Tag Archives: HD133

Precinct analysis: State House 2022

Posted on March 20, 2023 by Charles Kuffner

We have data. Texas Democrats and Republicans are beginning to gear up for a presidential election cycle in which opportunities to flip seats for Congress and the Legislature appear limited. It’s a natural outcome after Republicans redrew legislative and congressional … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Allan Ritter, Beto O'Rourke, Donald Trump, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2024, Greg Abbott, HD105, HD106, HD108, HD112, HD113, HD115, HD118, HD121, HD122, HD126, HD127, HD129, HD132, HD133, HD135, HD138, HD14, HD144, HD148, HD150, HD20, HD21, HD22, HD25, HD26, HD28, HD29, HD34, HD35, HD36, HD37, HD39, HD41, HD45, HD52, HD54, HD55, HD57, HD61, HD63, HD65, HD66, HD67, HD70, HD74, HD80, HD89, HD92, HD93, HD94, HD96, HD97, HD99, HF76, HF78, Joe Biden, lawsuit, precinct analysis, redistricting, Texas, The Lege, Tracy King | 2 Comments

Precinct analysis: The better statewide races

Posted on December 30, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

PREVIOUSLY Beto versus Abbott Beto versus the spread Hidalgo versus Mealer As noted before, Greg Abbott got 490K votes in Harris County, far less than the 559K he received in 2018 running against Lupe Valdez. Of the other six races … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Ag Commissioner, Attorney General, Beto O'Rourke, Bill White, Dan Patrick, Election 2010, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Governor, Greg Abbott, HD132, HD133, HD134, HD138, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Ken Paxton, Lite Gov, Mike Collier, precinct analysis, Rochelle Garza, Sid Miller, Susan Hays, Ted Cruz, Texas, The Lege | 4 Comments

Precinct analysis: Beto versus the spread

Posted on December 19, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

PREVIOUSLY Beto versus Abbott So last time we saw the numbers for the 2022 Governor’s race. But what numbers need in order to be meaningful is context, and that means other numbers to compare them to. We’re going to do … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Donald Trump, Election 2014, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2024, Governor, Greg Abbott, Harris County, HD133, HD138, HD140, HD143, HD144, HD145, HD148, Joe Biden, precinct analysis, President, redistricting, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, The Lege, turnout | 1 Comment

Precinct analysis: Beto versus Abbott

Posted on December 14, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

All right, I have the full landscape data for Harris County and the November 2022 election, and I’ll be doing my usual thing with it. There’s a lot of data and a lot of ways to explore it, some of … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD02, CD07, CD10, CD18, CD29, CD38, Commissioners Court, Constable, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Governor, Greg Abbott, Harris County, HD133, HD138, precinct analysis, redistricting, SD06, SD15, Texas | 2 Comments

Precinct analysis: How the 2022 Harris County State Rep candidates did versus the 2020 and 2018 results

Posted on November 28, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

I still don’t have a full canvass of Harris County, so I’m looking around to see what kind of analyses I can do in the meantime. For this post, I’m comparing how the candidates in the contested State Rep contests … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Alma Allen, Beto O'Rourke, Christina Morales, Donald Trump, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Greg Abbott, Harris County, HD128, HD129, HD131, HD132, HD133, HD134, HD135, HD138, HD145, HD148, HD149, HD150, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, Lupe Valdez, Mano DeAyala, MJ Hegar, precinct analysis, Ted Cruz, Texas, The Lege | 1 Comment

Endorsement watch: It’s Beto, and very much not Abbott

Posted on October 20, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

The Chron endorses Beto O’Rourke for Governor by taking Greg Abbott to the woodshed. Not many years ago, a newly elected Texas governor told cheering supporters, “You voted for hope over fear, for unity over division, for the majesty of … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Dennis Paul, Election 2022, endorsements, Governor, Greg Abbott, HD129, HD133, HD148, HD149, Hubert Vo, Mano DeAyala, Penny Shaw, Texas, The Lege | Comments Off

