We’re sinking

I think at some level we all knew this was true.

Groundwater and oil extraction are causing the ground beneath Houston to sink faster than any other major city in the U.S., according to a new study in Nature Cities.

A group of researchers from across the country used satellite data to measure vertical land movement in the 28 most populous U.S. cities. The academics were able to map shifts down to the millimeter.

More than 40% of Houston’s land mass is subsiding at least one-fifth of an inch per year, they said, but that rate varies drastically across the city. The worst spots are sinking 10 times faster.

“While often considered solely a coastal hazard due to relative sea-level rise, subsidence also threatens inland urban areas, causing increased flood risks, structural damage, and transportation disruptions,” the authors wrote, adding that across the nation the land was sinking “mainly due to groundwater extraction.”

In Houston, they said, oil and gas extraction has also had a major impact on the topographic shifts.

Other cities in Texas, including Fort Worth and Dallas, were among the fastest-sinking as well. Study authors pointed out the damages sustained by large cities facing uneven land shifts.

“Over time, this subsidence can produce stresses on infrastructure that will go past their safety limit,” said Leonard Ohenhen, the study’s lead author and a researcher at the Columbia Climate School.

Houston’s well-known subsidence issues have been hotly debated over the years. Many companies and landowners have doubled down on their right to extract underground stores of water and oil, even as authorities like the Harris-Galveston Subsidence District initiated regional collaboration to up the area’s use of surface water in an effort to reduce the city’s sinking.

The link in the story is to the news release about the study. I have no idea what we can do about it, but at least now we know. If there are any scientists and science funding left in a few years, maybe we’ll be able to make some plans to mitigate things.

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Texas blog roundup for the week of May 12

The Texas Progressive Alliance can’t get enough Chicago Pope memes as it brings you this week’s roundup.

Continue reading

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Measles update: The wastewater still has something to tell us

Very cool.

An outbreak detection program found the presence of the measles virus in samples of Houston wastewater in early January 2025, before cases were reported, new findings show.

The findings were possible because almost three years earlier, a team of researchers, including from Baylor College of Medicine, the School of Public Health at University of Texas Health Science Center-Houston, the Houston Health Department and Rice University, had developed an outbreak detection program that analyzes genetic material.

A study using the program then detected the virus in samples collected on Jan. 7 from two Houston water treatment facilities that serve more than 218,000 residents. A parallel investigation confirmed on Jan. 17 that two travelers who contracted the virus resided in the same area serviced by the sampled water treatment plants. More information about the travelers and the facilities was not immediately available.

“In such cases our next step is always validating the signal with a second method, and we were able to do so through a collaboration with the Houston Health Department and Rice University,” said Dr. Sara Javornik Cregeen, a member of the team and an assistant professor in the Alkek Center for Metagenomics and Microbiome Research at Baylor. “They tested for the virus presence in samples from the same date and collection site and confirmed the signal using another technique, PCR.”

[…]

“Because no other cases have been reported and the detections occurred in the same area where the travelers resided, it is reasonable to assume that the measles signal detected in wastewater is from the two infected cases, which underscores the high sensitivity of the method,” said Dr. Anthony Maresso, a member of the team and a professor in molecular virology and microbiology at Baylor.

The researchers are not currently detecting measles viruses in wastewater in Houston, but they are in West Texas cities, where most of the state’s cases are concentrated.

The wastewater detection program that was started during COVID has gotten national attention for its innovation and utility. We’ve used it in the past to help detect the presence of mpox and RSV and the flu, and more recently bird flu. That it was able to detect measles, even that small an amount – just two infected people – is not a surprise but a very welcome and reassuring development. Kudos again to everyone involved.

And here’s your midweek case update.

Texas health officials reported eight new measles cases on Tuesday, with the outbreak spreading to three new counties.

The Texas Department of State Health Services has reported 717 measles cases amid the largest outbreak in the United States in at least 25 years. But the outbreak has appeared to slow recently; Texas reported 26 cases during the one-week period that ended Friday, its lowest one-week total since Valentine’s Day.

Carson County, in the Panhandle, and Collin and Rockwall counties, in the Dallas-Fort Worth area, all reported their first measles cases associated with the outbreak. All three counties reported one case on Tuesday.

There have been 93 people hospitalized for treatment amid the outbreak. Two children, an 8-year-old girl and a 6-year-old girl, died after contracting the virus.

Two-thirds of cases have been in children and teens. Nearly 96% of cases have been in individuals who have not received the measles, mumps and rubella vaccine, or whose vaccination status is unknown.

The DSHS estimated that fewer than 10 measles cases — about 1% of the statewide total — are actively infectious. An individual may be infectious up to four days before a rash appears and up to four days after it’s gone.

The eight new cases reported in Texas on Tuesday includes two in Gaines County. The county has seen 405 cases in total, nearly 57% of all infections connected to the outbreak.

El Paso County also reported two new cases, while Lubbock County reported one. Both counties have now reported 52 cases in total.

The DSHS said there is ongoing measles transmission in eight counties: Cochran, Dallam, Dawson, Gaines, Lamar, Lubbock, Terry and Yoakum.

Of the 717 cases in Texas, 211 have been in children younger than 5 years old and 273 have been in children and teens between 5 and 17, according to the DSHS.

Only 30 cases have been in people who received at least one dose of MMR vaccine prior to an infection.

Texas has also reported 15 measles cases in 2025 that are not connected to the outbreak, most of them related to international travel. That total includes four in Harris County, one in Fort Bend County and one in Brazoria County.

So yeah, definitely slowing. That’s the good news. The bad news, at least potentially, is the continued appearance of the virus in much more populated counties, where the pool of possible victims is so much greater than it was in places like Gaines County. That doesn’t mean that it will start breaking out again in big numbers – these counties have better vaccination rates and more available health care – but it could. We’ll just have to see how it goes. In the meantime, the national case count is now over a thousand. And while that’s a big number, there’s no reason to think that a new outbreak, someplace else a few months in the future, couldn’t easily exceed it. There’s plenty more places like Gaines County out there.

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MLB reinstates Pete Rose

Wow.

Major League Baseball removed Pete Rose and other deceased players from MLB’s permanently ineligible list on Tuesday, an extraordinary twist to a saga that has gone on for more than three decades. The decision, announced by commissioner Rob Manfred in a letter to the Rose family’s attorney Jeffrey Lenkov, makes the sport’s all-time hit king eligible for election to the Hall of Fame.

Rose, who died from a heart condition last September at 83, was placed on MLB’s permanently ineligible list in 1989 for gambling on his team, the Cincinnati Reds, while he managed them. Rose, who collected a record 4,256 hits, has never been considered for the Hall of Fame because of a 1991 rule change that barred players on the ineligible list from election.

According to a statement from Major League Baseball, in a letter to Lenkov, Manfred wrote, “In my view, a determination must be made regarding how the phrase ‘permanently ineligible’ should be interpreted in light of the purposes and policies behind Rule 21, which are to: (1) protect the game from individuals who pose a risk to the integrity of the sport by prohibiting the participation of such individuals; and (2) create a deterrent effect that reduces the likelihood of future violations by others. In my view, once an individual has passed away, the purposes of Rule 21 have been served. Obviously, a person no longer with us cannot represent a threat to the integrity of the game. Moreover, it is hard to conceive of a penalty that has more deterrent effect than one that lasts a lifetime with no reprieve. Therefore, I have concluded that permanent ineligibility ends upon the passing of the disciplined individual, and Mr. Rose will be removed from the permanently ineligible list.”

Manfred met in December with Lenkov, who represented Rose until his death, and Rose’s daughter, Fawn, to discuss the possibility of reinstatement. Rose’s family then filed a formal petition for reinstatement on Jan. 8, in hopes of a posthumous induction to the Hall of Fame.

Manfred’s ruling Tuesday also applies to 16 other deceased individuals, including Shoeless Joe Jackson.

[…]

Rose had long been a presence on induction weekend in Cooperstown, N.Y., selling his autograph at a memorabilia shop on Main Street for years, including in 2024. Artifacts of his career are also displayed in the museum, and the library contains voluminous material and documents related to his legacy.

But Rose understood that he would never get the glory of the induction ceremony that comes with a spot in the hallowed plaque gallery.

“I’ve come to the conclusion – I hope I’m wrong – that I’ll make the Hall of Fame after I die,’” Rose said 10 days before his death in an interview with John Condit, a sportscaster in Dayton, Ohio. “Which I totally disagree with, because the Hall of Fame is for two reasons: your fans and your family. That’s what the Hall of Fame is for. Your fans and your family. And it’s for your family if you’re here. It’s for your fans if you’re here. Not if you’re 10 feet under.”

Players are initially voted on by a group of 400 or so baseball writers, but that window closes 15 years after the player’s final game. Players not elected by the writers are considered by a 16-person committee (with Hall of Famers, front-office members and historians) on a rotating basis, with candidates grouped from different eras.

“The National Baseball Hall of Fame has always maintained that anyone removed from Baseball’s permanently ineligible list will become eligible for Hall of Fame consideration,” Hall of Fame Chairman of the Board Jane Forbes Clark said in a statement Tuesday. “Major League Baseball’s decision to remove deceased individuals from the permanently ineligible list will allow for the Hall of Fame candidacy of such individuals to now be considered. The Historical Overview Committee will develop the ballot of eight names for the Classic Baseball Era Committee – which evaluates candidates who made their greatest impact on the game prior to 1980 – to vote on when it meets next in December 2027.”

If he makes it onto that ballot, Rose would need 12 of 16 votes to be enshrined.

Before I say anything about this, let me quote Jay Jaffe, who I’m sure is writing about this for Fangraphs:

This is some fucking bullshit

[image or embed]

— Jay Jaffe (@jayjaffe.bsky.social) May 13, 2025 at 3:09 PM

He's still dead, and he died without being honored as a Hall of Famer, the thing he wanted most out of life. He didn't win, he lost.

[image or embed]

— Jay Jaffe (@jayjaffe.bsky.social) May 13, 2025 at 3:51 PM

Same, Jay, same.

The last any of us discussed this in earnest was nearly a decade ago. But between Rose’s death and a certain orange goon’s unhinged posts about him, the subject had come up again, and Commissioner Manfred was known to be thinking about this. Now we know what he thought. Here’s the MLB statement, which includes the names of the 16 other unbanned players, who look to me mostly like members of the 1919 Black Sox. I guess once you open the door for Rose, you can’t keep it closed on them.

The real issue here is if – more likely when – Rose gets into the Hall of Fame. There was a time when I would have accepted a posthumous enshrinement for Rose, who obviously belongs on a purely baseball basis. Shoeless Joe Jackson would have gone in as well, and that too would have been fine. It’s just that right to the end, the one thing this bastard could never ever do was just say something like “yeah, I screwed up, what I did was wrong, I apologize”. Just doing that much almost certainly would have been enough to get him unbanned while he was alive, which is surely what he really wanted. I can sort of see what Commissioner Manfred is doing here, even as my own definition of “permanent” apparently comes from a different dictionary. I just don’t see how this is in any way satisfying to anyone who isn’t a Rose dead ender.

But here we are. Maybe he won’t be on the next bus to Cooperstown – I will keep that hope alive for now – but he is once again in the club. I don’t like it, I would not have done it if I were Commissioner, and I definitely won’t like it if Rose does eventually get enshrined. I just hope that when that does happen, his plaque tells the whole truth about him. ESPN and CBS Sports have more.

UPDATE: And here’s Jay Jaffe’s article on Fangraphs. Again, I concur.

UPDATE: Alex Kirshner at Slate condemns Manfred for bending the knee to Donald Trump.

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Resolution Calling for the Banning of Ted Cruz at College Playoff Sporting Events

As you know, I’m a Democratic precinct chair. As of this year, so is my buddy Bill Kelly, who had been before that the head of Governmental Relations for Mayor Sylvester Turner. After long discussion and one too many “oh my God he did it again” situations, we have decided to take action on one of the more pressing matters that we face at this time.

Resolution Calling for the Banning of Ted Cruz at College Playoff Sporting Events

Whereas podcaster Ted Cruz has a well-known curse against college teams across the State of Texas whenever he is in attendance for playoff games;

Whereas the latest example being the April 2025 Men’s National Basketball Championship between the University of Houston and the University of Florida held in San Antonio; (1)

Whereas he was also in attendance at the January 2024 Sugar Bowl between the University of Texas and the University of Washington held in New Orleans; (2)

Whereas, he also was present at the 2019 Men’s Basketball National Championship between Texas Tech University and the University of Virginia; (3)

Whereas the overall combined record for college football teams for the Texas Longhorns, the Baylor Bears, and the Texas A&M Aggies with Ted Cruz in attendance is now 1-8. (4)

Whereas sports bettors are now 15-2 since 2017 when betting the money line against teams Ted Cruz shows up to support in person, where an individual would have profited $2,344 if they placed a $100 bet on each game; (5)

Whereas Cruz has also had an “in-person” problem when it came to serving his constituents during Winter Storm Uri as he flew to Cancun while leaving his dog Snowflake at this home; (6)

Therefore be it resolved that the Harris County Democratic Party – who proudly supports colleges across the State of Texas – will work with all partners to keep Ted Cruz away from attending college playoff sporting events in person. We further urge him to spend quality time with his dog Snowflake, or share a couch with JD Vance, or work on his basketball skills – or do anything other than attend a college playoff game in person. (7)

1 “’Cruz Curse’ adds another victim after epic collapse in National Championship” by Drew Bishop. “The SportingNews” April 7, 2025.
2 Mark Yzaguirre on Twitter
3 Ted Cruz on Twitter
4 “You could’ve made easy money using Ted Cruz and college football” by Jake Swearingen, Business Insider
January 2, 2024.
5 RedditCFB on Twitter
6 “Fact Check: Did Ted Cruz Leave His Dog Snowflake Home Alone During Trip to Cancun?” by Lauren Giella.
Newsweek” February 19, 2021.
7 “Kimmel vs. Cruz – Blobfish Basketball Classic

You’re welcome. Here’s the press release we have for this:

Harris County Democratic Party Resolution Call for an End to the Cruz Curse

(Houston) – Precinct Chairs and noted college sports fans Bill Kelly (Precinct #0001) and Charles Kuffner (Precinct #0003) have come together to author a resolution prohibiting podcaster Ted Cruz from attending college playoff games in person given his record of personal failure.

“The 9 scariest words for any college fan to hear are ‘I’m Ted Cruz and I’m coming to your game,’” said Kelly, an ardent supporter and alumni from the University of Houston. “Republicans, Democrats, and Independents – hell even fans from Lubbock to Houston – can all agree that when your college team is playing, Ted Cruz is the absolute last person you want to see.”

“Just check the math,” said Kuffner, who received his master’s degree from Rice University. “The Texas Longhorns, Baylor Bears, and Texas A&M Aggies are a combined 1-8 in football with Ted Cruz in attendance. The dude is poison.”

Kelly and Kuffner are joint authoring the resolution calling for all willing partners to keep Ted Cruz from attending college playoff games for Texas teams.

“We can’t ignore it anymore. We’ve got some great teams who could win it all if not for the Cruz curse. Despite our differences, we can all join together in calling for Ted Cruz to find something else to do when our teams are playing,” said Kelly.

Kuffner added, “NASA is looking at devastating Texas job cuts. Medical research at MD Anderson and the Texas Medical Center is being gutted. Tariffs are killing the Texas economy. We are beyond asking Ted Cruz to help. “Is it too much to ask that he just do us all a tiny favor and stay away? Is that too much to ask? I hear Cancun is nice this time of year.”

The resolution has been submitted to the county Resolutions Committee of the Harris County Democratic Party for review. If recommended by the Resolutions Committee, the resolution will then go before the County Executive Committee where it can be voted on by precinct chairs. Further information including a draft copy of the resolution can be found on Kuffner’s “Off the Kuff” blog at www.offthekuff.com

Be the change you want to see in the world, right? I feel pretty good that we can make this happen. And look, silliness aside, a little mockery is a good tool to have in your belt for when it is needed.

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One more poll item

A couple of points to note here.

Big John Cornyn

Sen. John Cornyn (R-Texas) trails Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton by 16 points in a new poll commissioned by the Senate Leadership Fund, the GOP-leadership backed super PAC.

SLF is supporting Cornyn. Their poll has Cornyn trailing Paxton 56-40, according to two people briefed on the survey.

In a three-way contest with Rep. Wesley Hunt (R-Texas), who is considering a run, Cornyn is down 10. Paxton pulled 44% to Cornyn’s 34%. Hunt got 19% in the three-way race.

