Tag Archives: CD07

Crosstab versus 538

Posted on August 21, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

You are familiar with the Congressional race projections from G. Elliott Morris at The Crosstab, which I’ve noted here and here. He uses a probabilistic model for each district. Which as it happens is also the approach taken by FiveThirtyEight … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged CD02, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD31, CD32, Congress, Election 2018, polls, Texas | 1 Comment

Trump’s Texas beneficiaries

Posted on August 15, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Interesting. Six Texas Republican in Congress received a show of financial support from their party’s leader this week. President Donald Trump’s re-election campaign announced Thursday that it was donating the maximum contribution possible to around 100 House and Senate Republican … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged CD07, CD11, CD23, CD26, CD27, CD31, CD32, Congress, Donald Trump, Election 2018, fundraising, John Carter, John Culberson, Michael Burgess, Michael Cloud, Mike Conaway, Pete Sessions, Texas, Will Hurd | 1 Comment

The meta-campaign for Senate

Posted on August 12, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Let’s talk about what we talk about when we talk about the Senate campaign. It’s the most backhanded of compliments. U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke’s campaign for U.S. Senate has caught so much fire throughout the state that the new favorite … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Ag Commissioner, Attorney General, Beto O'Rourke, Brazoria County, CD07, CD21, CD23, CD31, CD32, Collin County, Congress, Dan Patrick, Denton County, Election 2018, Fort Bend County, Governor, Greg Abbott, Harris County, HD115, HD135, HD136, judicial races, Justin Nelson, Ken Paxton, Kim Olson, Lite Gov, Lupe Valdez, Mike Collier, Senate, Sid Miller, Ted Cruz, Texas, The Lege, Williamson County | 1 Comment

Culberson’s continued stock problems

Posted on August 9, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Oopsie. Two members of Congress from Texas — Republican U.S. Reps. Mike Conaway of Midland and John Culberson of Houston — purchased stock in a company last year that is now at the center of insider trading charges against one … Continue reading →

Posted in Scandalized! | Tagged CD07, CD11, Chris Collins, Congress, Election 2018, FBI, Innate Immunotherapeutics, John Culberson, Lizzie FLetcher, Mike Conaway, Tom Price | 2 Comments

Fundraising: 2018 vs the rest of the decade

Posted on July 23, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

When I posted about the Q2 Congressional finance reports, I said I would try to put the totals in some more context at a later time. This is where I do that. Take a look at this table: Dist 2012 … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged campaign finance reports, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD08, CD10, CD12, CD14, CD17, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD26, CD27, CD31, CD32, CD36, Congress, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, fundraising, Texas | Comments Off

July 2018 campaign finance reports: Congress

Posted on July 18, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

So we know that Texas Democratic Congressional challengers really crushed it in Q2, and that’s on top of three strong quarters before that. How good was it? Let’s quantify. Here are the July 2017 finance reports, here are the October … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Adrienne Bell, campaign finance reports, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD08, CD10, CD12, CD14, CD17, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD26, CD27, CD31, CD32, CD36, Colin Allred, Congress, Dayna Steele, Election 2018, Eric Holguin, fundraising, Gina Ortiz Jones, Jan McDowell, Jana Sanchez, Joe Kopser, Julie Oliver, Linsey Fagan, Lizzie FLetcher, Lori Burch, Mike Siegel, MJ Hegar, Rick Kennedy, Sri Kulkarni, Steven David, Texas, Todd Litton, Vanessa Adia | 1 Comment

Dems keep posting very strong finance reports

Posted on July 17, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Wow. There are few bigger warning signs for a member of Congress that their re-election may be in doubt than when a challenger outraises them. In Texas, it just happened to seven incumbents, all Republicans. Since last week, when U.S. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, campaign finance reports, CD02, CD06, CD07, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD25, CD31, CD32, CD36, Chip Roy, Colin Allred, Congress, Dan Crenshaw, Dan Patrick, Election 2018, fundraising, Gina Ortiz Jones, Greg Abbott, Jana Sanchez, Joe Kopser, John Carter, John Culberson, Julie Oliver, Lamar Smith, Lizzie FLetcher, MJ Hegar, Pete Olson, Pete Sessions, Roger Williams, Senate, Sri Kulkarni, Ted Cruz, Texas, Todd Litton, Will Hurd | 3 Comments