Let’s name a few legislative battlegrounds

Posted on August 22, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

It’s getting to be that time of the election cycle. Two years ago, Democrats were gearing up for a rare opportunity in modern times: capturing the Texas House majority. But after they came up woefully short — and Republican-led redistricting … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Angie Chen Button, Bexar County, campaign finance reports, Collin County, Donald Trump, Eddie Morales, Election 2020, Election 2022, Election 2024, Frank Ramirez, fundraising, HD108, HD112, HD118, HD121, HD133, HD37, HD70, HD74, Jamee Jolly, Jim Murphy, Joe Biden, John Lujan, Mihaela Plesa, Morgan Meyer, precinct analysis, redistricting, Steve Allison, Texas, The Lege | Comments Off

Runoff results: Harris County

Posted on May 25, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

As with the statewide roundup, here are the results from Harris County. As of 10 PM, 99 of 260 voting centers had reported, so while these results aren’t final, it seems likely to me that not much will change. Congressional … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Alexandra Mealer, Andrea Beall, Ben Chou, Beverly Armstrong, CD38, Chip Wells, Commissioners Court, Congress, Coretta Mallet-Fontenot, Danielle Bess, Diana Alexander, Duncan Klussmann, Election 2022, Harris County, HD133, HD147, Jack Morman, Jason Luong, Jolanda Jones, judicial races, Justice of the Peace, Kim McTorry, Lesley Briones, Mano DeAyala, Manpreet Singh, primaries, SBOE, Shelley Barineau, Sonia Lopez, Staci Childs, Steve Duble, Teresa Waldrop, Texas, The Lege, Treasea Trevino, Vidal Martinez | Comments Off

2022 primary results: Legislative races

Posted on March 2, 2022 by Charles Kuffner

You might start with the Daily Kos rundown of races of interest, which includes all of the Congressional races worth watching. One of those got an early resolution, as former Austin City Council member Greg Casar declared victory before 9 … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Alma Allen, Art Fierro, Bert Keller, Candis Houston, CD02, CD03, CD08, CD15, CD21, CD23, CD28, CD30, CD34, CD35, CD37, CD38, Christian Hayes, Claudia Ordaz-Perez, Claudia Zapata, Congress, Dan Crenshaw, Daniel Lee, Danielle Bess, Democratic primary, Derrik Gay, Diana Alexander, Duncan Klussmann, Election 2022, Erin Gamez, Greg Casar, Greg Travis, Harold Dutton, HD100, HD114, HD124, HD125, HD131, HD133, HD142, HD147, HD22, HD26, HD37, HD38, HD50, HD51, HD70, HD75, HD76, HD79, HD92, Henry Cuellar, James Talarico, Jan McDowell, Jasmine Crockett, Jessica Cisneros, John Lira, John Whitmire, Jolanda Jones, Joseph Trahan, Josey Garcia, Lawrence Allen, Lloyd Doggett, Luis Villarreal, Lulu Flores, Mary Gonzalez, Mayra Flores, Miguel Gonzalez, Molly Cook, Monica de la Cruz-Hernandez, Morgan LaMantia, Morgan Luttrell, primaries, Ray Lopez, Reagan Flowers, Ruben Cortez, Ruben Ramirez, runoff, Salman Bhojani, Sandeep Srivastava, Sandra Crenshaw, Sara Stapleton-Barrera, SD15, SD17, SD27, Senate, Suleman Lalani, Texas, The Lege, Titus Benton, Van Taylor, Vanesia Johnson, Venton Jones, Vicente Gonzalez, Wesley Hunt | Comments Off

Filing update: Not that Rick Perry

Posted on December 14, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

I’m going to let this speak for itself. Rick Perry is running for governor — but not that Rick Perry. The Republican Party of Texas updated its list of candidate filings Monday — hours before the deadline for the March … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Ag Commissioner, Art Fierro, Candis Houston, Carla Brailey, CD07, CD38, Centrell Reed, Claudia Ordaz-Perez, Comptroller, Congress, Democratic primary, Diana Alexander, Duncan Klussmann, Ed Ireson, Election 2022, Erica Davis, Erin Zwiener, Governor, Greg Abbott, Harold Dutton, Harris County, Harris County Judge, HD113, HD125, HD129, HD133, HD142, HD150, HD45, HD79, Janet Dudding, John Whitmire, Lina Hidalgo, Lite Gov, Lizzie FLetcher, Michelle Beckley, Mike Collier, Molly Cook, primaries, Ray Lopez, Rhetta Andrews Bowers, Rick Perry, SD15, Senate, Susan Hays, Texas, The Lege | 1 Comment

