Tag Archives: Senate

Precinct analysis: Other jurisdictions

Posted on December 21, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction Congressional districts State Rep districts Commissioners Court/JP precincts Comparing 2012 and 2016 Statewide judicial You may be wondering “Hey, how come you haven’t reported on data from SBOE and State Senate districts?” Well, I’ll tell you, since the SBOE … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Adrian Garcia, Audrey Young, Barack Obama, Beto O'Rourke, Court of Criminal Appeals, Dan Patrick, David Romero, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, Houston, Joe Biden, judicial races, Lawrence Allen, Michelle Palmer, Paul Bettencourt, precinct analysis, President, Railroad Commission, redistricting, SBOE, SD07, SD17, Senate, Supreme Court, Texas | 5 Comments

Springer defeats Luther in SD30

Posted on December 20, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Congratulations. State Rep. Drew Springer of Muenster prevailed over fellow Republican Shelley Luther in a special election runoff for a state Senate seat that was animated by Gov. Greg Abbott and his handling of the coronavirus pandemic. Luther is the … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Drew Springer, Election 2020, endorsements, Greg Abbott, HD68, Pat Fallon, runoff, SD30, Senate, Shelley Luther, special election, Texas, The Lege | 1 Comment

It’s runoff day in SD30

Posted on December 19, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Truly the final election of 2020. Gov. Greg Abbott stayed out of the September special election for a Texas state Senate seat in rural North Texas, content to let his coronavirus response become a flashpoint between two members of his … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged coronavirus, Drew Springer, Election 2020, endorsements, Greg Abbott, Pat Fallon, runoff, SD30, Senate, Shelley Luther, special election, Texas | 2 Comments

The Lege will start out with masks

Posted on December 17, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

We’ll see how it goes from there. People attending the opening day of the 2021 legislative session will be required to wear a mask and asked to take a coronavirus test ahead of the event, the chair of the House … Continue reading →

Posted in That's our Lege | Tagged Briscoe Cain, Charlie Geren, coronavirus, Election 2020, face masks, Senate, Texas, The Lege | Comments Off

Precinct analysis: Comparing to 2012 and 2016

Posted on December 14, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction Congressional districts State Rep districts Commissioners Court/JP precincts I had meant to get to this last week, but SeditionPalooza took up too much of my time, so here we are. The intent of this post is to compare vote … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Barack Obama, Christi Craddick, Chrysta Castaneda, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Eva Guzman, Harris County, HD126, HD127, HD128, HD129, HD130, HD131, HD132, HD133, HD134, HD135, HD137, HD138, HD139, HD140, HD141, HD142, HD143, HD144, HD145, HD146, HD147, HD148, HD149, HD150, Hillary Clinton, Jim Wright, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, Mitt Romney, MJ Hegar, Paul Sadler, precinct analysis, President, Railroad Commission, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, The Lege, turnout, Wayne Christian | 4 Comments

Patrick will push to lower the Senate threshold for voting on bills

Posted on December 11, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Completely unsurprising, except that I’d have thought he’d go all the way. Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick announced Wednesday that he wants to lower the threshold of support legislation needs to make it on to the Senate floor to match the … Continue reading →

Posted in That's our Lege | Tagged Dan Patrick, Election 2020, Pete Flores, Roland Gutierrez, Senate, Texas, two thirds rule | 2 Comments

Precinct analysis: Commissioners Court and JP/Constable precincts

Posted on December 10, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction Congressional districts State Rep districts We now zoom in for a look at various county districts, which are also called “precincts”. I don’t know why we have County Commissioner precincts and JP/Constable precincts to go along with regular voting … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Adrian Garcia, Beto O'Rourke, Chrysta Castaneda, Commissioners Court, Constable, Donald Trump, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, Israel Garcia, Jack Morman, Jim Wright, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, Justice of the Peace, Laryssa Korduba, Mark Alan Harrison, MJ Hegar, precinct analysis, President, Railroad Commission, redistricting, Russ Ridgway, Senate, Ted Heap, Texas, Tom Ramsey | 2 Comments

