Tag Archives: turnout

Three very early primary thoughts

Posted on January 29, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

1. After the exceedingly small number of mail ballots requested and cast in the District G special election, the primaries will be our next test of the SB1 effect on voting by mail. I will be interested to see if … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged absentee ballots, Cameron County, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Erica Davis, Harris County, Harris County Judge, Hidalgo County, Latino voting, Lina Hidalgo, Maverick County, primaries, Starr County, Texas, turnout, voter suppression, Webb County | Comments Off

Huffman wins District G election

Posted on January 27, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

No runoff needed. Mary Nan Huffman, an attorney for the Houston Police Officers’ Union, has won a special election to become the next District G representative on City Council, according to the unofficial returns. With all voting centers reporting Tuesday … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged absentee ballots, District G, District H, District K, Duke Millard, early voting, Election 2009, Election 2018, Election 2019, Election 2022, Greg Travis, Hank Taghizadeh, Houston, Houston City Council, Mary Nan Huffman, Piper Madland, Roy Reyes, special election, turnout, voter suppression | Comments Off

District G special election final early turnout

Posted on January 23, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

I’m going to start this post with some numbers, to provide context. Election Mail Early E-Day Total Mail% Early% ========================================================== May09 Dist H 647 1,259 2,280 4,186 33.9% 45.5% May18 Dist K 1,737 1,867 1,531 5,135 41.2% 70.2% Jan22 Dist … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged absentee ballots, District G, District H, District K, Duke Millard, early voting, Election 2009, Election 2018, Election 2019, Election 2021, Election 2022, fundraising, Greg Travis, Hank Taghizadeh, Houston, Houston City Council, Mary Nan Huffman, Piper Madland, Roy Reyes, special election, turnout, voter suppression | 5 Comments

More on the November 2021 election results

Posted on November 4, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Here’s the Chron story on the Tuesday election results. It is mostly a straight recording of the individual races, including those I covered yesterday and others that I didn’t. Of the most interest to me is this: Results were delayed … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2021 | Tagged Anne Sung, Bridget Wade, Caroline Walter, constitutional amendments, Election 2017, Election 2020, Election 2021, Election 2022, Election 2023, Elizabeth Santos, Harris County, HCC, HISD, HISD Board of Trustees, Holly Maria Flynn Vilaseca, Isabel Longoria, Janette Lindner, Kendall Baker, Sue Deigaard, Texas, turnout | 8 Comments

November 2021 final early voting totals

Posted on October 31, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

A busy final day, and a significant uptick in early votes over 2017. Friday was the last day to vote early in the 2021 school board and state constitutional amendment elections with early numbers showing an uptick in turnout in … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2021 | Tagged absentee ballots, curbside voting, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2017, Election 2020, Election 2021, Harris County, HCC, HISD, HISD Board of Trustees, Houston, The Lege, turnout, voter suppression | Comments Off

2021 Day Seven EV report: After the weekend

Posted on October 26, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Let’s get right to it: These are the early voting totals for the 2021 election after Sunday: Mail ballots: 36,517 In person: 19,901 You can see the full Day Seven report here. The “voters by type” breakdown on the last … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2021 | Tagged absentee ballots, curbside voting, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2009, Election 2012, Election 2015, Election 2016, Election 2017, Election 2019, Election 2020, Election 2021, Harris County, HCC, HISD, HISD Board of Trustees, Houston, turnout | Comments Off

2021 Day Five EV report: A one week checkin

Posted on October 24, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

One work week, anyway. Here are the vote totals after five days of early voting. The first thing to notice is that about 70% of the votes cast so far have been by mail: Mail ballots = 36,517 Early in … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2021 | Tagged absentee ballots, curbside voting, early voting, Election 2017, Election 2021, Harris County, turnout, voter registration | 1 Comment

2021 Day One EV report: Everyone likes voting by mail

Posted on October 20, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Lots of mail ballots have been cast so far. Much more than any other kind. Early voting began Monday for a handful of area school board and municipal races, state constitutional amendments and hundreds of millions of dollars in school … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2021 | Tagged absentee ballots, early voting, Election 2015, Election 2017, Election 2021, Harris County, Houston, Isabel Longoria, turnout | Comments Off