The filings I’m still looking for

Posted on December 13, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Today is Filing Deadline Day. By the end of today, we’ll know who is and isn’t running for what. While we wait for that, let’s review the filings that have not yet happened, to see what mysteries may remain. Congress: … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Adrian Garcia, Alex Cornwallis, Ana-Maria Ramos, Art Fierro, Carl Sherman, Carla Brailey, CD07, CD15, CD16, CD22, CD26, CD30, CD31, CD34, CD35, CD37, CD38, Centrell Reed, Claudia Ordaz-Perez, Commissioners Court, Congress, Court of Criminal Appeals, Daniel Caldwell, Democratic primary, Donna Imam, Eddie Berniece Johnson, Eddie Rodriguez, Election 2022, Erica Davis, filing deadline, George Risner, Georgina Perez, Governor, Greg Casar, Gwenn Burud, Harris County, Harris County Clerk, Harris County Judge, HD102, HD106, HD109, HD126, HD129, HD133, HD14, HD150, HD22, HD25, HD27, HD28, HD29, HD50, HD52, HD55, HD61, HD66, HD67, HD76, HD79, HD84, HD96, HF57, Innocencio Barrientez, James Talarico, Jasmine Crockett, Joe Deshotel, Jonathan Cocks, Juan Juarez, Julia Maldonado, Julie Oliver, Justice of the Peace, Lawrence Allen, Lite Gov, Lizzie FLetcher, Lloyd Doggett, Luis Sifuentes, Melissa Ortega, Michael Cooper, Michelle Palmer, Miguel Gonzalez, Misty Bishop, Rebecca Bell-Metereau, Rebecca Viagran, redistricting, Robert Johnson, Ron Reynolds, Ruben Cortez, SBOE, SD04, SD07, SD08, SD09, SD17, Supreme Court, Teneshia Hudspeth, Texas, The Lege, Veronica Escobar, Vicente Gonzalez | 3 Comments

A brief filing update

Posted on November 29, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Just a few observations as we head out of the holiday season and into what I expect will be the busier part of the filing period. I’m using the Patrick Svitek spreadsheet, the SOS candidate filing resource, and the candidate … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Ag Commissioner, Alex Dominguez, Alexandra Mealer, Attorney General, Carla Wyatt, CD15, CD30, CD37, CD38, Chase West, Chris Daniel, Commissioners Court, Comptroller, Congress, Democratic primary, Desiree Broadnax, District Clerk, Dylan Osborne, Eddie Berniece Johnson, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Elizabeth Markowitz, filing deadline, Garnet Coleman, Harold Dutton, Harris County Judge, Harris County Treasurer, HD132, HD133, HD138, HD142, HD147, HD26, HD28, HD76, James Burnett, Jasmine Crockett, Jeff Stauber, Jerry Davis, Kyle Scott, Lawrence Allen, Lina Hidalgo, Lloyd Doggett, Marilyn Burgess, Michelle Palmer, Mike Fields, Morgan LaMantia, Nam Subramanian, Nelvin Adriatico, primaries, Reagan Flowers, redistricting, Sara Stapleton-Barrera, Sarah DeMerchant, SBOE, SD27, Senate, Stephanie Morales, Suleman Lalani, Texas, Vanesia Johnson, Vicente Gonzalez, Vidal Martinez | 4 Comments

Special election set for District G

Posted on November 11, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Our first election of 2022. The special election to fill west Houston’s District G seat on City Council will be Tuesday, Jan. 25. City Council voted unanimously Wednesday to call the election. Candidates interested in the position have until Dec. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged District G, Election 2022, Greg Travis, HD133, Houston, Houston City Council, special election, The Lege | 1 Comment

