Tag Archives: precinct analysis

Precinct analysis: Fort Bend County, part 2

Posted on February 15, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction Congressional districts State Rep districts Commissioners Court/JP precincts Comparing 2012 and 2016 Statewide judicial Other jurisdictions Appellate courts, Part 1 Appellate courts, Part 2 Judicial averages Other cities District Attorney County Attorney Sheriff Tax Assessor County Clerk HCDE Fort … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged 14th Court of Appeals, Amparo Guerra, Amy Clark Meachum, CD09, CD22, Christian Becerra, Commissioners Court, Court of Criminal Appeals, Election 2020, Elizabeth Frizell, Eric Fagan, First Court of Appeals, Fort Bend County, HD26, HD27, HD28, HD85, Jane Robinson, Jim Shoemake, judicial races, Maggie Jaramillo, precinct analysis, Staci Williams, Supreme Court, Tameika Carter, Tamika Craft, Texas, turnout, Veronica Rivas-Molloy | Comments Off

RIP, Rep. Ron Wright

Posted on February 9, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Condolences to his friends and family. U.S. Rep. Ron Wright, an Arlington Republican, has died. His campaign staff announced the news Monday. Wright had lived for years with cancer and was diagnosed with COVID-19 in January. He was 67. “His … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2021 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD06, Congress, coronavirus, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2021, Joe Biden, obituaries, precinct analysis, Ron Wright, special election, Tarrant County, Texas | 7 Comments

Precinct analysis: Fort Bend County, part 1

Posted on February 1, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged CD09, CD22, Chrysta Castaneda, Commissioners Court, Congress, Donald Trump, Election 2004, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Elizabeth Markowitz, Fort Bend County, Gary Gates, George Bush, Harris County, HD26, HD27, HD28, HD85, Jacey Jetton, Jim Wright, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, Ken DeMerchant, MJ Hegar, precinct analysis, President, Railroad Commission, redistricting, Richard Morrison, Sarah DeMerchant, Senate, Sri Kulkarni, straight ticket voting, Texas, The Lege, Troy Nehls | Comments Off

Precinct analysis: HCDE

Posted on January 25, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Bob Wolfe, David Brown, Don Sumners, Election 2020, Erica Davis, Harris County, HCDE, precinct analysis, Texas | Comments Off

Precinct analysis: County Clerk 2020 and 2018

Posted on January 19, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Diane Trautman, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, Harris County Clerk, HD131, HD134, HD141, precinct analysis, Stan Stanart, Teneshia Hudspeth, Texas | Comments Off

Precinct analysis: Presidential results by Congressional district

Posted on January 18, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

From Daily Kos Elections, the breakdown of how Presidential voting went in each of Texas’ 36 Congressional districts: Two districts did in fact flip on the presidential level: Trump lost the 24th District in the Dallas-Fort Worth suburbs while recapturing … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Barack Obama, CD02, CD03, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD15, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD28, CD31, CD32, CD34, Congress, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Filemon Vela, Henry Cuellar, Hillary Clinton, Jessica Cisneros, Joe Biden, Mitt Romney, precinct analysis, President, redistricting, Texas, Vicente Gonzalez | 3 Comments

Precinct analysis: Tax Assessor 2020 and 2016

Posted on January 13, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Ann Harris Bennett, Chris Daniel, early voting, Election 2016, Election 2020, Harris County, Harris County Tax Assessor, HD132, HD134, HD135, HD138, Mike Sullivan, precinct analysis, Texas, turnout | 1 Comment

Precinct analysis: Sheriff 2020 and 2016

Posted on January 11, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction Congressional districts State Rep districts Commissioners Court/JP precincts Comparing 2012 and 2016 Statewide judicial Other jurisdictions Appellate courts, Part 1 Appellate courts, Part 2 Judicial averages Other cities District Attorney County Attorney Behold your 2020 vote champion in Harris … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged CD02, CD07, CD18, Ed Gonzalez, Election 2016, Election 2020, Harris County, Harris County Sheriff, HD126, HD132, HD135, HD138, HD144, HD145, HD149, Joe Danna, Kim Ogg, precinct analysis, Ron Hickman, SD13, Texas, Vince Ryan | 1 Comment