The survey, which was conducted from April 27 to May 1 by The Tarrance Group, also tested a general election contest between each potential Republican candidate and former Democratic Rep. Colin Allred (D-Texas), who is mulling another Senate run. Cornyn led Allred by 6 points in the poll. Hunt was up 4 points. Paxton was down by 1 point.

Those results underscore a real fear for Republicans — that Paxton, a MAGA loyalist who has faced a slew of legal troubles, is best positioned to win a primary but could struggle in a general election.

Yet more importantly, this poll is devastating for Cornyn, who was first elected in 2002. Privately, some GOP operatives increasingly believe there may be no path for him to secure the nomination. It’s not the first survey to suggest Cornyn is in trouble, but this one comes from Cornyn allies.

I’m not in the business of trying to guess what Republicans will do or why they do what they do. Some things are just unfathomable. My advice for what Democrats should be doing remains the same.

I have no trouble believing that Cornyn would be the stronger candidate. John Cornyn is nowhere close to my idea of a good Senator, but he does have a long and solid record of passing normal, substantive legislation. Even in this hyper-partisan post-truth world, I believe there are more people who would support that than there are that would support Ken Paxton’s performative nihilist wingnut bullshit. The downside of Paxton winning is enough that I’d almost rather than we not test that out, but as noted that’s not in my hands.

That said, let’s not go overboard with a result like this, especially when we don’t even get to see the topline numbers, let alone the poll data. We know that Cornyn leads Allred by six and Paxton trails Allred by one. (Yes, there are multiple potential Democratic Senate candidates, but Allred is the best known other than Beto and the first to suggest an interest in running. Pollsters have to make some choices, you know?) There’s a big difference between this result being “Cornyn 47 Allred 41, Paxton 41 Allred 42” and “Cornyn 47 Allred 41, Paxton 45 Allred 46”. In the former, Allred the Dem is at the same basic level while there are a handful of Republicans who aren’t ready to admit yet that they’ll vote for the Republican even if it’s Ken Paxton. This is a totally normal result. In the latter, Allred has picked up some support, perhaps in part from those “Cornyn but not Paxton” voters, and is tangible evidence that there’s some animus towards Paxton. Still just one result so possibly an outlier, but at least something you can point to and watch for going forward.

Anyway. I keep telling myself that I want to spend less time on polls, it’s too much energy for ephemeral malarkey. I mostly accomplished that last year, one of the few triumphs any of us can claim from that dumpster fire. And now here I am, already being dragged back in for 2026. Please send help. I’ll try to do better from now on. Reform Austin has more.

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How can we stand all this winning?

Item 1:

More than 1 million people count on Houston-area food pantries, which are staring down empty shelves after losing $11 million in federal funding.

Until recently, 100 tractor-trailers full of federally-funded food pulled up each month to the Houston Food Bank’s headquarters just east of downtown. Now, it’s down 60.

“It’s been a lot like navigating a disaster,” Houston Bank CEO Brian Greene said. “The information is incoming and you have to make decisions, and then more information comes along and you pivot.”

In total, the Trump administration cut 15% of the Houston Food Bank’s budget, said Greene. Breaking it down, that’s a loss of $7 million to buy food from local farmers, $3 million to distribute goods to 1,600 pantries and $1 million to help seniors and low-income families apply for health insurance.

The food bank will keep distributing to pantries, but they’ll have fewer choices, Greene said. And more than 200 seniors won’t get their monthly food boxes to help keep their shelves full.

In the meantime, the food bank is struggling to figure out how to make up the money and food it is losing. Maybe it will be forced to cut staff. Maybe private donors or foundations will step up. Maybe grocery stores and farmers will donate too-small onions or imperfect carrots or whatever else usually hits the trash.

A lot of maybes means a lot of uncertainty.

“We’ll take our shot,” Greene said, turning to the annual impact of the cuts. “But there’s no way we can make up 20 million pounds (per year). My goodness.”

Food banks across the country are battling the same problems.

Department of Agriculture Secretary Brooke Rollins explained the cuts to USDA programs that help food banks and schools as a “once in a generation opportunity to save our country from fiscal ruin.”

“President Trump’s budget will put us on the path to reducing our deficit and lowering the national debt,” Rollins said in a news release. “At USDA we have already started by eliminating wasteful spending, reprioritizing our services to put farmers first, and cutting red tape.”

But to local food pantries that rely on the Houston Food Bank for supplies, the funding is far from “wasteful spending” – it’s the basis of their ability to feed people.

See here for some background. It’s difficult to adequately convey how monstrous and sociopathic Brooke Rollins’ statement is. Not surprising, given her background, but thoroughly depraved. I’m willing to bet that a poll that asked people to prioritize between ensuring that food banks, which serve an awful lot of children, are adequately supplied or that the “national debt” is serviced by cutting funding for food banks, the former would draw support in the 80% range. Among the things we can do are to remind people of this stuff.

Item 2:

President Donald Trump [has] released a budget request that would slash NASA funding by nearly 25% and result in the end of Houston-area programs.

The 2026 budget request would allocate roughly $18.8 billion to NASA, down from $24.9 billion in fiscal year 2024. The 2026 budget would make deep cuts in science programs and prioritize sending humans to the moon and Mars, a key priority for Trump and SpaceX founder Elon Musk. Congress passed a full-year continuing resolution in March that did not give NASA a 2025 budget, so it’s operating at 2024 levels.

The focus on human spaceflight at the NASA Johnson Space Center is not likely to insulate workers from these cuts, said Casey Dreier, chief of space policy for the Planetary Society, a space advocacy group based in Pasadena, Calif.

“Houston has to worry,” Dreier said. “This budget … it’s indicative of a shift away from NASA-implemented spaceflight systems, particularly for human spaceflight.”

The International Space Station, with its operations and missions led by teams in Houston, would have its funding cut by $500 million, roughly a third of its estimated operating budget. The number of astronauts living on the station and the amount of research conducted would be reduced.

The Orion spacecraft intended to return humans to the moon and the Gateway space station that would orbit the moon, both led out of Houston, are on the chopping block. Orion would end after Artemis III, the NASA mission working to return humans to the moon, as the agency shifts to a private company’s spacecraft. Gateway would be terminated before its launch.

The budget request also detailed a $1.1 billion drop in “mission support,” which it said would entail streamlining the workforce, NASA center operations, facility maintenance, etc. Dreier said this aligns with the agency’s reduction in force plan that’s being worked on. A $1.1 billion drop could portend a 25% to 30% drop in NASA’s nationwide workforce, he said.

NASA accounts for roughly 20,000 jobs in Texas. Nearly 3,000 full-time-equivalent federal employees worked at the Johnson Space Center in fiscal year 2023, the most recent data available. Another 17,359 contractor jobs were tied to NASA in Texas.

Brian Freedman, president of the Bay Area Houston Economic Partnership, said he’s very concerned about local job losses with the International Space Station and Orion programs, which are among the Johnson Space Center’s larger programs.

But he also said Houston might be able to attract some of the budget request’s $1 billion in new funding for a Mars-focused program. The economic partnership is working with the area’s Congressional leaders and will bring a group of Houstonians to Washington later this month to discuss the importance of human spaceflight.

“There may be other opportunities down the line for human spaceflight projects aligned with where the administration and Congress want to go,” Freedman said, “and we certainly have the skills here.”

U.S. Rep. Brian Babin, a Woodville Republican who chairs the House Science, Space and Technology Committee, emphasized the importance of NASA beating China to the moon.

“This proposal marks the beginning of the budget process — not a final decision,” Babin said in a statement. “President Trump and I share a clear goal: securing America’s position as the world’s preeminent spacefaring nation. As I review the president’s budget proposal, I will work to ensure it reflects that commitment. I remain dedicated to staying the course, honoring our national space priorities, and supporting Johnson Space Center and the vital programs it oversees.”

Dreier said the proposed cuts would be the largest in NASA’s history. They come as Trump, with the enthusiastic support of Musk, who contributed at least $250 million to Trump’s campaign and leads the Department of Government Efficiency, seeks to shrink the federal government. Both Trump and Musk have expressed an interest in sending humans to Mars.

And although the budget allocates more money for crewed missions to the moon and Mars, Dreier said the overall cuts are not realistic for getting humans to the Red Planet.

“This is not a budget commensurate with American leadership in space,” Dreier said. “This is a budget commensurate with American retreat from space.”

Hey, Senators Cornyn and Cruz, it’s nice that you want to relocate the space shuttle Discovery to Houston and all. But are you going to represent your human constituents and work to save their jobs? Or are all these job cuts, which are more likely to hurt the stated goal of putting humans on Mars than to help it, fine by you? Don’t expect any help from Rep. Babin, who is an utter moron. What are you going to do about this?

Item 3:

“Chaos.” “Nonsense.” “Absolutely terrible.”

In public, at least, many business leaders have been somewhat circumspect since President Donald Trump announced sweeping worldwide tariffs on April 2, or as he called it, “Liberation Day.” But Texas executives were a bit more candid in a series of recent surveys conducted by the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas, which invited them to comment on the tariffs anonymously.

“A lack of a plan and the arbitrary nature of the tariffs are killing business,” said one manufacturing executive in computer and electronic product manufacturing.

The Dallas Fed surveys hundreds of executives in the manufacturing, service and retail sectors each month about business conditions, inviting them to elaborate with anonymous comments. Last month’s surveys, conducted April 15–23, included a series of special questions on the impact of Trump’s tariffs.

Nearly 60% of the roughly 350 respondents from across the state said they expected higher tariffs to have a negative impact on their businesses this year; only 3.2% were expecting a positive impact. About 55% of those expecting a negative impact said they plan to pass at least some portion of the cost increases through to their customers.

At the time of the most recent survey, Trump had announced a pause on many of the tariffs he had just proposed, after the “Liberation Day” proposals sent markets reeling and raised concerns about the potential for inflation and recession. But Trump was planning to proceed with tariffs on major trading partners including China, which was among the countries responding with retaliatory tariffs.

“I cannot emphasize enough how absolutely terrible this is in the short term,” said another. “The daily changes in policy make it impossible to attract new business currently because we cannot quote it with accuracy.”

An executive in professional services described the situation as “a self-inflicted pandemic all over again.”

“The chaotic implementation of the administration’s tariff policy and the near-daily changes are wreaking havoc on our business, our customer’s business and our suppliers,” the respondent said.

Hey guys. I know you don’t like the absolutely terrible chaotic nonsense right now, even though most if not all of you probably voted for it. I’m sorry that it’s hurting your businesses and your personal bottom lines in ways that no one at all could have predicted or warned you about. Do you think that maybe you could say some of this stuff again next year, when people are beginning to think about the next election and how they might vote in it? No rush, take your time and think about it. I know how hard the whole “thinking ahead to the future” thing is for you. I’ll check back with you later.

Posted in The great state of Texas | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments

Mexico sues Google over Gulf of Mexico renaming

I suppose this was inevitable.

Mexico has followed through on its threat to sue Google after the tech giant switched to the name “Gulf of America” on its digital maps, President Claudia Sheinbaum announced at a Friday news conference.

Google Maps users in the U.S. began seeing the name “Gulf of America” in February following President Trump’s executive order to change the name within the federal government. Google Maps users in Mexico still see Gulf of Mexico, and users in other countries see both names displayed together.

Sheinbaum previously threatened to sue Google if the company did not respond to letters requesting that “Gulf of America” should only refer to the part of the gulf in the United States’ jurisdiction. The company said in a public statement and in a letter to Sheinbaum’s administration that it has long complied with official government sources when determining geographic features names on Google Maps.

“All we want is for the decree issued by the United States government to be complied with,” she said Friday. “The decree issued by the United States government regarding the Gulf of America names only the portion that corresponds to the continental shelf of the United States, not the entire gulf.”

In the same way that certain local buildings (Transco Tower, the Summit, Enron Field) will always be as I first learned about them, I will never call that body of water anything but the Gulf of Mexico. The NYT adds some details.

The Trump administration is well within its right to rename its own territory but the maritime zones that are under the control of Mexico or Cuba cannot be relabeled by the United States or anyone else, she said. “We would have no business in telling them to rename a state, a mountain, or a lake,” she added.

In February, Cris Turner, the vice president for government affairs and public policy at Google, sent a letter to the Mexican government justifying the change and confirming that people using Google Maps in Mexico would continue to see Gulf of Mexico.

“This is consistent with our normal operating procedure to reflect on our platforms geographic names prescribed by different authoritative government sources,” the letter said, including in places where those sources “may differ.”

The next day, Mexico’s foreign ministry said in another letter to Mr. Turner that relabeling the entire gulf, even for American users only, “exceeds the powers of any national authority or private entity.” Mexico, the ministry said, would take any legal action it deemed appropriate.

Ms. Sheinbaum did not say on Friday when or where exactly her administration brought the lawsuit against Google but she added that there had already been a “first resolution.” The presidency’s legal office told The New York Times that the suit was filed in a Mexican court in late March.

The argument that the US government can only rename that which it controls seems pretty solid to me. I would hope that Google recognizes that and comes to a settlement agreement. If that results in an orange toddler temper tantrum, too bad. They could have done the right thing in the first place and maybe made it less of a big deal. This is what you get for bending the knee. BBC and The Verge have more.

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Once more with Trump’s approval ratings in Texas

Of interest.

President Donald Trump is viewed favorably by 47% of Texas voters and unfavorably by 50%, putting his net favorability at -3. This is a significant decline since November, when Trump’s net favorability was +12 (55% favorable, 43% unfavorable). Additionally, the share of voters who view him “very” favorably dropped from 42% to 37%, and the share of Republican and independent voters who view him favorably dropped from 96% to 89% and from 49% to 24%, respectively. Overall, this represents the first time TPOR’s polling has registered Trump’s favorability rating as net negative.

Governor Greg Abbott’s net favorability also experienced a post-election decline. In November, 50% of voters viewed him favorably and 45% viewed him unfavorably (net favorability +5). In the latest poll, 41% of voters viewed him favorably, while 54% viewed him unfavorably, giving him a net favorability rating of -13. The share of Republican and independent voters who view him favorably declined from 89% and 45% to 77% and 21%, respectively.

Elon Musk—who is based in Texas and plays a key role in the Trump administration—has a net favorability rating of -10, with 43% of voters viewing him favorably and 53% viewing him unfavorably.

Of the political figures surveyed, Colin Allred has the highest net favorability, at +7 (37% favorable, 30% unfavorable). But despite having been on the ballot in November, one-third of voters have never heard of him or have no opinion of him.

However, from August to March, Attorney General Ken Paxton’s favorability rating improved from 32% favorable and 45% unfavorable (net favorable -13) to 35% favorable and 40% unfavorable (net favorable -5). Still, he remains underwater by five points.

The least popular elected official, political figure, or group of politicians tested is Senator John Cornyn; just 21% view him favorably and 43% view him unfavorably (net favorable -22). 29% of Republicans view Cornyn favorably, while 64% view Paxton favorably.

As with the recent Texas Politics Project poll, Trump is way less popular now than he was before. The two surprises to me are Greg Abbott’s low favorability numbers – he has usually been one of the most popular officeholders in the state – and Ken Paxton’s surprisingly strong numbers – he has never polled all that well. Abbott, like Trump, has fallen considerably since TPOR’s last look in December. Abbott does usually do worse during legislative sessions than outside of them, so perhaps this is part of that. Or maybe it’s Trump, maybe it’s vouchers, maybe it’s an outlier, maybe it’s something else. I don’t want to get too deep into this, and as always we should view these as individual data points at a particular time. I do believe Trump’s numbers will continue to wither, though I don’t know by how much and I don’t know how much of a drag he’ll be on others. We’ll keep an eye on it. This is where we are now.

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Who cares about weather disasters?

Not the Trump administration.

The Trump administration’s steep staff cuts at the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) triggered shutdowns of several climate-related programs Thursday.

Perhaps most notably, the NOAA announced it would be shuttering the “billion-dollar weather and climate disasters” database for vague reasons. Since 1980, the database made it possible to track the growing costs of the nation’s most devastating weather events, critically pooling various sources of private data that have long been less accessible to the public.

In that time, 403 weather and climate disasters in the US triggered more than $2.945 trillion in costs, and NOAA notes that’s a conservative estimate. Considering that CNN noted the average number of disasters in the past five years jumped from nine annually to 24, shutting down the database could leave communities in the dark on costs of emerging threats. All the NOAA can likely say is to continue looking at the historic data to keep up with trends.

“In alignment with evolving priorities, statutory mandates, and staffing changes, NOAA’s National Centers for Environmental Information (NCEI) will no longer be updating the Billion Dollar Weather and Climate Disasters product,” NOAA announced. “All past reports, spanning 1980-2024, and their underlying data remain authoritative, archived, and available,” NOAA said, but no data would be gathered for 2025 or any year after.