HD118 runoff on November 2

Posted on October 13, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Should help a bit with turnout, I guess. Better than some random day in January, anyway. Gov. Greg Abbott announced Monday that Nov. 2 will be the date of the special election runoff to replace former state Rep. Leo Pacheco, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2021 | Tagged Election 2016, Election 2017, Election 2019, Election 2020, Election 2021, Frank Ramirez, HD118, John Lujan, Leo Pacheco, runoff, special election, special session, Texas, The Lege, turnout | 2 Comments

The charter referendum will be in 2023

Posted on August 13, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

So be it. The organizations and residents who petitioned the city to give City Council members more power will have to wait until 2023 to vote on the measure, after the council declined to put it on this year’s ballot. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2023, Local politics | Tagged charter, Election 2015, Election 2017, Election 2019, Election 2021, Election 2023, HFD, Houston, Houston Charter Amendment Petition Coalition, HPFFA, Michael Kubosh, petitions, Sylvester Turner, Tiffany Thomas, turnout, Urban Reform | 1 Comment

The Virus And The Vote

Posted on July 20, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

As you may recall, there were a lot of concerns going into the 2020 election about the potential for things to go horribly wrong. Books were written about the weak points in our bizarre and super-distributed system for running and … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged absentee ballots, coronavirus, Election 2020, Stanford-MIT Healthy Elections Project, turnout | Comments Off

Chron story on Odus Evbagharu

Posted on July 1, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Some good stuff here. When Odus Evbagharu, a 28-year-old legislative staffer and campaign organizer, took the reins of the Harris County Democratic Party Sunday evening, he inherited a party that stands on some of its firmest footing in years, despite … Continue reading →

Posted in Local politics | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Donald Trump, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Harris County, HCDP, Joe Biden, Lillie Schechter, Odus Evbagharu, polls, Texas, turnout, voter registration | Comments Off

Precinct analysis: State House district changes by demography

Posted on June 28, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction Congressional districts State Rep districts Commissioners Court/JP precincts Comparing 2012 and 2016 Statewide judicial Other jurisdictions Appellate courts, Part 1 Appellate courts, Part 2 Judicial averages Other cities District Attorney County Attorney Sheriff Tax Assessor County Clerk HCDE Fort … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Barack Obama, Bexar County, Cameron County, Dallas County, Donald Trump, El Paso, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Fort Bend County, Harris County, HD100, HD102, HD103, HD104, HD105, HD107, HD108, HD109, HD110, HD111, HD112, HD116, HD117, HD118, HD119, HD120, HD121, HD123, HD124, HD125, HD131, HD137, HD139, HD140, HD141, HD142, HD143, HD144, HD145, HD146, HD147, HD148, HD149, HD22, HD26, HD27, HD28, HD31, HD32, HD34, HD35, HD36, HD37, HD38, HD39, HD40, HD41, HD42, HD43, HD46, HD47, HD49, HD50, HD66, HD67, HD74, HD75, HD76, HD77, HD78, HD79, HD80, HD90, HD95, Hidalgo County, Hillary Clinton, Jefferson County, Joe Biden, Mitt Romney, Nueces County, precinct analysis, redistricting, Tarrant County, Texas, The Lege, Travis County, turnout, Webb County | 2 Comments

Precinct analysis: State Senate district comparisons

Posted on May 24, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Barack Obama, Bell County, Coryell County, demography, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Ellis County, Fort Bend County, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Johnson County, Latino voting, Mitt Romney, Montgomery County, precinct analysis, redistricting, SD03, SD07, SD08, SD09, SD10, SD12, SD14, SD15, SD16, SD17, SD18, SD19, SD20, SD21, SD22, SD23, SD24, SD25, SD26, SD27, SD29, SD30, Senate, Texas, Travis County, turnout | 6 Comments

