Tag Archives: polls

The 2023 Kinder Houston Area Survey

Posted on May 20, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

One of the great things about Houston. Housing costs and the economy topped Houstonians’ concerns this year in the 42nd annual Kinder Houston Area Survey, which also showed a coalescing desire to close the income gap as residents reported widening … Continue reading →

Posted in Elsewhere in Houston | Tagged abortion, economy, gun control, Houston, immigration, Kinder Foundation, Metro, polls, Rice University | Comments Off

An example of how a pro-abortion rights campaign could go

Posted on May 7, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

This was from last week, and I’ve been thinking about it since. In testimony before the Senate Judiciary Committee on Wednesday, one of the five women suing Texas for abortion access blamed the state’s Republican senators for her near-death experience … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2024, Legal matters | Tagged abortion, Amanda Zurawski, Angela Paxton, Election 2024, John Cornyn, lawsuit, polls, SCOTUS, Senate, Supreme Court, Ted Cruz, Texas, The Lege | Comments Off

One more thing about abortion and polling

Posted on May 4, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

Just wanted to add one thing to my earlier post about abortion as a political/campaign issue in Texas in 2023-24. In addition to the question of support for or opposition to abortion, most polls also ask questions about what issues … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2024 | Tagged abortion, Donald Trump, Election 2022, Election 2024, gambling, Joe Biden, marijuana, polls, President, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas | 3 Comments

What does abortion as a political issue really look like in Texas now?

Posted on May 1, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

In my earlier post about what the likely Biden/Trump rematch looks like in Texas, I said that abortion really wasn’t tested here as a political issue in 2022. I said I’d like to see it be a real focus for … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2024 | Tagged abortion, Colin Allred, Donald Trump, Election 2022, Election 2024, Joe Biden, polls, President, Roland Gutierrez, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas | 2 Comments

On the (likely) future Biden/Trump matchup

Posted on April 27, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

It’s way too early to pay any attention to state polling, but there are a few general principles to discuss here. President Joe Biden announced his reelection bid on Tuesday, setting up a potential rematch with former President Donald Trump … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2024, The making of the President | Tagged abortion, Beto O'Rourke, Colin Allred, Donald Trump, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2024, Joe Biden, polls, President, Roland Gutierrez, SCOTUS, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, turnout | 1 Comment

Of course there’s already a Mayoral poll

Posted on March 30, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

From the Daily Kos Morning Digest: Veteran Democratic Rep. Sheila Jackson Lee upended Houston’s race for mayor on Sunday when she announced her entry into the crowded field looking to succeed term-limited incumbent Sylvester Turner this fall. Jackson Lee has … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2023 | Tagged Amanda Edwards, CD18, Chris Hollins, Congress, Election 2023, Gilbert Garcia, Houston, John Whitmire, Mayor, polls, Robert Gallegos, runoff, Sheila Jackson Lee, Texas | 5 Comments

Rep. Sheila Jackson Lee is in for Mayor

Posted on March 28, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

Okay then. The Quorum Report was first on the scene. Sources: In a closed-door event over the weekend, Rep. Sheila Jackson Lee told pastors she is running for mayor of Houston The chatter is getting louder out of H-Town, where … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2023 | Tagged Amanda Edwards, CD18, Chris Hollins, Congress, Democratic primary, Election 2015, Election 2023, Election 2024, Election 2027, Election 2031, fundraising, Gilbert Garcia, Houston, Houston City Controller, John Whitmire, Lee Kaplan, Mayor, polls, Robert Gallegos, Sheila Jackson Lee, turnout | 24 Comments

Commissioner-elect Briones

Posted on November 18, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

Good story. Yes, Lesley Briones secured a victory that handed Democrats a stall-proof majority on Harris County Commissioners Court. And yes, she upset Republican Commissioner Jack Cagle in a precinct where he has won reelection every cycle since 2011, beating … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Adrian Garcia, Commissioners Court, Election 2022, Election 2023, Harris County, Houston, Houston City Council, Jack Cagle, lawsuit, Lesley Briones, Lina Hidalgo, polls, quorum, redistricting | Comments Off

