional miscellany

Posted on February 20, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

We’ll start with the numbers and then go on to the items of interest. Here are the final daily EV reports for the 2022 and 2018 primaries. Here’s the Day Three EV report, and here are the numbers: Year Mail … Continue reading →

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An erratic look at Day One turnout in a few counties

Posted on February 19, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

I’d love to give you a full-ish look at Day One primary turnout around the state, but that data is harder to find than you might think. The current SOS interface for this is clunky and incomplete. You can be … Continue reading →

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UH/Hobby poll: Parker 46, Plummer 25

Posted on February 19, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

I’m going to take the easy way out on this one and just point you to the source. In the Democratic primary for the position of County Judge of Harris County, Annise Parker leads Letitia Plummer among likely voters by … Continue reading →

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2026 primary early voting Day One: And we’re off

Posted on February 18, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

At long last, we are voting for the 2026 primaries. I will do my thing with the numbers as we go. Let’s recap where we are and what we’re doing. Here are the final daily EV reports for the 2022 … Continue reading →

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A few primary resources for you

Posted on February 18, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

Early voting is underway, and there are a lot of races to think about. If you’re still pondering some of them, here are a few guides to help you along the way. You can find all of the Houston Chronicle’s … Continue reading →

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Interview with Rep. Sylvia Garcia

Posted on February 17, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

And here we are again with what I really do expect to be the last interview of the cycle. I’ll be back before we both know it with the District C special election and probably a couple of primary runoff … Continue reading →

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All of my primary interviews and judicial Q&As for the 2026 primary

Posted on February 17, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

All in one convenient location, sorted by what kind of race it is, including today’s bonus interview. Give a listen to the candidates of interest and pay attention to those judicial races. Also, too, as an added bonus, my pal … Continue reading →

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Judicial Q&A: Judge Brian Warren

Posted on February 17, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

(Note: As I have done in past elections, I am running a series of Q&As for judicial candidates in contested Democratic primaries. This is intended to help introduce the candidates and their experiences to those who plan to vote in … Continue reading →

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Interview with Marcos Vélez

Posted on February 16, 2026 by Charles Kuffner

I promised you another interview this week. It turns out I’ll have two, so look for the other tomorrow, but for today I have a conversation with Marcos Vélez, one of the Democratic candidates for Lieutenant Governor. I met him … Continue reading →

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