According to NCEI’s FAQ, every state has experienced at least one billion-dollar disaster since 1980, while some states, like Texas, have been hit by more than 100. The Central, South, and Southeast regions of the US are most likely to be hurt most by the data loss, as those regions “typically experience a higher frequency of billion-dollar disasters,” the FAQ said.

Shutting the database down now seems like a bad idea, since the FAQ confirmed “the number and cost of disasters are increasing over time” due to factors like people building larger or cheaper properties in vulnerable areas and “changes in the frequency of some types of extremes that lead to billion-dollar disasters.” Those include notable rises in vulnerability to “drought, lengthening wildfire seasons in the western states, and the potential for extremely heavy rainfall becoming more common in the eastern states,” the FAQ said.

Previously, the FAQ noted, this database also helped monitor socioeconomic vulnerabilities, helping communities plan to avert future harms by comparing county extreme weather risk scores with county data on minority or elderly populations, as well as populations living with a disability or below the poverty line.

Although the database purported to have “no focus on climate event attribution,” its tracking appeared to conflict with Trump orders prohibiting DEI and undoing climate initiatives, alongside other crippling cuts to science. CNN dubbed the database’s closure “another Trump-administration blow to the public’s view into how fossil fuel pollution is changing the world around them and making extreme weather more costly.”

We better not have a disaster this year, and not just because we won’t be able to put it into context. There’s more bad stuff than that.

Within the past few days:

  • The interim head of the Federal Emergency Management Agency, which provides disaster relief and assists local and state agencies with response and recovery efforts, was ousted Thursday after testifying before Congress that he did not agree with proposals to dismantle the organization.
  • The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration on Thursday announced it would no longer update its “billion-dollar weather and climate disasters” database that has allowed the public to track the cost of extreme weather and climate events.
  • As regional National Weather Service offices across Texas grapple with staffing cuts and unplanned vacancies, three Houston-area members of Congress are seeking answers from administration officials.

Because these federal agencies guide and assist state and local agencies and individual Texans during disasters, any instability in leadership or staffing gaps could leave us more vulnerable when the next major hurricane hits Houston or the Texas Gulf Coast.

Cameron Hamilton, a former Navy SEAL who has only run FEMA for a few months, had told a House Appropriations subcommittee on Capitol Hill Wednesday that he was concerned that the agency had “evolved into an overextended federal bureaucracy, attempting to manage every type of emergency no matter how minor,” the Associated Press reported.

But Hamilton said he did not agree with President Donald Trump’s proposals to end FEMA.

“I do not believe it is in the best interest of the American people to eliminate the Federal Emergency Management Agency,” he told Congress.

Last July, after Hurricane Beryl caused the death of dozens of Texans and left millions in Southeast Texas without power, FEMA played its familiar role in Texas as a partner in local recovery efforts and benefactor. Since 2017, Texas has received $18.6 billion in FEMA funding, more than any other state except Florida.

But later in the year, as Trump campaigned for president, he repeatedly criticized FEMA and, in particular, its response in North Carolina after Hurricane Helene. Trump not only falsely accused the Biden administration of shifting money for disaster relief to undocumented migrants, but also suggested that states, not the federal government, should manage hurricanes, wildfires, tornadoes and other crises alone.

The Department of Homeland Security, which oversees FEMA, named David Richardson, a former Marine Corps officer who served in Afghanistan, Iraq and Africa, to run FEMA for now. He had been serving as the DHS assistant secretary for countering weapons of mass destruction.

The upheaval in leadership, as well as job cuts, at FEMA comes as the nation, led by Florida and Texas, has been experiencing increasing numbers of large-scale natural disasters. Former FEMA chief of staff Michael Coen told the Chronicle’s James Osborne in February that without leadership and proper staffing, the disaster response system that has helped rebuild the Gulf Coast for decades could be overwhelmed by a major hurricane.

“To diminish FEMA and these other agencies at a time they’re challenged by the increased frequency and severity of storms will leave this administration in jeopardy,” said Cohen, who left FEMA in January. “States are relying on these programs for guidance and approval. I don’t know how that money would get administered if you don’t have the staff.”

I got nothing. There’s going to be a disaster sooner or later, the federal response to it is going to be completely fucked up, and the only upside, as grim and horrible as it is to contemplate, is that it might be another 16-ton weight on Donald Trump’s approval rating. I don’t know what else to say.

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Harris County claims early victory in lawsuit over mass federal layoffs

First round to the good guys, but there’s a lot more to happen.

Harris County was among local governments and others claiming victory Saturday after a judge halted the Trump administration’s efforts to lay off federal employees.

The county, local governments, labor unions and nonprofits sued the Trump administration in the Northern District of California in late April. The suit accused President Donald Trump of violating the constitution by seeking to transform government agencies through large-scale layoffs, some which the plaintiffs alleged only Congress was empowered to do.

“This is a big win for Harris County and communities across the country that rely on the federal government to function,” Harris County Attorney Christian Menefee said in a Saturday news release. “It’s a win for residents, for federal workers, and for anyone who believes government should work for the people — not be torn apart by President Trump’s overreach.”

The order puts on hold new and existing layoffs under Trump’s Executive Order 14210, which outlined his vision for the Department of Government Efficiency, or DOGE, and granted it the authority to implement sweeping personnel changes.

Menefee said the firings had resulted in a decline in quality across many government services, including the Veteran’s and Social Security administrations.

“President Trump would have Harris County residents stuck with slower Social Security services, longer VA wait times, slower disaster response, and the loss of federal grants that fund food safety and emergency preparedness,” Menefee said. “We filed this lawsuit to stop him.”

The temporary restraining order issued by the San Francisco judge overseeing the case pauses all new and existing layoffs ordered by DOGE cross federal agencies for two weeks. Attorneys for the Trump administration appealed the order the same day it was issued, according to court records.

See here for the background. Law Dork gets into the weeds.

“It is the prerogative of presidents to pursue new policy priorities and to imprint their stamp on the federal government. But to make large-scale overhauls of federal agencies, any president must enlist the help of his co-equal branch and partner, the Congress,” U.S. District Judge Susan Illston wrote in the decision. “Federal courts should not micromanage the vast federal workforce, but courts must sometimes act to preserve the proper checks and balances between the three branches of government.“

Illston, a Clinton appointee who will have served on the Northern District of California bench for 30 years later this month, issued the ruling following a Friday hearing in the case brought by unions, nonprofit organizations, and local governments to challenge the “large-scale reductions in force“ set in motion by President Donald Trump’s February 11 executive order purporting to “Implement[] The President’s ‘Department of Government Efficiency’ Workforce Optimization Initiative.“

“The Court notes … that its order does not prevent the President from exercising his Article II powers, it prevents him from exercising Congress’ Article I powers,” Illston wrote at one point in the 42-page ruling, a reference to the portions of the Constitution laying out executive and legislative powers, respectively.

As detailed in the ruling, Trump’s executive order was followed by a joint memo from the heads of the Office of Management and Budget and the Office of Personnel Management on February 26 implementing Trump’s order. That, in turn, was to be followed by “Agency RIF and Reorganization Plans (“ARRP”),“ which were required, under the February 26 memo, to be submitted “to OMB and OPM for review and approval“ in two phases in March and April.

The plaintiffs challenge Trump’s order; the related actions of OMB, OPM, and the non-department Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE); and the agency ARRPs.

Although Illston lays out a meticulous case for her ruling, the bottom line is that she found that, with his actions — specifically, with these actions being taken without congressional authorization — Trump likely has gone too far.

“Plaintiffs are likely to succeed on their claim that the President’s Executive Order 14210 is ultra vires” — or beyond the president’s legal authority, in other words illegal — “as the President has neither constitutional nor, at this time, statutory authority to reorganize the executive branch,” Illston wrote.

The case, filed on April 28, is led by lawyers from Altshuler Berzon LLP and Democracy Forward, with support from many other lawyers due to the broad array of plaintiffs.

In issuing her TRO, Illston blocked any further implementation of the executive order for the next two weeks and also set forth a schedule such that a preliminary injunction motion can be briefed over the next two weeks, with a hearing set for 10:30 a.m. PT May 22.

It goes on from there, so read on if you want the full treatment. It is not clear to me exactly what the local effect will be, now and in the future however the case goes, but there’s no reason to believe that anything the Trump administration is doing is beneficial, well thought-out, or in good faith. Fight on every front and then fight some more.

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Weekend link dump for May 11

“Since its publication last Sunday, The New York Times Magazine article “Have We Been Thinking About ADHD All Wrong?” has been called provocative and controversial. We would like to add a few adjectives: misrepresentative, biased, and dangerous.”

Doxxing the Secret Police to call them to repentance”.

“The Easy Way to Uphold Birthright Citizenship”.

Shōgun Season 2 begins filming in January. I thought Season 1 was great, but it also told a complete story. I have no idea where they go next, but I will be interested in watching.

“But questions remain about what these tariffs could mean for F1 and the teams in the long term. The sporting side may largely be insulated from the impact, but could the sport be susceptible to the global financial market?”

RIP, Skype, now fully dead.

“How Trump Accidentally Sabotaged His Own Case Against Abrego Garcia”.

I’m sure the reason for Trump’s obsession with Alcatraz is because he watched that movie with The Rock and Sean Connery and thought it was cool.

Also, what the hell is a foreign film tariff, and who is supposed to pay it?

“Bodybuilding is the first digital radicalizer of the twenty-first century.”

“If you ask women what they want from the government to make childrearing less onerous and more accessible, the research shows that people that do want children, or want more children, overwhelmingly report that they want childcare, family leave, and/or child subsidy payments, for starters—things that make the sheer cost of parenting doable in the way that all our peer countries do.”

Leave Richie Rich alone!

“Politicians have always lied. But getting caught in lies — especially really obvious ones — used to be a political problem. There were social penalties for lying: Newspapers and TV channels would run negative stories; clarifications or sheepish apologies would be issued; voters might lose trust and punish you at the polls. Being a liar was stigmatized, in the political realm and the personal. This was a good thing. I don’t know how a society survives if we don’t agree that when someone knowingly and obviously lies to your face, that person should lose your trust and esteem.”

Hackers have targeted GlobalX Air, one of the main airlines the Trump administration is using as part of its deportation efforts, and stolen what they say are flight records and passenger manifests of all of its flights, including those for deportation”.

“President Trump’s Media Company Is Offering Movies About ‘Lizard People’ And Other Wild Conspiracy Theories”.

“Microsoft isn’t the only company switching law firms lately amid President Trump’s ongoing battle with Big Law. Some in-house lawyers are quietly pulling work away from some law firms that have made deals with President Trump, citing their objections to such deals, according to interviews with legal department chiefs.”

What we know about Trump’s immigrant detention deal with El Salvador, and what we still need to know.

“Tesla’s attempt to trademark the term “Robotaxi” in reference to its vehicles has been refused by the U.S. Patent and Trademark Office for being too generic”.

“Billionaire philanthropist Bill Gates ratcheted up his feud with Elon Musk, accusing the world’s richest man of “killing the world’s poorest children” through what he said were misguided cuts to US development assistance.”

RIP, David Souter, former Supreme Court Justice.

Tesla is in deep trouble in Europe. The electric vehicle maker, which once dominated EV sales in the region, is facing sales declines of more than 50 percent in France, the Netherlands, Sweden, Denmark, and the UK. Sales in Germany weren’t quite as bad—they fell by 46 percent in April, with slightly smaller decreases in Portugal and Spain. Only Italy and Norway saw any kind of sales growth.”

“Only four months into his term, when a president’s political capital should be at its most plentiful, and with Republican majorities in both chambers of Congress working on a filibuster-proof budget reconciliation bill, Trump is incapable of winning support for a cherished policy proposal.”

“It is with love, respect, complete irreverence, and a midwestern sense of pride that I share my favorite Chicago Pope Memes from the last 12 hours.”

“Tufts University PhD student Rümeysa Öztürk has been released from an immigration detention center in rural Louisiana in response to an order from a federal judge.”

RIP, Chet Lemon, three-time All Star centerfielder who won the World Series with the 1984 Detroit Tigers.

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The turnout effect in those school board races

In yesterday’s post we talked about the possible voucher effect in the recent school board elections, which were by and large a rout of the wingnuts. That same Chron story offered one more explanation at the end.

While some of the conservative candidates and groups that lost Saturday did not respond to requests for comment, social media discourse blamed low voter turnout for these results, which was lower than some previous May elections.

Turnout was highest in Clear Creek ISD, where less than 8% of registered voters in the area cast ballots, while in Tomball ISD, turnout was the lowest, with about 5% of registered voters turning out to make their voices heard on the four bond options. Spring Branch ISD representatives said voter turnout data will be available after the canvassing of the votes on Tuesday, May 13.

Still, Rottinghaus added that while it’s unfortunate that more people did not vote in this election, low turnout, low information elections have typically favored conservative candidates in school board elections, so this election may have bucked that trend.

“Low turnout in municipal elections is as common as bluebonnets in spring. It’s totally expected,” Rottinghaus said. “I will say that the side that’s better organized and that has more momentum on an issue is likely to come out the victor, and that might mean a couple 100 votes.”

Either way, Rottinghaus said that it’s possible people are becoming more aware of the importance of school board elections because they’ve noticed the impact of state and national politics in their child’s classrooms.

“People are more aware now of what’s happening in their local school districts and are reacting accordingly,” Rottinghaus said. “They’re recognizing that these policy changes are real.”

The subject was also addressed in the Fort Worth Report story. What Prof. Rottinghaus says here is correct, there’s nothing as low-turnout as a May election. What I was interested in was whether these races were low turnout in comparison to the same races in earlier years. As it happens, both Katy and Fort Bend ISDs have three-year terms, which means they have these elections every year. So I took a look at their recent turnout numbers, and this is what I found:


Katy ISD
Year   Turnout
==============
2025     7.45%
2024     6.96%
2023     5.13%
2022     5.06%

Fort Bend ISD
Year   Turnout
==============
2025     7.54%
2024     4.63%
2023     6.82%
2022     6.78%

In other words, relatively speaking, this was a high turnout year, more so in Katy than in Fort Bend. I don’t want to go crazy with this – these are still single-digit turnout numbers, and in such a situation it’s very much about who bothers to show up – but my point is simply that saying “these are low turnout elections” elides that bit of context. The elections this year were very much not low turnout in comparison to the three years before them.

In fact, since we’re going back as far as 2022, we can make a couple of more direct comparisons. In Katy ISD, Victor Perez won in 2022 with 5,706 votes out of 11,180 votes cast. He lost in 2025 with 7,561 votes out of 18,026 votes cast. In Fort Bend ISD, Rick Garcia won in 2022 with 9,131 votes out of 17,665 votes cast. He lost in 2025 with 7,566 votes out of 23,112 votes cast. Perez got more support this year than in 2022, but only 27% of the excess voters supported him. Garcia, who faced two opponents this year, lost support from three years ago. Make of all that what you will.

Again, I wouldn’t go overboard with any of this. It is correct to call these low turnout elections, and it is correct to be hesitant to draw any conclusions from them. All I want to do is add some context, which is one of my goals in life, or at least on this blog. You’re welcome.

(The FWR story noted that there were about 1900 more votes cast in the Mansfield ISD races this year compared to 2022, but it didn’t note turnout percentages. I just looked at these two districts because I thought they were sufficient for these purposes.)

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Be wary of the Trump mifepristone strategy

Hmmmm.

On Monday, Trump’s Justice Department slotted into a long-running, right-wing effort to get the abortion drug mifepristone restricted or yanked from the market altogether. Instead of joining forces with the red states challenging the drug, though, it largely picked up where the Biden administration had left off, arguing that the case should be dismissed.

This case, initially brought by anti-abortion doctors who wanted the drug restricted, reached the Supreme Court last summer. The justices ruled that the doctors lacked standing, as they were unable to prove that they were hurt by the Food and Drug Administration’s current set of restrictions on mifepristone. A group of red states tried to take the doctors’ place back at District Judge Matthew Kacsmaryk’s court, creating a glaring jurisdictional issue: None of the states had any connection to north Texas.

“The three Intervenor-Plaintiff States — the States of Missouri, Idaho, and Kansas (“the States”) — do not dispute that their claims have no connection to the Northern District of Texas and that, if the States were to file their own suit in this District, that suit could not proceed due to improper venue,” the Trump DOJ wrote Monday.