Precinct analysis: County Attorney 2020 and 2016

Posted on January 5, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction Congressional districts State Rep districts Commissioners Court/JP precincts Comparing 2012 and 2016 Statewide judicial Other jurisdictions Appellate courts, Part 1 Appellate courts, Part 2 Judicial averages Other cities District Attorney The office of County Attorney gets less attention than … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged CD07, CD29, Christian Menefee, Election 2016, Election 2020, Harris County, Harris County Attorney, HD126, HD127, HD128, HD130, HD140, HD143, HD144, HD145, HD148, HD149, HD150, Jim Leitner, John Nation, Kim Ogg, precinct analysis, Texas, Vince Ryan | Comments Off

Precinct analysis: District Attorney 2020 and 2016

Posted on January 4, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction Congressional districts State Rep districts Commissioners Court/JP precincts Comparing 2012 and 2016 Statewide judicial Other jurisdictions Appellate courts, Part 1 Appellate courts, Part 2 Judicial averages Other cities We move on now to the county executive office races for … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged CD07, CD10, CD18, CD29, Devon Anderson, District Attorney, Election 2016, Election 2020, Harris County, HD126, HD133, HD134, HD140, HD143, HD144, HD145, HD148, HD150, Kim Ogg, Mary Nan Huffman, precinct analysis, Texas | 1 Comment

Precinct analysis: Other cities

Posted on December 30, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction Congressional districts State Rep districts Commissioners Court/JP precincts Comparing 2012 and 2016 Statewide judicial Other jurisdictions Appellate courts, Part 1 Appellate courts, Part 2 Judicial averages I mentioned in an earlier post that I might look at election results … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Baytown, Bellaire, Deer Park, Election 2020, Friendswood, Galena Park, Harris County, Humble, Katy, La Porte, League City, Missouri City, Nassau Bay, Pearland, precinct analysis, President, Railroad Commission, Seabrook, Senate, Texas, Webster | 1 Comment

Precinct analysis: The judicial averages

Posted on December 28, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction Congressional districts State Rep districts Commissioners Court/JP precincts Comparing 2012 and 2016 Statewide judicial Other jurisdictions Appellate courts, Part 1 Appellate courts, Part 2 As you know, I use the average totals and percentages from local judicial races as … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Adrian Garcia, CD07, Commissioners Court, Constable, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Harris County, HD132, HD134, HD135, HD138, HD144, Jon Rosenthal, judicial races, Justice of the Peace, Kristen Hawkins, Lizzie FLetcher, Michael Gomez, precinct analysis, redistricting, Russ Ridgway, straight ticket voting, Ted Heap, Texas, turnout | 2 Comments

Precinct analysis: Appellate courts, part 2

Posted on December 23, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction Congressional districts State Rep districts Commissioners Court/JP precincts Comparing 2012 and 2016 Statewide judicial Other jurisdictions Appellate courts, Part 1 Here’s the more traditional look at the Court of Appeals races. Unlike the Supreme Court and CCA, all of … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged 14th Court of Appeals, Amparo Guerra, CD07, Congress, Election 2020, First Court of Appeals, Harris County, HD132, HD134, HD135, HD138, Jane Robinson, judicial races, precinct analysis, straight ticket voting, Tamika Craft, Texas, The Lege, Tracy Christopher, Veronica Rivas-Molloy | Comments Off

Precinct analysis: Appellate courts, part 1

Posted on December 22, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction Congressional districts State Rep districts Commissioners Court/JP precincts Comparing 2012 and 2016 Statewide judicial Other jurisdictions My next two posts in this series will focus on the 1st and 14th Courts of Appeals. These courts are a little strange … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged 14th Court of Appeals, Amparo Guerra, Austin County, Brazoria County, Burleson County, Chambers County, Colorado County, Election 2004, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2020, First Court of Appeals, Fort Bend County, Galveston, Grimes County, Harris County, Jane Robinson, Jim Sharp, judicial races, precinct analysis, President, redistricting, Terry Adams, Texas, The Lege, Tracy Christopher, Trinity County, turnout, Veronica Rivas-Molloy, Walker County, Waller County, Washington County | 1 Comment