We are going to get some Congressional polling soon

Posted on July 13, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Nate Cohn on Twitter: Well we’ve been working pretty hard over here in Upshot land for the last few months, but I think we’ll have at least one thing to show for it fairly soon: results from a test of … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged CD07, CD23, CD32, Colin Allred, Congress, Election 2018, Gina Ortiz Jones, John Culberson, Lizzie FLetcher, Pete Sessions, polls, Texas, Will Hurd | 1 Comment

CD07 candidates endorse the August flood bond referendum

Posted on July 11, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

What I would expect. U.S. Rep. John Culberson and his challenger, Lizzie Fletcher, found rare common ground on Wednesday as both endorsed Harris County’s proposed $2.5 billion flood infrastructure bond proposal. Culberson said he can match every local dollar Harris … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged bond referendum, bonds, CD07, Congress, Ed Emmett, Election 2013, Election 2018, flooding, Harris County, Harris County Flood Control District, Hurricane Harvey, John Culberson, Lizzie FLetcher, Texas | Comments Off

What the prognosticators are saying about Texas

Posted on July 10, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

I’ve covered some of this before, but with Daily Kos releasing their initial House race rankings, let’s see how the national prognosticators are classifying Texas Congressional races. Daily Kos Elections Tossup – CD23 Lean R – CD07, CD32 Likely R … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged CD02, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD31, CD32, Congress, Election 2018, Texas | 2 Comments

Three more Dems top $1 million in Q2

Posted on July 10, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

In the morning there was Gina Ortiz Jones. Gina Ortiz Jones, the Democrat running against U.S. Rep. Will Hurd, R-Helotes, raised more than $1.2 million over the last three months, a huge haul that far outpaces the fundraising by her … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged campaign finance reports, CD07, CD23, CD31, CD32, Colin Allred, Congress, Election 2018, fundraising, Gina Ortiz Jones, John Carter, John Culberson, Lizzie FLetcher, MJ Hegar, Pete Sessions, Texas, Will Hurd | 3 Comments

Where best to attack Culberson?

Posted on July 8, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Flooding is an obvious issue, but it’s hardly the only one. After Hurricane Harvey flooded much of Houston – including the hotly contested Seventh Congressional District – Republican incumbent John Culberson used his position on the House Appropriations Committee to … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Addicks Reservoir, Barker Reservoir, CD07, Congress, flooding, health care, health insurance, Hurricane Harvey, John Culberson, Lizzie FLetcher, Medicaid, Texas | Comments Off

Fletcher reports raising $1 million in Q2

Posted on July 7, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Our first story about a strong finance report from the just-ended previous quarter. Lizzie Pannill Fletcher, the Democratic challenger in one of the Texas congressional seats that Democrats hope to flip in November, reported more than $1 million in contributions … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged campaign finance reports, CD07, Congress, Election 2018, fundraising, John Culberson, Lizzie FLetcher, Texas | 4 Comments

On enthusiasm and fundraising

Posted on July 3, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

RG Ratcliffe engages the “can Lupe Valdez be competitive” question. Valdez will almost certainly lose to Greg Abbott in November. Yet if she inspires Hispanic voters to turn out, she could help Democratic candidates in tight down-ballot races and make … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Battleground Texas, Beto O'Rourke, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD25, CD27, CD31, CD32, CD36, Colin Allred, Congress, Dayna Steele, Election 2014, Election 2018, fundraising, Gina Ortiz Jones, Governor, Greg Abbott, Jana Sanchez, Joe Kopser, Julie Oliver, Leticia Van De Putte, Lite Gov, Lizzie FLetcher, Lorie Burch, Mike Collier, Mike Siegel, MJ Hegar, Pete Gallego, Senate, Sri Kulkarni, Texas, Todd Litton, turnout, Wendy Davis | 33 Comments

