Tag Archives: Beto O’Rourke

CD24 poll: Valenzuela 47, Van Duyne 41

Posted on August 8, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

From the Twitters: Big #TX24 numbers in Morning Score this AM @candacefor24 leading @Bethvanduyne 48-41 @JoeBiden leading @realDonaldTrump 49-45 — Cole Leiter (@coleleiter) 6:41 AM – 6 August 2020 You can see the poll info here. The 48-41 and 49-45 … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beth van Duyne, Beto O'Rourke, Candace Valenzuela, CD24, Congress, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Joe Biden, polls, Texas | 1 Comment

Hegar to get a boost

Posted on August 6, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Nice. The Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee announced Tuesday that it will spend at least $1 million to help MJ Hegar in her challenge to U.S. Sen. John Cornyn, R-Texas. The DSCC said it will be the first time the committee … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged advertising, Beto O'Rourke, Donald Trump, DSCC, Election 2018, Election 2020, fundraising, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, MJ Hegar, polls, President, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas | 15 Comments

Morning Consult: Biden 47, Trump 46

Posted on August 5, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Looks like maybe we’ll get a regular dose of these. Democrats enter the peak of the campaign season with advantages that make their path to regaining control of the Senate easier for strategists and handicappers to envision alongside a Joe … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, The making of the President | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Donald Trump, Election 2018, Election 2020, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, MJ Hegar, polls, President, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas | 4 Comments

Checking in on CD21

Posted on July 29, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Thar’s the race where Wendy Davis is trying to unseat the mini-Ted Cruz known as Chip Roy, and the pundits are thinking she can do it. All signs are pointing toward a competitive race between incumbent conservative firebrand U.S. Rep. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD10, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD31, Chip Roy, Congress, Election 2018, Election 2020, fundraising, polls, redistricting, Texas, voter registration, Wendy Davis | 1 Comment

CD03 poll: Taylor 43, Seikaly 37

Posted on July 25, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

I expect we’ll see a fair amount of Congressional district polling this cycle. There is a single-digit race underway for Texas’ traditionally red 3rd Congressional District, according to a new poll from the new Democratic nominee’s campaign. The nominee, Lulu … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD21, CD32, Chip Roy, Colin Allred, Congress, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Joe Biden, Lizzie FLetcher, Lulu Seikaly, polls, President, Senate, Stephen Daniel, Texas, Wendy Davis | 2 Comments

A deeper dive into the Texas polls

Posted on July 24, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

From Decision Desk: Whenever there is a new poll of Texas released, there are a ton of hot takes on Twitter. Old believers of Texas as the great blue whale for the Democrats move to dismiss the poll, saying that … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, MJ Hegar, polls, President, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas | 5 Comments

Quinnipiac: Biden 45, Trump 44

Posted on July 23, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Just another poll showing Joe Biden in the lead in Texas, though you have to scroll way down in the Quinnipiac press release to get to that. With Texas as one of the biggest hot spots in the coronavirus pandemic, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, The making of the President | Tagged Barack Obama, Beto O'Rourke, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, Mitt Romney, MJ Hegar, polls, President, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas | 4 Comments

Going after Abbott

Posted on July 20, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Forward thinking is always good to see. Hoping to harness the opposition to Gov. Greg Abbott’s handling of the coronavirus, several Texas Democratic strategists are launching a new political group to defeat him in 2022. Their group, the Beat Abbott … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Beat Abbott PAC, Beto O'Rourke, Election 2022, Governor, Greg Abbott, Joaquin Castro, Julian Castro, Texas | 7 Comments

Dems could possibly win a lot of Congressional races in Texas

Posted on July 19, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

It started with this: what does a biden win in texas look like? here’s how a D+1 nailbiter might turn out, if we use 2016 and 2018 as a guide → (hint: biden would win 9 currently R-held districts and … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Candace Valenzuela, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD31, CD32, Colin Allred, Congress, Donald Trump, Donna Imam, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Gina Ortiz Jones, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Julie Oliver, Lizzie FLetcher, Lulu Seikaly, Mike Siegel, polls, President, redistricting, Senate, Sima Ladjevardian, Sri Kulkarni, Stephen Daniel, Ted Cruz, Texas, The Lege, Wendy Davis | 7 Comments

A bullish take on the State House

Posted on July 8, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

From Mike Hailey of Capitol Inside: The wildly unpredictable coronavirus appears to be fueling a massive blue wave that sweeps the Democrats back into power in the Texas House of Representatives with President Donald Trump as their all-time greatest ally. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD10, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD31, Congress, DCCC, Donald Trump, Election 2018, Election 2020, John Cornyn, Pete Flores, polls, Railroad Commission, SD19, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, The Lege | 2 Comments

