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- Polling Texas 2020- UT/Trib, Apr 25: Trump 49, Biden 44 - DT/PPP, Apr 29: Biden 47, Trump 46 - UT-Tyler/DMN, May 3: Trump 43, Biden 43 - Emerson, May 13: Trump 47, Biden 41 - Quinnipiac, June 3: Trump 44, Biden 43 - PPP, June 5: Trump 48, Biden 48 - PPP/PT, June 23: Trump 48, Biden 46 - Fox, June 25: Biden 45, Trump 44 - UT/Trib, July 2: Trump 48, Biden 44 - PPP/Emily’s List, July 2: Biden 48, Trump 46 - UT-Tyler/DMN, July 12: Biden 48, Trump 43 - CBSNews, July 12: Trump 46, Biden 45 - Quinnipiac, July 22: Biden 45, Trump 44 - Morning Consult, July 28: Biden 47, Trump 45 - Morning Consult, August 3: Biden 47, Trump 46 
- Polling Texas 2018WPA, Jan 5: Cruz 52, O'Rourke 34
 PPP, Jan 27: Cruz 45, O'Rourke 37
 Quinnipiac, April 19: Cruz 47, O'Rourke 44
 Quinnipiac, May 31: Cruz 50, O'Rourke 39
 PPP, June 8: Cruz 48, O'Rourke 42
 GQR, June 16: Cruz 49, O'Rourke 43
 CBS/YouGov, June 24: Cruz 44, O'Rourke 36
 UT/Trib, June 25: Cruz 41, O'Rourke 36
 Gravis, July 10: Cruz 51, O'Rourke 42
 Lyceum, July 31: Cruz 41, O'Rourke 39
 Quinnipiac, July 31: Cruz 49, O'Rourke 43
 PPP, August 2: Cruz 46, O'Rourke 42
 NBC News, August 23: Cruz 49, O'Rourke 45
 ECPS, August 27: Cruz 38, O'Rourke 37
 Crosswinds, September 12: Cruz 47, O'Rourke 44
 Quinnipiac, September 18 (LV): Cruz 54, O'Rourke 45
 Ipsos, September 19 (LV): O'Rourke 47, Cruz 45
- Polling Texas 2016Beatty, Jun 22: Trump 37, Clinton 30
 UT/TTP, Jun 27: Trump 41, Clinton 33
 KTVT/Dixie, Aug 11: Trump 46, Clinton 35
 PPP, Aug 16: Trump 44, Clinton 38
 WaPo-SurveyMonkey, Sep 6: Clinton 46, Trump 45
 ECPS, Sep 14: Trump 42, Clinton 36
 Texas Lyceum, Sep 15: Trump 39, Clinton 32
 YouGov, Oct 3: Trump 50,1, Clinton 41.5
 KTVT/Dixie, Oct 5: Trump 45, Clinton 38
 WFAA/SurveyUSA, Oct 14: Trump 47, Clinton 43
 UH Hobby Center, Oct 17: Trump 41, Clinton 38
 WaPo/SurveyMonkey, Oct 17: Trump 48, Clinton 46
 CBS/YouGov, Oct 23: Trump 46, Clinton 43
 Crosswind/Statesman, Oct 27: Trump 45, Clinton 38
 UT/TT, Oct 27: Trump 45, Clinton 42
 KTVT/Dixie Strategies, Nov 2: Trump 52, Clinton 39
 NBC/WSJ/Marist, Nov 3: Trump 49, Clinton 40
 ECPS, Nov 3: Trump 49, Clinton 34
 YouGov, Nov 5: Trump 50.3, Clinton 42.4
- Polling Texas 2014UT/TT, Nov 2013: Abbott 40, Davis 35, Glass 5
 PPP, Nov 2013: Abbott 50, Davis 35
 UT/TT, Feb 2014: Abbott 47, Davis 36
 ECPS, Mar 2014: Abbott 49, Davis 42
 Rasmussen, Mar 2014: Abbott 53, Davis 41
 PPP, Apr 2014: Abbott 51, Davis 37
 UT/TT, June 2014:Abbott 44, Davis 32
 YouGov, July 2014: Abbott 50, Davis 34
