I finally got around to asking for the canvass reports for the primaries in Harris County. I didn’t have any specific agenda in looking at the data from each, I just wanted to see what I could learn. Let’s start on the Democratic side with a look at the vote totals in each State Rep district for the Senate race.
Dist Kim Kesha Alameel Fjet Scherr
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126 119 276 513 40 165
127 128 346 531 25 234
128 128 163 603 43 145
129 175 318 991 133 275
130 121 201 431 35 146
131 412 1,200 1,827 72 361
132 131 319 384 41 139
133 131 169 1,040 82 297
134 277 246 2,773 176 613
135 134 280 483 29 135
137 97 193 447 27 107
138 117 224 635 45 203
139 353 1,140 1,735 97 366
140 152 227 455 37 95
141 283 721 1,307 54 273
142 310 864 1,243 72 264
143 232 436 814 50 193
144 123 117 514 24 113
145 232 285 995 80 265
146 391 1,068 2,391 106 374
147 422 1,018 2,738 134 411
148 260 300 1,521 76 376
149 224 326 539 45 145
150 121 273 500 50 129
The main conclusion I’d draw from this is that people seem to have gotten the message about Kesha Rogers. None of the districts had any surprises. Even in the African-American districts, where one might be concerned that Roger’s name could earn her some votes in a low-information race, she scored only 27%, not much higher than her 20% overall. Straight up against David Alameel, she got about 35% in the African-American districts. I was already feeling pretty good about the runoff, and the data here reinforce that.
Here’s what the Governor’s race looked like:
Dist Davis Madrigal
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126 1,093 71
127 1,228 91
128 1,010 107
129 1,849 111
130 911 61
131 3,788 288
132 968 74
133 1,783 68
134 4,310 104
135 1,031 85
137 833 73
138 1,204 83
139 3,678 273
140 803 208
141 2,612 162
142 2,778 216
143 1,465 359
144 794 145
145 1,560 447
146 4,302 240
147 4,719 282
148 2,464 275
149 1,184 132
150 1,045 77
For all the tsuris around Davis’ performance in South Texas, she did just fine in the Latino districts here, scoring over 83% of the vote. More is always better, but hey, she didn’t campaign. There’s nothing to see here.
The headscratcher race was of course the Ag Commissioner race.
Dist Hogan Kinky Hugh
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126 445 342 301
127 468 403 363
128 466 350 251
129 617 582 640
130 361 322 248
131 1,822 1,049 796
132 429 335 237
133 439 591 687
134 981 1,445 1,571
135 437 344 273
137 308 282 234
138 413 437 358
139 1,691 1,041 781
140 508 290 155
141 1,415 642 436
142 1,397 787 539
143 856 560 273
144 422 331 143
145 730 707 404
146 1,905 1,263 936
147 1,904 1,487 1,083
148 843 1,063 610
149 540 424 271
150 419 342 285
The voters in HD134 got the message about Hugh Fitzsimons, but that’s about it. Maybe if he’d had Alameel money, it would have been different. As for Hogan, I’m going with the theory that he did well by being the first name on the ballot. Doesn’t explain how he did in other counties, but it’s the best I can do.
And finally, the Railroad Commissioner race, which in its own was is also a mystery.
Dist Henry Brown
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126 352 687
127 413 775
128 408 622
129 644 1,063
130 319 566
131 1,034 2,654
132 361 599
133 450 1,078
134 942 2,508
135 402 598
137 275 510
138 362 779
139 1,079 2,396
140 362 574
141 717 1,784
142 913 1,787
143 622 1,042
144 334 498
145 602 1,125
146 1,206 2,821
147 1,268 3,012
148 824 1,424
149 414 796
150 378 627
Like Jim Hogan, Dale Henry was first on the ballot, but unlike Hogan it did him no good. It’s reasonable to think that Steve Brown would do well in his backyard, and he is an active campaigner and social media presence. But let’s be honest, anything can happen in a downballot no-money race. I’m just glad the better outcome is what happened here.