If that’s where the brief ended, it’d be a pretty paltry “win” for the abortion rights side. The case was only limping along because Kacsmaryk, a judge known for his extraordinary sympathy toward conservative causes, had control of it; the minute it reached another judge, it would likely be dismissed.

But the administration went further, also poking holes in some of the states’ legal arguments. It raised an eyebrow at the very speculative theory of harm the states were pushing: that an earlier, more restrictive FDA regulatory regime should be put back into place to avoid some possible future conflict with state laws. It also echoed arguments made by the manufacturers of mifepristone that the window has elapsed for challenging the FDA’s 2016 loosening of regulations.

Some legal observers theorize that the administration’s unanticipated stance in the case boils down to its unwavering support for executive power, even when it creates odd bedfellows. It doesn’t want its FDA to be hamstrung — including, perhaps, when it gins up its own reason to restrict mifepristone in the future.

Others think it’s a gambit to create cover while it pursues other avenues of restriction, pointing to a suspect “study” published by a right-wing think tank last week.

“The Abortion Pill Harms Women: Insurance Data Reveals One in Ten Patients Experiences a Serious Adverse Event,” blares the headline of the paper from the Ethics and Public Policy Center.

It bears many of the hallmarks of anti-abortion junk science — no peer review, refusal to publish the underlying data, an ad hoc expansion of definitions (undefined “other, abortion-specific complications” for half the patients they claim experienced severe adverse effects).

EPPC declined to publish its dataset when asked by HuffPost to do so, and told the outlet that the paper was not peer reviewed because “the extensive pro-abortion bias in the peer-review process” creates “no opportunities to publish peer-reviewed analysis that offer major substantive critiques of the abortion pill or abortion.”

See here and here for some background. Slate also covers this.

Missouri, Kansas, and Idaho may be making ridiculous assertions. But what does it mean that the Trump administration is pointing this out? Is it a sign that Trump will defend the status quo on mifepristone and keep his promise to leave the states alone when it comes to abortion?

Probably not. One of the most striking features of the brief is that it says nothing about the merits of the states’ arguments about mifepristone and the Comstock Act. Compare this with similar filings from the Biden administration, which went into painstaking detail about the Comstock Act and the FDA’s authority.

None of this is missing from the Trump administration’s brief by accident. Trump wants to leave himself room to maneuver on mifepristone. His problem with the attorneys general isn’t necessarily that the two groups of Republicans are on different sides when it comes to the drug. It may simply be that Trump wants to control if, or when, he does something on the issue. He doesn’t want to be pushed around by the anti-abortion movement or its allies in the states.

There’s another possibility too—one that Trump could have learned from the 2024 election. During his first term, the anti-abortion movement scored its biggest win in more than half a century, when the president was able to reshape the Supreme Court with three new appointments who would eventually be critical to overturning Roe v. Wade. And yet that fact—and the tremendous unpopularity of the court’s decision in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization—didn’t stop Trump from winning a second term. It seemed he’d found a perfect formula: shifting blame to the courts, then claiming he wouldn’t change the status quo on his own. Cases about mifepristone are already in the pipeline—the Missouri suit is just one example. If passing the buck to SCOTUS worked once before, Trump might be hoping he can do the same with abortion pills.

We don’t know what will happen in this case, or others on mifepristone. The bottom line is that Trump isn’t defending abortion pills. He’s defending his own power to control what happens to them.

Trying to understand what Trump is thinking is a losing game. But we do need to think critically about what he and his minions actually do, so we have some hope of anticipating what might come next. Whatever they’re doing here, it’s not because they believe in mifepristone and the need for women to have access to it. Jessica Valenti has more.

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A brief digression on wacky fan contests at sporting events

I love this kind of stuff, and I hope you do too.

Every night across the country, fans vie for prizes in contests staged during breaks in the action at sporting events big and small. In basketball, it might be halfcourt shots or length-of-the-court putts. In football, it might be throwing a ball at a target or kicking a field goal. In hockey, it might be taking a shot from center ice.

The vast majority of these real people efforts come and go with polite applause from the crowd, an amusing distraction while the real athletes are getting a rest. Some of them are a lot more fun than that, with explosions of joy and disbelief that something great just happened — and it’s been that way for a long time.

Jim Kahler, director of the Sports & Entertainment Management Program at Cleveland State University, said in-game contests have been part of the fan experience since the mid-20th century. Bill Veeck was famous for the wacky ways he engaged fans as a minor and major league baseball owner — you may remember his 1979 Disco Demolition debacle at a Chicago White Sox game — and Kahler said the late NBA Commissioner David Stern encouraged franchises to emphasize entertainment as much as the game itself.

“Those breaks at halftime and quarter breaks and two-minute timeouts became valuable inventory,” said Kahler, who previously was chief marketing officer and senior vice president of sales and marketing for the Cleveland Cavaliers.

“You could tie it to the growth of sponsorship,” Kahler said. “You’ve got more and more sponsors than ever before. Teams are smart enough to sell those spots. The sponsor and the team have to figure out something that’s interactive and engage with the fans in a way the fans appreciate. Then it kind of became the arms race of who can come up with the better idea.”

Of course, there is risk involved with offering prizes worth tens of thousands of dollars. About a half-dozen companies in the United States assume that risk for sponsors and make good on payoffs to contest winners.

Bob Hamman, who founded Dallas-based SCA Promotions in 1986, and his son and company vice president Chris Hamman base their fees on the odds they set for each contest. For example, Bob Hamman said, there’s a 50% chance a person picked at random will make a free throw. That drops to 14% for a 3-pointer and 2% for a halfcourt shot.

[…]

Chris Hamman said a watershed moment for in-game contests occurred in 1993, when Chicago Bulls fan Don Calhoun’s overhand throw from the opposite free-throw line swished through the hoop 80 feet away for $1 million.

The insurance company balked at paying because Calhoun had walked on to play basketball at two junior colleges a few years earlier and played in a handful of games. That was disqualifying, according to the insurance company. The Bulls — reportedly with Michael Jordan’s involvement — and sponsors ended up making good on the payoff.

This is risk analysis in its purest form. It’s no different than what actuaries at insurance companies do – calculate the odds of a thing happening, then offer to insure against it based on those odds. Not for the faint of heart or light of cash.

Two items of note for me. One, if you’ve read this blog for awhile you know that I used to play tournament bridge, mostly in the 90s. It was a lot of fun, and one of the joys of that particular interest is that you can sit down and compete against players who are legitimate national and world champions. Bob Hamman, a longtime resident of Dallas, is on anyone’s short list of greatest players ever. I had the pleasure of sitting down against him a couple of times. I knew his son Chris reasonably well in the 90s – he was pals with several guys I knew at UT at the time, and I played on a couple of teams with him, though I don’t think I ever partnered with him. Texas – Houston and Dallas in particular – have long been full of high level bridge players, and you don’t even have to go to the big fancy tournaments to run into them regularly. I haven’t played competitively in 20+ years and I miss it sometimes – I met a lot of really interesting people through bridge.

And two, back in the 70s when the New Jersey Nets were playing their home games at Rutgers University in Piscataway, NJ, my dad’s law firm had season tickets and I got to see a bunch of games. They had a regular contest in which you could enter a drawing to match or exceed the number of free throws a current or former player made (out of five) and win some modest prize. One night, when I was maybe 9 or 10, my name was drawn. The player they had for me to match made all five of his attempts, so no pressure at all. I did my free throws underhanded, because I was too skinny and short to have any hope of reaching the rim otherwise, and managed to sink the first one, which got me a rousing round of applause. It was all downhill from there as I missed the next two (they always counted the first contestant miss as a “practice shot”) and went away empty-handed. I can’t remember what the prize would have been, but I’m pretty sure they didn’t need any risk assurance firm to cover it for them.

(You should definitely watch the videos of Don Calhoun’s three pointer and that court-length putt some dude in Nebraska sank to win a Porsche.)

Posted in Other sports | Tagged , , , , , | Comments Off on A brief digression on wacky fan contests at sporting events

Saturday video break: AV Undercover is back

Very good news.

Since 2010, AV Club has been inviting artists to cover songs from a list chosen by our readers. Once a song has been chosen, it’s crossed off the list for that season, leading to fewer and fewer options as the season goes on. We’re in the process of restoring our archives on The AV Club YouTube channel and will add links as they’re republished. After seven years, we’re bringing AV Undercover back, so stay tuned for Season 9.

You should click over and see the premier video they have for Season Ten, because it’s…something else. Trust me on this.

Some of their past videos that I am a big fan of, starting with this one, a go-to for me when I need a little pumping up:

How I would have loved to be in the room when that was made. That was from season two. This is from the most recent season, in 2017, and it made me a fan of the band that performed it:

Go look for Lake Street Dive on YouTube, they have some terrific covers and good originals, too. They have a couple of Tiny Desk Concerts, one done from home during the pandemic and the other five years before that, at the titular tiny desk.

“Stop Dragging My Heart Around” is a good song to cover – hell, it’s a good karaoke song, which I say with experience, as the Tom Petty part was within my vocal range back before I became more of a bass. Middle Aged Dad Jam Band, joined by Jackie Tohn, does my current favorite version, but they weren’t on the AV Club roster. Sharon Van Etten, along with Shearwater, was:

It’s hard to do that without imitating Stevie Nicks, but you have to try and you have to make it your own without getting too far away from what Stevie did. Jackie Tohn and Sharon Van Etten both hit that sweet spot. That was from Season 3; Van Etten also covered “She Drives Me Crazy” by the Fine Young Cannibals in the same season as the TMBG cover of “Tubthumping”. That shows how deep the legacy of this series is.

Finally, here’s Ted Leo and the Pharmacists doing an excellent non-synthesizer “Everybody Wants To Rule The World” by Tears for Fears:

Honestly, it’s how much fun everyone is having while also delivering top-notch performances that makes this series great and a joy to have back. Dig in and find some new music and artists, and have some of your own fun.

Posted in Music | Tagged , | 1 Comment

Measles update: It would help if the people with measles stopped traveling while sick

I don’t know what else to say.

An El Paso resident’s two-day visit to Austin has prompted a warning from city public health officials, after the person was confirmed to have measles.

The person was in Austin from April 25 through April 27. Austin officials said El Paso’s Department of Public Health has gathered “limited details about the individual’s visit to Austin.”

However, the individual may have exposed the public at Terry Black’s Barbecue on Barton Springs Road on Saturday, April 26, between 8 a.m. and 11 p.m.

The city of Fredericksburg posted on its Facebook page that the same person may have exposed people in Gillespie County, also on April 26.

The city said the person visited four locations on East Main Street in downtown Fredericksburg:

  • Burger Burger between 1:30 p.m. to 4:30 p.m.
  • Loca on Main between 2:30 p.m. and 5 p.m.
  • Felt Boutique and Allens Boots between 3:30 p.m. to 5:30 p.m.

More details on the Fredericksburg exposure can be found online here.

Additional locations may be identified as the case investigation continues. The city of Austin said updates will be posted at austintexas.gov/measles.

Austin health officials said in a media release that this case “underscores the importance of community-wide vaccination and awareness.”

Putting my cybersecurity hat on for a minute, one of the main entry points for malware on a computer or network is people doing the wrong thing. Clicking on links or attachments in phishing emails, downloading software from sketchy websites, allowing some “tech support agent” who called you out of the blue to say that they had detected a threat on your machine to install some remote connection tool so they can “fix” it for you, that sort of thing. Some of these threats are more sophisticated than others, and even highly knowledgeable people can fall for the right scam, but a lot of the time it’s just someone being extremely unaware. Many companies nowadays spend a lot of time and resources on employee training and phishing simulations to help their staff recognize these situations and reduce the risk of them becoming victimized.

All of this is a longwinded way of saying that one way to reduce the risk of measles transmission, given that some stubborn rump of the population refuses to get vaccinated and must be coddled for it, is to try to make these people aware of the fact that if they are actively sick, they need to stay home and not be around other people until they’re not sick anymore. I don’t know what it’s going to take to craft and deliver such a message to the people that need to hear it in a way that they will be receptive to it, but it’s clear from this story that the risk is real and we’ve gotta do something about it.

Anyway. Measles keeps finding its way to other states, though not all of that is connected to the ongoing outbreak. These new cases are almost always related to travel in some way, either as above a sick person visiting somewhere or a healthy but often unvaccinated person visiting a country – or now state – with an elevated risk of measles and getting themselves infected. I don’t have a whole lot of hope for any kind of travel safety communications happening given the current administration’s unhinged zeal for cutting funds for medical research, mostly as a way to attack its perceived ideological enemies. None of that is directly related to the measles outbreak, but it’s very much all of a piece, and we are all a lot worse off for it.

And that brings us to the Friday update.

The measles outbreak centered in northwest Texas appeared to slow on Friday, as health officials reported just seven new cases since earlier this week.

The latest update from the Texas Department of State Health Services shows the state has seen 709 measles cases since the outbreak began spreading in late January. So far, 89 people have been hospitalized for treatment and two children, an 8-year-old girl and a 6-year-old girl, died after contracting the virus.

Texas has reported 26 new measles cases over the past week, down from 37 new cases during the one-week period that ended May 2, according to DSHS data. The state had been reporting about 50 new cases of measles per week since Valentine’s Day, aside from a two-week surge in late March and early April.

Approximately two-thirds of cases in Texas have been in children and teens. More than 95% have been in individuals who have not received the measles, mumps and rubella vaccine, or whose vaccination status is unknown.

The outbreak, the largest in the United States in at least 25 years, has also spread to New Mexico and Oklahoma. New Mexico reported 71 cases on Friday, while Oklahoma reported 17. New Mexico has reported one suspected measles death, an unvaccinated adult who tested positive for the virus after dying.

The DSHS estimated that fewer than 10 of the Texans who have contracted measles — about 1% of the total — are actively infectious. An individual may be infectious up to four days before a rash appears and up to four days after it’s gone.

Six of the seven new cases reported on Friday are in El Paso County. The county has now reported 50 cases in total.

The other new case is in Lamar County, which has reported 51 cases amid the outbreak.

For the second time in a week, the update did not include any new cases in Gaines County, which has been the epicenter of the outbreak. The small county along the New Mexico border has reported a total of 403 cases, nearly 57% of all cases associated with the outbreak.

The DSHS said there is ongoing measles transmission in eight counties: Cochran, Dallam, Dawson, Gaines, Lamar, Lubbock, Terry and Yoakum. Garza and Lynn counties are no longer considered to have ongoing measles transmission.

Okay, I’ll accept that the outbreak is slowing down. That just emphasizes my point about the need to keep the fairly small number of infectious people isolated, and especially not traveling through much more heavily populated areas, because that’s how you reignite this flame. NBC News gets into this a bit.

Ninety-one people have been hospitalized since the beginning of the outbreak. About two-thirds were kids.

But for the second week in a row, no children are hospitalized with the virus in West Texas, said Katherine Wells, the public health director for the city of Lubbock, located at the epicenter of the outbreak.

“I’m hopeful that things are slowing down,” Wells said.

Still, she and others who’ve been on the front lines of the outbreak were cautious.

“I don’t think it’s over, but I do think it’s beginning to taper a little bit now,” said Dr. Lara Johnson, a pediatrician and chief medical officer at Covenant Children’s Hospital in Lubbock. “That could change tomorrow.”

Measles is so contagious, Johnson said, it can easily infiltrate vulnerable, mostly unvaccinated, communities. At this point, she said, it seems the virus has made its way through many West Texas communities with low vaccination rates.

“Outbreaks burn themselves out,” Johnson said. “Everyone who’s susceptible in the community becomes not susceptible, either because they have the illness, or perhaps they choose to vaccinate.”

Doctors on the ground said there’s been a slight uptick in people choosing to get themselves or their children vaccinated. Others have been convinced to stay home while contagious to prevent further spread.

Mostly, however, measles has likely run out of people to infect among the vulnerable population.

Even as the outbreak slows in West Texas, it’s growing elsewhere.

As of Tuesday, there were 987 measles cases nationwide, according to an NBC News tally of state health departments. It’s the largest number of measles cases since 2019, when more than 1,200 cases were reported, driven by an outbreak in Orthodox Jewish communities in New York.

Most of the current cases are related to international travel. Montana and North Dakota are now reporting eight and four cases, respectively.

But some of the outbreaks in other states are linked directly to cases in West Texas.

That includes the 46 cases in Kansas, not mentioned in the Chron story. By the way, the 403 total cases in Gaines County, which as noted hasn’t reported any new ones in two weeks, represents about 1.8% of that county’s population. A similar case rate in Harris County would have infected about 87,000 people. And this outbreak, whether it is truly waning or not, is still the biggest in the nation in 25 years. Let’s please not have a repeat of that any time soon.