State and county election result relationships, part 4: What happened in 2022

Posted on November 15, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

Part 1 Part 2 Part 3 Now that the final totals are in, let’s go back and do the same exercise in comparing overall results for statewide candidates to the results they got in Harris County, and then from there … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Alexandra Mealer, Barack Obama, Beto O'Rourke, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Governor, Harris County, Harris County Judge, judicial races, Lina Hidalgo, polls, precinct analysis, Texas, turnout, Wendy Davis | 1 Comment

In which Harris County Republicans look for moral victories

Posted on November 13, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

Believe me, as a Texas Democrat and a longtime fan of the Rice Owls, I know what it looks like to search for moral victories in the face of defeat. It looks like this. Harris County Republicans on Tuesday posted … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Adrian Garcia, Beto O'Rourke, Commissioners Court, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2014, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2024, Election 2026, Greg Abbott, Harris County, Harris County Judge, Jack Cagle, Jack Morman, judicial races, Lesley Briones, Lina Hidalgo, Paul Bettencourt, polls, redistricting, Ted Cruz, Texas, turnout | 1 Comment

Some opening thoughts on the 2022 election

Posted on November 10, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

Done in the traditional bullet-point style. There may or may not be a part 2 to this, depending on the usual factors. – Obviously the overall result was disappointing. It was harder to see a Beto victory this year from … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged absentee ballots, Alexandra Mealer, Beto O'Rourke, Bill White, Chris Bell, Commissioners Court, Election 2002, Election 2006, Election 2010, Election 2014, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2024, Governor, Greg Abbott, Harris County, Harris County Judge, Jack Cagle, Joe Biden, Lesley Briones, Lina Hidalgo, Lupe Valdez, National Redistricting Action Fund, polls, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, The Lege, Tony Sanchez, turnout, Wendy Davis | 10 Comments

DMN\UT-Tyler: Abbott 50, Beto 44 (LV) – Abbott 47, Beto 44 (RV)

Posted on November 1, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

Pick your preference. Republican Gov. Greg Abbott holds a 6 percentage point lead over Democratic challenger Beto O’Rourke as the race to the Nov. 8 election grinds toward the finish line, a poll released Sunday by the University of Texas … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Attorney General, Beto O'Rourke, Dan Patrick, Election 2022, Governor, Greg Abbott, Ken Paxton, Lite Gov, Mike Collier, polls, Rochelle Garza, Texas | 1 Comment

Univision: Abbott 46, Beto 42

Posted on October 27, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

Another registered voters poll, with a supersample of Latino respondents. Republican Governor Greg Abbott leads Beto O’Rourke in the Texas governors’ race by more than four points, even though the Democrat has more support among Latinos and Blacks. The increase … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Donald Trump, Election 2020, Election 2022, Governor, Greg Abbott, Joe Biden, Latino voting, polls, Texas | Comments Off

Beacon Research: Abbott 48, Beto 45

Posted on October 26, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

A different poll result from what we had been seeing. A poll affiliated with the Democratic Policy Institute has Beto O’Rourke tailing Gov. Greg Abbott by 3 points in the race for Texas governor, a margin narrower than other recent … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Election 2022, Governor, Greg Abbott, polls, Texas | 1 Comment

UH/Hobby poll: Mealer 47, Hidalgo 45

Posted on October 25, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

They’re the only outfit that has polled Harris County so far, so at least there’s a basis for comparison. A new poll of Harris County voters shows that Alexandra del Moral Mealer and Lina Hidalgo are neck and neck in … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Alexandra Mealer, Beto O'Rourke, Commissioners Court, Election 2022, Governor, Greg Abbott, Harris County, Harris County Judge, Jack Cagle, Lesley Briones, Lina Hidalgo, polls, Texas | Comments Off

UT/Texas Politics Project: Abbott 54, Beto 43

Posted on October 22, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

Not great. With in-person early voting set to begin in Texas on October 24, the latest University of Texas/Texas Politics Project poll finds Gov. Greg Abbott leading Democratic challenger Beto O’Rourke in the gubernatorial race, 54%-43%, among Texans likely to … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Attorney General, Beto O'Rourke, Dan Patrick, Election 2020, Election 2022, Governor, Greg Abbott, Joe Biden, Ken Paxton, Lite Gov, Mike Collier, polls, Rochelle Garza, Texas | 1 Comment