 Rasmussen, Aug 2014: Abbott 48, Davis 40
 YouGov, Sep 2014: Abbott 56, Davis 38
 Lyceum, Oct 2014: Abbott 49, Davis 40
 Rasmussen, Oct 2014: Abbott 51, Davis 40
 KHOU, Oct 2014: Abbott 47, Davis 32
 UT/TT, Oct 2014: Abbott 54, Davis 38
 YouGov, Oct 2014: Abbott 57, Davis 37
- Polling Texas 2012PPP April 26: Romney 50, Obama 43
 UT/TT May 22: Romney 46, Obama 38 (RV) - Romney 55, Obama 35 (LV)
 WPAOR Sep 13: Romney 55, Obama 40
 YouGov Sep 24: Romney 52, Obama 41
 Lyceum Oct 2: Romney 58, Obama 39
 YouGov Oct 17: Romney 55, Obama 41
 UT/TT Oct 29: Romney 55, Obama 39
 Baselice Oct 30: Romney 54, Obama 38
 YouGov Nov 3: Romney 57, Obama 38
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		Recent Posts- Fifth Circuit upholds Tarrant County redistricting map
- A brief Fort Worth ISD roundup
- Elon Musk once again makes a full self-driving promise
- A brief wrapup of the redistricting trial
- Ogg contempt hearing delayed again
- Michelin 2.0
- Texas blog roundup for the week of October 27
- Paxton sues over alleged Tylenol-autism link
- McLennan County joins the mid-decade redistricting trend
- Full Fifth Circuit to reconsider West Texas A&M drag ban
 
- Recent Comments- C.L. on Metro makes its excuses
- J on Metro makes its excuses
- Charles Kuffner on Weekend link dump for October 26
- C.L. on Metro makes its excuses
- mollusk on Metro makes its excuses
 
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- Polling Texas 2016- Beatty, Jun 22: Trump 37, Clinton 30 - UT/TTP, Jun 27: Trump 41, Clinton 33 - KTVT/Dixie, Aug 11: Trump 46, Clinton 35 - PPP, Aug 16: Trump 44, Clinton 38 - WaPo-SurveyMonkey, Sep 6: Clinton 46, Trump 45 - ECPS, Sep 14: Trump 42, Clinton 36 - Texas Lyceum, Sep 15: Trump 39, Clinton 32 - YouGov, Oct 3: Trump 50,1, Clinton 41.5 - KTVT/Dixie, Oct 5: Trump 45, Clinton 38 - WFAA/SurveyUSA, Oct 14: Trump 47, Clinton 43 - UH Hobby Center, Oct 17: Trump 41, Clinton 38 - WaPo/SurveyMonkey, Oct 17: Trump 48, Clinton 46 - CBS/YouGov, Oct 23: Trump 46, Clinton 43 - Crosswind/Statesman, Oct 27: Trump 45, Clinton 38 - UT/TT, Oct 27: Trump 45, Clinton 42 - KTVT/Dixie Strategies, Nov 2: Trump 52, Clinton 39 - NBC/WSJ/Marist, Nov 3: Trump 49, Clinton 40 - ECPS, Nov 3: Trump 49, Clinton 34 - YouGov, Nov 5: Trump 50,3, Clinton 42.4 