NPR has another nice story on Katherine Wells, the indefatigable public health commissioner in Lubbock. I wish her a long, relaxing vacation when this is over. And to close on another positive note, here’s some more good news. Item one:

Far fewer babies went to the hospital struggling to breathe from RSV, a severe respiratory infection, after the debut of a new vaccine and treatment this season, according to an analysis published today by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

RSV, or respiratory syncytial (sin-SISH-uhl) virus, is the leading cause of hospitalization for infants in the US. An estimated 58,000–80,000 children younger than 5 years old are hospitalized each year. Newborns—babies between 0 and 2 months—are the most at risk of being hospitalized with RSV. The virus circulates seasonally, typically rising in the fall and peaking in the winter, like many other respiratory infections.

But the 2024–2025 season was different—there were two new ways to protect against the infection. One is a maternal vaccine, Pfizer’s Abrysvo, which is given to pregnant people when their third trimester aligns with RSV season (generally September through January). Maternal antibodies generated from the vaccination pass to the fetus in the uterus and can protect a newborn in the first few months of life. The other new protection against RSV is a long-acting monoclonal antibody treatment, nirsevimab, which is given to babies under 8 months old as they enter or are born into their first RSV season and may not be protected by maternal antibodies.

Item two:

In the summer of 2020, death engulfed Texas’ Rio Grande Valley.

Delia Ramos recalls the eerie prevalence of freezer trucks lining hospital parking lots to store the bodies, as a novel virus battered the mostly Hispanic region. When her husband Ricardo eventually fell ill, he entered the hospital alone, and she never got to see him again.

The demand for services for the dead was so high, she had to place her name on a waiting list to have him cremated.

“People were passing away left and right,” said Ramos, 45, of Brownsville.

By that summer’s end, it was clear: Texas Hispanics were dying at a rate faster than any other ethnic group. In 2020, Hispanics made up nearly half of all COVID deaths in Texas. White Texans — whose share of the state’s population is the same as Hispanics — made up only 38% of all deaths that year.

In the Valley and in several Hispanic communities, many Texans like Ramos’ husband, who was a driver for a transportation contractor, worked in jobs outside the home, exposing them to the deadly virus. They often lived under the same roof with children and grandparents, increasing the risk of spreading the infection.

“What we’re seeing really is historic decimation among the Hispanic community by this virus,” said Dr. Peter Hotez, Texas’ reigning infectious disease expert and physician, to the Congressional Hispanic Caucus on Sept. 30, 2020.

It has been five years since Gov. Greg Abbott issued a series of orders reopening the state for business in May 2020 — a move that accelerated a disproportionate amount of deaths for Texas Hispanics in the immediate months that followed. Today, COVID deaths have fallen dramatically.

An analysis of COVID mortality data by The Texas Tribune reveals the trends have flipped since the beginning of the pandemic: White Texans are the most likely to die of COVID compared to other race and ethnic groups, while the proportion of Hispanics dying of the disease has plummeted. In 2024, Hispanics made up 23% of COVID deaths in Texas, while white Texans made up 63%.

Vaccines work, y’all. Try them, you won’t be disappointed.

Posted in The great state of Texas | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

The tariff effect on chocolate

Chocoholics beware.

For weeks, businesses across the U.S. have scrambled to plan for President Donald Trump’s widespread tariffs. That includes two Houston Heights dessert shops.

Pudgy’s Fine Cookies and Underground Creamery at 1010 N Shepherd Dr. have been on edge as news about Trump’s “Liberation Day” tariffs roll out. According to Josh DeLeon, owner and operator at Underground Creamery, and Pudgy’s owner Van Teamer, tariffs threaten to raise prices on dessert staples like chocolate, coffee, and matcha.

Known for their “thick AF” chocolate chip cookie, Pudgy’s cookie menu relies heavily on quality chocolate. Instead of pedestrian brands like Nestle and Tollhouse, Teamer looks to culinary grade chocolate brands like Valrhona and Cacao Barry from France and Callebaut from Belgium. Imports from the European Union are subjected to a 20 percent tariff, which came into effect on April 9, according to the BBC.

According to Teamer and DeLeon, chocolate is the most expensive ingredient at both businesses. Though Underground Creamery doesn’t regularly include chocolate in its beloved ice cream pints, DeLeon admitted to stocking up prior to the tariffs, buying around $7,000 worth of high-quality chocolate before the tariffs hit.

“Chocolate is scarce already,” DeLeon said. “It’s not growing as much, same with coffee and matcha.”

Even before Trump’s tariffs, the global chocolate industry was having problems as early as the beginning of 2024. Producers in West Africa began noticing that cocoa trees were producing less healthy pods. In Ghana, cocoa farms saw the rise of “black pod disease” and weeks of high temperatures, which severely impacted the harvest, according to Food Chain Magazine. Globally, chocolate prices have skyrocketed and are projected to continue climbing this year. Similar issues have also plagued the coffee and matcha trades. Ongoing shortages, combined with the tariffs, have raised prices even higher.

DeLeon said other ingredients, like hazelnut chocolate and vanilla, are also at risk for price hikes. Hazelnut chocolate costs around $600 per case now, but could go up to $800 with tariffs. Vanilla paste and extracts from Madagascar cost around $550 now, but are subject to a 47 percent tariff.

[…]

Alongside tariff concerns, Pudgy’s and Underground are still dealing with other financial challenges. During the May 2024 derecho and Hurricane Beryl, the two businesses lost power for at least a week. Teamer and DeLeon gave away their ice cream and cookies for free to passersby during the outages, then claimed their losses through insurance. Unfortunately, Teamer said, their claims were capped at $10,000–way below the pair’s losses. “We’re still recovering…all that chocolate we had to rebuy,” she said.

But will the tariffs increase Teamer and DeLeon’s prices?

“If push comes to shove,” DeLeon said.

So there you have it. These places (which I totally need to try for myself) deal in life’s little luxuries, which means that they really can’t afford to jack up prices. People will just find substitutes for their wares, of which there are plenty at lower price points. Remember when Republicans were supposed to be business friendly? Boy, those were the days.

Posted in Food, glorious food | Tagged , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments

Renaissance Festival to be sold

There’s always drama with this thing.

A Grimes County District Judge has ruled the the Texas Renaissance Festival must be sold, ending a two-year legal battle over the popular festival.

Judge Gary W. Chaney of the 506th state District Court issued the ruling Wednesday following several days of testimony last week in the civil case filed in August 2023. Chaney also said the festival’s owner must pay over $23 million in damages to cover money lost by the buyer during the dispute, including attorney’s fees.

The original lawsuit, filed by RW Lands Inc., says Texas Stargate, Inc., Royal Campground, Inc., and Texas RF, Inc. agreed to purchase the Renaissance property, assets and nearby property for $60 million.

However, the suit claims festival founder George Coulam and his company did not provide the required documents for the sale, and the plaintiffs learned on April 7, 2023, that Coulam would not close the sale on April 8, 2023, as planned.

“Indeed, the August 8, 2023 closing date came and went without (Coulam) complying with their closing obligations,” the suit states.

In a response filed with the courts on Sept. 11, 2023, Coulam denied the allegations and claimed the plaintiffs had not complied with their obligations to close the sale.

“Defendants deny that either party was ready to close on August 8, 2023. Defendants deny that there was a valid contract on August 8, 2023, as all parties expressed the need to alter the contract provisions to provide more specificity and clarity,” court documents state.

I don’t think I knew that there was supposed to be a sale, or that there was litigation over the fact that there was a disagreement about there being a sale. I did know that there’s been some ongoing drama over who might take over from founder and reigning monarch George Coulam, who can fairly be described as “a piece of work”. We’ll see what happens next. CultureMap has more.

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Did vouchers play a role in the May school board elections?

Interesting hypothesis from the Chron.

Several conservative candidates with right-wing support lost their bids for Houston-area school boards Saturday night, a change that some experts said could reflect dissatisfaction with the current state of national politics.

Even though school boards are supposed to be nonpartisan entities, many ultra-conservative candidates have been elected with support from outside political organizations and large private donations, leading to book banscensorship of instructional material and restrictive gender policies. In Katy, Fort Bend and other districts across Texas, trustees who supported those conservative policies, lost their bids for re-election.

“You could call it a kind of a mini-reactionary bump … A lot of voters may choose to go vote because this is the only way that they can show their displeasure at the current moment,” University of Houston political science professor Brandon Rottinghaus said. “(It’s) a global factor that would definitely produce an outcome where you have more moderate to liberal candidates winning.”

[…]

With Cross and Redmon winning their [Katy ISD] elections, parent Anne Russey, co-founder of the Texas Freedom to Read Project, said she hopes the board will stabilize over the coming months.

“We’ve been in the news a lot for controversial, and kind of embarrassing things, and I think people are tired of that,” Russey said. “The majority of people in Katy love our schools. We love our teachers. We support public education. And just to continually be bombarded by stories of more books being banned or more students being targeted, it doesn’t feel good to read about yourself in that kind of light.”

Russey railed against the notion that Katy ISD was now seeing a “leftist takeover” as neither candidate who won their races was openly political.

Statewide, comfortably conservative boards were disrupted by local elections on the same day that Gov. Greg Abbott signed a $1 billion school voucher proposal into law.

“In communities like Keller and Katy, where it’s felt like we’re just continually losing, our voices are continually being ignored, … this was kind of a reckoning,” Russey said.

She hopes the statewide trend would be a wake-up call for legislators that book bans and culture war themes were not “winning issues politically.”

Despite the area losses, Harris County GOP spokesperson Vanessa Ingrassia said the group was “not discouraged by the results of this election” and pointed to misinformation about school vouchers as a potential reason for the shift.

“Elections surrounding midterms are historically challenging, especially for the party in power. In this case, widespread misinformation, particularly from anti–school choice campaigns, created an added layer of difficulty for our candidates,” Ingrassia said. “Despite these setbacks, the Harris County Republican Party has a strong track record of electing local leaders and remains fully committed to supporting our candidates at every level. … (We) will continue to work toward policies that reflect the values of our community.”

Rottinghaus said the discussion on school vouchers this year could have swayed voters toward more liberal candidates or coalesced protestors around the anti-vouchers issue.

“This is a classic move from protest politics to policy making, where a lot of local organizations who’ve had less success either getting the state to spend more money on the basic allotment or on fighting vouchers, have now transitioned into running for office,” Rottinghaus said.

And he doesn’t expect his to slow down over the next few cycles.

“We’re going to see more people who are going to find dissatisfaction with the state of funding in Texas public ed and seek to find a way to involve themselves in the process politically,” he said.

See here and here for some background. Gotta love the copium from the local GOP spokesbot. I don’t know what role, if any, the voucher saga may have played in these elections. School boards aren’t direct participants in that debate, and as we know there were plenty of other hot-button issues at play in these and other races. I can believe that the people who voted to oust these odious incumbents or block equally odious non-incumbent candidates were also largely opposed to vouchers, but that doesn’t really tell us anything. I sure hope that vouchers are a motivating factor, especially next year, but safe to say that remains to be seen.

For what it’s worth, in this Fort Worth Report story about the local elections in Tarrant County, Professor Rottinghaus doesn’t mention the V-word.

In recent election cycles, local races have gradually become the “latest battlefield for policy making” for both sides of the political spectrum, said Brandon Rottinghaus, a political science professor at the University of Houston.

“We are seeing more money poured into local races, more attention to individual candidates and more advocacy policies,” Rottinghaus said. “That competitiveness of local politics makes it easy for people to see clearly where candidates stand ideologically. That’s not something that was sort of obvious in the past.”

He said it’s difficult to gauge broader political sentiments based on local, off-cycle elections, which consistently see lower voter turnout than November elections with national candidates on the ballot. The results in Mansfield are likely more the result of a group of passionate, civically engaged residents who are angry about the partisanship they’ve seen in recent years, Rottinghaus said.

About 8% of registered Tarrant County voters cast ballots in the May 3 election. Across the three Mansfield ISD races, an average of 12,263 voters cast ballots — up from an average of 10,393 voters in the four May 2022 school board races. School board members are elected at-large, allowing all voters in the district to weigh in on candidates.

“It would be misleading to read too much into these results, or to ascribe what’s happening as a direct rebuke to what’s going on at the federal and state levels,” Rottinghaus said.

Clayton Waters, who as founder of MISD Future PAC supported the school district challengers, said he feels conservative voters weren’t motivated by the incumbents’ partisan message. He said the results were a “loud and clear message that partisanship isn’t welcome on the school board.”

Conservative leaders agreed their voters weren’t motivated this election cycle, but they don’t agree that it’s due to a rejection of partisanship.

“I know the Left will spin this to motivate their troops saying Tarrant is blue. It’s not. One election can’t make that determination,” Julie McCarty, CEO of True Texas Project, said in a statement to the Report, adding that it was only six months ago that Republicans swept Tarrant County in the November election.

“The problem for the Right is we win in Federal and State elections, and we let that lull us to sleep,” McCarty said. “The Right needs to learn to stay the course. We will rally, and we will win again. Just watch.”

[…]

Rottinghaus said there is a possibility that Republican PACs were “off the mark” this election cycle or too extreme, leading to less Republican turnout. If Republican-backed incumbents have already addressed the issues they previously campaigned on, voters likely won’t see those issues as a threat anymore and will be less motivated to cast ballots.

“It could be that the issues didn’t motivate the way that they used to because they weren’t quite as raw and didn’t touch a nerve in the same way,” he said. “It’s also conceivable that the groups went too far that they’re out kicking their coverage and making arguments that people don’t believe.”

With just a few thousand votes to analyze, Rottinghaus added: “It’s impossible to say definitively what’s going on.”

That latter bit comes after a discussion of the flameout of the Patriot Mobile PAC candidates. This story covered municipal elections as well as school board races, so the spectrum of issues in play is even wider. The wingnut PACs cited here have likely been playing in legislative races as well. What Rottinghaus says here is consistent with his remarks on the Houston-area races, just less specific on that one item. And if he’s right about the Republican PACs going too far, in part because they’ve already passed lots of their bills, that would also be nice for 2026. Again, we’ll have to see.

There is one more possible cause for these election results that gets mentioned in both stories. I’ll cover that in a separate post.

Posted in Election 2025 | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Fort Worth ISD could be subject to takeover

Look out.

The Texas education commissioner is now officially weighing his options for Fort Worth ISD after a now-closed school triggered the state’s school intervention law.

In a May 5 letter to Superintendent Karen Molinar and board President Roxanne Martinez, Texas Education Commissioner Mike Morath said the district’s accountability ratings triggered a state law that requires him to intervene.

The issue: The Leadership Academy at Forest Oak Sixth Grade failed to meet state standards for five straight years — a threshold that mandates either a campus closure or the appointment of a board of managers to govern the entire district.

Although the failing campus no longer exists, its closure does not absolve the district from consequences, Morath said.

“Since the campus earned its fifth consecutive unacceptable academic rating in that year, the school’s subsequent closure has no bearing on, and does not abrogate, the compulsory action the statute requires the commissioner to take,” he wrote in the letter.

District leaders closed the sixth grade campus — formerly known as Glencrest Sixth Grade — at the end of the 2023-24 school year. It was absorbed into Forest Oak Middle School as part of a consolidation plan TEA approved. The school is now marked “obsolete” in the state’s directory.

Still, the delayed release of 2023 academic accountability ratings due to a lawsuit showed the campus earned an F that year. Because the campus had also failed to meet standards in 2022, 2019, 2018 and 2017, the five-year mark was reached.

[…]

District officials previously told the Fort Worth Report they believe Fort Worth ISD is not at risk of a takeover. They said the Forest Oak Sixth Grade closure and campus consolidation already addressed the issue — and that academic performance has improved.

“We are proud of the growth that we have seen in Forest Oak Middle School since the expansion and consolidation to one 6-8 grade campus,” Molinar wrote in an April 24 community letter.

In his letter, Morath emphasized that his hands are tied by law.

“Commissioner action under this section of the (Texas Education Code) is compulsory,” he wrote. “The commissioner does not have discretion whether to act under this provision.”

Morath will not make a final decision until after the ratings are finalized later this summer. Fort Worth ISD has the right to appeal the preliminary rating for the now-closed campus. That process will conclude in August.

The district plans to appeal the rating, a spokesperson told the Fort Worth Report. Fort Worth ISD remains focused on improving student outcomes, the statement said.

A copy of Morath’s letter is embedded in the story. It may be that FWISD officials are right and they’re not at risk of a takeover, but Morath used that same language about him not having discretion in these matters right before HISD got invaded. Make of that what you will. The TEA took over South San Antonio ISD in February, so they’ve got their hands even more full. We’ll see what happens here.