One more CD06 update

Posted on April 29, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Some dude made an endorsement in the race. Former President Donald Trump has endorsed fellow Republican Susan Wright in the crowded Saturday special election to replace her late husband, U.S. Rep. Ron Wright, R-Arlington. The endorsement is a massive development … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2021 | Tagged Adam Kinziger, Brian Harrison, CD06, Congress, Dan Rodimer, Donald Trump, early voting, Election 2020, Election 2021, endorsements, Jake Ellzey, Jana Sanchez, Lydia Bean, Michael Wood, polls, Ron Wright, runoff, Sery Kim, Shawn Lassiter, special election, Susan Wright, Tarrant County, Texas, turnout | 1 Comment

Checking in on CD06

Posted on April 23, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Wingnuts attack! State Rep. Jake Ellzey, R-Waxahachie, is suddenly under intense fire from his right flank as he has emerged as a leading candidate in the special election to replace the late U.S. Rep. Ron Wright, R-Arlington. The Club for … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2021 | Tagged Brian Harrison, CD06, Congress, Dan Rodimer, DCCC, Donald Trump, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2021, Emily's List, fundraising, Jake Ellzey, Jana Sanchez, Jeff Williams, Joe Biden, John Anthony Castro, Katrina Pierson, Lydia Bean, Manny Ramirez, Matthew Hinterlong, Mike Egan, polls, Ron Wright, runoff, Sery Kim, Shawn Lassiter, special election, Stephen Daniel, Susan Wright, Texas, turnout | 3 Comments

Making voting worse

Posted on April 22, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

I’ve spent a lot of time this year writing about how Republicans in the Legislature want to make it harder to vote. That’s undeniably true, but it doesn’t fully capture what’s going on. Voting is a thing that most of … Continue reading →

Posted in That's our Lege | Tagged absentee ballots, ACLU of Texas, Bexar County, Chris Hollins, coronavirus, curbside voting, Dallas County, drop off boxes, early voting, Election 2020, Election 2022, Harris County, poll watchers, Senate, Tarrant County, Texas, The Lege, Travis County, turnout, voter registration, voter suppression | 4 Comments

Charter amendment petitions are in

Posted on April 7, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

I need a simpler name for this thing, so that Future Me will have an easier time searching for relevant posts. Houston voters likely will get to decide in November whether City Council members should have the power to place … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2021 | Tagged Amy Peck, charter, Election 2007, Election 2011, Election 2017, Election 2019, Election 2021, Greg Travis, Houston, Houston Charter Amendment Petition Coalition, Houston City Council, HPFFA, Marty Lancton, Mayor, Michael Kubosh, petitions, Sylvester Turner, turnout, Urban Reform, voter registration | 5 Comments

Another report on the South Texas vote in 2020

Posted on March 30, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Some interesting stuff in here. Cambio Texas, a progressive organization whose mission is to increase voter turnout and elect leaders that reflect the community, has released a post-election report that relies on extensive interviews with elected officials, campaign workers, consultants, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, Show Business for Ugly People | Tagged Cambio Texas, coronavirus, demography, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2024, Filemon Vela, Joe Biden, Latino voting, Monica de la Cruz-Hernandez, redistricting, Texas, turnout | 9 Comments

Precinct analysis: State Senate comparisons

Posted on March 29, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Barack Obama, demography, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2020, Fort Bend County, Harris County, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, Mitt Romney, MJ Hegar, Paul Sadler, precinct analysis, President, SD04, SD06, SD07, SD11, SD13, SD15, SD17, SD18, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, turnout | 1 Comment

How much should Dems try to compete in the CD06 special election?