PPP: Biden 48, Trump 46

Posted on July 4, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

And here’s poll number two, which is technically about the Texas Senate race but I’m counting it as a Presidential poll for consistency. Public Policy Polling’s newest Texas survey finds that John Cornyn has basically no profile in Texas. Only … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, The making of the President | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Donald Trump, Election 2018, Election 2020, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, MJ Hegar, polls, President, Royce West, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas | 2 Comments

Three runoff stories

Posted on July 3, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Just a sample from three high-profile and highly-contested Democratic primary runoff races. TX-SEN: MJ Hegar versus Royce West No two issues have impacted the Texas primary runoffs like the coronavirus pandemic and the protests surrounding George Floyd’s death, but as … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beth van Duyne, Beto O'Rourke, Candace Valenzuela, CD10, CD24, Congress, Democratic primary, Election 2018, Election 2020, fundraising, John Cornyn, Kenny Marchant, Kim Olson, Mike McCaul, Mike Siegel, MJ Hegar, Pritash Gandhi, Royce West, runoff, Senate, Texas | 3 Comments

What should Joe Biden do in Texas?

Posted on June 30, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

“Win” would be my preferred answer, but it’s more complicated than that. No matter how frequently it happens, it’s always a bit startling. Ever since February 2019, polls have been coming out indicating that former Vice President Joe Biden is … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, The making of the President | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Congress, Donald Trump, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, Ken Paxton, MJ Hegar, polls, President, redistricting, Royce West, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, The Lege | 11 Comments

Fox: Biden 45, Trump 44

Posted on June 27, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Man, if we keep getting polls that show Joe Biden leading in Texas, we just might have to rethink where this state is politically. Texas is a tossup, as Democrat Joe Biden tops President Donald Trump by a percentage point, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, The making of the President | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Democratic primary, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, MJ Hegar, polls, President, Royce West, runoff, Senate, Texas | 14 Comments

PPP/PT: Trump 48, Biden 46

Posted on June 24, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Time for another poll. Today, Progress Texas released statewide Texas voter poll results, showing Democrats are within striking distance in both the Presidential and U.S. Senate races in Texas. What does this mean? Texas voters are fed up with Texas … Continue reading →

Runoff reminder: County races

Posted on June 23, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Previously: Statewide, Congress, SBOE and State Senate, State House. There were a ton of contested county race primaries in Harris County, with all of the countywide offices except one HCDE position featuring at least three candidates. When the dust settled, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Adrian Garcia, Beto O'Rourke, Bridgette Smith-Lawson, Chris Diaz, Commissioners Court, Constable, County Judge, Democratic primary, Diana Alexander, District Attorney, Election 2018, Election 2020, Eric Fagan, Fort Bend County, Geneane Hughes, Harris County, Israel Garcia, Jennifer Cantu, Jerry Garcia, Jose Garza, Justice of the Peace, Ken Jones, Lynette Reddix, Margaret Moore, Mark Alan Harrison, Michael Moore, Randy Newman, Richard Morrison, Rodney Ellis, Roel Garcia, runoff, Sheriff, Sherman Eagleton, Sonia Rash, Steve Radack, Texas, Travis County, Troy Nehls | 4 Comments

Runoff reminder: State House

Posted on June 21, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Previously: Statewide, Congress, SBOE and State Senate. There are seven Democratic primary runoffs for State House districts. Let’s have a look at what we’ve got. HD26 Located in Fort Bend County, HD26 is an open seat now held by Rep. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Adam Milasincic, Akilah Bacy, Anna Eastman, Annie's List, Beto O'Rourke, Democratic primary, Election 2018, Election 2020, endorsements, Eric Johnson, Harold Dutton, HD100, HD119, HD138, HD142, HD148, HD26, HD67, Jasmine Crockett, Jenifer Pool, Jennifer Ramos, Jerry Davis, Jessica Farrar, Latino Victory Fund, Liz Campos, Lorenzo Sanchez, Lorraine Birabil, Natasha Ruiz, Penny Shaw, Roland Gutierrez, runoff, Sarah DeMerchant, Suleman Lalani, Texas, The Lege, Tom Adair | 3 Comments

Runoff reminder: SBOE and State Senate

Posted on June 15, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Previously: Statewide and Congress. SBOE Michelle Palmer was the leading candidate in the SBOE6 race, the only SBOE primary to go to a runoff, with 46.8% of the vote. Palmer has the backing of the Victory Fund, which supports LGBTQ … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Carlos Uresti, Ciro Rodriguez, Democratic primary, Eddie Lucio, Election 2018, Election 2020, Kimberly McLeod, Michelle Palmer, Pete Flores, Roland Gutierrez, runoff, Sara Stapleton-Barrera, SBOE, SD19, SD27, Senate, Texas, two thirds rule, Xochil Peña Rodriguez | 2 Comments