Precinct analysis: The new State House map

Posted on November 8, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Like it or not, we have new State House districts. We may as well acquaint ourselves with them. The coverage we’ve had so far has focused on the 2020 election numbers to say whether a district will be red or … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Alex Dominguez, Barack Obama, Bell County, Beto O'Rourke, Brazoria County, Brazos County, Collin County, Denton County, Donald Trump, Eddie Lucio, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Fort Bend County, Hays County, HD106, HD108, HD112, HD118, HD121, HD122, HD126, HD127, HD129, HD132, HD133, HD134, HD138, HD14, HD144, HD148, HD150, HD20, HD25, HD26, HD28, HD29, HD33, HD34, HD35, HD36, HD37, HD39, HD41, HD45, HD47, HD52, HD54, HD55, HD57, HD61, HD63, HD65, HD66, HD70, HD74, HD76, HD80, HD84, HD89, HD93, HD94, HD96, HD97, HD99, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Mitt Romney, Penny Shaw, precinct analysis, redistricting, Rockwall County, Texas, The Lege, Williamson County | 3 Comments

CM Travis resigns to run for HD133

Posted on October 28, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Did not see that coming. City Councilmember Greg Travis on Wednesday announced he is running for a seat in the Texas House of Representatives, effectively resigning his District G post at City Hall. Travis told supporters at a River Oaks … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022 | Tagged Bert Keller, District G, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2020, Election 2022, Greg Travis, Harris County, HD132, HD133, HD134, HD135, HD138, Houston, Houston City Council, Jim Murphy, Mano DeAyala, Mitt Romney, redistricting, Shelley Barineau, special election, Texas, The Lege | 3 Comments

The Lege is now 3/4 done with redistricting

Posted on October 17, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

All but the Congressional maps are done. They’re just plowing through it. The Texas Legislature is nearing the end of its work to incorporate a decade’s worth of population growth into new political maps — pressing forward with efforts to … Continue reading →

Posted in That's our Lege | Tagged Beverly Powell, CD03, CD04, CD06, CD33, Census, Collin County, Congress, demography, Eddie Lucio, Election 2020, Election 2022, Greg Abbott, Harris County, HD132, HD133, HD135, HD138, Jim Murphy, Joan Huffman, Jon Rosenthal, Lacey Hull, lawsuit, Mike Schofield, redistricting, SBOE, SCOTUS, SD10, Senate, special session, Texas, The Lege, Todd Hunter, Voting Rights Act | Comments Off

Four House members to step down

Posted on September 24, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

In order of announcement… Rep. Scott Sanford. State Rep. Scott Sanford, a Republican from McKinney, announced Sunday he is not running for reelection, citing his family, especially his grandchildren. “As the legislature embarks on its third special session, I’m reminded … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2022, That's our Lege | Tagged Austin, Celia Israel, Chris Paddie, Election 2021, Election 2022, HD09, HD118, HD133, HD50, HD70, Jim Murphy, Leo Pacheco, Mayor, redistricting, Scott Sanford, special election, Texas, The Lege | Comments Off

Precinct analysis: State House districts 2020, part 2

Posted on June 7, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction Congressional districts State Rep districts Commissioners Court/JP precincts Comparing 2012 and 2016 Statewide judicial Other jurisdictions Appellate courts, Part 1 Appellate courts, Part 2 Judicial averages Other cities District Attorney County Attorney Sheriff Tax Assessor County Clerk HCDE Fort … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Chrysta Castaneda, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, HD102, HD105, HD106, HD107, HD108, HD112, HD113, HD114, HD115, HD117, HD118, HD122, HD126, HD129, HD132, HD133, HD134, HD135, HD136, HD138, HD14, HD144, HD150, HD26, HD28, HD29, HD31, HD32, HD34, HD35, HD38, HD41, HD45, HD47, HD52, HD54, HD64, HD65, HD66, HD67, HD70, HD74, HD80, HD84, HD85, HD89, HD92, HD93, HD94, HD96, HD97, Jim Wright, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, MJ Hegar, precinct analysis, President, Railroad Commission, redistricting, Senate, Texas, The Lege | Comments Off