Precinct analysis: State Rep districts

Posted on December 9, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction Congressional districts We move now to State Rep districts, which is my usual currency since they provide complete coverage of the county with no partial pieces. You can also get a much more nuanced view of how things have … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Chrysta Castaneda, Donald Trump, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, HD126, HD127, HD128, HD129, HD130, HD131, HD132, HD133, HD134, HD135, HD137, HD138, HD139, HD140, HD141, HD142, HD143, HD144, HD145, HD146, HD147, HD148, HD149, HD150, Hubert Vo, Jim Wright, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, Mary Ann Perez, MJ Hegar, precinct analysis, President, Railroad Commission, redistricting, Sarah Davis, Senate, Texas, The Lege | 3 Comments

Precinct analysis: Congressional districts

Posted on December 8, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction All right, let’s get this party started. In the past I’ve generally done the top races by themselves, but any race involving Trump provides challenges, because his level of support just varies in comparison to other Republicans depending on … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged CD02, CD07, CD08, CD09, CD10, CD18, CD22, CD29, CD36, Chrysta Castaneda, Congress, Dan Crenshaw, Donald Trump, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, Jim Wright, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, Lizzie FLetcher, Mike McCaul, MJ Hegar, precinct analysis, President, Railroad Commission, redistricting, Senate, Sheila Jackson Lee, Sima Ladjevardian, Sylvia Garcia, Texas, Wendell Champion, Wesley Hunt | 5 Comments

More about how the Lege will operate

Posted on December 8, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Still a lot of questions to be answered. As the latest discussions over how the Texas Legislature should operate during a pandemic continue to surface, Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick told members of the Texas Senate this week that people wishing … Continue reading →

Posted in That's our Lege | Tagged Charlie Geren, coronavirus, Dade Phelan, Dan Patrick, face masks, Senate, Texas, The Lege | 1 Comment

2020 precinct analysis: Introduction and overview

Posted on December 7, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

So I finally got a full canvass of the 2020 election in a nice and convenient spreadsheet form. I spent a fair amount of the Thanksgiving week doing what I usually do with it, to generate totals for all of … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2019 | Tagged Commissioners Court, Congress, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2020, Harris County, judicial races, precinct analysis, President, Railroad Commission, redistricting, SBOE, Senate, Supreme Court, Texas, The Lege | 8 Comments

Will we get redistricting hearings?

Posted on December 7, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Please? Voting groups in Texas want lawmakers to open up the state’s redistricting process to the public before they redraw political boundaries next year. Public hearings are aimed at giving communities input in the process. But since the pandemic, those … Continue reading →

Posted in That's our Lege | Tagged coronavirus, League of Women Voters, redistricting, Senate, Texas, The Lege, Voting Rights Act | 1 Comment

The bar conundrum

Posted on December 6, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Ugh. Halloween this year in downtown Austin was a raucous affair. Nightclubs advertised dancing and drink specials. Thousands of people crowded 6th Street, partying shoulder to shoulder, some with masks and some without. All of this happened as bars in … Continue reading →

Posted in The great state of Texas | Tagged bars, Congress, coronavirus, face masks, Greg Abbott, John Cornyn, local control, Mitch McConnell, quarantine, restaurants, Senate, TABC, Ted Cruz, Texas, Texas Medical Association, Texas Restaurant Association | 1 Comment

How is the Lege going to operate?

Posted on December 4, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

It’s going to be an interesting session. In the most detailed public glimpse yet at how the 2021 legislative session might play out during a pandemic, the chair of the committee that handles administrative operations in the Texas House told … Continue reading →

Posted in That's our Lege | Tagged Briscoe Cain, Charlie Geren, Constitution, coronavirus, Dade Phelan, Dan Patrick, Election 2020, face masks, Greg Abbott, Pete Flores, Senate, Texas, The Lege, two thirds rule | 1 Comment

So now we start to prep for redistricting

Posted on November 29, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

It’s gonna make for a long session, or more likely sessions. Wielding the map-drawing power will not be entirely painless for Republicans, who have seen their grip on dozens of state and federal districts erode since the last round of … Continue reading →