State and county election result relationships, part 3: Other county races

Posted on October 21, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

Part One Part Two Last time we looked at judicial races, which for all of the complaints about not knowing the candidates and just going by partisan labels have produced a consistent range of outcomes over the years. Some people … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Adrian Garcia, Beverly Kaufman, Devon Anderson, Diane Trautman, District Attorney, District Clerk, Ed Emmett, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Governor, Harris County, Harris County Clerk, Harris County Judge, Harris County Sheriff, Harris County Tax Assessor, Harris County Treasurer, HCDE, Kim Ogg, Lloyd Oliver, Mike Anderson, Paul Bettencourt, polls, precinct analysis, President, Senate, straight ticket voting, Texas, Tommy Thomas | 6 Comments

State and county election result relationships, part 2: Judicial races

Posted on October 20, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

In Part One of this series, we looked at the relationship between statewide results and Harris County results for statewide candidates. In the last three elections, statewide Democratic candidates have done on average more than nine points better in Harris … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Bill White, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Governor, Harris County, judicial races, polls, precinct analysis, President, Senate, Texas | 1 Comment

State and county election result relationships, part 1: How Harris compares

Posted on October 18, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

I’ve been thinking a lot lately about the relationship between how statewide Democratic candidates do in Harris County versus how they do overall, and what that might tell us about the state of play in Harris County. Since I started … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Election 2002, Election 2004, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Governor, Harris County, polls, precinct analysis, President, Senate, Texas | 5 Comments

Marist: Abbott 49, Beto 45

Posted on October 13, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

Another new pollster for this election. In the Texas governor’s race, Republican incumbent Governor Greg Abbott has a 4-point edge over Democratic challenger Beto O’Rourke among registered voters statewide. However, Abbott’s advantage over O’Rourke doubles to 8 points among those … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Election 2018, Election 2022, Governor, Greg Abbott, Lupe Valdez, polls, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas | Comments Off

Trib profile of Rochelle Garza

Posted on October 10, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

Good story with a lot of details you probably don’t know about the Democratic candidate for Attorney General. It also includes this bit of annoying news: Polls show the contest is the tightest of all statewide races. Garza, 37, is within … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Attorney General, Election 2022, fundraising, Ken Paxton, polls, Rochelle Garza, Texas | Comments Off

Telemundo and Asian Texans For Justice polls

Posted on October 6, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

Saw this on Twitter: NEW: The latest Telemundo poll shows a majority of Texas Latinos favor Beto for Governor: @BetoORourke: 54% @GregAbbott_TX: 31% This is BIG news. — Antonio Arellano (@AntonioArellano) 11:42 AM – 28 September 2022 In the comments … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged abortion, Asian Texans for Justice, Beto O'Rourke, Election 2022, Governor, Greg Abbott, immigration, Latino voting, polls, Texas | 1 Comment

Hispanic Policy Foundation: Abbott 51, Beto 44

Posted on September 28, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

One more poll to look at. There’s an old adage that says the more things change, the more they stay the same. And according to our new poll, that applies to politics in Texas as well, as support for Republicans … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Ag Commissioner, Attorney General, Beto O'Rourke, Comptroller, Dan Patrick, Dawn Buckingham, Election 2022, Governor, Greg Abbott, Jay Kleberg, Ken Paxton, Land Commissioner, Lite Gov, Luke Warford, Mike Collier, polls, Railroad Commission, Rochelle Garza, Sid Miller, Susan Hays, Texas, Wayne Christian | 1 Comment

Spectrum News/Siena College: Abbott 50, Beto 43

Posted on September 23, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

A new pollster enters the chat. Less than two months from Election Day, Republican Governor Greg Abbott has a seven-point, 50-43%, lead over Democratic challenger, former Congressman, Beto O’Rourke. In the race for Lieutenant Governor, incumbent Republican Dan Patrick is … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Attorney General, Beto O'Rourke, Dan Patrick, Election 2022, Governor, Greg Abbott, Joe Biden, Ken Paxton, Lite Gov, Mike Collier, polls, Rochelle Garza, Texas | 1 Comment

DMN/UT-Tyler: Abbott 47, Beto 38

Posted on September 20, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

Insert shrug emoji here, and insert link to the unreadable DMN story here. I’ll give you the main results of interest and then a few comments after that. Abbott 47, Beto 38 Patrick 39, Collier 28 Paxton 37, Garza 30 … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged abortion, Attorney General, Beto O'Rourke, Dan Patrick, Election 2022, Governor, Greg Abbott, Joe Biden, Ken Paxton, Lite Gov, Mike Collier, polls, Rochelle Garza, Texas, The Lege | 1 Comment