Precinct analysis: State House districts 2020, part 1

Posted on June 1, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Donald Trump, Eddie Morales, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, HD102, HD105, HD106, HD107, HD108, HD112, HD113, HD114, HD115, HD117, HD118, HD122, HD126, HD129, HD132, HD133, HD134, HD135, HD136, HD138, HD14, HD144, HD150, HD26, HD28, HD29, HD31, HD32, HD34, HD35, HD38, HD41, HD45, HD47, HD52, HD54, HD64, HD65, HD66, HD67, HD70, HD74, HD80, HD84, HD85, HD89, HD92, HD93, HD94, HD96, HD97, Hillary Clinton, Joanna Cattanach, Joe Biden, Morgan Meyer, precinct analysis, President, redistricting, Ryan Guillen, Sarah Davis, SD19, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, The Lege | 4 Comments

Precinct analysis: District Attorney 2020 and 2016

Posted on January 4, 2021 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction Congressional districts State Rep districts Commissioners Court/JP precincts Comparing 2012 and 2016 Statewide judicial Other jurisdictions Appellate courts, Part 1 Appellate courts, Part 2 Judicial averages Other cities We move on now to the county executive office races for … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged CD07, CD10, CD18, CD29, Devon Anderson, District Attorney, Election 2016, Election 2020, Harris County, HD126, HD133, HD134, HD140, HD143, HD144, HD145, HD148, HD150, Kim Ogg, Mary Nan Huffman, precinct analysis, Texas | 1 Comment

Precinct analysis: Comparing to 2012 and 2016

Posted on December 14, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction Congressional districts State Rep districts Commissioners Court/JP precincts I had meant to get to this last week, but SeditionPalooza took up too much of my time, so here we are. The intent of this post is to compare vote … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Barack Obama, Christi Craddick, Chrysta Castaneda, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Eva Guzman, Harris County, HD126, HD127, HD128, HD129, HD130, HD131, HD132, HD133, HD134, HD135, HD137, HD138, HD139, HD140, HD141, HD142, HD143, HD144, HD145, HD146, HD147, HD148, HD149, HD150, Hillary Clinton, Jim Wright, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, Mitt Romney, MJ Hegar, Paul Sadler, precinct analysis, President, Railroad Commission, Senate, Ted Cruz, Texas, The Lege, turnout, Wayne Christian | 4 Comments

Precinct analysis: State Rep districts

Posted on December 9, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Introduction Congressional districts We move now to State Rep districts, which is my usual currency since they provide complete coverage of the county with no partial pieces. You can also get a much more nuanced view of how things have … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Chrysta Castaneda, Donald Trump, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, HD126, HD127, HD128, HD129, HD130, HD131, HD132, HD133, HD134, HD135, HD137, HD138, HD139, HD140, HD141, HD142, HD143, HD144, HD145, HD146, HD147, HD148, HD149, HD150, Hubert Vo, Jim Wright, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, Mary Ann Perez, MJ Hegar, precinct analysis, President, Railroad Commission, redistricting, Sarah Davis, Senate, Texas, The Lege | 3 Comments

It’s a range, not a number

Posted on November 9, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

I don’t have full canvass data yet, but as I have said, I have Presidential data courtesy of Greg Wythe. Here are a couple of districts of interest: Dist Biden Trump Biden% Trump% ========================================= CD02 170,707 178,840 48.1% 50.0% CD07 … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, CD02, CD18, Commissioners Court, Congress, Constable, Donald Trump, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Harris County, HD132, HD133, HD134, HD135, HD138, Hillary Clinton, Joe Biden, Justice of the Peace, precinct analysis, President, redistricting, SBOE, Senate, Texas, The Lege | 2 Comments

Initial thoughts about the election

Posted on November 5, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

And now for some reactions and analysis… – The polls were garbage. Oy vey. Not just here, though they were definitely off here, underestimating Trump and the Republicans after doing the same to Beto and the Dems in 2018. This … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Adrian Garcia, Beto O'Rourke, CD02, Chrysta Castaneda, Commissioners Court, Congress, Dan Crenshaw, Donald Trump, Election 2004, Election 2008, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, fundraising, Grady Yarbrough, Greg Abbott, Harris County, HCDE, HD108, HD112, HD126, HD127, HD128, HD129, HD130, HD132, HD133, HD135, HD138, HD150, Jack Morman, Jane Bland, Joe Biden, John Cornyn, judicial races, Latino voting, MJ Hegar, polls, President, Railroad Commission, redistricting, Senate, straight ticket voting, Supreme Court, Texas, The Lege, Tom Ramsey, turnout, voter registration, Wendy Davis | 8 Comments

