Tag Archives: Election 2016

Time for another chat about voter registration and turnout

Posted on November 20, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

Let’s do it. Texas Democrats came away from Beto O’Rourke’s surprisingly narrow 2018 defeat to U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz with a simple plan: register to vote the millions of nonvoting Texans that demographics suggest lean Democrat and electoral victories will … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2024 | Tagged Battleground Texas, Beto O'Rourke, Election 2002, Election 2004, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2024, Greg Abbott, Harris County, Swing Left 7, Ted Cruz, Texas, turnout, voter registration | 6 Comments

Ann Harris Bennett not running for re-election

Posted on October 26, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

We will elect a new Tax Assessor-Collector next year. Harris County Tax Assessor-Collector Ann Harris Bennett, a second-term Democrat, announced last week she will not seek re-election in 2024. She will continue to lead Harris County’s voter registration process through … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2024 | Tagged Ann Harris Bennett, Democratic primary, Election 2016, Election 2024, Harris County, Harris County Tax Assessor, Texas, voter registration | 6 Comments

Nueces County DA announces Senate candidacy

Posted on September 7, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

Okay. The embattled district attorney for Nueces County, Mark Gonzalez, announced Tuesday that he will enter the Democratic primary to challenge U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz, R-Texas. By announcing his campaign, Gonzalez resigned his current position — a significant development given … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2024 | Tagged Attorney General, Colin Allred, Democratic primary, District Attorney, Election 2016, Election 2020, Election 2024, Mark Gonzalez, Nueces County, Roland Gutierrez, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas | 3 Comments

Paxton not feeling the love in Collin County

Posted on June 6, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

Poor baby. When the Texas House of Representatives voted overwhelmingly to impeach Attorney General Ken Paxton in the waning days of a regular legislative session, some Texans were shocked that the 121 “yes” votes included every representative from Collin County, … Continue reading →

Posted in Scandalized!, That's our Lege | Tagged Attorney General, Barack Obama, Candy Noble, Collin County, demography, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Frederick Frazier, Harris County, HD61, HD66, HD67, HD89, impeachment, Jeff Leach, Joe Biden, Justin Holland, Ken Paxton, Matt Shaheen, Mihaela Plesa, Mitt Romney, President, Senate, Servergy, Texas, The Lege | 1 Comment

So what happens with CD18 now?

Posted on March 29, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

This story is a very basic explainer about Rep. Sheila Jackson Lee’s just-announced Mayoral campaign. There’s only so much it can tell us as she has not yet talked about what her top campaign priorities are, and most of the … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2023 | Tagged Carroll Robinson, CD18, Congress, Democratic primary, Election 2015, Election 2016, Election 2023, Election 2024, Election 2026, filing deadline, Garnet Coleman, HD139, HD147, Houston, Jarvis Johnson, John Whitmire, Jolanda Jones, Mayor, runoff, SD15, Senate, Sheila Jackson Lee, special election, Sylvester Turner, Texas, The Lege | 7 Comments

Precinct analysis: Looking back at the 2012 landscape

Posted on March 27, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

PREVIOUSLY: State House 2022 We’ve had our first look at the way the new State House districts performed, and while we can expect the 2024 election to be a little different, it’s clear at this time that there aren’t many … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Barack Obama, Craig Eiland, Donald Trump, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Greg Abbott, HD102, HD105, HD107, HD108, HD112, HD113, HD114, HD115, HD117, HD118, HD125, HD132, HD134, HD135, HD136, HD138, HD144, HD148, HD149, HD23, HD32, HD34, HD41, HD43, HD45, HD47, HD48, HD50, HD52, HD54, HD65, HD74, HD78, HD96, HD97, Mitt Romney, precinct analysis, redistricting, Texas, The Lege | 1 Comment

In support of Crystal Mason

Posted on February 23, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

Hoping for the best. The same month Tarrant County officials announced the creation of an election integrity task force, a group of 14 bipartisan prosecutors threw their weight behind an effort to acquit the woman at the center of a high-profile … Continue reading →

Posted in Crime and Punishment | Tagged 2nd Court of Appeals, ACLU of Texas, Bryan Hughes, Court of Criminal Appeals, Craig Goldman, Crystal Mason, Election 2016, Greg Abbott, Ken Paxton, Tarrant County, Texas, The Lege, voter suppression | 1 Comment

What will it take to keep those ten appellate court benches we won in 2018?

