Tag Archives: precinct analysis

Precinct analysis: The 2011 Mayor’s race

Posted on November 15, 2011 by Charles Kuffner

I finally have a draft canvass of the 2011 Harris County vote. You know what that means. Here’s the breakdown in the Council districts for the Mayor’s race: Dist Simms Ullman Wilson Herrera Parker O’Connor ===================================================== A 4.41% 1.28% 16.31% … Continue reading →

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As goes Harris, so goes CC2

Posted on November 22, 2010 by Charles Kuffner

Just as HD133 was a microcosm of Harris County in 2008, Sylvia Garcia’s County Commissioner precinct was a miniature version of the county as a whole in 2010. Take a look at how Democratic candidates did in County Commissioner Precinct … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2010 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

The Kinky/Strayhorn effect

Posted on June 28, 2010 by Charles Kuffner

As I did my analysis of the Latino vote in the 2006 election, it occurred to me that I had stumbled across a framework for trying to understand what the effect was of Kinky Friedman and Carole Keeton Strayhorn’s candidacies … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2006 | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Rick Perry and the Latino vote, part 3

Posted on June 21, 2010 by Charles Kuffner

Having looked at the 2002 election last week, I turn my attention now to 2006. This presents a number of challenges, thanks to the bizarre four-way contest that was the Governor’s race. In all my previous work on the 2006 … Continue reading →

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Rick Perry and the Latino vote, part 2

Posted on June 17, 2010 by Charles Kuffner

On Tuesday, I took a look at how Rick Perry did in the 2002 election in the State Rep districts (SRDs) that have Spanish surname voter registration (SSRV) percentage of 50 or more in order to try to get a … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2002, Election 2010 | Tagged , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Rick Perry and the Latino vote, part 1

Posted on June 15, 2010 by Charles Kuffner

Say what you want about Rick Perry, he’s got a much firmer grasp of the changing demographics of Texas and their political implications than many of his partymates do. As such, he plans to compete vigorously for the Latino vote … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2002, Election 2010 | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 10 Comments

Analyzing the Republican judicial primaries

Posted on May 7, 2010 by Charles Kuffner

Last month, I printed an analysis of the Democratic judicial primaries by University of Houston political science professor Brandon Rottinghaus, who along with grad student Chris Nicholson built a mathematical model to predict the number of votes a candidate would … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2010 | Tagged , , , , | 1 Comment

Straight ticket voting trends

Posted on April 12, 2010 by Charles Kuffner

One last look at partisan voting trends this decade, with a peek at how straight ticket voting has changed over time. This one is a bit trickier to determine, since it’s not tracked by the Secretary of State. You have … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2006, Election 2008 | Tagged , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Population and voting trends: 2002 and 2006 judicial elections, Part II

Posted on April 8, 2010 by Charles Kuffner

In the previous entry, I said there was another way we could compare the 2002 and 2006 statewide judicial elections to get a feel for how partisan voting patterns changed at the county level. Turns out that the two Democratic … Continue reading →

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Another analysis of the Democratic judicial primaries

Posted on April 6, 2010 by Charles Kuffner

Recently, I received an email from Brandon Rottinghaus, who is a political science professor at UH. He and a graduate student of his had put together a mathematical model of the 2010 Democratic primary for the countywide judicial races. I … Continue reading →

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Population and voting trends: 2002 and 2006 judicial elections, Part I

Posted on April 5, 2010 by Charles Kuffner

For the next entry in this series, we’re going to look at how county returns changed from 2002 to 2006 in statewide judicial races in Texas. Again, I’m using judicial races here because they tend to reflect straight partisan preference … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2006 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | 5 Comments

Population and voting trends: 2004 and 2008 judicial elections

Posted on April 1, 2010 by Charles Kuffner

So we’ve seen how county returns changed in the Presidential election between 2004 and 2008. Obviously, there are many factors that can affect a Presidential election, even when there’s not really an active campaign going on in the state. How … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2008 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Population and voting trends: 2004 and 2008 Presidential election

Posted on March 30, 2010 by Charles Kuffner

Taking a look at the voting trends in the fastest growing counties made me want to know more about this, so I broke out the spreadsheets and took a look. I’ll present the results in a three-part series, starting today … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2008 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | 8 Comments

The Commissioners

Posted on March 12, 2010 by Charles Kuffner

Here’s a look at how the candidates in the three Commissioner races did across Texas. – In the Democratic primary for Land Commissioner, Bill Burton won a majority in an astonishing 193 counties; of those, he scored better than 70% … Continue reading →