Where CD02 and CD07 stand

Posted on June 14, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

The race in CD02 gets a little attention from the Chron. The demographic elements that make the 7th Congressional District in Houston one of the hottest midterm elections in the nation also run through a neighboring area that has some … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged CD02, CD07, Congress, Dan Crenshaw, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2018, fundraising, Hillary Clinton, John Culberson, Lizzie FLetcher, Texas, Todd Litton | Comments Off

Checking in on the Congressional forecast

Posted on June 5, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Now that our November lineups are finalized, I thought I’d check in once again on the 2018 Congressional race forecast, from G. Elliott Morris of The Crosstab. I last wrote about this in December, at a time when the generic … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged CD02, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD14, CD17, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD27, CD31, CD32, Congress, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, polls, Texas, turnout | 2 Comments

DCCC poll: Culberson 47, Fletcher 45

Posted on June 4, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Game on. The U.S. House race between GOP incumbent John Culberson and Democratic challenger Lizzie Pannill Fletcher is generally expected to be closer than most in this traditionally Republican enclave of west Houston and the Harris County suburbs. Now an … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged CD07, Congress, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Greg Abbott, Harris County, John Culberson, Lizzie FLetcher, polls, Texas, turnout | 1 Comment

The Republicans’ risk factors in 2018

Posted on May 28, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

The Cook Report’s Dave Wasserman comes up with a system for evaluating Republican Congressional incumbents who may have some trouble in their future. Armed with fresh FEC data, we have created a table listing seven “risk factors” to gauge Republican … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Brian Babin, CD07, CD21, CD23, CD31, CD32, CD36, Congress, Dayna Steele, Election 2016, Election 2018, fundraising, John Culberson, Pete Sessions, Texas, Will Hurd | 2 Comments

2018 primary runoff results: Congress and Legislature

Posted on May 23, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

All results are here. I began drafting this around 9:30 when there were still a bunch of precincts out, but with the exception of the tossup in CD25, all of the Congressional races were pretty clear by then: CD03: Lorie … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Alex Dominguez, Carl Sherman, CD02, CD03, CD05, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD25, CD27, CD31, CD32, Chip Roy, Colin Allred, Congress, Dan Crenshaw, Democratic primary, Election 2018, Eric Holguin, Gina Ortiz Jones, HD08, HD109, HD121, HD37, HD46, HD54, Jana Sanchez, Joe Kopser, Julie Oliver, Lance Gooden, Lizzie FLetcher, Lorie Burch, Michael Cloud, Mike Siegel, MJ Hegar, primaries, Rene Oliveira, Rita Lucido, runoff, Scott Cosper, SD17, Senate, Sheryl Cole, Sri Kulkarni, Texas, The Lege | 5 Comments

Runoff races, part 1: Congress

Posted on May 13, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

I looked at most of these races after the filing deadline here and here. Here’s a reminder about who’s still in. CD03 Lorie Burch – Finance report Sam Johnson – Finance report First round: Burch 49.61%, Johnson 28.68% Burch was … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged CD03, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD25, CD27, CD31, CD32, Chris Perri, Christine Eady Mann, Colin Allred, Congress, Democratic primary, Election 2018, Eric Holguin, Gina Ortiz Jones, Jana Sanchez, Joe Kopser, Julie Oliver, Laura Moser, Letitia Plummer, Lillian Salerno, Lizzie FLetcher, Lorie Burch, Mary Wilson, Mike Siegel, MJ Hegar, Rick Trevino, Roy Barrera, Ruby Woolridge, runoff, Sam Johnson, Sri Kulkarni, Tawana Cadien, Texas | 2 Comments