30 Day 2020 campaign finance reports: State races, part 2

Posted on October 14, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Continuing to look at the 30-day campaign finance reports. A lot of candidates have been reporting big hauls, especially in the hot State Rep races. As before, I will split these into four parts. Part one, with statewide, SBOE, and … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Akilah Bacy, Ann Johnson, Brazoria County, Brian Rogers, campaign finance reports, Cecil Bell, Cody Vasut, Dennis Bonnen, Dennis Paul, Ed Thompson, Election 2018, Election 2020, Elizabeth Markowitz, Fort Bend County, fundraising, Gary Gates, Gina Calanni, Greg Bonnen, Harris County, HD03, HD126, HD129, HD132, HD133, HD134, HD135, HD138, HD15, HD23, HD24, HD25, HD26, HD28, HD29, HD85, Jeff Antonelli, Jim Murphy, Joey Cardenas, Jon Rosenthal, Justin Ray, Kayla Alix, Lacey Hull, Lorena McGill, Martin Shupp, Matt Morgan, Mayes Middleton, Mike Schofield, Montgomery County, Natali Hurtado, Patrick Henry, Phil Stephenson, primaries, runoff, Sam Harless, Sandra Moore, Sarah Davis, Sarah DeMerchant, Steve Toth, Texas, The Lege, Travis Boldt | 4 Comments

Endorsement watch: No Briscoe

Posted on September 22, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

The Chron follows the basic principle that bad acts should not be rewarded, and bad actors do not belong in positions of trust and power. In his two terms representing House District 128, Rep. Briscoe Cain has quickly acquired a … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Briscoe Cain, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, endorsements, HD128, HD133, Jim Murphy, Mary Williams, Sandra Moore, Texas, The Lege | 5 Comments

July 2020 campaign finance reports: State races, part 2

Posted on August 6, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Let’s move on to finance reports from the State House, which I will break up into two parts. Today’s look is on the various races in the greater Houston area, and after that I’ll look at the other races of … Continue reading →

A slightly less rosy view of Democratic prospects

Posted on August 1, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

Here’s the latest race ratings from Texas Elects: Texas Election Source has updated 27 race ratings based on the latest polling, July campaign finance reports and primary runoff results. Twenty of those races moved one column toward the Democrats’ advantage. … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Akilah Bacy, Ann Johnson, CD02, CD03, CD05, CD06, CD07, CD10, CD14, CD15, CD17, CD21, CD22, CD23, CD24, CD25, CD26, CD31, CD32, CD34, Congress, Court of Criminal Appeals, Election 2018, Election 2020, fundraising, HD102, HD105, HD107, HD108, HD112, HD113, HD114, HD115, HD117, HD118, HD121, HD122, HD126, HD129, HD132, HD133, HD134, HD135, HD136, HD138, HD14, HD144, HD150, HD17, HD23, HD26, HD28, HD29, HD31, HD32, HD34, HD41, HD45, HD47, HD52, HD54, HD64, HD66, HD67, HD70, HD74, HD84, HD85, HD89.HD106, HD92, HD93, HD94, HD96, HD97, Joanna Cattanach, John Cornyn, Lacey Hull, Matt Shaheen, Morgan Meyer, polls, Railroad Commission, Sarah Davis, SD11, SD12, SD19, SD20, SD21, Senate, Sharon Hirsch, Supreme Court, Texas, The Lege | 1 Comment

Does getting to 40% make you likely to win the runoff?