Precinct analysis: Other jurisdictions

Posted on December 21, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction Congressional districts State Rep districts Commissioners Court/JP precincts Comparing 2012 and 2016 Statewide judicial You may be wondering “Hey, how come you haven’t reported on data from SBOE and State Senate districts?” Well, I’ll tell you, since the SBOE … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Adrian Garcia, Audrey Young, Barack Obama, Beto O'Rourke, Court of Criminal Appeals, Dan Patrick, David Romero, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, Houston, Joe Biden, judicial races, Lawrence Allen, Michelle Palmer, Paul Bettencourt, precinct analysis, President, Railroad Commission, redistricting, SBOE, SD07, SD17, Senate, Supreme Court, Texas | 5 Comments

Precinct analysis: Statewide judicial

Posted on December 15, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction Congressional districts State Rep districts Commissioners Court/JP precincts Comparing 2012 and 2016 We’re going to take a look at the seven statewide judicial races in this post, with all of the districts considered so far grouped together. You’re about … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Amy Clark Meachum, Bert Richardson, Brandon Birmingham, Brett Busby, Court of Criminal Appeals, David Newell, Election 2020, Elizabeth Frizell, Gisela Triana, Harris County, Jane Bland, Jeff Boyd, judicial races, Kathy Cheng, Kevin Yeary, Libertarian Party, Nathan Hecht, precinct analysis, Staci Williams, Supreme Court, Texas, Tina Clinton, turnout | 1 Comment

Precinct analysis: Comparing to 2012 and 2016

Posted on December 14, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction Congressional districts State Rep districts Commissioners Court/JP precincts I had meant to get to this last week, but SeditionPalooza took up too much of my time, so here we are. The intent of this post is to compare vote … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Barack Obama, Christi Craddick, Chrysta Castaneda, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Eva Guzman, Harris County, HD126, HD127, HD128, HD129, HD130, HD131, HD132, HD133, HD134, HD135, HD137, HD138, HD139, HD140, HD141, HD142, HD143, HD144, HD145, HD146, HD147, HD148, HD149, HD150, Hillary Clinton, Jim Wright, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, Mitt Romney, MJ Hegar, Paul Sadler, precinct analysis, President, Railroad Commission, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, The Lege, turnout, Wayne Christian | 4 Comments

Precinct analysis: Commissioners Court and JP/Constable precincts

Posted on December 10, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction Congressional districts State Rep districts We now zoom in for a look at various county districts, which are also called “precincts”. I don’t know why we have County Commissioner precincts and JP/Constable precincts to go along with regular voting … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Adrian Garcia, Beto O'Rourke, Chrysta Castaneda, Commissioners Court, Constable, Donald Trump, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, Israel Garcia, Jack Morman, Jim Wright, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, Justice of the Peace, Laryssa Korduba, Mark Alan Harrison, MJ Hegar, precinct analysis, President, Railroad Commission, redistricting, Russ Ridgway, Senate, Ted Heap, Texas, Tom Ramsey | 2 Comments

Precinct analysis: State Rep districts

Posted on December 9, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction Congressional districts We move now to State Rep districts, which is my usual currency since they provide complete coverage of the county with no partial pieces. You can also get a much more nuanced view of how things have … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Chrysta Castaneda, Donald Trump, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, HD126, HD127, HD128, HD129, HD130, HD131, HD132, HD133, HD134, HD135, HD137, HD138, HD139, HD140, HD141, HD142, HD143, HD144, HD145, HD146, HD147, HD148, HD149, HD150, Hubert Vo, Jim Wright, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, Mary Ann Perez, MJ Hegar, precinct analysis, President, Railroad Commission, redistricting, Sarah Davis, Senate, Texas, The Lege | 3 Comments

Precinct analysis: Congressional districts

Posted on December 8, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction All right, let’s get this party started. In the past I’ve generally done the top races by themselves, but any race involving Trump provides challenges, because his level of support just varies in comparison to other Republicans depending on … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged CD02, CD07, CD08, CD09, CD10, CD18, CD22, CD29, CD36, Chrysta Castaneda, Congress, Dan Crenshaw, Donald Trump, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, Jim Wright, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, Lizzie FLetcher, Mike McCaul, MJ Hegar, precinct analysis, President, Railroad Commission, redistricting, Senate, Sheila Jackson Lee, Sima Ladjevardian, Sylvia Garcia, Texas, Wendell Champion, Wesley Hunt | 5 Comments