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Buc-ee’s settles with Duckees

Peace has broken out.

Buc-ee’s, Texas’ favorite beaver-branded convenience store has reached a settlement with a Duckees, a Missouri company peddling duck-branded snacks and gas that it alleged was a copycat, according to court records.

The lawsuit, filed in November, alleged that Duckees was seeking to capitalize on Buc-ee’s brand recognition by using similar advertising — particularly the store’s anthropomorphic duck, which Buc-ee’s said “copies the most important aspects” of its logo. The lone Duckees drive-thru liquor and convenience store is in Kimberling City, near Branson, Mo.

The trial was to begin May 15, according to court records, but the companies reached a settlement in mid-April. The details of the settlement were not publicly disclosed, but images on Duckees’ Facebook page appeared to still use the anthropomorphic duck Buc-ee’s alleged the company stole.

[…]

In a response filed in February, Duckees argued that it operated in a geographically remote area and said it was protected under the prior use doctrine, which allows small companies to use similar trademarks to established brands so long as they operate in an area where the brand is relatively unknown.

See here and here for the background. I thought this was one of the weaker lawsuits Buc-ee’s bas brought, and perhaps that was indeed true. You can’t accuse them of not defending the trademark, that’s for sure.

Posted in Legal matters | Tagged , , , , , | 1 Comment

Tanking the economy has its costs

Sorry, Donald.

For the first time, President Donald Trump has a negative approval rating in Texas over his handling of the economy, according to a new poll.

The University of Texas at Austin’s Texas Politics Project survey, released Wednesday, found that 46% of Texans do not approve of how Trump is handling the country’s economy amid new tariffs and escalating trade wars. Just 40% support Trump’s economic moves.

It is the first time Trump earned a negative economic rating since UT Austin pollsters began asking about his handling of the economy in June 2019. Even at the height of the COVID pandemic Trump fared better, with a 49% approval rating in April 2020. Just 42% disapproved then.

“President Trump owns the current economic uncertainty lock, stock, and barrel,” said James Henson, who leads the Texas Politics Project.

[…]

More Texans, 37%, said they believe they are economically worse off now compared to a year ago. Twenty percent said they were doing better. The same was true for the Texas economy, which 35% rated as worse off, compared to 27% who said it is better than a year ago.

Since taking office in January, Trump slapped tariffs on some of Texas’ biggest trading partners, including Mexico and Canada. While he’s rolled back some of the steepest hikes, there’s still a 145% levy on imports from China that trade experts say will likely push up prices for consumers.

Most Texas voters, 70%, think those tariff increases will result in higher prices. Fifty three percent say tariffs will hurt their household, while just 22% say it will help. Republicans, however, were a bit more optimistic: 40% expected tariffs to help their family, while 24% expected them to hurt their households.

You can find the poll data here, and a long term look at his favorability numbers in Texas for this poll here. His current approval in Texas is 47-46 and trending down. I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again, the tariffs are a super weak spot for him and by extension for his endless list of cronies and enablers. Hit them on it, every damn day, between now and next November.

Posted in Show Business for Ugly People | Tagged , , , , | 7 Comments

The kids are fighting at Second Baptist

Such a shame.

In May 2024, Pastor H. Edwin “Ed” Young told his congregation that he was resigning from his leadership post at Second Baptist in Houston, ending his 46-year tenure as one of America’s most influential and charismatic pastors.

The pastor, then 87 years old, named his son Ben Young as his successor.

Nearly a year later, a group of current and former Second Baptist members say the father and son, associate pastor Lee H. Maxcy and attorney Dennis Brewer (together dubbed “the Young Group”), abolished the right of church members to vote for their next pastor and installed Ben Young as an act of self-interest to “takeover” the church. Earlier this month, members of the congregation filed a suit in Harris County District Court.

The case against Second Baptist is led by a newly formed, Houston-based nonprofit called the Jeremiah Counsel Corporation that says its purpose is to “promote, protect and restore integrity, accountable governance and donor protection for churches” in Texas.

In a statement Friday, the Jeremiah Counsel alleged that the Young Group “deceived and manipulated” the Second Baptist’s 90,000 members by amending the church bylaws to deny them their right to vote for a new pastor. It claimed church members never received copies of the proposed bylaws, and the Young Group now controls over $1 billion in assets.

“The church membership and the assets have been put at great risk because of the deceitful and deceptive practices of the church leadership, including the Senior Pastor, collectively ‘the Young Group,’ which has stripped all church members of the voting rights they have had since the church was founded nearly 100 years ago,” the Jeremiah Counsel said.

In recent years, church members and former deacon officers have tried to share their concerns with Ben Young and the church, but he allegedly told them he has no interest in changing the governance model, the statement reads. Church members now warn that without a vote or an elected board of trustees, Ben Young now has the ability to sell or merge Second Baptist; close, sell or increase tuition at the church’s school; raise salaries for himself and other leadership; and appoint the next senior pastor without a search process or approval by an independent board.

“The choice became to walk away, and hand everything over to one person, or take action to project this incredible church for generations to come,” the statement reads.

The plaintiffs are seeking a declaratory relief from the court to restore the rights of members in Second Baptist’s governance process and its management. They also want an injunction against the church’s financial management and reimbursement of legal fees, per initial reporting from Baptist News Global. They filed the suit just weeks before the two-year statute of limitations window for such legal claims closes at the end of May.

[…]

The suit has the potential to put another dent in Ed Young’s already controversial career as a Southern Baptist pastor.

While he’s certainly expanded his congregation and, to many, served Houston well during Hurricane Harvey and other disasters, he’s also become more polarizing in his older years because of his anti-immigration, anti-transgender, anti-Democrat rhetoric.

Over the years, Ed Young has been criticized for his leadership amid alleged widespread sexual abuse throughout the SBC ranks, and for Second Baptist’s handling of sex abuse crimes. The church settled multiple lawsuits in the mid-2010s filed against a former youth pastor.

Months before his resignation, Ed Young made Chron headlines in February 2024 for demonizing migrants as “undesirables” and “garbage” and for referring to President Biden as “godless” in several politicized sermons. Houston advocacy groups and area politicians called for Young’s resignation due to his “misuse of influence and power.”

There’s plenty more about the suit and the state of Second Baptist in the intervening paragraphs, so click over and read more if you’re interested. There’s some Succession crossed with The Righteous Gemstones and a bit of Billions, except without any of the sympathetic characters or snappy dialog. But the potential is there to provide some lowbrow entertainment, and that’s what I’m rooting for.

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The CenterPoint weather stations

Good, I guess.

No longer seen at I-10 and Sawyer

CenterPoint Energy plans to install a network of 100 weather stations across its 12-county service territory in the Greater Houston area before hurricane season kicks off on June 1, the company announced Monday.

The weather stations are expected to help the Houston-area electric utility better forecast severe weather and more precisely distribute resources, among other improvements, according to CenterPoint’s statement.

CenterPoint said it would be the first investor-owned utility in Texas to establish its own weather station network.

“Our weather network will provide invaluable situational awareness, in real-time, to help us act quickly, proactively and precisely before weather threatens to impact the electrical system and our customers,” Matt Lanza, CenterPoint’s meteorology manager, said in the statement.

The weather stations work by taking measurements on metrics such as humidity levels, wind speed, temperature and rainfall every two to five minutes, according to CenterPoint’s announcement.

CenterPoint’s plan to build its own weather network is part of its continued efforts to prepare for the 2025 hurricane season, so that the utility improves upon its widely-criticized response to last year’s Hurricane Beryl.

In fact, a third-party review of CenterPoint’s response to Beryl found that the utility’s damage prediction model at the time was “largely ineffective” in preparing the company for the Category 1 hurricane, because the model relied on limited weather data.

CenterPoint’s effort also comes as the Trump administration’s Department of Government Efficiency has targeted the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration with funding and staffing cuts — an issue Lanza has written about in his much-followed hurricane blog, “The Eyewall.”

DOGE cuts to the National Weather Service have forced the weather forecasting agency to scale back its weather balloon data collection. Eric Berger, Lanza’s co-author of “The Eyewall” blog, previously told the Houston Chronicle that local meteorologists would “essentially be forecasting with one hand tied behind our backs” without weather balloon data.

Starting in June, CenterPoint’s new weather network could help fill some of the gaps. The utility plans to share the data gathered by its weather stations with state and local governments as well as with the public, “so that everyone across our communities can be better prepared,” according to Monday’s announcement.

I wish them well with this, because we need all of the accurate weather data we can get so that we can be reasonably prepared for another busy hurricane season and whatever oddball out-of-nowhere smaller-but-still-nasty storms there are to come. The disastrous federal cuts will surely make this effort less successful than it should be, but maybe it will be good enough. And if it’s not, or if CenterPoint raises its rates in a year to help them pay for this new infrastructure, you can at least sleep well knowing that the money that was saved by those NOAA layoffs went to pay for Elon Musk’s tax cuts. And isn’t that what we all voted for last year?

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Texas blog roundup for the week of May 5

The Texas Progressive Alliance remembers when 100 days didn’t feel like 100 years as it brings you this week’s roundup.

Continue reading

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Measles update: Who needs research?

I’m very sorry to say that we once again have to talk about RFK Jr and his continued quest to make us all sick and stupid.

U.S. Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr.’s motto is “ Make America Healthy Again,” but government cuts could make it harder to know if that’s happening.

More than a dozen data-gathering programs that track deaths and disease appear to have been eliminated in the tornado of layoffs and proposed budget cuts rolled out in the Trump administration’s first 100 days.

The Associated Press examined draft and final budget proposals and spoke to more than a dozen current and former federal employees to determine the scope of the cuts to programs tracking basic facts about Americans’ health.

Among those terminated at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention were experts tracking abortions, pregnancies, job-related injuries, lead poisonings, sexual violence and youth smoking, the AP found.

“If you don’t have staff, the program is gone,” said Patrick Breysse, who used to oversee the CDC’s environmental health programs.

Federal officials have not given a public accounting of specific surveillance programs that are being eliminated.

Instead, a U.S. Department of Health and Human Services spokeswoman pointed the AP to a Trump administration budget proposal released Friday. It lacked specifics, but proposes to cut the CDC’s core budget by more than half and vows to focus CDC surveillance only on emerging and infectious diseases.

Kennedy has said some of the CDC’s other work will be moved to a yet-to-be-created agency, the Administration for a Healthy America. He also has said that the cuts are designed to get rid of waste at a department that has seen its budget grow in recent years.

“Unfortunately, this extra spending and staff has not improved our nation’s health as a country,” Kennedy wrote last month in The New York Post. “Instead, it has only created more waste, administrative bloat and duplication.”

Yet some health experts say the eliminated programs are not duplicative, and erasing them will leave Americans in the dark.

“If the U.S. is interested in making itself healthier again, how is it going to know, if it cancels the programs that helps us understand these diseases?” said Graham Mooney, a Johns Hopkins University public health historian.

It’s a good question, but one that RFK Jr’s brain worm was unable to answer. Click over to read about the many specific programs that are being trashed.

There is of course a lawsuit over this.

Attorneys general in 19 states and Washington, D.C., are challenging cuts to the U.S. Health and Human Services agency, saying the Trump administration’s massive restructuring has destroyed life-saving programs and left states to pick up the bill for mounting health crises.

The lawsuit was filed in federal court in Rhode Island on Monday, New York Attorney General Letitia James said. The attorneys general from Arizona, California, Colorado, Connecticut, Delaware, Hawaii, Illinois, Maine, Michigan, Maryland, Minnesota, New Jersey, New Mexico, Oregon, Rhode Island, Vermont, Washington, Wisconsin and the District of Columbia signed onto the complaint.

Health Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. restructured the agency in March, eliminating more than 10,000 employees and collapsing 28 agencies under the sprawling HHS umbrella into 15, the attorneys general said. An additional 10,000 employees had already been let go by President Donald Trump’s administration, according to the lawsuit, and combined the cuts stripped 25% of the HHS workforce.

“In its first three months, Secretary Kennedy and this administration deprived HHS of the resources necessary to do its job,” the attorneys general wrote.

Kennedy has said he is seeking to streamline the nation’s public health agencies and reduce redundancies across them with the layoffs. The cuts were made as part of a directive the administration has dubbed, “ Make America Healthy Again.”

HHS is one of the government’s costliest federal agencies, with an annual budget of about $1.7 trillion that is mostly spent on health care coverage for millions of people enrolled in Medicare and Medicaid.

James, who is leading the lawsuit, called the restructuring a “sweeping and unlawful assault” that would endanger lives.

“This is not government reform. This is not efficiency,” James said during a press conference Monday.

The good news is that given the overall track record, it’s likely that the plaintiffs will win. The bad news is that these things take time and it’s really hard to put broken things back together. It’s the best we can do for now.

I should note that all of this is also intimately tied in with the Trump attacks on higher education. Josh Marshall puts it together. I’ll give you the closing paragraph and encourage you to read the whole thing:

This is how the Trump White House is currently strangling billions in cancer, Alzheimers and other disease and cure research in real time while mostly managing to do it with near perfect radio silence.

None of this is directly measles-related, but so what? It’s all bad, now and for the future, and it’s all of a piece.

With that out of the way, here’s your midweek update.

The measles outbreak that started in the South Plains region of Texas surpassed 700 cases on Tuesday, according to health officials.

The latest update from the Texas Department of State Health Services shows the state has seen 702 cases of measles since the outbreak began spreading in late January. The outbreak, which has also spread to New Mexico and Oklahoma, is the largest in the United States since measles was declared eliminated in the country in 2000.

[…]

The latest DSHS update includes 19 new cases since the agency’s last update on Friday.

Seven of those cases are in Gaines County, which has now reported 403 cases during the outbreak. The small county along the New Mexico border has seen more than 57% of all cases associated with the outbreak.

El Paso County reported six new cases. The county has now reported 60 cases associated with the outbreak, the second-highest total of any Texas county.

Six counties — Hale, Lamar, Lubbock, Parmer, Terry and Yoakum — each reported one new case on Tuesday.

Of the 702 cases in Texas, 207 have been in children younger than 5 years old and 255 have been in children and teens between 5 and 17, according to the DSHS.

Thirty cases, or about 4% of the total, have been in people who received at least one dose of MMR vaccine prior to an infection. One dose of the vaccine is 93% effective at preventing an infection, and two doses are 97% effective, according to the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Is the outbreak slowing down? Your Local Epidemiologist suggests it might be, based on no hospitalized children in West Texas for measles in the latest report, among other things. It may be that the curve is bending, but we’re still easily within range of the “fifty cases a week” metric, and like me she’s worried about El Paso. Give it another week and we’ll see where we are.

Posted in The great state of Texas | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 3 Comments

Mayor Whitmire releases his 2026 budget

I’m still trying to figure this out.

Mayor John Whitmire

Mayor John Whitmire proposed a $7 billion budget Tuesday for fiscal year 2026, closing a projected $220 million deficit without implementing new fees or taxes for residents.

The proposal pulls $3.03 billion from Houston’s general fund, with roughly 58 percent of that going toward the police and fire departments, in line with an approved contract with the firefighters union and a proposed contract with the police union.

Whitmire’s team said it made cuts without sacrificing services for residents by consolidating teams, eliminating vacant positions throughout city departments and offering voluntary retirement buyouts to municipal employees.

More savings will come from efficiencies identified by accounting firm Ernst and Young and potential contributions from the state and county governments, Whitmire said.

“I will also emphasize, we’re not through,” Whitmire said at a Tuesday news conference to unveil the spending plan. “We will be implementing the reorganization of this city government as we go forward. We’ll continue to collaborate with other levels of government, but we will also make certain that we listen to Houstonians.”

If approved as presented, the total budget would increase by $160 million compared to the current year, but general fund spending would go down $74.5 million. The unallocated fund balance remaining in the general fund, however, is projected to decrease by more than $100 million compared to the current budget.

City officials have projected a $220 million deficit for the fiscal year that begins July 1, due in part to storm debris cleanup costs and a $1.5 billion contract and backpay settlement with the Houston firefighters union. That shortfall briefly swelled to more than $300 million after the city lost a lawsuit over its drainage spending. The Whitmire administration since has worked out a settlement with the plaintiffs.

City Controller Chris Hollins must certify the city has enough money to fund the proposed budget before City Council can approve the plan prior to the July 1 start of the new fiscal year. Hollins issued a statement that his office will begin a “thorough review” of the proposed budget.