Runoff reminder: Congress

Posted on June 8, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Previously, we looked at the two statewide runoffs in the Democratic primary. Today we’re going to look at four Congressional primary runoffs. There are more than four total runoffs in Congressional primaries, but these are in the districts that are … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Candace Valenzuela, CD03, CD10, CD24, CD31, Christine Eady Mann, Congress, DCCC, Democratic primary, Donna Imam, Election 2018, Election 2020, Emily's List, fundraising, Kim Olson, Lulu Seikaly, Mike McCaul, Mike Siegel, MJ Hegar, Pritash Gandhi, runoff, Sean McCaffity, Texas, Van Taylor | 1 Comment

UT/Trib: Trump 49, Biden 44

Posted on April 26, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Our first post-primary poll. Donald Trump would beat Joe Biden by five points in Texas if the presidential race were held now, according to the latest University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll. In a Trump-Biden contest, Democratic and Republican voters overwhelmingly … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, The making of the President | Tagged Barack Obama, Beto O'Rourke, Congress, Democratic primary, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Governor, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, polls, President, Senate, Texas, The Lege, Wendy Davis | 17 Comments

Chron overview of the CD02 primary

Posted on March 1, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Gonna be an interesting one. Near the end of a recent forum for the three Democrats looking to unseat U.S. Rep. Dan Crenshaw, a seemingly innocuous moment hinted at some friction between candidates Elisa Cardnell and Sima Ladjevardian. “At the … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD02, Congress, Dan Crenshaw, Democratic primary, Election 2018, Election 2020, Elisa Cardnell, endorsements, fundraising, Sima Ladjevardian, Ted Cruz, Texas, Travis Olsen | Comments Off

UH Senate poll: Hegar leads, the rest scramble

Posted on February 26, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Day Two of the UH Hobby School of Public Affairs poll, and a second result showing that MJ Hegar is in a strong position to make the primary runoff for Senate. Hegar, a Round Rock Democrat who narrowly lost a … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Amanda Edwards, Annie Garcia, Beto O'Rourke, Chris Bell, Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez, Democratic primary, Election 2020, John Cornyn, Michael Cooper, MJ Hegar, polls, President, Royce West, runoff, Sema Hernandez, Senate, Texas | 2 Comments

What is “safe”?

Posted on February 26, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Saw this on Twitter, and it got me thinking: For those upset about critique of establishment politics: There are D reps in SAFE blue seats who side w/ the NRA, are anti-LGBT+, and yet are protected because they advance the … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD28, Congress, Democratic primary, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Henry Cuellar, Hillary Clinton, Jessica Cisneros, Kirk Watson, precinct analysis, President, SD14, Senate, Texas | 2 Comments

UT/Trib: Two out of three polls say Bernie is moving up

Posted on February 15, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

This is Bernie Sanders’ best poll result in Texas so far. U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders has doubled his support among Democratic voters in Texas and now leads the race for that party’s presidential nomination in Texas, according to the latest … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, The making of the President | Tagged Amy Klobuchar, Andrew Yang, Barack Obama, Bernie Sanders, Beto O'Rourke, Democratic primary, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2020, Elizabeth Warren, Joe Biden, Michael Bloomberg, Mitt Romney, Pete Buttigieg, polls, President, Texas | 4 Comments

Looking ahead in CD07

Posted on January 24, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

This story is primarily about the Republican primary in CD07. I don’t care about that race or those candidates, but there’s some good stuff at the end that I wanted to comment on. Since she’s taken office, some Houston Republicans … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD02, CD07, CD10, CD22, Congress, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Hillary Clinton, Jason Westin, John Culberson, Lizzie FLetcher, Mitt Romney, President, redistricting, Texas | 7 Comments

Beto PAC

Posted on December 28, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

In case you were wondering what he’s up to now. Weeks after dropping out of the presidential race, Beto O’Rourke has launched a new political group to boost Texas Democrats in the 2020 election. In an email to supporters Friday … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, campaign finance reform, campaign finances, Congress, Election 2020, fundraising, Powered by People, SCOTUS, Texas, The Lege | 2 Comments

Trib profile of Sima Ladjevardian

Posted on December 23, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

CD02 gets a boost in profile. In the final hours before the filing deadline on Dec. 9, Sima Ladjevardian arrived at the Harris County Democratic Party office in Houston to make a little bit of news: She was running for … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD02, Congress, Dan Crenshaw, DCCC, Democratic primary, Election 2018, Election 2020, Elisa Cardnell, fundraising, Sima Ladjevardian, Texas, Todd Litton, Travis Olsen | 2 Comments