Posted on February 21, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

As you may recall, Democrats won a ton of Appellate Court races in 2018. Ten of them, in fact, five each on the First and Fourteenth Courts of Appeals, the first such victories since winning a lone bench in 2008. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2024 | Tagged 14th Court of Appeals, Austin County, Beto O'Rourke, Brazoria County, Chambers County, Colorado County, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2024, First Court of Appeals, Fort Bend County, Galveston, Grimes County, Harris County, Joe Biden, judicial races, MJ Hegar, precinct analysis, straight ticket voting, Texas, turnout, Waller County, Washington County | 1 Comment

What I want from the next HCDP Chair

Posted on February 6, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

As you know, the Harris County Democratic Party will soon have a new Chair. And as you know, I am a Democratic precinct chair, which means I’m one of the several hundred people that will vote on who that is. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2023 | Tagged 14th Court of Appeals, Beto O'Rourke, Brazoria County, CD02, CD22, Chambers County, Congress, Ed Gonzalez, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2024, First Court of Appeals, Fort Bend County, Galveston, Harris County, HCDP, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Liberty County, Mike Doyle, Montgomery County, Odus Evbagharu, SBOE, SD07, SD17, Senate, Silvia Mintz, Texas, turnout, voter suppression, Waller County | 3 Comments

Precinct analysis: The better statewide races

Posted on December 30, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

PREVIOUSLY Beto versus Abbott Beto versus the spread Hidalgo versus Mealer As noted before, Greg Abbott got 490K votes in Harris County, far less than the 559K he received in 2018 running against Lupe Valdez. Of the other six races … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Ag Commissioner, Attorney General, Beto O'Rourke, Bill White, Dan Patrick, Election 2010, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Governor, Greg Abbott, HD132, HD133, HD134, HD138, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Ken Paxton, Lite Gov, Mike Collier, precinct analysis, Rochelle Garza, Sid Miller, Susan Hays, Ted Cruz, Texas, The Lege | 4 Comments

State and county election result relationships: Tarrant County

Posted on December 12, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

In years past, Tarrant County was a pretty close bellwether for election results in the state of Texas. From 2004 through 2016, the closeness of their Presidential numbers with the statewide numbers was eerie. But since 2018 the talk has … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Election 2002, Election 2004, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2024, Governor, Joe Biden, precinct analysis, President, Senate, Tarrant County, Texas, Wendy Davis | 2 Comments

Christopher Busby: The Case for Texas Democratic Optimism

Posted on November 17, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

(Note: The following is a guest post that was submitted to me. I occasionally solicit guest posts, and also occasionally accept them from people I trust.) The election came and went with a similar story. Texas Democrats just started to … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Barack Obama, Beto O'Rourke, Election 2000, Election 2008, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2024, George Bush, Governor, Greg Abbott, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Lupe Valdez, President, Ted Cruz, Texas | 4 Comments

State and county election result relationships, part 4: What happened in 2022

Posted on November 15, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

Part 1 Part 2 Part 3 Now that the final totals are in, let’s go back and do the same exercise in comparing overall results for statewide candidates to the results they got in Harris County, and then from there … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Alexandra Mealer, Barack Obama, Beto O'Rourke, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Governor, Harris County, Harris County Judge, judicial races, Lina Hidalgo, polls, precinct analysis, Texas, turnout, Wendy Davis | 1 Comment

Fewer mail ballots rejected in November

Posted on November 7, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

Good, but still could be better. Local election officials in Texas are reporting a drop in the percentage of mail ballots that have so far been flagged for rejection during the ongoing midterm elections, as compared with a spike earlier … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged absentee ballots, early voting, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Harris County, Secretary of State, Texas, turnout, voter suppression | 1 Comment

What will Tarrant County do this year?

Posted on October 30, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

Hoping for a blue result at the top and at least closer races below it, but we’ll see. Eight years after voting for Gov. Greg Abbott, Angela Martinez found herself waiting in line Tuesday to snap a photo with Beto … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Greg Abbott, Joe Biden, Tarrant County, Texas | 1 Comment

State and county election result relationships, part 3: Other county races

Posted on October 21, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

Part One Part Two Last time we looked at judicial races, which for all of the complaints about not knowing the candidates and just going by partisan labels have produced a consistent range of outcomes over the years. Some people … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Adrian Garcia, Beverly Kaufman, Devon Anderson, Diane Trautman, District Attorney, District Clerk, Ed Emmett, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Governor, Harris County, Harris County Clerk, Harris County Judge, Harris County Sheriff, Harris County Tax Assessor, Harris County Treasurer, HCDE, Kim Ogg, Lloyd Oliver, Mike Anderson, Paul Bettencourt, polls, precinct analysis, President, Senate, straight ticket voting, Texas, Tommy Thomas | 6 Comments

State and county election result relationships, part 2: Judicial races

Posted on October 20, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

In Part One of this series, we looked at the relationship between statewide results and Harris County results for statewide candidates. In the last three elections, statewide Democratic candidates have done on average more than nine points better in Harris … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Bill White, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Governor, Harris County, judicial races, polls, precinct analysis, President, Senate, Texas | 1 Comment

State and county election result relationships, part 1: How Harris compares

Posted on October 18, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

I’ve been thinking a lot lately about the relationship between how statewide Democratic candidates do in Harris County versus how they do overall, and what that might tell us about the state of play in Harris County. Since I started … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Election 2002, Election 2004, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Governor, Harris County, polls, precinct analysis, President, Senate, Texas | 5 Comments

What do we expect from CD23?