Posted in That's our Lege | Tagged Congress, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, filing deadline, HD102, HD105, HD107, HD108, HD112, HD113, HD114, HD115, HD121, HD126, HD132, HD134, HD135, HD136, HD138, HD26, HD43, HD45, HD47, HD54, HD65, HD67, HD92, HD93, HD94, HD96, HD97, HF64, lawsuit, Legislative Redistricting Board, primaries, redistricting, SBOE, Senate, special session, Texas, The Lege, Voting Rights Act | 5 Comments

Our nanny state and vote by mail applications

Posted on November 23, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Sen. Paul Bettencourt purses his lips and wags his finger and is very disappointed in your county government. Republican state lawmakers have filed bills to codify the Texas Supreme Court decision that blocked Harris County from sending mail ballot applications … Continue reading →

Posted in That's our Lege | Tagged absentee ballots, Bob Hall, Brandon Creighton, Brian Birdwell, Chris Hollins, coronavirus, Election 2020, Harris County Clerk, Kel Seliger, Paul Bettencourt, Senate, Supreme Court, Texas, The Lege, Valoree Swanson | 10 Comments

Beware color-coded county maps

Posted on November 22, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

I spotted this on Twitter the other day and it got me thinking: . Biden now leads by 3.86 points nationwide, per @Redistrict popular vote tracker, matching Obama’s 3.86 pt win in 2012. He’ll exceed it soon. They won by … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Barack Obama, Bastrop County, Caldwell County, Comal County, Donald Trump, Ector County, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2020, Harris County, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Johnson County, King County, Lubbock, Medina County, Midland County, Mitt Romney, Montgomery County, Parker County, President, Railroad Commission, Senate, Texas, turnout | Comments Off

Please stop with the straight ticket voting anecdotes

Posted on November 19, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Either bring me some real data or leave these just so stories alone. Judging from Donald Trump’s unpopularity in Dallas County, Morgan Meyer and Angie Chen Button should have been doomed this November. Meyer and Button are the only two … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Angie Chen Button, Ann Johnson, Beto O'Rourke, Brandy Chambers, Donald Trump, Eddie Morales, Election 2018, Election 2020, HD108, HD112, HD134, HD31, HD74, Joanna Cattanach, Joe Biden, Morgan Meyer, President, Ryan Guillen, Sarah Davis, Senate, straight ticket voting, Texas, The Lege | 3 Comments

A closer look at county races, Part 1

Posted on November 16, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

In this series of entries, I’m going to take a trip through the local election results pages on some counties of interest, to get a closer look at how they went this year and how that compares to 2016. We … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Bexar County, Carlos Uresti, CD31, Commissioners Court, Constable, Court of Criminal Appeals, Donald Trump, Donna Imam, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Eric Fagan, Falls County, Fort Bend County, Harris County, HD117, HD118, HD136, HD52, HD85, Hillary Clinton, James Talarico, Jennifer Cantu, Joe Biden, Joe Lopez, John Bucy, John Carter, John Cornyn, judicial races, Justice of the Peace, Larry Gonzales, Leo Pacheco, Mike Clark, Mike Gleason, MJ Hegar, Pete Flores, Phil Stephenson, Phillip Cortez, President, Railroad Commission, Rebecca Bell-Metereau, Richard Morrison, Robert Chody, Roland Gutierrez, SBOE, SD19, Senate, Sheriff, Supreme Court, Tarrant County, Texas, The Lege, Tomas Uresti, Tony Dale, Williamson County | 3 Comments

There’s a raft of pro-pot bills that have been filed so far

Posted on November 14, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

And one formidable obstacle to them all, in the form of Lt. Gov. Dan “One Million Dollars!” Patrick. Texas lawmakers set a record with over 60 marijuana-related bills in 2019 — and this year, they’ve already introduced 11 measures that … Continue reading →

Posted in That's our Lege | Tagged budget, coronavirus, Dan Patrick, Joe Moody, marijuana, Roland Gutierrez, sales taxes, Senate, Steve Toth, Texans for Responsible Marijuana Policy, Texas, Texas Highway Patrol, The Lege | 4 Comments

So how did my simple projection work out?