Posted on March 25, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Let’s make sure someone gets to the runoff, then we can worry about that. Democrats running to replace the late U.S. Rep. Ron Wright, R-Arlington, believe they can flip the seat in an unpredictable off-year special election. But Democrats at … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2021 | Tagged Brian Harrison, CD06, Congress, Dan Rodimer, DCCC, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2021, Emily's List, Jake Ellzey, Jana Sanchez, Jeff Williams, Joe Biden, John Anthony Castro, Katrina Pierson, Lydia Bean, Manny Ramirez, Matthew Hinterlong, Mike Egan, polls, Ron Wright, runoff, Sery Kim, Shawn Lassiter, special election, Stephen Daniel, Susan Wright, Texas, turnout | Comments Off

Beto’s “We can win” message

Posted on March 11, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Beto O’Rourke offers a blueprint for how Democrats can win in Texas. In 2020, Joe Biden lost by less than Hillary Clinton did in 2016; eleven of the twelve State House seats we won in 2018 were successfully defended, and … Continue reading →

Posted in Other punditry | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Congress, coronavirus, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Georgia, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Texas, Texas Organizing Project, The Lege, turnout, voter registration | 2 Comments

Here’s the TDP 2020 after action report

Posted on February 24, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Reasonably informative, though nothing here that I found terribly surprising. Texas Democrats have come to the conclusion that they fell short of their expectations in the 2020 election largely because Republicans beat them in the battle to turn out voters, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged coronavirus, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2024, Joe Biden, Latino voting, quarantine, TDP, Texas, turnout, voter registration | 2 Comments

Precinct analysis: Fort Bend County, part 2

Posted on February 15, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged 14th Court of Appeals, Amparo Guerra, Amy Clark Meachum, CD09, CD22, Christian Becerra, Commissioners Court, Court of Criminal Appeals, Election 2020, Elizabeth Frizell, Eric Fagan, First Court of Appeals, Fort Bend County, HD26, HD27, HD28, HD85, Jane Robinson, Jim Shoemake, judicial races, Maggie Jaramillo, precinct analysis, Staci Williams, Supreme Court, Tameika Carter, Tamika Craft, Texas, turnout, Veronica Rivas-Molloy | Comments Off

A brief summary of what the next two years will be like

Posted on January 22, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

What will Republicans do without Trump? “The Republican Party is at a crossroads like it’s never been before, and it’s gonna have to decide who it is,” said Corbin Casteel, a Texas GOP operative who was Trump’s Texas state director … Continue reading →

Posted in National news | Tagged Attorney General, Congress, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Environmental Protection Agency, Greg Abbott, health insurance, immigration, Joe Biden, Ken Paxton, lawsuit, President, SCOTUS, Texas, The Lege, turnout | 25 Comments

Precinct analysis: Tax Assessor 2020 and 2016

Posted on January 13, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Ann Harris Bennett, Chris Daniel, early voting, Election 2016, Election 2020, Harris County, Harris County Tax Assessor, HD132, HD134, HD135, HD138, Mike Sullivan, precinct analysis, Texas, turnout | 1 Comment

What is the direction of voting by mail?

Posted on January 13, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

It was different in 2020, but that doesn’t mean it’s permanently different. Democratic voters in Texas were more likely to cast their ballots by mail than Republican voters in the last election. Today, that may sound like a forgone conclusion, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged absentee ballots, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2016, Election 2020, Harris County, HCDP, TDP, Texas, The Lege, turnout | 1 Comment

Dems go two for two in Georgia

Posted on January 7, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

It’s hard to talk about anything else, given the violent debacle in Washington yesterday, but the two Democratic Senate candidates in Georgia won their runoff elections, giving control of the Senate to the Democrats, and putting an emphatic final exclamation … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged David Perdue, Donald Trump, Election 2020, Election 2021, Georgia, Jon Ossoff, Kelley Loeffler, Raphael Warnock, runoff, Senate, Stacey Abrams, Texas, turnout, voter registration | 7 Comments

Precinct analysis: The judicial averages

Posted on December 28, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction Congressional districts State Rep districts Commissioners Court/JP precincts Comparing 2012 and 2016 Statewide judicial Other jurisdictions Appellate courts, Part 1 Appellate courts, Part 2 As you know, I use the average totals and percentages from local judicial races as … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Adrian Garcia, CD07, Commissioners Court, Constable, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Harris County, HD132, HD134, HD135, HD138, HD144, Jon Rosenthal, judicial races, Justice of the Peace, Kristen Hawkins, Lizzie FLetcher, Michael Gomez, precinct analysis, redistricting, Russ Ridgway, straight ticket voting, Ted Heap, Texas, turnout | 2 Comments