UT/Texas Politics Project poll: Abbott 45, Beto 40

Posted on September 15, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

Feels kind of familiar. Gov. Greg Abbott leads his Democratic challenger Beto O’Rourke by 5 percentage points, according to a new poll from the Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas at Austin. The survey found that Abbott received … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged abortion, Attorney General, Beto O'Rourke, Congress, Dan Patrick, Election 2022, Governor, Greg Abbott, Joe Biden, Ken Paxton, Lite Gov, Mike Collier, polls, Rochelle Garza, Texas, The Lege | 4 Comments

Echelon Insights: Abbott 48, Beto 46

Posted on September 14, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

Make of this what you will. It’s a national poll plus samples of likely voters in a variety of states, some red and some blue and some purple, including Texas. The numbers of interest for us: Do you have a … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Congress, Donald Trump, Election 2022, Election 2024, Governor, Greg Abbott, Joe Biden, polls, President, Texas | 2 Comments

National support for abortion rights on the rise

Posted on September 11, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

It’s pretty high in this poll. Voters have grown more supportive of legalizing abortion following the Supreme Court overturning Roe v. Wade, with a clear majority opposing restrictions, like bans at a certain point of pregnancy or barring women from traveling to … Continue reading →

Posted in National news | Tagged abortion, Election 2022, polls, Texas | 1 Comment

UH-TSU Texas Trends poll: Abbott 49-Beto 42, and Hidalgo 52-Mealer 42

Posted on September 10, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

From their webpage, scroll down to Report 1 and Report 2: In the race for governor, Republican Greg Abbott leads Democrat Beto O’Rourke by 7% among likely voters, 49% to 42%, with 7% undecided and 1% intending to vote for … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Alexandra Mealer, Attorney General, Beto O'Rourke, Dan Patrick, Governor, Greg Abbott, Harris County, Harris County Judge, Ken Paxton, Lina Hidalgo, Lite Gov, Mike Collier, polls, Rochelle Garza, Texas | 1 Comment

A different poll about abortion in Texas

Posted on September 4, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

Interesting and encouraging, but I’m not sure I buy it. One year after Texas implemented what was then the most restrictive abortion law in the country, a majority of Texas voters are expressing strong support for abortion rights. In a … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged abortion, Beto O'Rourke, Election 2022, Governor, Greg Abbott, polls, SCOTUS, Texas | 1 Comment

Data For Progress: Christian 44, Warford 40 (RRC)

Posted on September 2, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

From the inbox: The race for Texas Railroad Commission is up for grabs this November, with voters looking for change and Democratic nominee Luke Warford in a statistical tie with incumbent Wayne Christian. A new poll from Data for Progress shows Democratic … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Election 2022, Luke Warford, polls, Railroad Commission, Texas, Wayne Christian | 2 Comments

CC4 poll: Briones 44, Cagle 42

Posted on August 30, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

From the inbox: Lesley Briones, candidate for Harris County Commissioner, Precinct 4, released the results of a new poll today that shows her in the lead: Briones 44% / Cagle 42%. The poll was conducted August 9-13 by the national firm, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged abortion, Alexandra Mealer, Commissioners Court, Ed Emmett, Election 2018, Election 2022, Harris County, Jack Cagle, Lesley Briones, Lina Hidalgo, polls, redistricting | 1 Comment

DMN/UT-Tyler: Abbott 46, Beto 39

Posted on August 15, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

Here we go again with the DMN/UT-Tyler poll, which if nothing else always provides something to talk about. The unreadable DMN story is here. The Chron has a story with a semi-ridiculous headline about how Abbott has slightly increased his … Continue reading →

More on polling about abortion

Posted on August 13, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

Not a new poll, but a closer look at the June UT/Texas Politics Project poll, with a longer look back at over a decade’s worth of polling data. Under current Texas law, abortion is prohibited even in cases of rape … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022, That's our Lege | Tagged abortion, Beto O'Rourke, Election 2022, Governor, Greg Abbott, polls, SCOTUS, Texas, The Lege | 1 Comment

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