Posted on August 30, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

It was the perennial razor-close high-dollar swing district all last decade. Will Hurd won it three times, but never reached 50% in any of the three elections. It moved a few points towards the GOP in 2020 when Tony Gonzales … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2023 | Tagged CD03, CD15, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD26, CD28, CD38, Congress, DCCC, Donald Trump, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Joe Biden, John Lira, redistricting, Texas, Tony Gonzales, Will Hurd | Comments Off

The independents

Posted on August 2, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

Recently I got an email from a gentleman named Ted Wood, who wrote to inform me that he had successfully completed the requirements to be an independent candidate for Chief Justice of the First Court of Appeals on the November … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Amparo Guerra, Andy Williams, Angelina Goodman, CD09, CD18, CD34, Congress, Constable, Election 1996, Election 2002, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, First Court of Appeals, Harris County, judicial races, Julie Countiss, petitions, public defender, Secretary of State, Sherry Radack, Ted Wood, Terry Adams, Texas, The Lege | 5 Comments

Jordan and Dolcefino

Posted on June 29, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

I have questions about this. Darrell William Jordan, a Harris County misdemeanor court judge, on Monday was arrested and charged with of official oppression, according to court records. Jordan is accused of using his office to unlawfully arrest and detain … Continue reading →

Posted in Crime and Punishment | Tagged Brian Middleton, Darrell Jordan, District Attorney, Election 2014, Election 2016, Fort Bend County, grand jury, Harris County, Kim Ogg, Texas, Wayne Dolcefino | 3 Comments

Flores wins CD34 special election

Posted on June 16, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

Groan. Republican Mayra Flores prevailed Tuesday in a special election for an open congressional seat in South Texas, marking a major breakthrough for Republicans eager to blaze new inroads in the historically blue region. She beat Dan Sanchez, the leading … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged CD15, CD34, Congress, Dan Sanchez, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Filemon Vela, fundraising, HD118, Hidalgo County, Juana Cantu-Cabrera, Mayra Flores, Rene Coronado, SD19, special election, Texas | 8 Comments

Crystal Mason’s conviction to be reconsidered

Posted on May 12, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

Good news. The Texas Court of Criminal Appeals has told a lower appeals court to take another look at the controversial illegal voting conviction of Crystal Mason, who was given a five-year prison sentence for casting a provisional ballot in … Continue reading →

Posted in Crime and Punishment | Tagged 2nd Court of Appeals, ACLU of Texas, Court of Criminal Appeals, Crystal Mason, Election 2016, Greg Abbott, Ken Paxton, Tarrant County, Texas, The Lege, voter suppression | 1 Comment

Precinct analysis: The new Senate map

Posted on March 22, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

Previously: New State House map, New Congressional map, new SBOE map. The good news is that all 31 Senate seats will be on the ballot this year, as it is a post-redistricting year. The bad news is that the only … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged demography, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, precinct analysis, redistricting, SD02, SD07, SD08, SD09, SD10, SD12, SD17, SD19, SD20, SD27, SD30, Senate, Texas | Comments Off

Final 2022 primary early voting totals

Posted on February 27, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

It’s been a strange two weeks for early voting, so let’s get to the wrapup. Here are your final early voting totals. The table for comparison: Election Mail Early Total ================================ 2018 D 22,695 70,152 92,847 2018 R 24,500 61,425 … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged absentee ballots, Attorney General, early voting, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Governor, Harris County, Texas, turnout, voter suppression | 3 Comments

Precinct analysis: The new SBOE map

Posted on December 22, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Previously: New State House map, New Congressional map I probably care more about the SBOE than most normal people do. It’s not that powerful an entity, there are only 15 seats on it, and their elections go largely under the … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Collin County, Comal County, Dallas County, Denton County, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2020, Election 2022, Fort Bend County, Harris County, Hood County, Joe Biden, Johnson County, Montgomery County, Parker County, precinct analysis, redistricting, SBOE, Somervell County, Tarrant County, Texas, Travis County | Comments Off