Precinct analysis: Appellate courts, part 1

Posted on December 22, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction Congressional districts State Rep districts Commissioners Court/JP precincts Comparing 2012 and 2016 Statewide judicial Other jurisdictions My next two posts in this series will focus on the 1st and 14th Courts of Appeals. These courts are a little strange … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged 14th Court of Appeals, Amparo Guerra, Austin County, Brazoria County, Burleson County, Chambers County, Colorado County, Election 2004, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2020, First Court of Appeals, Fort Bend County, Galveston, Grimes County, Harris County, Jane Robinson, Jim Sharp, judicial races, precinct analysis, President, redistricting, Terry Adams, Texas, The Lege, Tracy Christopher, Trinity County, turnout, Veronica Rivas-Molloy, Walker County, Waller County, Washington County | 1 Comment

Precinct analysis: Statewide judicial

Posted on December 15, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction Congressional districts State Rep districts Commissioners Court/JP precincts Comparing 2012 and 2016 We’re going to take a look at the seven statewide judicial races in this post, with all of the districts considered so far grouped together. You’re about … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Amy Clark Meachum, Bert Richardson, Brandon Birmingham, Brett Busby, Court of Criminal Appeals, David Newell, Election 2020, Elizabeth Frizell, Gisela Triana, Harris County, Jane Bland, Jeff Boyd, judicial races, Kathy Cheng, Kevin Yeary, Libertarian Party, Nathan Hecht, precinct analysis, Staci Williams, Supreme Court, Texas, Tina Clinton, turnout | 1 Comment

Precinct analysis: Comparing to 2012 and 2016

Posted on December 14, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction Congressional districts State Rep districts Commissioners Court/JP precincts I had meant to get to this last week, but SeditionPalooza took up too much of my time, so here we are. The intent of this post is to compare vote … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Barack Obama, Christi Craddick, Chrysta Castaneda, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Eva Guzman, Harris County, HD126, HD127, HD128, HD129, HD130, HD131, HD132, HD133, HD134, HD135, HD137, HD138, HD139, HD140, HD141, HD142, HD143, HD144, HD145, HD146, HD147, HD148, HD149, HD150, Hillary Clinton, Jim Wright, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, Mitt Romney, MJ Hegar, Paul Sadler, precinct analysis, President, Railroad Commission, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, The Lege, turnout, Wayne Christian | 4 Comments

Counties of interest, part seven: West Texas

Posted on December 4, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Part 1 – Counties around Harris Part 2 – Counties around Dallas/Tarrant Part 3 – Counties around Travis Part 4 – Counties around Bexar Part 5 – East Texas Part 6 – Central Texas Last entry in this series, and … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Abilene, Amarillo, Ector County, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2020, Jones County, Kerr County, Kerrville, Lubbock, Midland, Midland County, Odessa, Potter County, precinct analysis, President, San Angelo, Taylor County, Texas, Tom Green County, turnout, Wichita County, Wichita Falls | 2 Comments

I remain pessimistic about the chances of good voting bills passing

Posted on November 28, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

This Trib story suggests that with Republicans doing well in the high turnout 2020 election, and with the emergency measures that were implemented to expand voting access, the odds of getting a bill passed to make some forms of voting … Continue reading →

Posted in That's our Lege | Tagged absentee ballots, Allen West, Bexar County, Chris Hollins, coronavirus, curbside voting, Dan Patrick, Donald Trump, drop off boxes, early voting, Election 2020, Greg Bonnen, Harris County, Harris County Clerk, Justin Rodriguez, lawsuit, Paul Bettencourt, Steven Hotze, Texas, Texas Civil Rights Project, The Lege, turnout, voter ID, voter registration, voter suppression | 2 Comments

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