2020 precinct analysis: Introduction and overview

Posted on December 7, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

So I finally got a full canvass of the 2020 election in a nice and convenient spreadsheet form. I spent a fair amount of the Thanksgiving week doing what I usually do with it, to generate totals for all of … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2019 | Tagged Commissioners Court, Congress, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2020, Harris County, judicial races, precinct analysis, President, Railroad Commission, redistricting, SBOE, Senate, Supreme Court, Texas, The Lege | 8 Comments

Counties of interest, part seven: West Texas

Posted on December 4, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Part 1 – Counties around Harris Part 2 – Counties around Dallas/Tarrant Part 3 – Counties around Travis Part 4 – Counties around Bexar Part 5 – East Texas Part 6 – Central Texas Last entry in this series, and … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Abilene, Amarillo, Ector County, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2020, Jones County, Kerr County, Kerrville, Lubbock, Midland, Midland County, Odessa, Potter County, precinct analysis, President, San Angelo, Taylor County, Texas, Tom Green County, turnout, Wichita County, Wichita Falls | 2 Comments

Counties of interest, part six: Central Texas

Posted on December 3, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Part 1 – Counties around Harris Part 2 – Counties around Dallas/Tarrant Part 3 – Counties around Travis Part 4 – Counties around Bexar Part 5 – East Texas We move on now to counties in Central Texas, which for … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Bell County, Belton, Brazos County, Bryan, College Station, Corpus Christi, Coryell County, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2020, Granbury, Grayson County, HD54, Hood County, I-35, Killeen, McLennan County, Nueces, precinct analysis, President, Sherman, Temple, Texas, The Lege, Victoria County, voter registration, Waco | 2 Comments

Counties of interest, part five: East Texas

Posted on December 2, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Part 1 – Counties around Harris Part 2 – Counties around Dallas/Tarrant Part 3 – Counties around Travis Part 4 – Counties around Bexar The next three entries in this series will look at regions, and counties of interest within … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Angelina County, Bowie County, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2020, Gregg County, Hardin County, Harrison County, Henderson County, Hunt County, Huntsville, Jefferson County, Longview, Lufkin, Marshall, Nacogdoches, Nacogdoches County, Orange County, precinct analysis, President, SHSU, Smith County, Stephen F. Austin State University, Texarkana, Texas, Tyler, Van Zandt County, voter registration, Walker County | 3 Comments

Counties of interest, part four: Around Bexar

Posted on November 24, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Part 1 – Counties around Harris Part 2 – Counties around Dallas/Tarrant Part 3 – Counties around Travis Pop quiz, hotshot: Close your eyes, or cover the table below, and name for me the seven counties that border Bexar. Go … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Atascosa County, Bandera County, Bexar County, Comal County, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2020, Guadalupe County, Kendall County, Medina County, precinct analysis, President, Texas, Wilson County | 4 Comments

Counties of interest, part three: Around Travis

Posted on November 23, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Part 1 – Counties around Harris Part 2 – Counties around Dallas/Tarrant Travis County has been at the forefront of the Democratic renaissance in Texas, punching well above its weight with both performance and turnout. Its blue essence has been … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Bastrop County, Blanco County, Burnet County, Caldwell County, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2020, Hays County, precinct analysis, President, Texas, Travis County, Williamson County | 3 Comments

Counties of interest, part two: Around the Metroplex

Posted on November 19, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Part 1 – Counties around Harris Dallas and Tarrant Counties are two big squares right next to each other, so I’m combining them into one post. County Romney Obama Trump Clinton Trump Biden Shift ========================================================================= Collin 196,888 101,415 201,014 140,624 … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Collin County, Dallas County, demography, Denton County, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2020, Ellis County, Johnson County, Kaufman County, Parker County, precinct analysis, President, Rockwall County, Tarrant County, Texas, turnout, Wise County | 17 Comments

Counties of interest, part one: Around Harris

Posted on November 18, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

There’s been so much focus in the past couple of years about the suburbs and how their traditional voting patterns have changed. I wanted to use the election results we have to take a closer look at what that means. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Brazoria County, Chambers County, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2020, Fort Bend County, Galveston, Harris County, Liberty County, Montgomery County, precinct analysis, President, Texas, Waller County | 6 Comments

So how did my simple projection work out?

