Tag Archives: President

Democracy Toolbox (PPP): Biden 47, Trump 46

Posted on April 30, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

From the inbox: A new Texas poll shows former Vice President Joe Biden up by one percentage point over President Donald Trump and also provides insights into Texans’ concerns about voting during the COVID-19 outbreak. The poll was commissioned by … Continue reading →

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UT/Trib: Trump 49, Biden 44

Posted on April 26, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Our first post-primary poll. Donald Trump would beat Joe Biden by five points in Texas if the presidential race were held now, according to the latest University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll. In a Trump-Biden contest, Democratic and Republican voters overwhelmingly … Continue reading →

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The politics of social distancing

Posted on April 22, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Not really a surprise. People in parts of the country that voted for President Donald Trump have worried less about COVID-19, especially as the new coronavirus was first emerging in the U.S., a new study out of Rice University found. … Continue reading →

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Former Bloomberg staffers sue him

Posted on March 26, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Okay. Four former workers for Michael Bloomberg’s presidential campaign in Texas are suing him for fraud, alleging that he went back on a promise to pay them through the November election. In lawsuits filed Monday in Tarrant County, the former … Continue reading →

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Bloomberg takes his money and goes home

Posted on March 14, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Thanks for nothing, dude. Back in the halcyon days of late January—before the Iowa caucuses melted down, before an ascendant Bernie Sanders was supplanted by a triumphant Joe Biden, back when Pete Buttigieg and Amy Klobuchar were viable candidates in … Continue reading →

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Let’s talk turnout

Posted on March 11, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Just a few random bits and pieces about turnout from the primaries. On the one hand, I think it’s great that Dems got the turnout that we did, in Harris County and around the state. On the other hand, I … Continue reading →

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DNC to target Texas

Posted on March 8, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Game on. The Democratic National Committee [added] Texas to its list of 2020 targets just days before Super Tuesday, vowing to invest heavily in the state to help Democratic candidates up and down the ballot in the latest sign that … Continue reading →

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2020 primary results: President

Posted on March 4, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Before we get to the numbers, one last word about polls. As we know, polls released over the weekend were quite favorable to Bernie Sanders. However, there was more polling done since then, and both nationally and in Texas there … Continue reading →

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Six questions for today’s voting

Posted on March 3, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

In some semblance of an order… 1. How will the early vote differ from the Tuesday vote? I’m mostly talking about the Presidential race here. We strongly suspect today will be a very big day at the ballot box, in … Continue reading →

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Four more polls say Bernie is leading in Texas

Posted on March 3, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

From Latino Decisions: A new poll of Texas voters published Friday by Univision shows Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) with a 6-point lead over his rivals in the crucial Super Tuesday state, particularly among Latino voters. The poll, conducted by polling … Continue reading →

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CNN/SSRS: The first big Bernie lead

Posted on February 29, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

We come full circle. Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders holds substantial leads in the two largest states to vote in next week’s Super Tuesday lineup of primaries, according to new CNN polls conducted by SSRS in California and Texas. In Texas, … Continue reading →

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Medicaid and hospitals

Posted on February 29, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

I have three things to say about this. A proposed change in Medicaid rules could cost Texas hospitals billions of dollars, forcing many to cut services and some rural hospitals to close their doors, health care industry officials said. The … Continue reading →

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Progress Texas/PPP poll: The Bloomberg effect

Posted on February 27, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

More primary polling data for you. Super Tuesday marks the first time that Michael Bloomberg will appear on the Democratic Primary ballot. To measure his impact on the race, we polled likely Texas Democratic Primary voters to see preferences with … Continue reading →

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UH Senate poll: Hegar leads, the rest scramble

Posted on February 26, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Day Two of the UH Hobby School of Public Affairs poll, and a second result showing that MJ Hegar is in a strong position to make the primary runoff for Senate. Hegar, a Round Rock Democrat who narrowly lost a … Continue reading →

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What is “safe”?

Posted on February 26, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Saw this on Twitter, and it got me thinking: For those upset about critique of establishment politics: There are D reps in SAFE blue seats who side w/ the NRA, are anti-LGBT+, and yet are protected because they advance the … Continue reading →

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UH poll: Biden, Bernie tied

Posted on February 25, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

One more primary poll. Texans are split between Joe Biden and Bernie Sanders as their choice in the Democratic presidential primary, according to a University of Houston poll released Monday. The poll, from the university’s Hobby School of Public Affairs, … Continue reading →

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Five questions for the primary

Posted on February 18, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Five questions I thought of, anyway. With my own answers, some of which are admittedly on the weaselish side. Feel free to discuss/disagree/ask your own questions/etc. 1. What kind of turnout are we going to have? The short answer is … Continue reading →

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Endorsement watch: Ogg and Moore