Posted on November 12, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Remember this? I divided the counties up by how much their voter rolls had grown or shrunk since 2012, then used the 2016 turnout levels and 2018 results to project final numbers for the Presidential election in 2020. Now that … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, The making of the President | Tagged Barack Obama, Beto O'Rourke, Brooks County, Comal County, Culberson County, Dimmit County, Donald Trump, Duval County, Ector County, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Ellis County, Frio County, Harris County, Hillary Clinton, Jefferson County, Jim Hogg County, Jim Wells County, Joe Biden, Kaufman County, Kleberg County, La Salle County, Lubbock, Midland County, Mitt Romney, Montgomery County, Parker County, precinct analysis, President, Presidio County, Randall County, Reeves County, Rockwall County, Senate, Smith County, Starr County, Ted Cruz, Texas, turnout, Val Verde County, voter registration, Willacy County, Zapata County, Zavala County | 2 Comments

The next elections

Posted on November 11, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Just a reminder, there are two elections on the calendar for December: . Reminder: the runoff election for Houston City Council District B will be December 12 https://bit.ly/3ld1nd2 Need to update your voter registration? https://hctax.net/Voter/Registration — Isabel Longoria (@LongoriaTX) 09:48 … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Cynthia Bailey, District B, Drew Springer, Election 2019, Election 2020, Houston, Houston City Council, runoff, SD30, Senate, Shelley Luther, special election, Tarsha Jackson, Texas | 1 Comment

It’s a range, not a number

Posted on November 9, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

I don’t have full canvass data yet, but as I have said, I have Presidential data courtesy of Greg Wythe. Here are a couple of districts of interest: Dist Biden Trump Biden% Trump% ========================================= CD02 170,707 178,840 48.1% 50.0% CD07 … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD02, CD18, Commissioners Court, Congress, Constable, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, HD132, HD133, HD134, HD135, HD138, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Justice of the Peace, precinct analysis, President, redistricting, SBOE, Senate, Texas, The Lege | 2 Comments

A comparison to 2012

Posted on November 8, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

A lot of the takes on this election – and I’m guilty of this, too – involve comparisons to 2016 and 2018. That’s fair – those are the most recent elections, the only other elections that involve Trump, the patterns … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Barack Obama, Beto O'Rourke, Congress, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Fort Bend County, Harris County, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Mitt Romney, President, redistricting, SBOE, Senate, Texas, The Lege | 2 Comments

A few observations from the final unofficial countywide data

Posted on November 6, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

This is still unofficial, and there will still be some overseas/military ballots to be counted as well as some provisional ballots to be cured, but the count of the votes cast by Election Day is over, and we have the … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged absentee ballots, Akilah Bacy, Ann Johnson, CD07, CD22, Congress, early voting, Election 2018, Election 2020, Gina Calanni, Harris County, HD132, HD134, HD135, HD137, HD138, HD140, HD143, HD144, HD145, Jon Rosenthal, Libertarian Party, Lizzie FLetcher, precinct analysis, President, Sarah Davis, Senate, Texas, The Lege, turnout, voter registration | 3 Comments

Initial thoughts about the election

Posted on November 5, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

And now for some reactions and analysis… – The polls were garbage. Oy vey. Not just here, though they were definitely off here, underestimating Trump and the Republicans after doing the same to Beto and the Dems in 2018. This … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Adrian Garcia, Beto O'Rourke, CD02, Chrysta Castaneda, Commissioners Court, Congress, Dan Crenshaw, Donald Trump, Election 2004, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, fundraising, Grady Yarbrough, Greg Abbott, Harris County, HCDE, HD108, HD112, HD126, HD127, HD128, HD129, HD130, HD132, HD133, HD135, HD138, HD150, Jack Morman, Jane Bland, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, judicial races, Latino voting, MJ Hegar, polls, President, Railroad Commission, redistricting, Senate, straight ticket voting, Supreme Court, Texas, The Lege, Tom Ramsey, turnout, voter registration, Wendy Davis | 8 Comments