Posted on November 12, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Remember this? I divided the counties up by how much their voter rolls had grown or shrunk since 2012, then used the 2016 turnout levels and 2018 results to project final numbers for the Presidential election in 2020. Now that … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020, The making of the President | Tagged Barack Obama, Beto O'Rourke, Brooks County, Comal County, Culberson County, Dimmit County, Donald Trump, Duval County, Ector County, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Ellis County, Frio County, Harris County, Hillary Clinton, Jefferson County, Jim Hogg County, Jim Wells County, Joe Biden, Kaufman County, Kleberg County, La Salle County, Lubbock, Midland County, Mitt Romney, Montgomery County, Parker County, precinct analysis, President, Presidio County, Randall County, Reeves County, Rockwall County, Senate, Smith County, Starr County, Ted Cruz, Texas, turnout, Val Verde County, voter registration, Willacy County, Zapata County, Zavala County | 2 Comments

More early data from State Rep districts

Posted on November 11, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

From Derek Ryan on Twitter: . President Trump won House District 74, a Democrat-held district in West Texas along the border, with 53.1%. He also won House District 31, a Democrat-held district in South Texas with 56.2%. — Derek Ryan … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Abel Herrero, Cameron County, Donald Trump, Eddie Morales, Election 2004, Election 2020, Election 2022, George Bush, HD134, HD31, HD34, HD43, HD74, Hidalgo County, Joe Biden, Nueces County, precinct analysis, redistricting, Ryan Guillen, Sarah Davis, Texas, The Lege | 3 Comments

It’s a range, not a number

Posted on November 9, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

I don’t have full canvass data yet, but as I have said, I have Presidential data courtesy of Greg Wythe. Here are a couple of districts of interest: Dist Biden Trump Biden% Trump% ========================================= CD02 170,707 178,840 48.1% 50.0% CD07 … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD02, CD18, Commissioners Court, Congress, Constable, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, HD132, HD133, HD134, HD135, HD138, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Justice of the Peace, precinct analysis, President, redistricting, SBOE, Senate, Texas, The Lege | 2 Comments

A first response to the Latino voting (and polling) question

Posted on November 7, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

For your consideration: . Fixating on Zapata County and saying Dems have a Latino problem in Texas is inaccurate. The reality is Latino voter participation broke records and expanded the democratic vote margins in the state. #Texas #LatinoVote Thread 1/5 … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Bexar County, Dallas County, Donald Trump, El Paso, Election 2016, Election 2020, HD137, HD138, HD140, HD143, HD144, HD145, HD148, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Jolt Initiative, Latino voting, polls, precinct analysis, President, Starr County, Texas, turnout | 11 Comments

A few observations from the final unofficial countywide data

Posted on November 6, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

This is still unofficial, and there will still be some overseas/military ballots to be counted as well as some provisional ballots to be cured, but the count of the votes cast by Election Day is over, and we have the … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged absentee ballots, Akilah Bacy, Ann Johnson, CD07, CD22, Congress, early voting, Election 2018, Election 2020, Gina Calanni, Harris County, HD132, HD134, HD135, HD137, HD138, HD140, HD143, HD144, HD145, Jon Rosenthal, Libertarian Party, Lizzie FLetcher, precinct analysis, President, Sarah Davis, Senate, Texas, The Lege, turnout, voter registration | 3 Comments

CD31 poll: Carter 43, Imam 37

Posted on September 14, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Another interesting Congressional race poll. With less than two months to go until Election Day, an increasing number of eyes are looking toward Texas, where Republicans are fighting to keep their grip on the once-reliably conservative state. There is perhaps … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Barack Obama, Beto O'Rourke, CD21, CD31, Chip Roy, Congress, DCCC, Donald Trump, Donna Imam, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, fundraising, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Joe Kopser, John Carter, John Cornyn, Libertarian Party, Mitt Romney, MJ Hegar, polls, precinct analysis, President, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, Wendy Davis, Williamson County | 1 Comment

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