Beto and South Texas

Posted on December 3, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Brace yourself for a lot of stories like this in the coming months. In the first days of his campaign for governor, Beto O’Rourke made a beeline to this southernmost corner of the state, saying it was no mistake he … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Barack Obama, Beto O'Rourke, Bill Moody, Dori Garza, Election 2004, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Elizabeth Frizell, Governor, Greg Abbott, Hector Uribe, Hidalgo County, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, John Kerry, JR Molina, Latino voting, Leticia Van De Putte, Linda Yanez, Michele Petty, Senate, Steven Kirkland, Ted Cruz, Texas | 6 Comments

Precinct analysis: The new Congressional map

Posted on November 23, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Previously: New State House map We will now take a look at how the districts of interest in the new Congressional map have changed over the past decade. Same basic idea, looking at the closer districts from 2020 to see … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Barack Obama, CD03, CD07, CD10, CD12, CD15, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD26, CD28, CD31, CD34, CD38, Congress, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2020, Election 2022, Joe Biden, Mitt Romney, precinct analysis, redistricting, Texas | 2 Comments

The growing field for Land Commissioner

Posted on November 21, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

We have some interesting candidates on our side. A member of a South Texas family that owns one of the largest ranches in the country is seeking the Democratic nomination for Texas land commissioner, the statewide office overseeing the Alamo’s … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Democratic primary, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Jay Kleberg, Jinny Suh, Kleberg County, Land Commissioner, Texas | Comments Off

Luke Warford announces for Railroad Commissioner

Posted on November 12, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

He’s got the right idea about what to run on. A 32-year-old former top staffer for the Texas Democratic Party is running for a spot on the three-person commission regulating the state’s oil and gas industry, hoping to unseat Republican … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged blackouts, Chrysta Castaneda, Democratic primary, Election 2016, Election 2020, Election 2022, Freeze 2021, Grady Yarbrough, Jim Wright, Luke Warford, natural gas, Railroad Commission, Texas, Wayne Christian | 1 Comment

Precinct analysis: The new State House map

Posted on November 8, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Like it or not, we have new State House districts. We may as well acquaint ourselves with them. The coverage we’ve had so far has focused on the 2020 election numbers to say whether a district will be red or … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Alex Dominguez, Barack Obama, Bell County, Beto O'Rourke, Brazoria County, Brazos County, Collin County, Denton County, Donald Trump, Eddie Lucio, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Fort Bend County, Hays County, HD106, HD108, HD112, HD118, HD121, HD122, HD126, HD127, HD129, HD132, HD133, HD134, HD138, HD14, HD144, HD148, HD150, HD20, HD25, HD26, HD28, HD29, HD33, HD34, HD35, HD36, HD37, HD39, HD41, HD45, HD47, HD52, HD54, HD55, HD57, HD61, HD63, HD65, HD66, HD70, HD74, HD76, HD80, HD84, HD89, HD93, HD94, HD96, HD97, HD99, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Mitt Romney, Penny Shaw, precinct analysis, redistricting, Rockwall County, Texas, The Lege, Williamson County | 3 Comments

Rep. Vicente Gonzalez to switch to CD34

Posted on October 28, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

And in doing so, he’s probably going to make it harder to hold onto CD15, the swingiest district in the state (as far as we can tell from 2020 data). U.S. Rep. Vicente Gonzalez, D-McAllen, announced Tuesday he is running … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Amy Clark Meachum, CD15, CD34, Chrysta Castaneda, Congress, DCCC, Democratic primary, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Eliza Alvarado, Elizabeth Frizell, Filemon Vela, fundraising, Gisela Triana, Joe Biden, Monica de la Cruz-Hernandez, redistricting, Rochelle Garza, Ruben Ramirez, Texas, Vicente Gonzalez | 3 Comments

2021 Day Seven EV report: After the weekend

Posted on October 26, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Let’s get right to it: These are the early voting totals for the 2021 election after Sunday: Mail ballots: 36,517 In person: 19,901 You can see the full Day Seven report here. The “voters by type” breakdown on the last … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2021 | Tagged absentee ballots, curbside voting, early voting, Election 2008, Election 2009, Election 2012, Election 2015, Election 2016, Election 2017, Election 2019, Election 2020, Election 2021, Harris County, HCC, HISD, HISD Board of Trustees, Houston, turnout | Comments Off

HD118 runoff on November 2

Posted on October 13, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Should help a bit with turnout, I guess. Better than some random day in January, anyway. Gov. Greg Abbott announced Monday that Nov. 2 will be the date of the special election runoff to replace former state Rep. Leo Pacheco, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2021 | Tagged Election 2016, Election 2017, Election 2019, Election 2020, Election 2021, Frank Ramirez, HD118, John Lujan, Leo Pacheco, runoff, special election, special session, Texas, The Lege, turnout | 2 Comments

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