Posted on February 17, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Two (*) big endorsements on Sunday, in the races for District Attorney and Commissioners Court, Precinct 3. Let’s do the thing. Kim Ogg for District Attorney: “We are in the midst of righting a lot of wrongs,” Ogg told the … Continue reading →

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UT/Trib: Two out of three polls say Bernie is moving up

Posted on February 15, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

This is Bernie Sanders’ best poll result in Texas so far. U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders has doubled his support among Democratic voters in Texas and now leads the race for that party’s presidential nomination in Texas, according to the latest … Continue reading →

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We should get full delegate results on Primary Day

Posted on February 12, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Good. Texas counties have started seeing updates to the state’s election reporting system that will allow them to break out the vote totals needed to determine how many delegates are won by presidential contenders on Super Tuesday. The refinements to … Continue reading →

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Will we get full Presidential primary results from Texas on primary night?

Posted on February 6, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Maybe. As their counterparts in Iowa reel from a disastrously slow election returns process, Texas Democrats raised the prospect Wednesday that a change in the way Texas reports election results could delay the final tally of delegates won by presidential … Continue reading →

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UT-Tyler: Biden doing better than Bernie

Posted on February 3, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Poll #2 from this week stands in contrast to Poll #1. Former vice president Joe Biden has stretched his lead in Texas in the Democratic presidential fight, buoyed by gains among Hispanics, a new Dallas Morning News-University of Texas at … Continue reading →

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Lyceum poll: Trump with a mostly modest lead

Posted on January 31, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

From the inbox: Among the large pack of Democratic presidential primary contenders still vying for the nomination to be the party’s nominee for U.S. president, former Vice President Joe Biden is currently leading in the Lone Star State, with Vermont … Continue reading →

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Looking ahead in CD07

Posted on January 24, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

This story is primarily about the Republican primary in CD07. I don’t care about that race or those candidates, but there’s some good stuff at the end that I wanted to comment on. Since she’s taken office, some Houston Republicans … Continue reading →

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A view of Texas and polling

Posted on January 5, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

The premise of this is sound, but don’t read too much into it. In Texas, the nation’s biggest, most important red state, Trump’s disapproval rating has consistently lagged behind many of the 30 states he carried in 2016. This potentially … Continue reading →

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Julian Castro ends his Presidential bid

Posted on January 3, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Sorry to see him go. Julián Castro has ended his campaign for the Democratic nomination for president, capping a nearly yearlong bid during which he distinguished himself as a progressive crusader but never found the polling or fundraising support to … Continue reading →

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CNN/SSRS: Trump 48, Biden 47

Posted on December 14, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Time for a non-Mayoral poll. The story is about results, primary and general, in both California and Texas, so forgive the abrupt opening sentence. In Texas, however, it’s a different picture, with Biden holding wide leads across nearly every major … Continue reading →

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Beto: Still not running for Senate

Posted on December 8, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

And as of Monday evening, we can stop talking about this. Beto O’Rourke is reiterating that he is not running for U.S. Senate next year as speculation swirls ahead of the Monday filing deadline. The former El Paso congressman has … Continue reading →

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Beto boosts State House candidates

Posted on December 7, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Very nice. A month after ending his presidential campaign, Democrat Beto O’Rourke has turned his attention to state politics — namely, an effort to help flip the Texas House of Representatives from Republican control to the Democrats. With Texas Democrats … Continue reading →

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Beacon Research: Trump 45, Biden 44

Posted on December 4, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

That’s not the headline of this story, but it’s what I’m leading with. With just a week remaining before the deadline to run for office in Texas next year, some Democrats are still hoping to see Beto O’Rourke jump into … Continue reading →

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The latest UT-Tyler poll

Posted on November 20, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

A slightly more Republican sample leads to slightly better numbers for Trump in Texas, though they’re still not great. Texas voters are split over whether President Donald Trump should be impeached, though only 43% of voters in the Lone Star … Continue reading →

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News flash: Republicans still like Trump

Posted on November 15, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

I know, I’m as shocked as you are. As in any sports bar in Texas when the Dallas Cowboys are playing on Monday night, most of the TVs at a British pub in northwest San Antonio were tuned to the … Continue reading →

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UT/Trib: Trump 46, others 39

Posted on November 5, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

It’s Election Day, so I’m going to be brief about this. None of the top Democrats seeking the presidential nomination would beat President Donald Trump in Texas in an election held today — and neither would either of the Texas … Continue reading →

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UT/Trib: Impeachment inquiry more popular than not

Posted on November 4, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Seems like a big deal. Not quite half of Texas registered voters agree that “Congress is justified in conducting impeachment investigations into actions Donald Trump has taken while president,” according to the latest University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll. Almost as … Continue reading →

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