- Polling Texas 2014- UT/TT, Nov 2013: Abbott 40, Davis 35, Glass 5 - PPP, Nov 2013: Abbott 50, Davis 35 - UT/TT, Feb 2014: Abbott 47, Davis 36 - ECPS, Mar 2014: Abbott 49, Davis 42 - Rasmussen, Mar 2014: Abbott 53, Davis 41 - PPP, Apr 2014: Abbott 51, Davis 37 - UT/TT, June 2014:Abbott 44, Davis 32 - YouGov, July 2014: Abbott 50, Davis 34 - Rasmussen, Aug 2014: Abbott 48, Davis 40 - YouGov, Sep 2014: Abbott 56, Davis 38 - Lyceum, Oct 2014: Abbott 49, Davis 40 - Rasmussen, Oct 2014: Abbott 51, Davis 40 - KHOU, Oct 2014: Abbott 47, Davis 32 - UT/TT, Oct 2014: Abbott 54, Davis 38 - YouGov, Oct 2014: Abbott 57, Davis 37 
- Polling Texas 2012- PPP April 26: Romney 50, Obama 43 - UT/TT May 22: Romney 46, Obama 38 (RV) - Romney 55, Obama 35 (LV) - WPAOR Sep 13: Romney 55, Obama 40 - YouGov Sep 24: Romney 52, Obama 41 - Lyceum Oct 2: Romney 58, Obama 39 - YouGov Oct 17: Romney 55, Obama 41 - UT/TT Oct 29: Romney 55, Obama 39 - Baselice Oct 30: Romney 54, Obama 38 - YouGov Nov 3: Romney 57, Obama 38 
- My Linkage
- Recent Comments- C.L. on Metro makes its excuses
- J on Metro makes its excuses
- Charles Kuffner on Weekend link dump for October 26
- C.L. on Metro makes its excuses
- mollusk on Metro makes its excuses
- J on Metro makes its excuses
- Mainstream on Dems have a statewide judicial slate
- need the uplift on Weekend link dump for October 26
- Kibitzer Curiae on Delving into the Paxton mysteries
- Souperman on Dems have a statewide judicial slate
- Adoile Turner III on Metro makes its excuses
- Mainstream on Dems have a statewide judicial slate
- Jeff N. on Dems have a statewide judicial slate
- Ken on Metro makes its excuses
- Sandra G Moore on Metro makes its excuses
 
- 
		Recent Posts- Fifth Circuit upholds Tarrant County redistricting map
- A brief Fort Worth ISD roundup
- Elon Musk once again makes a full self-driving promise
- A brief wrapup of the redistricting trial
- Ogg contempt hearing delayed again
- Michelin 2.0
- Texas blog roundup for the week of October 27
- Paxton sues over alleged Tylenol-autism link
- McLennan County joins the mid-decade redistricting trend
- Full Fifth Circuit to reconsider West Texas A&M drag ban
- Sen. Eckhardt will run for CD10
- Paxton chases a doctor out of state
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- Will Fort Worth ISD get to keep its Superintendent?
 
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Tag Archives: straight ticket voting
Judicial undervotes 2024
One brief comment on this Houston Landing story about undervoting, and then I will have some numbers for you. Tens of thousands of Harris County residents stopped voting well short of the end of their Nov. 5 ballots, skipping dozens … Continue reading
What will it take to keep those ten appellate court benches we won in 2018?