Posted on March 15, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

I was talking with some fellow political nerds last week, and one of the topics was the forthcoming runoffs. As is usually the case, this year we have some runoffs between candidates who finished fairly close together in round one, … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Akilah Bacy, Al Edwards, Alexandra Smoots-Hogan, Anna Eastman, Borris Miles, Candace Valenzuela, CD03, CD10, CD13, CD15, CD17, CD23, CD24, CD27, CD31, CD32, CD34, Cheryl Elliott Thornton, Congress, David Jaramillo, Democratic primary, Eddie Lucio, Election 2006, Election 2008, Election 2010, Election 2012, Election 2014, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Gabby Garcia, Governor, Greg Sagan, Gus Trujillo, Harold Dutton, HD105, HD109, HD119, HD133, HD137, HD138, HD142, HD146, HD148, HD27, HD37, HD42, HD45, HD47, HD64, HD76, HD95, Helen Delgadillo, Jenifer Pool, Jennifer Ramos, Jerry Davis, judicial races, Kim Olson, Kimberly McLeod, Lite Gov, Liz Campos, Lulu Seikaly, Michelle Palmer, Mike Siegel, Penny Shaw, Pritash Gandhi, Railroad Commission, Rick Kennedy, Roland Gutierrez, Sara Stapleton-Barrera, SBOE, SD17, SD19, SD27, Sean McCaffity, Senate, Texas, The Lege, Xochil Peña Rodriguez | 1 Comment

January 2020 campaign finance reports: State House, part 1

Posted on January 25, 2020 by Charles Kuffner

I’m going to take a two-part look at the finance reports in State House districts. Part One will be from Harris County, looking at both contested primaries and contested November races. Part Two will focus on races in the counties … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Adrian P. Garcia, Akilah Bacy, Alma Allen, Angeanette Thibodeaux, Angelica Garcia, Ann Johnson, Anna Eastman, Ashton Woods, Aurelia Wagner, Briscoe Cain, Bryan Henry, campaign finance reports, Carey Lashley, Claver Kamau-Imani, Colin Ross, Cynthia Reyes-Revilla, Democratic primary, Dennis Paul, Deondre Moore, Election 2020, Elvonte Patton, Emily Wolf, fundraising, Garnet Coleman, Gina Calanni, Harold Dutton, HD126, HD128, HD129, HD130, HD131, HD132, HD133, HD134, HD135, HD138, HD139, HD141, HD142, HD146, HD147, HD148, HD150, Jarvis Johnson, Jenifer Pool, Jerry Davis, Jim Murphy, Jon Rosenthal, Josh Flynn, Josh Markle, Josh Wallenstein, Justin Ray, Kayla Alix, Lacey Hull, Lanny Bose, Lui LaRotta, Mary Williams, Merrilee Beazley, Michael Walsh, Mike Schofield, Natali Hurtado, Natasha Ruiz, Penny Shaw, Republican Party, Richard Bonton, Robert Hoskins, Ruby Powers, Ryan Lee, Sam Harless, Sandra Moore, Sarah Davis, Senfronia Thompson, Shawn Thierry, Texas, The Lege, Tom Oliverson, Undrai Fizer, Valoree Swanson, Willie Franklyn | 4 Comments

After-deadline filing review: Houston area

Posted on December 11, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

There’s a lot to digest following Monday’s filing deadline, and as I’ve said I’m going to take some time and go over it in as much obsessive detail as you’ve probably come to expect from me. As a reminder, the … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Adrian P. Garcia, Al Green, Alma Allen, Andrea Duhon, Anna Eastman, Ashton Woods, Bill Morris, Bimal Patel, Borris Miles, Brian Rogers, Bryan Henry, CD02, CD07, CD08, CD09, CD10, CD18, CD22, CD29, CD36, Commissioners Court, Congress, Cynthia Reyes-Revilla, David Brown, Democratic primary, Diana Alexander, Election 2020, Elizabeth Hernandez, Emily Wolf, Erica Davis, Erik Hassan, Garnet Coleman, Harold Dutton, Harris County, HCDE, HD03, HD126, HD128, HD129, HD130, HD131, HD132, HD133, HD135, HD137, HD138, HD139, HD140, HD141, HD142, HD143, HD144, HD145, HD146, HD147, HD148, HD149, HD15, HD150, HD23, HD24, HD25, HD26, HD27, HD28, HD29, HD85, Hubert Vo, Jasper, Jay Stittleburg, Jeff Antonelli, Jerry Davis, Joey Cardenas, Josh Flynn, Josh Markle, Kristi Thibaut, Laura Jones, Lorena McGill, Marc Flores, Margarita Johnson, Martin Shupp, Michael Antalan, Michael Moore, Morris Overstreet, Natali Hurtado, Obes Nwabara, Patrick Henry, Penny Shaw, Rashad Lewis, Rodney Ellis, Ron Reynolds, Sandra Moore, SBOE, SD04, SD06, SD11, SD13, SD18, Senate, Sheila Jackson Lee, Sima Ladjevardian, Stevens Orozco, Susan Criss, Texas, The Lege, Travis Boldt, Undrai Fizer, Willie Dennis, write-in candidate, Zaher Eisa | 5 Comments