Endorsement watch: Runoff time

Posted on May 12, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

The Chron goes for Lizzie Fletcher in CD07. United States Representative, District 7: Lizzie Pannill Fletcher Democrats have a serious chance of knocking Republican Congressman John Culberson out of the seat he has occupied since 2001. The 7th Congressional District … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged CD07, CD10, CD22, Cheryl Elliott Thornton, Congress, Danyahel Norris, Democratic primary, Diane Trautman, District Clerk, Dylan Osborne, Election 2018, endorsements, Harris County Clerk, Harris County Treasurer, HCDE, HD133, Josh Wallenstein, Justice of the Peace, Laura Moser, Lizzie FLetcher, Marilyn Burgess, Martin Schexnayder, Mike Siegel, runoff, Sri Kulkarni, Texas, The Lege | 1 Comment

CD07 candidate forum

Posted on April 24, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Happening tomorrow, at the Trini Mendenhall Community Center, 1414 Wirt Road, Houston, Texas 77055, from 6:15 to 8:45. My guess, as this is the way these things tend to go, is that there will be some mix-and-mingle time with the … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged candidate forum, CD07, Congress, Democratic primary, Election 2018, Laura Moser, Lizzie FLetcher, runoff, Texas | 3 Comments

April 2018 campaign finance reports: Congress

Posted on April 23, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Here are the Q2 finance reports, here are the Q3 finance reports, here are the January 2018 finance reports, and here’s the FEC summary page for Democratic Congressional candidates in Texas. Let’s get to it. Todd Litton – CD02 Lori … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Alex Triantaphyllis, campaign finance reports, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD31, CD32, CD36, Chris Perri, Christine Eady Mann, Colin Allred, Congress, Dayna Steele, Democratic primary, Election 2018, fundraising, Gina Ortiz Jones, Jan McDowell, Joe Kopser, Julie Oliver, Laura Moser, Letitia Plummer, Lillian Salerno, Lizzie FLetcher, Lorie Burch, Mary Wilson, Mike Siegel, MJ Hegar, Rick Trevino, runoff, Sam Johnson, Sri Kulkarni, Tawana Cadien, Texas, Todd Litton | Comments Off

An article about Congressional race in Texas that doesn’t mention CD07

Posted on April 20, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Who knew that was even legal? Several of the most truly competitive House races in the country are in Texas, which could wind up providing Democrats three or more of the 24 flipped seats that they need for control of … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged CD02, CD06, CD07, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD32, Christine Eady Mann, Colin Allred, Congress, Democratic primary, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2018, fundraising, Gina Ortiz Jones, Hillary Clinton, Joe Kopser, Mary Wilson, MJ Hegar, runoff, Sri Kulkarni, Texas | 4 Comments

Chron overview of CD07 runoff

Posted on April 16, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Don’t know how much there is here we didn’t already know, but this is the marquee local runoff, so it gets the attention. On paper, there is little to separate attorney Lizzie Pannill Fletcher and writer-activist Laura Moser, the two … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged CD07, Congress, DCCC, Democratic primary, Election 2018, John Culberson, Laura Moser, Lizzie FLetcher, runoff, Texas | 6 Comments

Cruz’s lesser fundraising haul

Posted on April 15, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

It’s not that little, Ted. Really. When U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke announced his latest fundraising haul earlier this month – a stunning $6.7 million – it was widely expected to surpass what his rival, Republican U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz, brought … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD07, Congress, Election 2018, fundraising, John Culberson, Laura Moser, Lizzie FLetcher, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas | Comments Off

Beto’s big haul

Posted on April 4, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Wow. U.S. Rep. Beto O’Rourke, D-El Paso, raised over $6.7 million for his U.S. Senate bid in the first quarter of 2018, according to his campaign, a staggering number that poses a new category of threat to Republican incumbent Ted … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, campaign finance reports, CD07, Congress, Democratic primary, Election 2002, Election 2008, Election 2018, fundraising, John Culberson, Laura Moser, Lizzie FLetcher, Rick Noriega, Ron Kirk, runoff, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas | 2 Comments

Precinct analysis: HCDE Precinct 1

Posted on April 2, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

After the last precinct analysis post, I got an email from Danny Norris, one of the two candidates in the runoff for HCDE Position 6, Precinct 1, asking if I intended to look at this race. My answer at the … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged CD07, Commissioners Court, Danyahel Norris, Democratic primary, Election 2018, HCDE, Jonathan Miller, Justice of the Peace, precinct analysis, Prince Bryant, runoff, turnout | Comments Off

Who are you calling lazy?