As you may recall, Democrats won a ton of Appellate Court races in 2018. Ten of them, in fact, five each on the First and Fourteenth Courts of Appeals, the first such victories since winning a lone bench in 2008. … Continue reading
Precinct analysis: The different kinds of courts
PREVIOUSLY Beto versus Abbott Beto versus the spread Hidalgo versus Mealer Better statewide races Not as good statewide races County executive offices Houston/not Houston I’ve spent a lot of time and space on this blog talking about judicial races and … Continue reading
Precinct analysis: County executive offices
PREVIOUSLY Beto versus Abbott Beto versus the spread Hidalgo versus Mealer Better statewide races Not as good statewide races County races appear towards the bottom of the ballot, after all of the federal and state races. With the exception of … Continue reading
State and county election result relationships, part 3: Other county races
Part One Part Two Last time we looked at judicial races, which for all of the complaints about not knowing the candidates and just going by partisan labels have produced a consistent range of outcomes over the years. Some people … Continue reading
A trifecta of crap from the Fifth Circuit
It’s what they do. A federal appeals court has ruled for Texas in three lawsuits challenging the state’s voting laws, including mail-in ballot provisions and the elimination of straight-ticket voting. In a series of 2-1 rulings Wednesday evening, a panel … Continue reading
Precinct analysis: Fort Bend County, part 1
Introduction Congressional districts State Rep districts Commissioners Court/JP precincts Comparing 2012 and 2016 Statewide judicial Other jurisdictions Appellate courts, Part 1 Appellate courts, Part 2 Judicial averages Other cities District Attorney County Attorney Sheriff Tax Assessor County Clerk HCDE I’ve … Continue reading
Precinct analysis: The judicial averages
Introduction Congressional districts State Rep districts Commissioners Court/JP precincts Comparing 2012 and 2016 Statewide judicial Other jurisdictions Appellate courts, Part 1 Appellate courts, Part 2 As you know, I use the average totals and percentages from local judicial races as … Continue reading
Precinct analysis: Appellate courts, part 2
Introduction Congressional districts State Rep districts Commissioners Court/JP precincts Comparing 2012 and 2016 Statewide judicial Other jurisdictions Appellate courts, Part 1 Here’s the more traditional look at the Court of Appeals races. Unlike the Supreme Court and CCA, all of … Continue reading
Please stop with the straight ticket voting anecdotes
Either bring me some real data or leave these just so stories alone. Judging from Donald Trump’s unpopularity in Dallas County, Morgan Meyer and Angie Chen Button should have been doomed this November. Meyer and Button are the only two … Continue reading
Initial thoughts about the election
And now for some reactions and analysis… – The polls were garbage. Oy vey. Not just here, though they were definitely off here, underestimating Trump and the Republicans after doing the same to Beto and the Dems in 2018. This … Continue reading
Omnibus Election Day post
I was up really late last night, and there’s still a lot of votes to be counted. The SOS website was mostly trash, but a lot of county election sites took their sweet, sweet time even reporting any Election Day … Continue reading
A focus on the SCOTX races
With so much litigation over a variety of voting issues, the Supreme Court of Texas is in the news a lot these days. Will that mean more attention being paid to the four races for SCOTX positions? The sleepy contests … Continue reading
Bloomberg drops some money in the RRC race
I have four things to say about this. Billionaire Michael Bloomberg has made a late donation of $2.6 million to the Democratic nominee for railroad commissioner, Chrysta Castañeda, providing a massive fundraising boost in a race for the oil and … Continue reading
November 2020 Early Voting Day Five: How not to look at the early voting totals
From Twitter on Friday: . Biden needs a rout in Harris County (#Houston) to have any chance of winning TX. We’ve had 3 days of record-shattering turnout and by tonight may have 500k votes. But so far, Biden probably isn’t … Continue reading
How many undervotes would it take?