Followup omnibus Election Day post

Posted on November 4, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Wanted to clear up some loose ends from the late night/early morning post and add a couple of things I’d missed the first time around. I’ll have a longer “thoughts and reactions” post probably tomorrow. – The district results from … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged 4th Court of Appeals, 5th Court of Appeals, absentee ballots, Amparo Guerra, Brazoria County, Chambers County, Congress, curbside voting, early voting, First Court of Appeals, Galveston, Harris County, HD132, HD134, HD135, Jane Robinson, President, provisional ballots, SBOE, SD19, Senate, Tamika Craft, Texas, The Lege, Third Court of Appeals, turnout, Veronica Rivas-Molloy | 4 Comments

Omnibus Election Day post

Posted on November 4, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

I was up really late last night, and there’s still a lot of votes to be counted. The SOS website was mostly trash, but a lot of county election sites took their sweet, sweet time even reporting any Election Day … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, The making of the President | Tagged Angie Chen Button, Ann Johnson, Brandy Chambers, CD23, Commissioners Court, Congress, Constable, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Eric Fagan, Fort Bend County, Gina Calanni, Gina Ortiz Jones, Harris County, HCDE, HD108, HD112, HD132, HD134, HD135, HD138, Israel Garcia, Joanna Cattanach, Jon Rosenthal, judicial races, Justice of the Peace, Latino voting, Michael Moore, Mike Schofield, Morgan Meyer, Pete Flores, polls, President, Rebecca Bell-Metereau, redistricting, Roland Gutierrez, Russ Ridgway, Sarah Davis, SBOE, SD19, Senate, Sheriff, straight ticket voting, Ted Heap, Texas, The Lege, Tom Ramsey, Tony Gonzales, turnout | 16 Comments

The role Harris County can play in turning Texas blue

Posted on November 3, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Big county + big turnout = big margin. Texas is not the sort of place national candidates visit just before Election Day or where political ads play on a loop during popular TV shows. And, yet, here we are: Texas … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, President, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, turnout, voter registration | 1 Comment

Today is Election Day

Posted on November 3, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

It almost feels unreal, doesn’t it? Like some people have been saying while on line at voting locations, we’ve been waiting four whole years for this. Now it’s here, Texas is considered a swing state, the Lege is in play, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Chris Hollins, Congress, early voting, Election 2020, Harris County, Harris County Clerk, Joe Biden, MJ Hegar, President, Senate, Texas, The Lege, turnout, voting centers | 2 Comments

Univision: Trump 49, Biden 46

Posted on October 30, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Always time for one more poll, apparently. The race for the White House in Texas is so close in the Nov 3 presidential election that it’s beginning to look uncharacteristically like a swing state, according to a new Univision News … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, The making of the President | Tagged Arizona, Donald Trump, Election 2020, Florida, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, Latino voting, MJ Hegar, Pennsylvania, polls, President, Senate, Texas | 3 Comments

DFP: Biden 49, Trump 48

Posted on October 29, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Once again, from Twitter: . Biden leads 54 to 45 among those that have already voted. For more information on early vote statistics (and for live results on election night) visit https://2020.dataforprogress.org. — Data For Progress (@DataProgress) 10:50 AM – … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, The making of the President | Tagged Donald Trump, early voting, Election 2020, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, MJ Hegar, polls, President, Senate, Texas | 2 Comments

More investment from Bloomberg

Posted on October 29, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Once again, better late than never. Billionaire Michael Bloomberg is funding a last-minute ad blitz on behalf of Joe Biden in Texas and Ohio, providing a boost to the former vice president as polls and a flutter of late campaign … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged advertising, attack ads, Donald Trump, Joe Biden, Michael Bloomberg, MJ Hegar, Ohio, polls, President, Senate, Texas, turnout | Comments Off

NYT/Siena: Trump 47, Biden 43

Posted on October 28, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Possibly the last poll of interest for the cycle. President Trump maintains a narrow lead in Texas, according to a New York Times/Siena College poll on Monday, as he faces a rebellion in the state’s once overwhelmingly Republican suburbs but … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, The making of the President | Tagged Donald Trump, Election 2020, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, Latino voting, MJ Hegar, polls, President, Senate, Texas, turnout | 3 Comments

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