Posted on April 2, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

This makes me laugh. On paper, Rep. John Culberson (R-Texas) appears to be a shoo-in for reelection. He‘s served nine terms in what’s been a GOP stronghold for decades, hasn’t had a serious challenger in years and sits on one … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged CD07, Congress, Election 2018, fundraising, John Culberson, Laura Moser, Lizzie FLetcher, Texas | 1 Comment

Precinct analysis: Countywide candidates

Posted on March 26, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

We have four – count ’em, four – runoffs for Harris County office nominations for May. Every contested countywide non-judicial primary – that is, everything other than County Judge – is going to overtime. I’m going to look at the … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged absentee ballots, CD07, Cosme Garcia, Democratic primary, Diane Trautman, District Clerk, Dylan Osborne, early voting, Election 2018, Elvonte Patton, Gayle Mitchell, Harris County, Harris County Clerk, Harris County Treasurer, HCDE, Josh Wallenstein, Marilyn Burgess, precinct analysis, Richard Cantu, Roz Shorter, runoff, turnout | 1 Comment

The DCCC elsewhere in Texas

Posted on March 26, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

I’m OK with this. The U.S. House Democratic campaign arm may well be at war with another Texas Democrat. Lillian Salerno, a Democratic House candidate in the Dallas-based 32nd Congressional District, pushed out a fiery news release on Thursday afternoon … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged CD07, CD23, CD32, Colin Allred, Congress, DCCC, Democratic primary, Election 2018, Gina Ortiz Jones, Laura Moser, Lillian Salerno, Rick Trevino, Texas | Comments Off

Chron overview of CD07 runoff

Posted on March 23, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

I have three things to say about this. Democrats looking for a ray of hope in Houston’s Republican-leaning Seventh Congressional District have their sights locked on an apparent upset victory in a conservative Pennsylvania district that President Donald Trump won … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged CD07, Congress, Democratic primary, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2018, John Culberson, Laura Moser, Lizzie FLetcher, runoff, Texas, turnout | 4 Comments

The history of CD07

Posted on March 17, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Good read, though not really anything we didn’t already know. West University could have been the set for “Leave it to Beaver” when Serpell Edwards and his wife Betsy bought their home there 45 years ago. The neighbors were mostly … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged CD07, Congress, demography, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2016, Election 2018, Harris County, John Culberson, Laura Moser, Lizzie FLetcher, redistricting, Texas | 4 Comments

2018 primary results: Congress

Posted on March 7, 2018 by Charles Kuffner

Statewide Dem totals Statewide GOP totals Harris County Dem totals Harris County GOP totals (Please note that all results were coming in very slowly. I expect there will still be some precincts not yet reported by the time this publishes. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2018 | Tagged Bech Bruun, Brett Shipp, Bunni Pounds, CD02, CD03, CD05, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD16, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD27, CD29, CD31, CD32, CD36, Chip Roy, Christine Eady Mann, Colin Allred, Congress, Dan Crenshaw, Dayna Steele, Democratic primary, Derrick Crowe, Ed Meier, Election 2018, Gina Ortiz Jones, Jake Ellzey, Jan McDowell, Jana Sanchez, Jason Westin, Jay Hulings, Joe Kopser, Judy Canales, Kathaleen Wall, Kevin Roberts, Lance Gooden, Laura Moser, Letitia Plummer, Lillian Salerno, Lizzie FLetcher, Lorie Burch, Madeline Eden, Mary Wilson, Matt McCall, Michael Cloud, Mike Siegel, MJ Hegar, primaries, Republican Party, Rick Trevino, Ron Wright, Ruby Woolridge, runoff, Sri Kulkarni, Steve Brown, Sylvia Garcia, Tami Walker, Tawana Cadien, Todd Litton, Veronica Escobar, William Negley | 3 Comments

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