[…]

City Council will consider the contract in the coming weeks. At-Large Councilmember and Finance Committee Chair Sallie Alcorn said she generally was supportive of the proposed contract with the HPOU, but she also anticipated the city would eventually have to go to the voters for additional revenue to pay for the three contracts.

The city regularly bumps up against local and state mandated revenue caps, limiting the amount it can bring in from property taxes. The natural disasters last year made it possible for the city to increase the tax rate regardless of the revenue cap, but Whitmire rejected calls to increase revenue before implementing the recommendations from the Ernst and Young citywide efficiency study.

The voluntary retirement buyouts for municipal employees contributed the highest amount of savings to reduce the deficit, Whitmire said.

Whitmire Chief of Staff Chris Newport said the administration also found savings by eliminating vacant municipal positions, moving duplicative civilian departments in the police department within the city of Houston, combining 311 call centers and consolidating high-cost contracts.

City Council’s Finance Committee will meet Wednesday after the full council meeting to learn more about the proposed budget from the finance director. Elected officials will hold town hall meetings over the next month for residents to ask questions about the budget.

Whitmire’s budget will first appear on a City Council agenda May 28.

See here for more on that efficiency study, which I noted at the time didn’t cite actual savings numbers. Maybe that was all being held in reserve for The Big Budget Reveal Day, I don’t know. There are a lot of numbers being thrown around in all of the stories I have seen so far, and I can’t quite tell what they’re all supposed to mean.

Here’s Houston Public Media.

More than $7 million from the neighborhoods department, $1.8 million from libraries and more than $4 million from health — those cuts are among the $289 million in slashed general fund spending from fiscal year 2025 to 2026, according to a proposed budget document presented Tuesday by Houston Mayor John Whitmire.

“The savings are going into the services,” Whitmire told reporters at a news conference, promising the city will still provide “the services that Houstonians expect and deserve.”

[…]

The city is expected to save about $30 million in general fund spending annually after more than 1,000 municipal workers accepted early retirement buyouts last month at an upfront cost of $11 million. Whitmire said the city will go through “reorganization” as the city looks for efficiencies, “but this budget does not anticipate laying off folks.”

“We don’t take anything off the table, but that would be the very, very last thing that I do,” Whitmire said. “I do not anticipate it. It’s not in our plans.”

Whitmire said the budget is “balanced” with “no deficit.” The document presented by the administration, however, showed a gap of $107 million between projected revenue and expenditures. That would require tapping into the city’s fund balance — essentially a savings account which is projected to hold $380.8 million at the end of the current fiscal year.

Pressed for clarification, Dubowski and Whitmire’s chief of staff, Chris Newport, in a statement again described the budget as “balanced” and a “major improvement” over the fiscal year 2025 budget, which called for a $275 million draw-down from the fund balance.

While the majority of city departments would see cuts to spending, the fire department would receive an additional $23 million in funding, the police department would add $67 million to its budget, solid waste would receive an extra $1.4 million and the housing department would get an additional $346,000.

Whitmire said the city will also spend about half a billion dollars on drainage and street repairs, though the document presented on Tuesday showed $1 million in general fund spending for the Houston Public Works department — down from $23 million last year. Taking into account all funding sources, the department’s overall budget last year was $3.26 billion. According to a spokesperson with the department, its overall budget will increase by $180 million to $3.4 billion.

Look at that first paragraph, where it says “$289 million in slashed general fund spending” from last year to this year. But the single biggest item within those cuts cited in the story is the $30 million the city will save from the employee buyout package. But that comes with a cost attached to it, as the early retirees get a severance payout as they exit, so I’m not sure what the net savings is. As for the seven million here and four million there, it’s gonna take a lot of those line items to get anywhere close to $289 million.

Now, we do have the city’s press release, which cites “a decrease in spending of $74.5 million” from last year. That’s a number I can believe, but it still doesn’t address what all those other numbers are doing, and it’s a long way from the $200 million-plus that is the current deficit. Thus, there’s also that little bitty footnote of how there’s still a $107 million gap between revenue and expenditures – a funny way of being “balanced”, but never mind that for now, I presume that’s coming from the cash reserves and they would rather not dwell on it. All the budget data is here, and I have not clicked on any of those links. Maybe my questions are all answered in a neat and tidy way if I do bother to read through it all. I think I’ll wait to see what Controller Hollins and the rest of Council have to say.

One more curiosity. The Landing story says that “58 percent” of the general fund spending goes towards police and fire. HPM says that police and fire “represent nearly 60%” of the general fund spending. Okay, fine, they preferred to round to a whole number, whatever. But the Chron story says “Around 54% of the city’s general fund will go toward public safety”, and I’m sorry, you can’t make all three of those numbers line up. I’m sure there are some subtle differences in how each reporter did the math – what exactly goes in the numerator and the denominator is going to be somewhat subjective – but it just contributes to the unruly whirlwind of it all. Let’s add a few of the specific figures that story cites:

The city’s fire department will operate with a $659 million budget, while police will get more than $1.1 billion.

The city departments with the highest level of 311 complaints – Solid Waste Management and Houston Public Works – have proposed budgets of $101 million and $1.16 billion, respectively. Public Works only has a portion of its budget covered by the general fund. The rest of its cash comes from water and sewer fees.

The city’s Public Works department saw the largest monetary cut at more than $21.8 million.

David said the cut was due to an accounting move. Cash used for streetlights maintenance was transferred into the city’s drainage charge fund for the new fiscal year.

The department with the largest cut from the general fund by percentage is the Department of Neighborhoods at 48%, leaving its officials operating with less than half the budget it had last year.

In 2025, neighborhoods had around $14.4 million of its budget supplemented by the general fund. This coming year, they’re projected to only have less than $7.5 million from the general fund.

Newport said the department’s cut resulted from consolidating code enforcement into the Public Works department. Neighborhoods previously housed residential code enforcement, while Public Works tackled commercial properties.

Yes, also remember that these cuts, however much they actually are, have been promised to not lead to any degradations in service. As with the rest of it, we’ll see.

I’ve said multiple times along the way towards this budget that we can’t cut our way out of the deficit, we need to increase revenue to truly address the underlying issues. The Mayor has again chosen not to try that. I will just note that even with these cuts, there’s still that $107 million gap between revenue and spending, and next year we’ll be spending more because of the drainage settlement; the deal there deferred payments but didn’t reduce them. That bill is yet to come due. Something’s still gotta give. For now, we wait and see what everyone else has to say.

Posted in Local politics | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , | 2 Comments

Who’s really using Polk Street?

The people who would be most affected by a proposed street closure are trying to quantify the effect of said closure.

Armed with clipboards, pencils and determination, a group of volunteers gathered early Wednesday morning at intersections around the George R. Brown Convention Center — not to protest, but to count.

They’re concerned that the city and Houston First are moving forward with plans to close several streets near the convention center — most notably Polk Street, which volunteers describe as a vital link between the East End and downtown — without releasing timely traffic studies that show how many people actually rely on those routes.

The group believes the public deserves access to that data before any closures move ahead. Instead of waiting for local officials to act, the group is conducting its own study, tallying traffic one mark at a time.

“We are going to stand here and count cars on the different intersections for one hour, and then we’ll take that information and do daily, weekly and yearly estimates,” said People for Polk organizer Amy Erickson.

The public comment period for the Polk Street abandonment closed Thursday. Houston First, TxDOT and other city officials held a public meeting with East End residents in March, a meeting that became contentious as residents voiced frustration over being excluded from the planning process. Many argued that the closures would further complicate mobility, especially for bus riders, cyclists and local businesses already impacted by other major projects.

[…]

Volunteers on Wednesday stood at the intersections of Leeland and Bell, Leeland and Chenevert, Bell and Chenevert, and Polk and Chartres streets. According to Houston First’s design plans, these locations will all be impacted by the convention center’s expansion.

Gabby Gilmore stood at the intersection of Polk and Chartres with a handheld clicker, counting how many cars turned left onto Polk from the highway. She set a timer to count for exactly one hour, from 8 to 9 a.m.

Gilmore, an East End resident, said she frequently uses Polk Street to get home from work and to access downtown — and only recently learned that Polk Street was set to be abandoned.

“I want to get this data and truly understand how this is going to impact not just this community, but everybody that comes into downtown for work,” Gilmore said.

East Downtown resident Robert Grobe stood at the corner of Bell and Chenevert with a clipboard and pencil, tallying cars by hand. Grobe said it’s frustrating that a traffic study won’t be released before the public comment period ends.

“Polk has been a very important part of my daily commute, and I feel like the city has not been forthcoming with all of the information regarding how this will impact us,” Grobe said. “It’s frustrating that they haven’t done this in the last two or three months. They’ve heard residents raise these issues, so it’s something they could have done if they wanted to do it.”

See here and here for some background. I am once again going to refer you to a CityCast Houston episode, in which Chron reporter Ryan Nickerson and People for Polk organizer Amy Erickson describe the situation in a lot more detail than I’ve got the capacity for. I wasn’t as sympathetic to the PfP argument as I might have been before now, but they’ve convinced me. The city needs to find another way. Given how obsessed with the free movement of vehicular traffic our Mayor is you’d think he’d be more hesitant about all this, but not so. Read the story, listen to that podcast, and see if you agree.

Posted in Planes, Trains, and Automobiles | Tagged , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

There’s a lot of Dems looking at the Senate race

From the inbox, from Thursday’s “Texas take with Jeremy Wallace” newsletter.

Still a crook any way you look

The more endangered U.S. Sen. John Cornyn looks in early polling against Ken Paxton in the GOP primary, the more Democrats are buzzing.

While a Democrat has not won a U.S. Senate seat since Houston’s Lloyd Bentsen in 1988, Democrats are convinced Paxton has the type of political baggage that could boost the chances of whoever wins a Democratic primary for the U.S. Senate.

Paxton, 62, was impeached by the GOP-led Texas House in 2023. Nearly two dozen articles of impeachment were filed against Paxton, who was accused of bribery tied to an alleged affair, among other claims of impropriety. The Texas Senate later acquitted Paxton, but the details aired in 2023 damaged Paxton’s standing even with Republican voters, according to public polling.

But as I reported yesterday, internal polls from both Republicans and Democrats show Paxton, the state’s attorney general, has a big lead on Cornyn going into the summer. Cornyn told the Huffington Post on Thursday that the race is 10 months out, and he has more than “enough time and more than enough resources to make that up.

Toss in the fact that 2026 is a midterm election when the sitting president’s party typically loses seats in Congress, and you can see why Democrats like Beto O’Rourke have called Paxton a gift to Democrats if he wins the nomination. At a rally last week in Denton, O’Rourke was asked if he would consider running.

“I’m gonna infer from your question that you do not want Ken Paxton to be your next senator,” he told the audience member who asked the question. “If … this is what the people of Texas want — that it’s the highest and best use of what I can give you — then yes, I will.”

Here’s my early list of Democrats who may want to jump in and why (listed alphabetically):

COLIN ALLRED: The Dallas Democrat, who just turned 42, lost to U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz in 2024 by 8 percentage points but raised $92 million doing so. Allred said he is seriously considering running again.

JOAQUIN CASTRO: The 50-year-old San Antonio attorney is in his 7th term in Congress. He’s been traveling the state over the last few weeks with events in Houston and the Rio Grande Valley.

ROLAND GUTIERREZ: The San Antonio State Senator ran against Allred in the 2024 Democratic primary. While the 54-year-old lost that race, his passion for gun control in the aftermath of the Uvalde school shooting made him a favorite of Democrats who wanted a more fiery candidate in the general election. Gutierrez told me he’s focused on the Texas Senate right now but added, “whatever decision I make about my future, my number one concern is working to make life better for the working families of Texas.”

NATHAN JOHNSON: The 57-year-old state Senator from Dallas knows how to win a tough race. He defeated state Sen. Don Huffines, a wealthy self-funding Republican, in 2018 to win the state Senate seat. The Dallas Morning News reported he was considering the race.

BETO O’ROURKE: The El Paso Democrat, now 52, lost his race for governor in 2022 and came within 3 percentage points of beating U.S. Sen. Ted Cruz in 2018. While he lost both races, he’s proven to be a prolific fundraiser who can drive out Democratic voters in midterm cycles.

TERRY VERTS: The 57-year-old Houston resident is a retired astronaut and Air Force colonel who is good friends with U.S. Sen. Mark Kelly, D-Ariz. Verts has been calling around for potential campaign staffers. While he doesn’t have name identification among Democrats, if he gets in the race, he can present himself as a political outsider much like Kelly did when he won his seat in 2020. Already, he’s using his social media to push back against key players in the Trump administration like Elon Musk and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth.

We knew about Colin Allred, we knew about Terry Virts, and we knew about Beto. Roland Gutierrez lost to Allred in the 2024 primary for Senate. Joaquin Castro – like his brother – has been on the “potential candidate” list for statewide office since at least 2018. Nathan Johnson is new to the list, but he makes as much sense as anyone else. He has an advantage over both Gutierrez and Castro in that he wouldn’t have to give up his current office to run for US Senate, as he was on the ballot in 2024.

Obviously, not all of them will actually run. One or more might try for a different office – someone needs to run for Governor, Lite Guv, AG, and so on. The combination of 2026 likely being a good year for Dems and four seats being needed to win back the majority should make fundraising easy enough. I’m not going to express any preferences now, not when everyone is in “I’m exploring” mode, but I will say that the best thing they could all do is be all in on candidate recruitment and support for every other office on the ballot next year. Get a strong slate of Congressional and Legislative candidates, in every even remotely swingy district, and then do the same for the reach districts. Get every Dem incumbent in every safe district to get off their asses and campaign like they have a real race. It worked pretty well in 2018, and we’re going to need all the help we can get. The Chron story about the bad Cornyn polls and the various Dem wannabes is here.

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More on the May elections

In my first post, I promised I’d look for a recap of the school board races from Franklin Strong. Here he is.

That was a drubbing.

I’ve been covering Texas school board elections for seven cycles, and as I have documented over and over again, book bans, attacks on educators and public schools, and attempts to target LGBTQ students do not fare well at the polls. Since dominating the May 2022 cycle—in which organized local groups backed by big-money PACs caught districts flat-footed—extremists repeatedly have been told “no” by Texas voters.

But Saturday night’s election results were next level.

Voters across Texas clearly and consistently punished the people who have been restricting students’ reading and learning. They delivered a message: Texans are sick of book bans, sick of attacks on educators and librarians, sick of leaders waging culture war battles at the expense of good governance.

Consider:

The Fort Bend ISD board of trustees implemented one of the state’s most restrictive book policies last year; on Saturday, voters sent incumbent Rick Garcia, who advocated for the policy, packing. The architect of that policy, resigning trustee David Hamilton, threw all of his weight behind a hand-picked successor, Cheryl Buford. She lost to FBISD parent Angie Wierzbicki, who vocally opposed the new book policy.

In Grapevine-Colleyville ISD, trustee Tammy Nakamura has led efforts to restrict books in the district; she even said she keeps a list of “poison” teachers she wanted run out of the district. And in Katy ISD, board president Victor Perez spearheaded that district’s anti-book crusade. Both lost their seats last night.

Humble ISD candidate Tracy Shannon, who claims responsibility for getting more than 1000 books removed from the district, also lost. So did Clear Creek ISD’s Scott Bowen, who argued for more restrictive policies in his local public library.

Maybe most shocking results of all were in Keller ISD, where a hyper-conservative majority has ruled the board unanimously for years. Keller ISD’s board was installed in 2022 by Patriot Mobile, a Christian-Nationalist phone company that dumped hundreds of thousands of dollars into school board races in North Texas. That board has been a disaster, but partisan, extremist candidates kept winning in Keller—until Saturday night. This cycle, all of the candidates favored by the board’s Patriot Mobile bloc lost, and the results weren’t particularly close.

That was a trend for the night, as all three Patriot Mobile trustees in Mansfield up for election lost handily. In fact, of the eleven trustees Patriot Mobile boasted about electing in 2022, seven lost their seats last night.

There’s more, so read the rest. Not every result was good, and as Strong warns the Lege is still out there wilding, so it’s not like we can relax. But the attacks on books and libraries from 2021 and 2023 largely followed bad school board election years, so maybe the results this year will serve to slow their roll a bit. We can sure hope, and we can also keep working to make that a reality.

I mentioned yesterday that one of the disappointing results was from Spring Branch. Diana Martinez Alexander, who was one of the good guy SBISD candidates who unfortunately fell short, sent me this message to remind us all that there’s more to it than what I had suggested:

I would say there is progress in SB – the northside slate won all four northside schools. So the people have spoken and confirmed the results of the judge’s ruling. This is the first time there was a full Latino northside slate. The numbers tell a story – of hope, a desire for change, and a wish for proper representation.