After-deadline filing review: The Lege

Posted on December 20, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Now we come to the State House, which is where most of the action will be in 2020. In 2018, much of the energy and focus was on Congressional races, to the point where some hand-wringing articles were written about … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Aimee Garza Lopez, Alisa Simmons, Angela Brewer, Anthony Lo, Becca DeFelice, Bell County, Beto O'Rourke, Bexar County, Bill Zedler, Brazos County, Candy Noble, Celina Montoya, Claire Barnett, Collin County, Craig Goldman, Dallas County, Dan Willis, Democratic primary, Denton County, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Elizabeth Beck, Eric Holguin, HD106, HD108, HD121, HD122, HD14, HD149, HD32, HD54, HD64, HD65, HD66, HD67, HD84, HD89, HD92, HD93, HD94, HD96, HD97, Hillary Clinton, Hubert Vo, Janet Dudding, Jeff Leach, Jeff Whitfield, Jennifer Skidonenko, Joanna Cattanach, Jodie Laubenberg, Joe Drago, Joe Straus, John Frullo, John Gibson, Jonathan Cocks, Jonathan Stickland, Lampasas County, Likeithia Williams, Lorenzo Sanchez, Lubbock, Lydia Bean, Lyle Larson, Matt Krause, Matt Shaheen, Morgan Meyer, Nueces County, Raza Rahman, Rocio Hernandez, Sharon Hirsch, Shawn Terry, Steve Allison, Steve Riddell, Sugar Ray Ash, Tarrant County, Texas, The Lege, Todd Hunter, Tom Adair, Tom Ervin, Tony Tinderholt | 5 Comments

Trib overview of State House races

Posted on December 19, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Let’s get the 2020 State House conversation started. For the first time in years, Republicans and Democrats are acknowledging that the GOP could lose its grip on the Texas House — a turning point that would mark the state’s biggest … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Election 2018, Election 2020, Eric Holguin, HD28, HD32, John Zerwas, special election, Texas, The Lege | 2 Comments

Beto: Still not running for Senate

Posted on December 8, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

And as of Monday evening, we can stop talking about this. Beto O’Rourke is reiterating that he is not running for U.S. Senate next year as speculation swirls ahead of the Monday filing deadline. The former El Paso congressman has … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Amanda Edwards, Beto O'Rourke, Chris Bell, Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez, Democratic primary, Election 2018, Election 2020, John Cornyn, MJ Hegar, polls, President, Royce West, Sema Hernandez, Senate, Texas, The Lege | Comments Off

Beto boosts State House candidates

Posted on December 7, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Very nice. A month after ending his presidential campaign, Democrat Beto O’Rourke has turned his attention to state politics — namely, an effort to help flip the Texas House of Representatives from Republican control to the Democrats. With Texas Democrats … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Election 2018, Election 2020, HD134, HD138, HD26, HD28, HD29, President, Rick Miller, Senate, Texas, The Lege | 1 Comment

Beacon Research: Trump 45, Biden 44

Posted on December 4, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

That’s not the headline of this story, but it’s what I’m leading with. With just a week remaining before the deadline to run for office in Texas next year, some Democrats are still hoping to see Beto O’Rourke jump into … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, The making of the President | Tagged Amanda Edwards, Beto O'Rourke, Chris Bell, Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez, Donald Trump, Election 2018, Election 2020, Elizabeth Warren, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, MJ Hegar, polls, President, Royce West, Sema Hernandez, Senate, Texas | 1 Comment

Our first Congressional race ratings

Posted on December 3, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

From Politico, here’s the early view of the state of Texas’ Congressional races in 2020. Lean Dem CD23 (Open, R) CD32 (Allred, D) Tossup CD07 (Fletcher, D) CD22 (Open, R) CD24 (Open, R) Lean GOP CD02 (Crenshaw, R) CD10 (McCaul, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD17, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD31, CD32, Chet Edwards, Congress, Dan Crenshaw, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Elisa Cardnell, fundraising, Lizzie FLetcher, Pete Sessions, redistricting, Texas, Wendy Davis, Will Hurd | 7 Comments

The latest UT-Tyler poll

Posted on November 20, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

A slightly more Republican sample leads to slightly better numbers for Trump in Texas, though they’re still not great. Texas voters are split over whether President Donald Trump should be impeached, though only 43% of voters in the Lone Star … Continue reading →

Posted in The making of the President | Tagged Bernie Sanders, Beto O'Rourke, Donald Trump, Election 2020, impeachment, Joe Biden, Julian Castro, Kamala Harris, Pete Buttigieg, polls, President, Texas | Comments Off

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