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The Lite Guv race by the counties

Posted on March 11, 2010 by Charles Kuffner

The Lite Guv primary was an interesting race. One candidate, Ronnie Earle, had a decent amount of name recognition, a base of support in a vote-rich area, with likely secondary support in other populous counties, and electoral experience. He didn’t … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2010 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Where KBH and Medina did best, where White did worst

Posted on March 10, 2010 by Charles Kuffner

I’ve been poking around the county by county results in the Democratic and Republican gubernatorial primaries to see what might be of interest. Here’s what I’ve found. – Debra Medina carried three counties: Zavala, Crane, and Carson. There only 16 … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2010 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments

The effect of ballot order on the judicial races

Posted on March 8, 2010 by Charles Kuffner

I’m going to have something tomorrow about how the different endorsing groups did in the various Democratic judicial primaries, but before we get too deep into the weeds, let’s pause to consider the effect of ballot position. Two candidates filed … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2010 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , | 6 Comments

Runoff precinct analysis, HISD I

Posted on December 23, 2009 by Charles Kuffner

To wrap up my series of precinct analyses from the 2009 Houston runoffs, we turn now to the HISD Trustee race in District I. I’ve added a sheet to the Google spreadsheet I put together for the District Council analysis … Continue reading →

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Another view of city voting

Posted on December 23, 2009 by Charles Kuffner

I’ve been showing data about how the city elections broke down by Council district, but there are other ways to look at it as well. This presentation, which was sent to me by Joaquin Estevan DeLeon, is an analysis of … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2009 | Tagged , , | 1 Comment

Precinct analysis, District Council races

Posted on December 22, 2009 by Charles Kuffner

In addition to the five citywide runoffs, there were two runoffs in district Council races, in A and F. In each case, they were run in territory that, judging by the citywide results, were modestly (F) or very (A) friendly … Continue reading →

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Runoff precinct analysis, Controller’s race

Posted on December 17, 2009 by Charles Kuffner

Picking up from where I left off yesterday, here’s the breakdown of the Controller’s race by Council district. For comparison purposes, here’s the November analysis. Dist Green Khan Holm Green % Khan % Tot votes ========================================================= A 4,685 6,750 7,125 … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2009 | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Runoff precinct analysis, Mayor’s race

Posted on December 16, 2009 by Charles Kuffner

All right, I now have a copy of a draft canvass report from Saturday’s election, courtesy of the Harris County Clerk’s office. As before, I will be going through it to see what I can learn from it. First up … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2009 | Tagged , , , , , , | 16 Comments

Precinct analysis: More maps

Posted on November 12, 2009 by Charles Kuffner

I’m pretty much wrung out on precinct analysis for this election, but not everybody is. Go check out Greg’s place for Mayoral Maps By Order of Finish and A Path To Victory: A Tale of Three Neighborhoods. Each of those … Continue reading →

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Precinct analysis: The top 50

Posted on November 11, 2009 by Charles Kuffner

Martha has a nice look at the 50 precincts inside the city of Houston in which the most votes were cast, and how each of the four contenders for Mayor did in them. I’ve copied the data into this Google … Continue reading →

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Precinct analysis: City Council At Large races

Posted on November 10, 2009 by Charles Kuffner

Moving on to the At Large City Council races. I’m going to look at each of them here. First up, At Large #1: Dist Cook Litt Alls Cost Derr Rodr Perk Batt ============================================================ A 1,521 1,629 397 4,806 4,144 2,087 … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2009 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 4 Comments

Precinct analysis: The City Controller race

Posted on November 9, 2009 by Charles Kuffner

Here are my numbers. As before, for maps, go see what Greg‘s got. Dist Green Khan Holm ============================= A 4,685 6,750 7,125 B 7,483 3,329 1,362 C 7,356 7,494 6,332 D 13,410 4,673 3,047 E 5,133 7,684 6,633 F 2,403 … Continue reading →

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Precinct analysis: The Mayorals by Council district

Posted on November 8, 2009 by Charles Kuffner

I’ve got some preliminary precinct data from the County Clerk’s office, and have been doing my usual spreadsheet action on it to get a handle of how the vote went this past Tuesday. What follows below is a look at … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2009 | Tagged , , , , , , , , | 15 Comments

Challenging Chet

Posted on May 11, 2009 by Charles Kuffner

Via Eye on Williamson, I see the national GOP is once again looking to try to beat Rep. Chet Edwards in CD17. There’s little question Republicans are looking to target Rep. Chet Edwards (D-Texas), who could face yet another tough … Continue reading →

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