Diana is one of many folks out there doing a lot of hard work to make progress happen in places like Spring Branch. I very much appreciate the perspective.

The Lone Star Project expands on some themes.

Authoritarian MAGA candidates backed by extremists groups True Texas Project, Patriot Mobile PAC, and other hate-baiting agents fell on their faces this weekend. In race after race, these groups launched divisive attacks designed to divide communities against each other – and Texans promptly voted them out. Saturday’s election results are as good an indication as any that Texas is tiring of MAGA extremism. Lone Star Project backed smart, commonsense, community-oriented candidates, and the results speak for themselves.

Maybe the best example is the Tarrant County City of Mansfield where incumbent mayor Michael Evans smoked his opponent who was heavily financed by out-of-town MAGA agitators. Mayor Evans focused on unity, public service, and the mainstream policies that help everyone in a diverse community. Mainstream common sense leadership beats MAGA hate and extremism.

They linked to some news stories about the races in the D-FW area. This might be my favorite.

Voters across Tarrant County delivered a resounding message in local elections, rejecting a slate of conservative-backed candidates in several high-profile, nonpartisan races.

In the three largest cities in Tarrant County, all 11 candidates endorsed by the county Republican Party were defeated, according to Fort Worth Star-Telegram columnist Bud Kennedy.

“It’s surprising,” Kennedy said. “It just shows that there was some pushback already to the administration in Washington. We expect the midterms to go against the party in office in Washington, but it’s so surprising to see it start in these city and school elections. I think some of it, too, was pushback against partisan elections.”

[…]

In Grapevine, incumbent trustee Tammy Nakamura, backed by conservative PAC Patriot Mobile, lost her reelection bid to Matt Foust.

Kennedy described the overall election as a landmark for Democrats in the battleground county that has historically been a Republican stronghold.

“This was one of the real watershed elections for Democrats in Tarrant County in many, many years,” Kennedy said. “Democrats are celebrating for the first time in a long, long time in Tarrant County.”

If Kennedy wrote about this for the Star-Telegram I couldn’t find it, but he did make some comments on Twitter. All I can say is from his lips to God’s ears.

Finally, sigh, we have to talk about Starbase.

SpaceX employees and residents who live at what was formerly known as Boca Chica Village, or Kopernik Shores, voted Saturday to incorporate as a municipality.

The early vote was 212 to 6.

The election was initiated in December after Cameron County Judge Eddie Trevino Jr. received a petition from more than 10% of the several hundred eligible voters who are residents of Starbase.

Since the petition met requirements of the Texas Local Government Code, the county judge was required to call an election.

Starbase will now be incorporated as a Type C general law municipality, or one with more than 201 but fewer than 4,999 residents.

The move comes as state Reps. Janie Lopez, R-San Benito, and Adam Hinojosa, R-Corpus Christi, are pushing a bill to allow Starbase to control weekday closures of Boca Chica Beach — instead of Cameron County, which is opposed to the proposal.

See here for the previous update. That’s some kind of “Landslide Lyndon” margin right there. Of course there’s an angle to override what the existing government can do. Off to a great start, they are. The Trib has more on the main characters if you’re interested.

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Energy Transfer blames the driver for that fire

It’s what you’d expect them to say.

In the five years before a sports utility vehicle struck Energy Transfer’s pipeline in Deer Park and caused a massive explosion and fire, pipelines operated by the company and its affiliates had been damaged by vehicle collisions at least five times.

That’s what Houston Landing found in a two-part investigation published in December that revealed the Deer Park crash was part of a wider national safety issue that has involved at least 36 pipeline collisions across the United States since 2019.

A lawsuit filed by four people who live and work near the explosion site, accuses Energy Transfer of negligence in failing to protect its pipeline against the September 2024 SUV crash. The company, the suit alleges, “was already on notice of the danger of automobiles crashing into above-ground valves, as well as the resultant risks of explosion, fire, and exposure to noxious chemicals.”

Energy Transfer, in its response to the lawsuit, denies the allegations and has asked a Harris County court to order paragraphs be stricken from the residents’ lawsuit that detail the company’s and industry’s history of pipeline collisions.

The suit contends the Deer Park pipeline structure should have had at least concrete or metal barriers because it was next to heavy traffic along Spencer Highway and near a busy Walmart parking lot. Instead, the suit says, it “was surrounded only by a flimsy chain-link fence.”

Spokespeople for Energy Transfer did not respond to emailed questions and requests for an interview or comment. Brett J. Young, an attorney representing Energy Transfer in the lawsuit, said he couldn’t answer Houston Landing’s questions because of the pending litigation.

In records filed with the court on April 17, Energy Transfer has asked for the court to dismiss the case.

The company also has asked the court to order that 19 paragraphs be stricken from the lawsuit’s original petition. Eleven of these paragraphs involve details about the frequency of vehicles colliding with pipelines and the residents’ allegations that the company failed to have adequate barriers around its above-ground pipeline structure in Deer Park.

Energy Transfer says the claims in these paragraphs, among other issues, are not allowed by law because the company had no duty to control the conduct of an outside individual. Two hearings in the lawsuit scheduled to occur in person and by Zoom at 10 a.m. and 11 a.m. on June 9 in 55th District Court.

The company describes itself as the victim of a criminal act, an injured party whose pipeline was destroyed by the SUV driver, Jonathan McEvoy, who “chose to end his own life by intentionally crashing his automobile through a barrier fence and into an above-ground natural gas piping system,” court records say.

Energy Transfer contends that the risk of McEvoy’s suicidal act was “clearly not forseeable” and that other pipeline collisions, such as those cited in the lawsuit, were not “similar.” The company’s manager of regulatory affairs, Justin Davidson, said in a sworn statement he had no personal knowledge of any similar event, “meaning one where a motorist intentionally struck and [sic] Energy Transfer pipeline riser.”

See here, here, and here for some background. I must have missed the news of the suit being filed, I don’t have a post about it. This here is just the defense counsel doing their jobs, trying to knock down parts of the plaintiffs’ case. I personally don’t find it convincing, but I’m not the judge. We’ll see how convincing the court finds it.

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Some May election results

And then there were two for San Antonio Mayor.

Gina Ortiz Jones

The race to become San Antonio’s next mayor is headed toward a partisan showdown between one candidate loved by national Democratic Party leaders and another who has close ties to the Republicans who control every lever of power in Texas state government.

With all vote centers counted, former Air Force Under Secretary Gina Ortiz Jones and former Texas Secretary of State Rolando Pablos were leading a field of 27 candidates, taking 27.2% and 16.6% respectively.

Since no candidate took at least 50% of the vote, Jones and Pablos will advance to a June 7 runoff.

Jones has ties to major Democratic donors and lawmakers from two high-profile congressional races she narrowly lost. Many of those allies returned to help her in the mayoral race.

“It feels really good,” Jones said in an interview along the Flambeau Parade route Saturday night, where supporters high-fived her and stopped to take photos with the potential next mayor. “This whole team has worked very hard and it was important for me to just kind of cherish this moment with them, because we know the work is not done,” she said before heading into Knockout Sports Bar with her campaign team.

“We’ve got 30 ahead of us to continue to show voters what I look forward to doing, in concert with the rest of the City Council, to make sure we move our city forward.”

Pablos, who was appointed to his secretary of state role by GOP Gov. Greg Abbott, had help in the race from a PAC run by the governor’s former political director.

From a watch party at Drury La Cantera’s old Spanish ballroom, Pablos acknowledged that electing a candidate with conservative background would be a major switch for blue San Antonio.

“I want to thank the people of San Antonio who spoke that they want change,” he said. “Our campaign has been based on change. We want to make sure that we take San Antonio in a completely different direction.”

Historically, San Antonio has shown preference for candidates with council experience. The city has elected just one mayor without it in 70 years — Phil Hardberger — making the dominance of City Hall outsiders in this race highly unusual.

See here for more on Ortiz Jones, who twice ran for CD23 but came up short each time. Most of the top finishers in this ridiculous 27-candidate field were Democrats, which should advantage her in the runoff. Just knowing that Pablos is a Greg Abbott minion should be enough motivation for most San Antonio voters, I would hope. We’ll know in a month. The Current has more.

Most of the rest of the action of interest was in the school board races. There was actually quite a bit of good news coming out of them. Let’s start with Katy ISD, one of the many suburban areas that have seen an excess of The Crazy lately.

In an upset victory, early numbers indicate that school board candidate James Cross won the majority of votes over Katy ISD board president and incumbent Victor Perez.

Cross, a longtime Katy ISD educator and principal for whom Cross Elementary is named, carried 58% of votes.

Perez was elected to the Katy ISD school board in 2022. He was named board president in 2023.

Cross has served as a public school teacher and campus administrator for 30 years, and he worked in Katy ISD for the past 22 years as a teacher, assistant principal and principal.

Perez, an outspoken conservative, has led the charge for banning books since taking office. He was also instrumental in instituting a policy that critics say requires students who identify as transgender to be “outed” to their parents.

Cross Elementary, which will open in the fall of 2025, is named for Cross and his wife, Mitzi. Katy ISD has a longstanding tradition of naming schools after influential educators who have shaped the district through their service.

Perez’s campaign platform is largely based on his promises to push conservative agendas through the district. Cross has not publicly identified his personal political affiliations and has vowed to vote without political bias if elected.

This was one of many races covered by Franklin Strong in his Book-Loving Texan’s Guide to the May 2025 elections. There was a second race in Katy that didn’t go as well for the good guys, but if there was only one race to be won there, it was by for the Cross-Perez race.

More good news in Fort Bend, where newcomers Afshi Charania and Angie Wierzbicki won their races for Fort Bend ISD. I’ll quote here from the Guide:

Fort Bend ISD recently adopted one of the most restrictive library book policies in the state of Texas. It forbids books not only for sexual content, but also for “promoting” illegal activity. As you would expect, the district has also been culling books from its library shelves. 

The district’s library book policy was engineered by a five-person, ultra-rightwing majority of board trustees–most of whom were elected without majority support in the district. Beyond its book bans, the board has been a chaotic, embarrassing disaster. In the past two years, Fort Bend teachers and parents have cringed through a messy dismissal of a superintendent, a looming budget shortfall, and multiple trustees attacking parents online and librarians in board meetings. 

That 5-2 majority started coalescing in 2022, when internet troll David Hamilton was re-elected to the board alongside newcomer Rick Garcia. Hamilton is thankfully not running for re-election this year (he’s decided to go collect lawsuits in some other field, I guess) but Garcia is, and he’ll face two challengers. Hamilton is hoping to be replaced by former candidate Cheryl Buford, another book-ban enthusiast.

If voters reject Garcia and Buford, they’ll have a chance to flip the board and restore both competence and sanity to district leadership. Fortunately, both the Place 3 and Place 4 races have strong candidates who can do exactly that. That said, Fort Bend’s problem has never been a lack of good candidates–instead, it has been good candidates running against each other, splitting votes and allowing awful candidates to skate onto the board with less than 50% of the vote. Unfortunately, that could happen again this year in Place 7. I’m putting this in bold because everyone in FBISD needs to see it: Reasonable voters need to unite behind either Allison Drew or Angie Wierzbicki, or Buford will win the seat.

No worries this time. Hopefully the new FBISD Board will now work to undo some of that madness.

Here’s Clear Creek ISD:

With all voting centers reporting in Galveston County, Jessica Cejka is leading in the race for District 1 of Clear Creek ISD’s board of trustees, and challenger Rebecca Lilley remains in the lead against incumbent Scott Bowen for At-Large Position B.

As of 10:45 p.m., over 34% of polling places have been reported for Harris County, according to unofficial results.

While she has acknowledged that results are still unofficial, Cejka said she is appreciative of the voters that supported her, and is looking forward to serving another three years on the school board.

“I’m definitely optimistic, and really appreciate all of the community support that came out to help during the election and the voters that came out,” she said.

Per the Guide, Bowen was an enthusiastic book censor, while Cejka was a good incumbent. Well done here.

Here’s Humble ISD:

In the race for Position 1, newcomer Oscar Silva has maintained the lead with 5,345 votes, while opponent Gracie de Leon has received 4,095 votes.

In the race for Position 3, incumbent Chris Parker has narrowly maintained the lead with 4,773 votes, while challenger Natalie Carter has received 4,678 votes.

In the race for Position 4, challenger Brittnai Brown has maintained the lead with 3,629 votes, while incumbent Ken Kirchhofer and challenger Tracy Shannon have received 2,918 and 2,920 votes, respectively.

In the race for Position 5, newcomer Elizabeth Shaw has maintained the lead with 5,049 votes, while opponents Scott Ford and Judy Castillo have received 3,163 and 1,215 votes, respectively.

Brittnai Brown is the big win here, as challenger Tracy Shannon is a Moms for Liberty wacko. Natalie Carter was a tough loss – she fell short by 43 votes in the end – while Oscar Silva was the better candidate against Gracie de Leon. Not too shabby.

The one place where there’s no good news is Spring Branch ISD, which sadly is the norm there. Perhaps the recent court ruling will help make things a bit better there.

Those are the Houston-area races. There are numerous other’s on Strong’s list, and I will look to see if he provides a recap that I can share. I did get some news from elsewhere via this Threads, um, thread:

View on Threads

In short, multiple loonies thrown out in Grapevine-Colleyville and Mansfield. Thread author Daniel Nichanian had previewed these races at Bolts Magazine beforehand. The Fort Worth Report had more on the Mansfield situation, updated to show the results that were decisively against the wingnuts.

There were two more solid wins in Keller ISD, driven in part by the recent effort to split it into two separate districts, which did not go well with the voters. Lone Star Left rounded up a bunch more good results from the D-FW area and elsewhere in the state, both at the school board and municipal level. A lot of this was below the radar, but Saturday night was a good one for Democrats and sane people, and bad for Republicans and those disconnected from reality. I’ll have more as I can. Congrats to all the winners.

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Lottery Commission bans that thing it said it couldn’t ban

Things are going great over there.

The Texas Lottery Commission unanimously voted Tuesday to ban lottery courier companies from selling tickets online amid lawmakers’ ongoing criticism of the practice. The vote was an about-face for the agency, whose officials previously claimed the commission could not regulate the services.

Couriers are third-party services that sell lottery tickets through websites or apps, then print and scan the tickets at licensed lottery retailers that they usually also own. The businesses have operated in Texas for almost a decade, but have recently drawn legislators’ ire. Lawmakers fear such online sales enable illegal purchases by out-of-state or underage players.

The ban allows the commission to immediately revoke the lottery license of any retailer that knowingly assists or works with couriers. Lawmakers are currently weighing legislation that would impose similar restrictions.

Sergio Rey, the commission’s acting deputy executive director, said the agency’s administrative branch would immediately begin enforcing the new rules.

Lawmakers and other state officials are pursuing legislation and investigations based on two central issues: the proliferation of third-party lottery ticket couriers and a $95 million jackpot in 2023 won by a single group buying out almost every possible ticket combination.

Attorney General Ken Paxton’s office and the Texas Rangers, a division of the Department of Public Safety, are each currently conducting investigations into the lottery’s relationship with courier services.

Amid the mounting scrutiny, Ryan Mindell resigned as the commission’s executive director last week. Commissioner Clark Smith resigned in February.

Ticket sales from couriers collectively make up less than 10% of the lottery’s revenue. But the companies’ ability to market to a wider digital audience has allowed some couriers to individually outsell specific traditional retailers, like local convenience stores. Stores operated by Jackpocket and Lotto.com, the nation’s two largest couriers, collectively sold over $226 million in tickets through 2024, while the top five traditional retailers collectively sold $34 million.

Lotto.com filed a lawsuit less than a week before the lottery commission’s decision asking a judge to block the rule from being approved. There has been no ruling on that request.

Lawmakers, including Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick, have also criticized a practice called bulk purchasing, which occurs when nearly all of a lottery game’s possible combinations are purchased by a single entity for an almost-guaranteed win. In April 2023, an overseas group worked with several retailers and one lottery courier service to buy 99% of the nearly 26 million ticket combinations, winning a $95 million jackpot.

In news releases, interviews and public testimony in the Legislature, courier representatives have said their apps and websites have verification procedures that prevent illegal sales like bulk purchases and sales to minors. State law, however, does not currently require such verification processes, meaning those with security measures did so without oversight and at their own discretion.

See here and here for some background. One can certainly make the case that the clownishness of the Lottery lately is a direct reflection of our state government, which has oversight responsibilities for the Lottery Commission. I’ll support anyone who wants to make that point, but I’ll also concede that there are much bigger issues over which to be having that kind of fight.

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