This story about the race for County Clerk has broken me. [Stan] Stanart has finished in line with the Republican straight-ticket vote in each of his three elections, winning the clerk seat in 2010 with 53 percent of the vote … Continue reading
Lawsuit filed over Abbott’s order to limit mail ballot dropoff locations
As expected. Voting rights advocates and civic groups have rushed to the courthouse in a bid to block Republican Gov. Greg Abbott’s Oct. 1 order allowing Texas counties no more than one drop-off location for voters casting absentee ballots, calling … Continue reading
And straight ticket voting is off again
No surprise, but boy are we all getting whiplash over here. Texas voters will not be able to select every candidate of a major political party with one punch, a federal appeals court ruled Wednesday, upholding a 2017 state law … Continue reading
Of course the Fifth Circuit paused the straight ticket voting ruling
Water is wet, the sky is blue, the Fifth Circuit gives Ken Paxton whatever he asks. A federal appeals court on Monday put a temporary hold on a lower court’s ruling last week that reinstated the practice of straight-ticket voting, … Continue reading
Paxton appeals stright ticket voting ruling
Letting no moss grow. The Texas Attorney General’s office filed an appeal and motion to stay Saturday following a federal judge’s order to reinstate straight ticket voting ahead of the November general election. Lawyers representing the Texas Secretary of State … Continue reading
Straight ticket voting reinstated (for now)
That was unexpected. Less than three weeks before early voting begins in Texas, a U.S. district judge has blocked the state from eliminating straight-ticket voting as an option for people who go to the polls this November. In a ruling … Continue reading
Let’s not overstate the no-straight-ticket effect
With all due respect, this is some ado about not very much. With straight-ticket voting no longer an option in 2020, the Harris County Clerk estimates the average resident will spend a significantly longer time in the voting booth this … Continue reading
Don’t expect any surprises in the judicial races
There’s a simple reason why the Democratic candidates and incumbents are expected to win all the judicial races in Harris County, as they did in 2016 and 2018. I’ll tell you why in a minute, but see if you can … Continue reading
Politico profile of Lina Hidalgo
Good stuff. In late April, Lina Hidalgo stood at a microphone in the Harris County emergency operations center in Houston and pushed up the teal fabric face mask that had slipped off her nose. Her voice was slightly muffled as … Continue reading
Straight ticket voting lawsuit tossed
Not a big surprise. A federal judge on Wednesday threw out Democrats’ effort to reinstate the straight-ticket voting option in Texas. Siding with the state, U.S. District Judge Marina Garcia Marmolejo found that Democrats lacked standing to challenge Texas Republicans’ … Continue reading
Lawsuit filed over straight ticket voting ban
Lots of litigation lately. In a federal lawsuit filed Thursday in Laredo, the Texas Democratic Party — joined by the chair of the Webb County Democratic Party and the Democratic campaign arms of the U.S. Senate and House — claims … Continue reading
That’s a weird definition of “thriving”
I have three things to say about this. Surrounded by fellow Libertarians during a 2018 election night watch party at a rented Airbnb in Fort Worth, Eric Espinoza, who was running for state Rep. Jonathan Stickland’s seat, saw a Facebook … Continue reading
Texas GOP accidentally releases its 2020 strategy
Oops. In a bizarre political blunder, a document laying out the Republican Party of Texas’s election strategy for the 2020 elections has ended up in the hands of Texas Democrats. Attacking Democratic candidates through websites and mitigating “the polarizing nature” … Continue reading
The Harris County GOP thinks it can come back in 2020
They’re so adorable. Once a rock of Republican politics in Texas, Harris County has become nothing short of a nightmare for the GOP over the last four years as Hillary Clinton and Beto O’Rourke carried the county and Democrats dominated … Continue reading
We talk once again about straight ticket voting
We have a new study, so we have a new reason. The state’s decision to kill straight-ticket voting could cut turnout in down-ballot races in the 2020 elections — even if more voters show up to the polls. Sure, those … Continue reading
TCRP report on Texas election administration problems
From the inbox: Today the Texas Civil Rights Project (“TCRP”) released a report—utilizing data from the largest non-partisan Election Protection effort in the state, provisional ballot data, as well as publicly available information—to analyze the the long-standing failures in Texas … Continue reading
Time again to talk judicial elections
Here we go again, like it or not. In the wake of a midterm election that swept some 20 Republican appellate judges out of office, Texas Supreme Court Chief Justice Nathan Hecht called on the Texas Legislature to reform a … Continue reading
Precinct analysis: The county candidates
Let’s just dive right in and have a look at the countywide candidates, shall we? Dist Emmett Hidalgo Gatlin Under Emmett% Hidalgo% Gatlin% ============================================================== CD02 150,630 103,625 5,842 5,005 57.91% 39.84% 2.25% CD07 135,016 100,412 4,967 4,819 56.16% 41.77% 2.07% … Continue reading