Filing report update

Posted on December 2, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

We’re a week out from the official filing deadline for the 2020 primaries. There’s still a lot of known candidates who haven’t filed yet, but I expect there will be a mad flurry of activity this week, as is usually … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged 14th Court of Appeals, Alexandra Smoots-Hogan, Alma Allen, Amparo Guerra, Andrea Duhon, Anna Eastman, Ashton Woods, Audia Jones, Bill McLeod, Borris Miles, Cheri Thomas, Christian Menefee, Commissioners Court, David Brown, Debby Kerner, Democratic primary, Diana Alexander, Dinesh Singhal, District Attorney, Election 2018, Election 2020, Election 2022, Erica Davis, filing deadline, First Court of Appeals, Harris County, Harris County Attorney, HCDE, HD133, HD146, HD148, HD26, HD29, HD32, Jane Robinson, judicial races, Kem Thompson Frost, Ken Mercer, Kim Ogg, Kimberly McLeod, Kristi Thibaut, Laura Higley, Lawrence Allen, Lesley Briones, Leticia Bresnahan, Michael Moore, Michelle Palmer, Northeast ISD, Richard Andrews, Rish Oberoi, Sandra Moore, Sarah DeMerchant, SBOE, SD13, Secretary of State, Senate, Shawn Thierry, Suleman Lalani, Texas, The Lege, Tim Hootman, Tracy Christopher, Travis Boldt, Veronica Rivas-Molloy, Vince Ryan, Wally Kronzer | 4 Comments

Filing period preview: SBOE, Senate, House

Posted on November 13, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Previously: Congress, and Statewide. As before, I am using the Patrick Svitek spreadsheet as my primary reference. Buckle up, there’s a lot to talk about here. I’m going to limit my discussion of State House races to the greater Houston … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Akilah Bacy, Ann Johnson, Anna Eastman, Beto O'Rourke, Borris Miles, Briscoe Cain, Bryan Henry, Carol Alvarado, Cesar Blanco, Debby Kerner, Democratic primary, Dennis Bonnen, Eddie Lucio, Election 2018, Election 2020, Elizabeth Markowitz, filing deadline, Garnet Coleman, Griffin Winkleworth, Harold Dutton, HD03, HD126, HD127, HD128, HD129, HD130, HD131, HD133, HD134, HD138, HD147, HD148, HD15, HD150, HD16, HD18, HD23, HD24, HD25, HD26, HD27, HD28, HD29, HD85, Jay Stittleburg, Jose Rodriguez, Josh Markle, Josh Wallenstein, Lanny Bose, Margarita Johnson, Michelle Palmer, Natali Hurtado, Patrick Henry, Pete Flores, Richard Bonton, Rish Oberoi, Roland Gutierrez, Ron Reynolds, Ruben Cortez, Ruby Powers, Sara Stapleton-Barrera, Sarah DeMerchant, SBOE, SD04, SD06, SD11, SD13, SD19, SD27, Senate, special election, Suleman Lalani, Susan Criss, Texas, The Lege, Xochil Peña Rodriguez | 8 Comments

A reminder about the local legislative races

Posted on September 1, 2019 by Charles Kuffner

Let’s review the facts together. State Rep. Jon Rosenthal wasn’t supposed to win his Texas House seat last year. He was too much of a Democrat for the swath of northwest Harris County that had long elected Republicans. But in … Continue reading →

Posted in Election 2020 | Tagged Beto O'Rourke, Donald Trump, Election 2012, Election 2016, Election 2018, Election 2020, Gina Calanni, HD126, HD129, HD132, HD133, HD134, HD135, HD138, Jon Rosenthal, precinct analysis, President, Sam Harless, Senate, Texas, The Lege | 5 Comments

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